Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +10.4 56
Results Rating +11.3 51
Consistency 0.15 149
Pace 68.0 191
Improvement -1.0 224

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 63 B B- B C+ C
Defense B 55 B C+ B- B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 202 B+ 66% 38 +2.5 90
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 241 C- 36% 248 -0.4 204
Three Pointers 41% 170 B+ 38% 32 +2.6 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 200 B+ +4.6 51
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 59
Second Chance B- 32.8% 101 B- 1.11 76 B- 0.36 70
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.8% 33
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 154
Turnovers B 14.8% 72
Freethrows C 0.31 159 B- 75% 104 C+ 0.23 131
Total Offense B +5.7 63

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 79 B- 9.2% 93
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 289 B 3.2% 56
Three Pointers C 83% 216 B- 0.5% 87
Total C+ 58% 122 B 4.4% 47


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 175 C 57% 158 -0.1 171
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 76 C 38% 168 +1.2 284
Three Pointers 37% 285 A- 29% 13 -4.7 14
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 102 B -3.2 52
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 58
Second Chance C 29.9% 169 C+ 1.00 132 C+ 0.30 146
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 173
Other Turnovers B+ 8.5% 38
Turnovers B- 18.1% 92
Freethrows B+ 0.24 17 C 72% 167 B+ 0.17 22
Total Defense B +4.7 55

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 63 C 10.7% 182
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 42 C- 3.9% 227
Three Pointers B- 81% 90 D+ 0.5% 252
Total B+ 47% 29 C 5.3% 193

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 135 18.2 302
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 200 0.08 7
Consistency 0.09 4 0.11 51
Improvement +0.4 166 -1.4 260

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 60 56 49
Results Rating Rank 61 52 42
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 29% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19% 28% 7%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four16% 24% 7%
First Round10% 16% 3%
Second Round3% 4% 1%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 11
Quad 27 - 29 - 13
Quad 34 - 013 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 246 Charleston Southern W 98 - 67 95% +13  80% 1 - 0 A +23 B+ +9 C+ A+ B+ A +11 A A C+
 Sat, Nov 8 70 Providence W 107 - 101 OT 58% +0  37% 2 - 0 B+ +14 B+ +9 A- A- B B +4 A C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 12 110 Saint Joseph's W 94 - 59 82% +20  97% 3 - 0 A+ +36 A+ +17 A+ A- A+ A+ +17 A+ C- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 178 Charlotte W 84 - 76 91% +8  98% 4 - 0 C+ +4 B+ +8 F+ B+ A+ D+ -4 B+ F+ F
 Wed, Nov 19 351 Bryant W 78 - 61 99% +5  62% 5 - 0 C -0 D -4 D+ A+ D+ B +4 C- B D+
 Wed, Nov 26 89 Colorado St. W 66 - 64 65% +3  67% 6 - 0 B +8 C- -1 B F B+ A +10 A+ D- C-
