Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#89
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#55
Pace68.3#201
Improvement+0.8#136

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#166
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#209
Layup/Dunks+3.3#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#263
Freethrows+1.8#79
Improvement-1.5#293

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#41
First Shot+6.4#19
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#239
Layups/Dunks+5.8#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#225
Freethrows+0.8#133
Improvement+2.3#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 10.8% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.9% 10.2% 4.6%
Average Seed 9.9 9.9 10.1
.500 or above 60.2% 65.6% 40.9%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 40.2% 18.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 4.1% 15.3%
First Four3.8% 4.4% 1.8%
First Round7.2% 8.1% 3.8%
Second Round2.6% 3.0% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Home) - 78.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 13
Quad 35 - 211 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -7.8 -18.5 +10.4
  Nov 07, 2024 311   N.C. A&T W 80-64 94%     2 - 0 +4.9 -9.8 +12.6
  Nov 10, 2024 16   Michigan W 72-70 20%     3 - 0 +17.1 +9.3 +7.8
  Nov 13, 2024 343   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 96%     4 - 0 -9.6 +1.1 -10.9
  Nov 16, 2024 68   @ Xavier L 60-75 30%     4 - 1 -3.5 -3.9 -0.5
  Nov 19, 2024 263   Western Carolina W 82-69 91%     5 - 1 +4.2 +6.8 -2.5
  Nov 23, 2024 298   Detroit Mercy W 67-57 93%     6 - 1 -0.2 -7.6 +7.8
  Nov 28, 2024 10   Florida L 58-75 14%     6 - 2 +0.5 -6.7 +6.6
  Nov 29, 2024 112   Minnesota W 57-51 60%     7 - 2 +9.5 -4.2 +14.7
  Dec 03, 2024 30   @ Texas A&M L 44-57 17%     7 - 3 +3.0 -15.1 +16.6
  Dec 07, 2024 145   Boston College W 72-64 78%    
  Dec 17, 2024 114   James Madison W 74-68 70%    
  Dec 21, 2024 28   @ Clemson L 62-72 17%    
  Dec 31, 2024 96   @ Syracuse L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 72   North Carolina St. W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 87   @ Miami (FL) L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 15, 2025 93   Stanford W 72-69 62%    
  Jan 18, 2025 129   @ Virginia Tech W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 21, 2025 17   North Carolina L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 2   Duke L 62-74 15%    
  Jan 30, 2025 43   @ Louisville L 67-75 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 36   Pittsburgh L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 93   @ Stanford L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 109   @ California L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 61   Florida St. L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 62   @ SMU L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 72   @ North Carolina St. L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 26, 2025 90   Virginia W 61-58 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 80   Notre Dame W 68-66 57%    
  Mar 03, 2025 2   @ Duke L 59-77 6%    
  Mar 08, 2025 111   Georgia Tech W 75-70 69%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 3.2 0.9 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.8 2.2 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 4.7 1.7 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.5 3.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.2 4.8 1.2 0.0 8.3 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.4 2.6 0.1 8.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.9 0.7 0.0 8.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.8 1.4 0.0 7.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 2.0 0.3 6.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.2 17th
18th 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.1 18th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.5 7.1 10.3 12.7 13.6 13.4 11.9 9.2 6.3 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 70.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
16-4 20.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 6.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 5.3% 94.7% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 96.5% 12.1% 84.4% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.1%
15-5 1.0% 88.3% 5.2% 83.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 87.7%
14-6 2.2% 70.2% 2.9% 67.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 69.3%
13-7 4.2% 52.6% 3.5% 49.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.1 2.0 50.9%
12-8 6.3% 31.5% 1.0% 30.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.1 4.3 30.8%
11-9 9.2% 16.0% 0.9% 15.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.1 7.7 15.2%
10-10 11.9% 5.6% 0.5% 5.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 11.3 5.1%
9-11 13.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.3 0.9%
8-12 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.1%
7-13 12.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 12.6
6-14 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.3
5-15 7.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 7.1
4-16 4.5% 4.5
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.5% 0.6% 8.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.8 0.4 0.0 90.5 8.9%