Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#74
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#45
Pace70.1#164
Improvement-2.6#327

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#69
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#29
Layup/Dunks+2.5#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement-1.8#313

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#86
First Shot+3.4#74
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#230
Layups/Dunks-2.3#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#57
Freethrows+2.9#32
Improvement-0.8#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 28.1% 13.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.9% 27.6% 12.9%
Average Seed 9.7 9.5 9.9
.500 or above 88.8% 96.4% 84.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 45.6% 21.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 1.4% 5.7%
First Four6.5% 8.6% 5.5%
First Round14.4% 23.1% 9.9%
Second Round5.0% 8.5% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Home) - 33.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 25 - 37 - 13
Quad 35 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 239 Charleston Southern W 98-67 92%     1 - 0 +23.4 +12.0 +8.2
  Sat, Nov 8 78 Providence W 107-101 OT 52%     2 - 0 +13.1 +11.5 +0.3
  Wed, Nov 12 188 Saint Joseph's W 94-59 88%     3 - 0 +30.2 +16.4 +11.8
  Sun, Nov 16 183 Charlotte W 84-76 87%     4 - 0 +3.3 +12.0 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 19 311 Bryant W 78-61 95%     5 - 0 +5.2 +2.0 +3.4
  Wed, Nov 26 91 Colorado St. W 66-64 56%     6 - 0 +8.1 -0.3 +8.7
  Thu, Nov 27 44 St. Mary's L 66-77 35%     6 - 1 +0.7 +2.7 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 28 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 68-86 37%     6 - 2 -6.9 -0.2 -6.6
  Tue, Dec 2 90 @South Carolina W 86-83 OT 44%     7 - 2 +12.2 +9.8 +2.1
  Sat, Dec 6 88 George Mason W 73-62 66%     8 - 2 +14.3 +7.9 +7.4
  Thu, Dec 11 299 Western Carolina W 96-74 94%     9 - 2 +11.5 +15.3 -4.6
  Sun, Dec 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-53 97%     10 - 2 +14.0 +9.5 +6.8
  Sat, Dec 20 166 Elon W 82-81 OT 85%     11 - 2 -2.5 +4.1 -6.6
  Wed, Dec 31 26 Virginia L 74-78 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 61 @Wake Forest L 75-79 35%    
  Wed, Jan 7 81 Stanford W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 65 California W 76-74 59%    
  Wed, Jan 14 42 @SMU L 75-82 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 64 Notre Dame W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 75 @Syracuse L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 13 @Louisville L 74-87 11%    
  Tue, Jan 27 129 Georgia Tech W 80-71 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 4 Duke L 70-81 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 28 @North Carolina St. L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 40 @Clemson L 67-75 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 113 Florida St. W 85-78 75%    
  Tue, Feb 17 35 @Miami (FL) L 72-81 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 61 Wake Forest W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 21 @North Carolina L 70-81 15%    
  Tue, Mar 3 156 Boston College W 76-66 83%    
  Sat, Mar 7 26 @Virginia L 71-81 18%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.6 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 1.6 0.2 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.9 1.0 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.5 3.5 2.4 0.2 6.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 4.6 0.7 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.4 2.6 0.1 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 4.2 4.7 0.5 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 6.0 1.8 0.0 10.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 5.4 4.0 0.3 10.7 13th
14th 0.3 3.3 5.1 1.1 0.0 9.8 14th
15th 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.0 0.1 8.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.8 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.9 11.3 15.6 16.9 15.4 12.5 8.4 4.9 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 85.7% 0.0    0.0
15-3 46.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 20.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 7.1% 92.9% 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 98.8% 9.5% 89.3% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
13-5 1.0% 97.4% 4.6% 92.8% 7.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.3%
12-6 2.3% 90.8% 3.4% 87.4% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 90.5%
11-7 4.9% 77.0% 1.6% 75.5% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.1 76.7%
10-8 8.4% 55.8% 0.6% 55.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.0 3.7 55.5%
9-9 12.5% 33.5% 0.3% 33.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.3 0.1 8.3 33.3%
8-10 15.4% 11.3% 0.3% 11.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.1 13.7 11.0%
7-11 16.9% 1.7% 0.1% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 16.6 1.7%
6-12 15.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6 0.2%
5-13 11.3% 11.3
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.2% 0.4% 17.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.3 5.5 5.9 0.2 81.8 17.9%