 Thu, Nov 27 30 St. Mary's L 66 - 77 33% -8  0% 6 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 C- C- B B- +2 D+ C- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 86 46% -10  1% 6 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -4 C C D+ C- -3 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 95 @South Carolina W 86 - 83 OT 56% +4  78% 7 - 2 B+ +12 B +7 B+ A A B +4 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 97 George Mason W 73 - 62 77% +10  91% 8 - 2 B+ +14 B- +5 A- D- B- A +10 A D A+
 Thu, Dec 11 223 Western Carolina W 96 - 74 93% +15  98% 9 - 2 A- +15 A +12 A A C B- +3 C- B B
 Sun, Dec 14 350 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82 - 53 99% +10  84% 10 - 2 B+ +12 B+ +8 A+ D- A- B+ +7 B+ B- D
 Sat, Dec 20 243 Elon W 82 - 81 OT 94% -6  10% 11 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 D A+ D- D- -8 D F A
 Wed, Dec 31 21 Virginia W 95 - 85 3OT 35% +2  58% 12 - 2 1 - 0 A+ +24 C +2 D- A+ B A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 3 67 @Wake Forest L 78 - 81 44% -4  8% 12 - 3 1 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 B+ C+ F B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Wed, Jan 7 59 Stanford L 68 - 69 64% +5  90% 12 - 4 1 - 2 B- +6 B +6 B- C- A C -1 C+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 72 California W 78 - 75 69% -2  25% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B +8 A- +10 B B- B C- -2 C+ F A
 Wed, Jan 14 44 @SMU L 76 - 77 31% +0  51% 13 - 5 2 - 3 B+ +15 B- +6 B C+ A- A +9 A- A- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 90 Notre Dame W 89 - 76 76% +11  95% 14 - 5 3 - 3 A- +16 A +12 B A+ D+ B- +3 A- F+ B
 Wed, Jan 21 77 @Syracuse W 76 - 74 50% -2  25% 15 - 5 4 - 3 B+ +13 B- +5 B- D A A- +8 A B- A
 Sat, Jan 24 15 @Louisville L 71 - 85 15% -9  3% 15 - 6 4 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 A D C- B +5 A F A+
 Tue, Jan 27 137 Georgia Tech W 71 - 65 87% +5  74% 16 - 6 5 - 4 C+ +4 D -4 F B A A +9 B A B
 Sat, Jan 31 1 Duke L 58 - 72 10% -9  0% 16 - 7 5 - 5 B +10 B+ +8 A+ C+ B C -1 B- F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 36 @North Carolina St. L 73 - 82 27% -8  4% 16 - 8 5 - 6 B- +8 C +1 D A+ C- A- +7 C- A+ B+
 Wed, Feb 11 40 @Clemson W 76 - 66 29% +4  71% 17 - 8 6 - 6 A+ +26 A+ +17 A+ A D+ A +10 A D+ C-
 Sat, Feb 14 71 Florida St. L 69 - 92 69% -3  53% 17 - 9 6 - 7 F+ -18 C +1 B F A F -21 F A+ F
 Tue, Feb 17 31 @Miami (FL) L 66 - 67 25% +1  57% 17 - 10 6 - 8 A- +17 B +6 A C+ B A +11 A+ D- C
 Sat, Feb 21 67 Wake Forest W 82 - 63 66% +9  85% 18 - 10 7 - 8 A+ +25 A+ +21 A+ A+ A+ A- +7 A A D-
 Sat, Feb 28 29 @North Carolina L 82 - 89 22% -3  18% 18 - 11 7 - 9 B +11 A+ +16 A+ F B- D+ -4 F D+ A+
 Tue, Mar 3 131 Boston College W 72 - 63 86% +10  98% 19 - 11 8 - 9 B- +8 B- +4 B- A+ D- B +4 B C D-
 Sat, Mar 7 21 @Virginia L 72 - 76 17% -8  0% 19 - 12 8 - 10 A- +16 A- +11 A+ D B- B +5 A- D B+
 Tue, Mar 10 67 Wake Forest W 77 - 76 55%
