Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#71
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#104
Pace70.4#147
Improvement-1.7#300

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#17
First Shot+7.8#14
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks+1.5#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#86
Freethrows+2.1#63
Improvement+0.0#179

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#215
First Shot-1.0#210
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#205
Layups/Dunks+4.4#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#354
Freethrows+2.3#49
Improvement-1.6#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.6% 4.0% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 29.7% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.3% 27.7% 11.8%
Average Seed 9.4 9.0 9.6
.500 or above 56.9% 73.2% 52.2%
.500 or above in Conference 48.4% 66.7% 43.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 5.3% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.4% 4.0%
First Four3.6% 4.5% 3.3%
First Round15.3% 27.1% 11.9%
Second Round6.5% 11.9% 4.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.6% 1.2%
Elite Eight0.5% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 22.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 8
Quad 25 - 47 - 13
Quad 35 - 312 - 15
Quad 44 - 117 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 272   Lafayette W 97-63 93%     1 - 0 +24.9 +16.8 +7.1
  Nov 14, 2021 169   Drexel W 75-60 83%     2 - 0 +11.8 +4.1 +8.8
  Nov 20, 2021 111   Colgate L 85-100 73%     2 - 1 -14.4 +6.3 -20.1
  Nov 24, 2021 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-67 52%     2 - 2 -5.5 -7.6 +2.3
  Nov 25, 2021 96   Arizona St. W 92-84 57%     3 - 2 +13.3 +17.5 -4.5
  Nov 26, 2021 21   Auburn L 68-89 25%     3 - 3 -7.1 +1.6 -8.7
  Nov 30, 2021 34   Indiana W 112-110 2OT 43%     4 - 3 +10.8 +15.5 -5.2
  Dec 04, 2021 31   @ Florida St. L 73-81 22%    
  Dec 07, 2021 6   Villanova L 69-80 16%    
  Dec 11, 2021 128   @ Georgetown W 80-78 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 313   Lehigh W 85-66 96%    
  Dec 21, 2021 185   Cornell W 89-78 85%    
  Dec 29, 2021 88   Georgia Tech W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 01, 2022 40   Virginia L 64-65 48%    
  Jan 05, 2022 120   @ Miami (FL) W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 08, 2022 81   @ Wake Forest L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 11, 2022 200   Pittsburgh W 77-65 86%    
  Jan 15, 2022 31   Florida St. L 76-78 42%    
  Jan 18, 2022 50   Clemson W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 22, 2022 5   @ Duke L 72-86 10%    
  Jan 25, 2022 200   @ Pittsburgh W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 29, 2022 81   Wake Forest W 79-76 62%    
  Feb 02, 2022 64   @ North Carolina St. L 76-79 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 36   Louisville L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 08, 2022 125   @ Boston College W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 27   @ Virginia Tech L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 19, 2022 125   Boston College W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 22, 2022 63   @ Notre Dame L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 5   Duke L 75-83 24%    
  Feb 28, 2022 43   @ North Carolina L 81-87 29%    
  Mar 05, 2022 120   Miami (FL) W 81-74 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.7 0.9 0.1 6.4 4th
5th 0.4 2.7 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 4.2 1.7 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.7 3.8 4.4 1.0 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.3 3.2 5.4 1.7 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.2 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.1 5.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.0 4.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 15th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.2 7.0 9.9 12.9 13.6 13.0 12.1 8.4 6.5 4.3 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 69.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1
16-4 65.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 23.3% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 94.8% 17.3% 77.5% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.7%
16-4 1.1% 98.1% 12.3% 85.9% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
15-5 2.4% 94.6% 8.1% 86.5% 8.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 94.1%
14-6 4.3% 81.2% 8.6% 72.6% 9.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.8 79.4%
13-7 6.5% 57.8% 3.1% 54.7% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.8 56.4%
12-8 8.4% 33.6% 3.6% 30.0% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.6 31.2%
11-9 12.1% 14.9% 1.6% 13.3% 10.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 10.3 13.6%
10-10 13.0% 5.4% 1.1% 4.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 12.3 4.3%
9-11 13.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.4 0.8%
8-12 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-13 9.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8
6-14 7.0% 7.0
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 2.4% 2.4
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 16.9% 1.9% 15.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.3 2.3 2.7 3.2 4.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 83.1 15.3%