Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#148
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#137
Pace65.9#248
Improvement+0.7#101

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#229
First Shot-2.1#256
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks+3.3#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#351
Freethrows+0.8#114
Improvement+1.8#6

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#98
First Shot+2.3#104
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#146
Layups/Dunks+0.5#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#275
Freethrows+3.3#10
Improvement-1.1#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 2.2% 5.4% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 2.2% 5.4% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Home) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 22 - 52 - 13
Quad 35 - 37 - 16
Quad 46 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 106   Cornell W 79-77 49%     1 - 0 +3.3 -10.8 +13.7
  Nov 11, 2022 223   Detroit Mercy W 70-66 74%     2 - 0 -1.7 -10.2 +8.6
  Nov 14, 2022 283   Maine L 64-69 83%     2 - 1 -14.2 -10.1 -4.4
  Nov 18, 2022 126   George Mason W 71-56 44%     3 - 1 +17.4 +1.2 +16.5
  Nov 20, 2022 187   Tarleton St. L 54-70 58%     3 - 2 -17.0 -13.2 -5.5
  Nov 21, 2022 147   Wyoming W 59-48 50%     4 - 2 +12.0 -6.2 +19.9
  Nov 27, 2022 192   Rhode Island W 53-49 68%     5 - 2 +0.1 -18.8 +19.0
  Nov 30, 2022 91   @ Nebraska L 67-88 25%     5 - 3 -12.9 +8.0 -23.3
  Dec 03, 2022 22   @ Duke L 59-75 9%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +0.2 +0.9 -2.5
  Dec 06, 2022 280   New Hampshire L 71-74 OT 82%     5 - 5 -11.9 -5.9 -5.9
  Dec 10, 2022 66   Villanova L 56-77 24%     5 - 6 -12.6 -10.6 -3.3
  Dec 13, 2022 340   Stonehill W 63-56 91%     6 - 6 -6.8 -18.2 +11.1
  Dec 21, 2022 46   Virginia Tech W 70-65 OT 26%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +12.6 +1.1 +11.6
  Dec 31, 2022 76   @ Syracuse L 65-79 20%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -4.3 -4.6 +0.3
  Jan 03, 2023 128   Notre Dame W 70-63 55%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +6.7 -0.1 +7.4
  Jan 07, 2023 22   Duke L 64-65 18%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +9.8 +1.1 +8.7
  Jan 11, 2023 35   @ Miami (FL) L 72-88 11%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -1.5 +8.1 -10.6
  Jan 14, 2023 70   Wake Forest L 63-85 34%     8 - 10 2 - 5 -16.7 -8.8 -8.3
  Jan 17, 2023 25   @ North Carolina L 64-72 9%     8 - 11 2 - 6 +7.9 +1.9 +5.5
  Jan 21, 2023 128   @ Notre Dame W 84-72 35%     9 - 11 3 - 6 +17.0 +12.7 +4.8
  Jan 25, 2023 261   Louisville W 75-65 80%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +2.1 +6.6 -3.5
  Jan 28, 2023 17   @ Virginia L 57-76 8%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -2.1 -3.7 +0.3
  Jan 31, 2023 55   Clemson L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 04, 2023 76   Syracuse L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 08, 2023 46   @ Virginia Tech L 60-72 12%    
  Feb 11, 2023 39   North Carolina St. L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 14, 2023 67   @ Pittsburgh L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 18, 2023 133   @ Florida St. L 67-71 34%    
  Feb 22, 2023 17   Virginia L 56-67 17%    
  Feb 28, 2023 70   @ Wake Forest L 67-77 17%    
  Mar 04, 2023 158   Georgia Tech W 67-64 62%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.8 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.4 2.7 0.2 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 3.6 11.8 7.8 1.2 0.0 24.5 11th
12th 1.0 11.3 21.6 12.3 2.0 0.1 48.3 12th
13th 3.0 6.3 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.1 13th
14th 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
Total 5.3 18.2 27.8 25.6 14.9 6.1 1.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.3% 2.5% 2.5% 13.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 1.8
9-11 6.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 6.0
8-12 14.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.8
7-13 25.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 25.5
6-14 27.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 27.6
5-15 18.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 18.1
4-16 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.3