Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#49
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#62
Pace73.1#91
Improvement-1.9#306

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#62
First Shot+2.6#104
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#32
Layup/Dunks+3.2#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#143
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement+0.1#183

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#48
First Shot+5.6#35
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#221
Layups/Dunks+3.0#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
Freethrows+0.0#177
Improvement-1.9#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 4.9% 5.1% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.2% 42.4% 24.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.3% 41.4% 24.0%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.3
.500 or above 86.6% 87.8% 68.8%
.500 or above in Conference 60.8% 61.7% 48.2%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.2% 2.0%
First Four8.9% 9.0% 7.2%
First Round36.7% 37.7% 20.6%
Second Round18.0% 18.6% 9.3%
Sweet Sixteen4.5% 4.8% 1.2%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 93.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 26 - 49 - 13
Quad 33 - 113 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 242 American W 88-74 95%     1 - 0 +6.3 +5.7 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 7 328 Morehead St. W 81-65 98%     2 - 0 +3.3 -7.8 +9.2
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 8%     2 - 1 +25.8 +10.4 +15.6
  Sun, Nov 16 315 Umass Lowell W 109-75 97%     3 - 1 +22.4 +21.5 -1.8
  Thu, Nov 20 21 Texas Tech L 83-84 32%     3 - 2 +14.5 +11.7 +2.9
  Fri, Nov 21 66 Memphis W 69-68 59%     4 - 2 +9.4 +4.5 +5.0
  Tue, Nov 25 226 Campbell W 99-51 94%     5 - 2 +41.2 +20.2 +19.7
  Fri, Nov 28 212 Northeastern W 86-73 94%     6 - 2 +6.7 +8.2 -2.1
  Tue, Dec 2 52 Oklahoma L 68-86 63%     6 - 3 -10.5 -6.3 -3.7
  Sat, Dec 6 67 West Virginia W 75-66 59%     7 - 3 +17.4 +18.8 -0.1
  Sun, Dec 14 198 Queens W 89-73 94%    
  Wed, Dec 17 291 Longwood W 88-67 98%    
  Sun, Dec 21 12 Vanderbilt L 79-84 32%    
  Wed, Dec 31 28 @North Carolina St. L 78-84 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 65 Virginia Tech W 81-76 69%    
  Wed, Jan 7 33 Miami (FL) W 78-77 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 20 @North Carolina L 74-82 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 100 @Florida St. W 83-80 61%    
  Tue, Jan 20 35 SMU W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 2 @Duke L 67-82 9%    
  Tue, Jan 27 104 @Pittsburgh W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Jan 31 28 North Carolina St. L 80-81 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 14 Louisville L 79-84 34%    
  Wed, Feb 11 134 @Georgia Tech W 78-72 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 90 Stanford W 81-73 76%    
  Wed, Feb 18 32 Clemson W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 65 @Virginia Tech L 78-79 47%    
  Tue, Feb 24 150 @Boston College W 75-68 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 62 Syracuse W 77-72 67%    
  Tue, Mar 3 26 @Virginia L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 72 California W 79-73 70%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.5 0.1 6.2 4th
5th 0.6 3.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 4.5 0.9 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.2 2.3 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.4 3.8 4.3 0.6 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 5.4 1.6 0.1 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.1 0.2 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 4.0 1.7 0.1 7.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 5.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.4 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.4 7.3 10.9 13.2 14.6 14.6 12.5 8.9 5.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 75.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 42.9% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 14.2% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 11.3% 88.7% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.3% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.7% 98.9% 7.7% 91.2% 6.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
13-5 5.8% 95.3% 5.5% 89.8% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.3 95.1%
12-6 8.9% 89.7% 3.4% 86.3% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.9 89.3%
11-7 12.5% 75.2% 1.9% 73.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.6 2.9 1.5 0.0 3.1 74.7%
10-8 14.6% 53.5% 1.0% 52.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.9 2.5 0.0 6.8 53.0%
9-9 14.6% 31.4% 0.5% 30.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.3 0.1 10.0 31.1%
8-10 13.2% 9.7% 0.3% 9.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.1 11.9 9.5%
7-11 10.9% 2.1% 0.2% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.6 2.0%
6-12 7.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 7.3 0.2%
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 41.2% 1.5% 39.7% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.6 6.4 8.0 9.3 7.8 0.3 58.8 40.3%