Totals 20 - 12 8 - 10 +10 B +6 A B+ C B +5 B+ B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B+ C- B+ B+ 38% 32% 41% C B B- B- B- B C B- C+ B C C A- B 39% 24% 37% C+ B C C+ C+ B- B+ C B+
1.17 66% 36% 38% +5 0 1.11 33% 1.1 .36 15% .31 75% .23 1.02 57% 38% 29% -3 0 0.95 30% 1.0 .30 18% .24 72% .22
Nov
3		 Charleston Southern B+ A+ F C B- 32% 29% 39% D C+ A A+ A+ B+ B- C- C+ A A+ A+ F+ A 38% 14% 48% C+ A C- A+ A C+ B- C- C+
1.26 70% 28% 33% 0 -2 1.00 41% 1.4 .57 9% .38 70% .27 0.86 41% 13% 39% -6 +1 0.91 29% 0.5 .16 19% .24 67% .16
Nov
8		 Providence B+ A- C+ A A 38% 26% 36% C A- C A+ A- B C D C- B B+ D+ B A- 32% 26% 41% A+ A A- F C+ C+ C+ F D
1.20 65% 39% 40% +6 -1 1.13 28% 1.4 .40 12% .28 68% .19 1.13 55% 44% 32% -1 -1 0.99 29% 1.3 .38 16% .33 88% .29
Nov
12		 Saint Joseph's A+ A+ F B A+ 44% 20% 36% B+ A+ B- A+ A- A+ D F F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% B+ A+ C- C+ C- A+ A+ D- A+
1.27 78% 25% 36% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.3 .41 9% .18 58% .10 0.80 42% 45% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 26% .09 80% .07
Nov
16		 Charlotte B+ B- F B- F+ 23% 23% 53% D- F+ A- C- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ F B B- 31% 29% 40% A+ B+ F C- F+ F F A+ D+
1.27 64% 0% 36% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.1 .41 9% .60 83% .50 1.15 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 43% 0.9 .40 12% .41 63% .26
Nov
19		 Bryant D B A+ F D 50% 20% 30% C- D+ C A+ A+ D+ A+ F C+ B F F A+ D+ 30% 21% 49% A C- A+ F B D+ D+ C+ C-
1.13 64% 50% 20% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.5 .55 14% .41 58% .24 0.88 79% 50% 17% -4 -1 0.94 13% 1.5 .19 20% .29 75% .22
Nov
26		 Colorado St. C- B+ B- C B 39% 15% 46% B+ B F F F B+ C+ A+ B+ A C B A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C+ A+ C- F D- C- A+ B- A+
1.06 67% 43% 33% +4 +1 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 13% .30 81% .24 1.03 63% 33% 15% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.3 .41 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
27		 St. Mary's C B+ D F C 25% 31% 44% F+ C- A+ F C- B A+ A+ A+ B- D F B+ C- 49% 16% 36% D- D+ D+ C+ C- A+ D B- D+
0.97 62% 31% 26% -6 -2 0.85 39% 0.5 .20 13% .34 85% .29 1.14 64% 57% 31% +4 +1 1.13 41% 1.1 .44 22% .36 79% .28
Nov
28		 Virginia Commonwealth D+ C D- B- C+ 45% 27% 29% D+ C D A+ C D+ A+ F B- C- D- B F F 41% 22% 37% B+ F C+ A+ A+ A C- A- C+
0.96 55% 31% 36% -3 0 0.96 24% 1.3 .29 18% .40 57% .23 1.22 67% 36% 58% +16 0 1.35 33% 0.5 .17 20% .39 68% .26
Dec
2		 South Carolina B A+ A- F A- 37% 32% 32% D B+ F+ A+ A A B D B- B F F+ B D 23% 29% 48% A+ C- A+ B+ A+ F+ F+ B D-
1.11 76% 44% 22% +3 -2 1.05 21% 2.0 .41 12% .31 67% .20 1.07 77% 50% 30% +5 -2 1.07 14% 1.0 .14 10% .40 75% .30
Dec
6		 George Mason B- A C B+ A 33% 21% 46% C A- C- F D- B- C A- C+ A A+ C C- A+ 40% 17% 43% D A F B- D A+ A- F+ B
1.13 71% 36% 38% +6 0 1.13 26% 0.6 .16 14% .23 77% .18 0.96 42% 38% 35% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 25% .29 79% .23
