Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#61
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#61
Pace73.3#74
Improvement-4.8#361

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#78
First Shot+2.5#103
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#74
Layup/Dunks+1.5#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#141
Freethrows+1.9#74
Improvement-2.0#326

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#58
First Shot+5.2#40
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#239
Layups/Dunks+2.5#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#240
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement-2.8#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.9% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.7% 35.4% 15.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.2% 34.7% 15.4%
Average Seed 9.7 9.4 9.9
.500 or above 75.0% 89.9% 71.4%
.500 or above in Conference 43.7% 65.3% 38.5%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.8% 3.5%
First Four7.4% 10.3% 6.7%
First Round15.7% 29.9% 12.2%
Second Round6.3% 12.5% 4.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 19.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 26 - 58 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 15
Quad 47 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 268 American W 88-74 94%     1 - 0 +5.1 +4.5 -0.3
  Fri, Nov 7 307 Morehead St. W 81-65 96%     2 - 0 +4.6 -5.9 +8.6
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 6%     2 - 1 +25.8 +9.5 +16.5
  Sun, Nov 16 304 Umass Lowell W 109-75 96%     3 - 1 +23.0 +21.2 -0.9
  Thu, Nov 20 24 Texas Tech L 83-84 27%     3 - 2 +14.2 +9.4 +4.9
  Fri, Nov 21 72 Memphis W 69-68 54%     4 - 2 +8.7 +5.2 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 25 225 Campbell W 99-51 92%     5 - 2 +41.0 +19.7 +20.0
  Fri, Nov 28 205 Northeastern W 86-73 91%     6 - 2 +7.1 +6.5 +0.0
  Tue, Dec 2 45 Oklahoma L 68-86 52%     6 - 3 -9.7 -5.7 -3.4
  Sat, Dec 6 62 West Virginia W 75-66 51%     7 - 3 +17.5 +18.9 -0.1
  Sun, Dec 14 211 Queens W 111-73 91%     8 - 3 +31.7 +27.1 +3.7
  Wed, Dec 17 298 Longwood W 71-68 95%     9 - 3 -7.5 -10.3 +2.6
  Sun, Dec 21 9 Vanderbilt L 67-98 21%     9 - 4 -13.9 -1.4 -11.3
  Wed, Dec 31 28 @North Carolina St. L 75-84 20%    
  Sat, Jan 3 74 Virginia Tech W 79-75 65%    
  Wed, Jan 7 35 Miami (FL) L 77-78 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 21 @North Carolina L 71-81 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 113 @Florida St. W 83-81 59%    
  Tue, Jan 20 42 SMU L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 4 @Duke L 68-84 7%    
  Tue, Jan 27 84 @Pittsburgh L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 28 North Carolina St. L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 13 Louisville L 78-84 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 129 @Georgia Tech W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 81 Stanford W 80-75 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 40 Clemson L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 74 @Virginia Tech L 76-78 43%    
  Tue, Feb 24 156 @Boston College W 74-68 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 75 Syracuse W 78-74 65%    
  Tue, Mar 3 26 @Virginia L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Mar 7 65 California W 77-73 62%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.5 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 3.0 0.5 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 4.4 1.5 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.6 4.2 3.3 0.3 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 5.2 1.0 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.2 2.9 0.2 9.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.9 0.6 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 5.4 1.7 0.1 9.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.2 0.3 8.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.8 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.7 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.5 7.8 11.4 14.7 15.3 14.5 11.8 8.3 5.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 60.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 15.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.1% 96.7% 7.6% 89.1% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.4%
13-5 2.6% 89.7% 4.6% 85.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 89.2%
12-6 5.1% 77.6% 2.5% 75.1% 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.6 1.1 77.0%
11-7 8.3% 56.7% 1.1% 55.6% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.6 0.0 3.6 56.3%
10-8 11.8% 36.2% 0.8% 35.4% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.3 0.0 7.5 35.7%
9-9 14.5% 16.4% 0.4% 15.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.1 12.1 16.0%
8-10 15.3% 3.7% 0.3% 3.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.7 3.5%
7-11 14.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7 0.2%
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.7% 0.7% 19.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.5 5.7 6.6 0.3 80.3 19.2%