Preseason Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#63
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.0#315
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#57
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.5% 2.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 6.2% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.1% 28.7% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.7% 27.3% 9.1%
Average Seed 8.2 8.2 9.2
.500 or above 69.7% 70.7% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 52.0% 52.6% 29.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 5.5% 13.9%
First Four5.9% 6.0% 3.0%
First Round24.9% 25.4% 7.4%
Second Round13.2% 13.5% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen4.3% 4.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 97.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 25 - 47 - 12
Quad 34 - 111 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 300   LIU Brooklyn W 73-53 97%    
  Nov 07, 2025 309   Detroit Mercy W 78-57 97%    
  Nov 11, 2025 322   Eastern Illinois W 76-54 98%    
  Nov 16, 2025 27   @ Ohio St. L 65-74 21%    
  Nov 19, 2025 320   Bellarmine W 80-58 97%    
  Nov 24, 2025 13   Kansas L 65-73 23%    
  Nov 25, 2025 81   Rutgers W 70-68 58%    
  Dec 02, 2025 37   Missouri L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 05, 2025 55   @ TCU L 65-68 38%    
  Dec 10, 2025 235   Idaho W 77-61 92%    
  Dec 13, 2025 241   Evansville W 74-57 93%    
  Dec 21, 2025 192   Purdue Fort Wayne W 78-64 89%    
  Dec 30, 2025 95   @ Stanford W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 02, 2026 91   @ California W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 10, 2026 42   Clemson L 64-65 49%    
  Jan 13, 2026 56   Miami (FL) W 72-69 58%    
  Jan 17, 2026 76   @ Virginia Tech L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 21, 2026 25   @ North Carolina L 68-77 23%    
  Jan 24, 2026 100   Boston College W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 27, 2026 46   Virginia W 62-61 51%    
  Jan 31, 2026 64   @ Syracuse L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 04, 2026 11   @ Louisville L 65-77 17%    
  Feb 07, 2026 78   Florida St. W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 10, 2026 44   @ SMU L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 14, 2026 83   Georgia Tech W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 21, 2026 77   @ Pittsburgh L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 24, 2026 3   Duke L 62-72 21%    
  Feb 28, 2026 31   North Carolina St. L 66-68 44%    
  Mar 04, 2026 95   Stanford W 70-63 71%    
  Mar 07, 2026 100   @ Boston College W 69-68 54%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.2 0.6 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.0 1.4 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 3.8 0.7 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.9 1.8 0.1 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.7 3.4 0.3 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 3.8 1.0 0.0 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.3 0.3 5.9 13th
14th 0.2 1.7 2.9 0.7 0.0 5.4 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.3 0.1 4.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.8 0.2 4.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.8 17th
18th 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 3.0 18th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.0 4.7 7.0 8.8 10.7 11.7 11.6 10.9 9.3 7.7 5.6 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 95.9% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 72.3% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 40.9% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 12.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 29.6% 70.4% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 2.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.8% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 3.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 99.4% 13.8% 85.6% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-4 3.6% 96.6% 9.2% 87.4% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.2%
13-5 5.6% 86.1% 7.7% 78.4% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.8 84.9%
12-6 7.7% 72.2% 3.2% 68.9% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.1 71.2%
11-7 9.3% 53.7% 1.5% 52.2% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 0.9 0.0 4.3 53.0%
10-8 10.9% 32.5% 0.7% 31.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.0 7.4 32.0%
9-9 11.6% 16.3% 0.6% 15.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.0 9.7 15.8%
8-10 11.7% 4.6% 0.2% 4.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 11.2 4.4%
7-11 10.7% 1.1% 1.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.6 1.1%
6-12 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 7.0% 7.0
4-14 4.7% 4.7
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 28.1% 1.9% 26.2% 8.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.9 4.9 6.8 3.5 0.1 71.9 26.7%