Dec
11		 Western Carolina A B- C A+ A+ 35% 18% 47% C A A A- A C A- F C+ B- A- D- F D+ 41% 22% 37% C C- D+ A B B F A+ F
1.32 63% 40% 50% +13 0 1.29 37% 1.2 .43 15% .37 65% .24 1.02 45% 45% 39% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 19% .51 60% .31
Dec
14		 Maryland Eastern Shore B+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% D+ A+ F A+ D- A- F D- F B+ A- F A+ B+ 28% 20% 52% C B+ D+ A B- D C- A+ B-
1.26 79% 18% 48% +12 0 1.26 18% 1.6 .29 12% .23 69% .16 0.82 46% 78% 17% -9 -1 0.83 33% 0.7 .23 22% .24 58% .14
Dec
20		 Elon C D- A- D+ D 43% 32% 26% D D A+ B- A+ D- A+ D+ A+ D- F A+ C D 49% 8% 43% D D F C- F A A+ F A-
1.18 50% 47% 33% -1 -1 0.98 49% 1.2 .57 19% .51 69% .35 1.17 69% 0% 35% +3 +2 1.13 47% 1.0 .47 22% .20 82% .17
Dec
31		 Virginia C F+ F D+ D 25% 38% 37% F D- A A+ A+ B A+ F+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 32% 11% 57% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+
0.99 44% 25% 30% -11 -3 0.75 35% 1.1 .39 15% .50 68% .34 0.89 63% 13% 24% -10 +1 0.84 30% 0.8 .23 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
3		 Wake Forest C+ A- A+ C- A 19% 21% 60% F+ B+ C- B C+ F A+ C- A+ B+ F+ B+ A+ A 35% 33% 32% A+ A+ D+ F F C+ A- F B-
1.05 67% 60% 32% +5 -1 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 26% .45 72% .33 1.09 70% 37% 17% -4 -2 0.89 34% 1.5 .50 15% .25 88% .22
Jan
7		 Stanford B B+ D B- B 28% 30% 43% D- B- A+ F C- A A+ C A+ C C F C C+ 41% 9% 50% C C+ B F C- D+ A+ D- A+
1.13 64% 33% 35% +1 -2 1.00 40% 0.6 .26 15% .49 76% .37 1.15 58% 50% 35% +2 +2 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 78% .13
Jan
10		 California A- A+ F F B 44% 11% 44% B+ B A D B- B A+ A+ A+ C- D+ C- B B- 40% 21% 40% D C+ F C F A D- F F
1.17 70% 20% 25% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.9 .33 15% .55 87% .47 1.12 63% 40% 32% +1 0 1.04 41% 1.1 .45 19% .39 90% .35
Jan
14		 SMU B- A- B D+ B 36% 20% 44% B- B C+ C+ C+ A- B F C A C+ F A+ A- 41% 35% 24% B+ A- A- B+ A- B- F B+ F+
1.10 67% 40% 32% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 61% .19 1.11 60% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 16% .39 70% .27
Jan
17		 Notre Dame A D- A+ B- B 36% 18% 45% B- B A A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B- D- A- A A- 33% 25% 41% B- A- D+ F F+ B D F+ D-
1.25 50% 63% 35% +2 0 1.07 35% 1.9 .65 17% .54 88% .47 1.07 71% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 18% .36 76% .28
Jan
21		 Syracuse B- B- B- F C+ 48% 17% 35% B B- D- C D A A+ C A+ A- A A+ F A+ 43% 17% 40% D+ A B- B- B- A A F C+
1.08 59% 38% 25% -4 +1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 14% .60 72% .43 1.05 48% 11% 43% -4 +1 0.96 30% 1.0 .30 20% .25 86% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Louisville C+ F F A+ A+ 20% 29% 51% D+ A C F D C- F F F B B- D B A+ 48% 4% 48% D- A F+ F F A+ A C A
1.00 27% 25% 54% +5 -2 1.07 24% 0.8 .18 18% .14 63% .09 1.20 60% 50% 32% 0 +3 1.08 41% 1.3 .54 21% .23 77% .18
Jan
