Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#75
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#100
Pace68.1#181
Improvement+1.0#64

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#52
First Shot+3.2#77
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#52
Layup/Dunks+0.5#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#262
Freethrows+1.2#86
Improvement+0.8#51

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#117
First Shot+2.1#108
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#201
Layups/Dunks+5.2#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#347
Freethrows+2.6#24
Improvement+0.2#153
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.0% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 13.9
.500 or above 85.6% 94.1% 73.5%
.500 or above in Conference 64.6% 77.6% 45.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round3.4% 3.8% 2.7%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 7
Quad 22 - 33 - 10
Quad 36 - 28 - 13
Quad 49 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 258   Lehigh W 90-72 91%     1 - 0 +10.2 +11.0 -1.5
  Nov 15, 2022 118   Colgate L 68-80 75%     1 - 1 -12.0 -5.6 -6.9
  Nov 19, 2022 252   Northeastern W 76-48 91%     2 - 1 +20.5 +1.8 +19.0
  Nov 21, 2022 125   Richmond W 74-71 OT 67%     3 - 1 +5.4 +7.3 -1.8
  Nov 23, 2022 72   St. John's L 69-76 OT 48%     3 - 2 +0.6 -5.5 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2022 195   Bryant L 72-73 85%     3 - 3 -5.1 -6.3 +1.3
  Nov 29, 2022 17   @ Illinois L 44-73 18%     3 - 4 -12.1 -17.4 +4.0
  Dec 03, 2022 127   @ Notre Dame W 62-61 57%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +6.0 -1.3 +7.5
  Dec 06, 2022 249   Oakland W 95-66 90%     5 - 4 +21.6 +6.6 +12.0
  Dec 10, 2022 186   Georgetown W 83-64 84%     6 - 4 +15.4 +10.6 +5.6
  Dec 12, 2022 351   Monmouth W 86-71 97%     7 - 4 -0.4 +16.2 -15.4
  Dec 17, 2022 105   Cornell W 78-63 71%     8 - 4 +16.2 +1.5 +14.9
  Dec 20, 2022 64   Pittsburgh L 82-84 55%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +3.7 +7.8 -4.0
  Dec 31, 2022 144   Boston College W 79-65 78%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +12.8 +8.1 +4.8
  Jan 03, 2023 248   @ Louisville W 70-69 80%     10 - 5 3 - 1 -0.8 -4.7 +3.9
  Jan 07, 2023 16   @ Virginia L 66-73 17%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +9.9 +4.3 +5.4
  Jan 11, 2023 49   Virginia Tech W 82-72 49%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +17.3 +9.1 +7.9
  Jan 14, 2023 127   Notre Dame W 78-73 76%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +4.6 +15.8 -10.3
  Jan 16, 2023 34   @ Miami (FL) L 78-82 23%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +10.8 +11.2 -0.5
  Jan 21, 2023 172   @ Georgia Tech W 80-63 66%     13 - 7 6 - 3 +19.7 +14.7 +6.0
  Jan 24, 2023 26   North Carolina L 68-72 38%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +6.2 -2.4 +8.7
  Jan 28, 2023 49   @ Virginia Tech L 70-85 29%     13 - 9 6 - 5 -2.3 +2.9 -5.2
  Jan 30, 2023 16   Virginia L 62-67 33%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +6.5 +3.6 +2.1
  Feb 04, 2023 144   @ Boston College W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 08, 2023 140   @ Florida St. W 76-73 58%    
  Feb 14, 2023 37   North Carolina St. L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 18, 2023 24   Duke L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 22, 2023 60   @ Clemson L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 25, 2023 64   @ Pittsburgh L 69-73 33%    
  Feb 28, 2023 172   Georgia Tech W 75-65 83%    
  Mar 04, 2023 67   Wake Forest W 78-77 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.8 3rd
4th 0.4 1.5 0.1 2.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 1.1 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 5.2 0.2 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 9.3 3.0 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.4 12.6 9.3 0.4 24.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.9 10.7 10.6 1.1 0.0 24.4 9th
10th 0.5 5.6 7.1 1.4 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 3.1 0.7 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 0.4 3.0 10.9 21.1 26.8 22.2 11.6 3.5 0.5 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 4.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.5% 31.1% 8.3% 22.7% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 24.8%
13-7 3.5% 7.3% 5.9% 1.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.3 1.5%
12-8 11.6% 4.2% 4.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.1%
11-9 22.2% 4.0% 4.0% 12.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 21.3
10-10 26.8% 3.2% 3.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 25.9
9-11 21.1% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 20.5
8-12 10.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 10.7
7-13 3.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.0
6-14 0.4% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.5% 3.3% 0.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 96.5 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 31.1% 10.6 1.9 9.8 17.4 1.9
Lose Out 0.4% 3.7% 16.0 3.7