Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#125
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#155
Pace64.1#305
Improvement-0.9#254

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#135
First Shot+1.2#140
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#187
Layup/Dunks+3.8#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#253
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement-0.7#259

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#122
First Shot-4.1#302
After Offensive Rebounds+5.6#1
Layups/Dunks+0.5#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
Freethrows-0.2#200
Improvement-0.2#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.5 10.3 11.0
.500 or above 21.7% 32.3% 13.3%
.500 or above in Conference 15.6% 25.0% 8.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.6% 9.9% 23.7%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Home) - 44.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 9
Quad 22 - 74 - 15
Quad 33 - 27 - 18
Quad 47 - 013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 230   Dartmouth W 73-57 80%     1 - 0 +9.7 +6.9 +4.3
  Nov 12, 2021 343   Holy Cross W 85-55 95%     2 - 0 +13.8 +5.5 +8.9
  Nov 14, 2021 237   Fairfield W 72-64 81%     3 - 0 +1.2 -1.8 +3.3
  Nov 17, 2021 78   @ Rhode Island L 49-57 25%     3 - 1 +1.9 -11.9 +12.6
  Nov 20, 2021 57   Utah L 61-68 30%     3 - 2 +1.0 -5.0 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2021 78   Rhode Island L 65-71 34%     3 - 3 +0.9 +4.8 -4.8
  Nov 26, 2021 333   Columbia W 73-60 94%     4 - 3 -1.7 -2.3 +1.7
  Nov 29, 2021 225   South Florida W 64-49 79%     5 - 3 +9.2 +4.6 +7.3
  Dec 03, 2021 63   Notre Dame L 68-70 44%    
  Dec 11, 2021 56   @ Saint Louis L 65-74 22%    
  Dec 13, 2021 298   Albany W 72-59 88%    
  Dec 22, 2021 81   @ Wake Forest L 65-72 26%    
  Dec 29, 2021 31   Florida St. L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 01, 2022 43   North Carolina L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 08, 2022 200   @ Pittsburgh W 64-63 56%    
  Jan 12, 2022 88   Georgia Tech L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 15, 2022 50   @ Clemson L 60-69 20%    
  Jan 19, 2022 36   @ Louisville L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 22, 2022 27   Virginia Tech L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 26, 2022 43   @ North Carolina L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 29, 2022 200   Pittsburgh W 67-60 75%    
  Feb 01, 2022 40   @ Virginia L 52-63 17%    
  Feb 08, 2022 71   Syracuse L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 12, 2022 5   Duke L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 16, 2022 63   @ Notre Dame L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 19, 2022 71   @ Syracuse L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 23, 2022 64   @ North Carolina St. L 65-73 26%    
  Feb 26, 2022 50   Clemson L 63-66 39%    
  Mar 02, 2022 120   Miami (FL) W 71-68 58%    
  Mar 05, 2022 88   @ Georgia Tech L 63-70 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.2 1.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.4 0.1 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.2 2.6 0.8 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.2 5.0 2.2 0.1 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 3.1 0.4 10.3 11th
12th 0.2 2.0 5.6 4.9 0.6 0.0 13.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.5 6.4 5.1 1.3 0.1 16.0 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 15.6 14th
15th 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.2 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 10.5 15th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.0 7.5 10.1 13.3 13.6 13.7 11.7 8.7 6.4 4.3 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 32.4% 0.0    0.0
15-5 37.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.1% 64.7% 64.7% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 64.7%
15-5 0.3% 84.1% 7.2% 76.8% 9.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.8%
14-6 0.7% 26.2% 0.6% 25.6% 9.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 25.8%
13-7 1.5% 17.2% 1.5% 15.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 16.0%
12-8 2.3% 5.6% 1.8% 3.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2 3.9%
11-9 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.2 1.5%
10-10 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 9.2 0.0 0.0 6.4
9-11 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 8.6
8-12 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-13 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 13.7
6-14 13.6% 13.6
5-15 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-16 10.1% 10.1
3-17 7.5% 7.5
2-18 4.0% 4.0
1-19 1.5% 1.5
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.1% 0.2% 0.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%