27		 Georgia Tech D D F F F 31% 25% 44% C- F B- B- B A A+ C+ A+ A D C- A+ B 43% 28% 28% C+ B C+ A+ A B C C+ C
1.01 50% 15% 26% -13 -1 0.73 33% 1.1 .38 11% .42 73% .31 0.93 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.98 31% 0.8 .25 20% .30 71% .21
Jan
31		 Duke B+ A+ F C+ A+ 25% 27% 48% D+ A+ A+ F C+ B F+ A+ D C F F A+ C+ 46% 17% 37% A- B- D D F D+ A+ C+ A+
1.01 91% 25% 33% +4 -2 1.07 34% 0.5 .19 17% .13 83% .11 1.25 76% 63% 24% +7 +1 1.17 44% 1.3 .59 14% .14 71% .10
Feb
7		 North Carolina St. C D+ B- F D- 50% 10% 40% A- D B A+ A+ C- D A+ C A- D A+ F C- 41% 18% 41% B- C- A+ C+ A+ B+ F+ B+ D
1.01 52% 40% 25% -8 +2 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 21% .26 80% .21 1.13 67% 22% 43% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.2 .21 15% .39 71% .28
Feb
11		 Clemson A+ C+ F A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% A+ A+ D A+ A D+ D+ A+ B+ A A B+ C+ A+ 51% 17% 32% C- A B+ F D+ C- B- A+ A-
1.17 57% 20% 50% +7 +2 1.20 17% 2.0 .35 20% .25 100% .25 1.02 50% 38% 33% -5 +1 0.96 24% 1.4 .33 14% .32 61% .20
Feb
14		 Florida St. C F D A+ B 43% 24% 33% C+ B F+ F F A C A B- F C- F F F 46% 12% 42% D+ F A+ D A+ F B- B- B-
1.07 43% 33% 56% +3 0 1.08 23% 0.6 .13 15% .27 80% .22 1.42 63% 83% 55% +20 +2 1.46 17% 1.3 .22 8% .29 71% .20
Feb
17		 Miami (FL) B B+ C A+ A 40% 22% 38% B- A B- C- C+ B F D+ F A D+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% A+ A+ B F D- C A C A
1.05 65% 36% 42% +7 0 1.16 26% 1.0 .26 18% .06 67% .04 1.07 65% 27% 20% -7 -1 0.86 35% 1.5 .51 16% .25 69% .17
Feb
21		 Wake Forest A+ B A+ A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% B A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- F F+ A- D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 50% D+ A F+ A+ A D- C+ A B+
1.35 63% 50% 42% +9 +1 1.22 43% 1.2 .50 8% .29 56% .16 1.04 67% 17% 25% -6 +1 0.92 38% 0.7 .26 12% .30 69% .21
Feb
28		 North Carolina A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 31% 36% C- A+ D F F B- C- A+ B+ D+ F F F F 44% 19% 37% C- F F B D+ A+ F F F
1.18 63% 50% 43% +10 -2 1.19 21% 0.3 .07 13% .18 100% .18 1.29 74% 50% 44% +15 +1 1.33 41% 1.0 .41 19% .53 77% .41
Mar
3		 Boston College B- C+ F A+ B+ 26% 26% 48% D- B- D- A+ A+ D- B A+ A+ B F A+ A+ B 36% 26% 38% C+ B C- C C D- A+ A+ A+
1.09 58% 8% 45% +1 -2 1.00 20% 2.0 .40 18% .33 83% .28 0.95 68% 21% 25% -6 -1 0.89 32% 1.0 .32 12% .17 40% .07
Mar
7		 Virginia A- A+ A+ C A+ 30% 23% 47% C+ A+ A F D B- C+ C+ C+ B C+ A+ C+ A 45% 11% 45% D+ A- B- F D B+ C F D-
1.09 69% 50% 32% +4 -1 1.09 35% 0.5 .16 15% .28 75% .21 1.15 57% 20% 33% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 18% .31 88% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 19.0% 0.1% 18.8% 10.9 0.1 0.3 2.6 14.6 1.4 81.0 18.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.0% 0.1% 18.8% 10.9 81.0 18.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 77.8% 10.1 3.7 11.1 37.0 25.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.7% 54.3% 10.6 0.1 3.4 17.6 32.4 0.7
Lose Out 44.4% 6.9% 11.1 0.1 5.7 1.1