Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#55
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#30
Pace69.1#149
Improvement+1.1#57

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#64
First Shot+5.6#39
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#266
Layup/Dunks+1.1#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#111
Freethrows+2.6#24
Improvement-0.3#249

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#51
First Shot+5.3#39
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#206
Layups/Dunks+5.5#18
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#190
Freethrows-0.1#199
Improvement+1.4#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 3.5% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.5% 52.5% 35.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.1% 49.3% 32.1%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 9.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 49.5% 56.6% 32.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.0% 12.0% 12.1%
First Round41.3% 46.4% 29.4%
Second Round17.5% 20.2% 11.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.6% 5.3% 2.9%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 70.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 4
Quad 24 - 18 - 5
Quad 36 - 114 - 5
Quad 410 - 223 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 296   The Citadel W 80-69 96%     1 - 0 +0.8 +3.2 -2.3
  Nov 11, 2022 225   @ South Carolina L 58-60 82%     1 - 1 -2.4 -14.5 +12.1
  Nov 15, 2022 298   South Carolina Upstate W 81-70 96%     2 - 1 +0.7 +11.2 -9.7
  Nov 18, 2022 254   Bellarmine W 76-66 93%     3 - 1 +2.5 +7.6 -3.9
  Nov 21, 2022 333   Loyola Maryland W 72-41 97%     4 - 1 +18.0 -2.8 +22.0
  Nov 25, 2022 31   Iowa L 71-74 39%     4 - 2 +9.2 +2.1 +7.1
  Nov 26, 2022 221   California W 67-59 87%     5 - 2 +5.1 +5.8 +0.7
  Nov 29, 2022 42   Penn St. W 101-94 2OT 55%     6 - 2 +15.2 +13.9 +0.1
  Dec 02, 2022 70   Wake Forest W 77-57 66%     7 - 2 1 - 0 +25.3 +1.8 +23.0
  Dec 07, 2022 141   Towson W 80-75 84%     8 - 2 +4.0 +11.5 -7.2
  Dec 10, 2022 220   Loyola Chicago L 58-76 87%     8 - 3 -20.9 -15.5 -5.5
  Dec 17, 2022 116   Richmond W 85-57 74%     9 - 3 +30.8 +15.9 +15.3
  Dec 21, 2022 158   @ Georgia Tech W 79-66 72%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +16.3 +7.2 +8.7
  Dec 30, 2022 39   North Carolina St. W 78-64 54%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +22.4 +7.8 +14.5
  Jan 04, 2023 47   @ Virginia Tech W 68-65 37%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +16.0 -2.3 +18.1
  Jan 07, 2023 67   @ Pittsburgh W 75-74 45%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +11.8 +11.9 +0.0
  Jan 11, 2023 261   Louisville W 83-70 94%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +5.1 +9.4 -3.9
  Jan 14, 2023 22   Duke W 72-64 45%     15 - 3 7 - 0 +18.8 +7.5 +11.7
  Jan 17, 2023 70   @ Wake Forest L 77-87 45%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +0.7 +3.6 -2.5
  Jan 21, 2023 47   Virginia Tech W 51-50 57%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +8.6 -15.7 +24.3
  Jan 24, 2023 158   Georgia Tech W 72-51 86%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +18.9 +5.7 +15.0
  Jan 28, 2023 133   @ Florida St. W 82-81 67%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +5.8 +3.6 +2.2
  Jan 31, 2023 148   @ Boston College W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 04, 2023 35   Miami (FL) W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 11, 2023 25   @ North Carolina L 71-77 26%    
  Feb 15, 2023 133   Florida St. W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 18, 2023 261   @ Louisville W 75-63 86%    
  Feb 22, 2023 76   Syracuse W 74-69 70%    
  Feb 25, 2023 39   @ North Carolina St. L 72-76 33%    
  Feb 28, 2023 17   @ Virginia L 61-68 24%    
  Mar 04, 2023 128   Notre Dame W 76-66 83%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 15 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.2 10.4 19.7 13.3 4.3 0.6 49.5 1st
2nd 0.4 7.5 15.1 5.8 0.5 29.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.3 2.2 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.1 1.7 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.8 1.8 0.2 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 0.0 0.3 2.1 8.0 17.8 27.6 25.5 13.8 4.3 0.6 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
18-2 100.0% 4.3    4.2 0.1
17-3 96.4% 13.3    11.4 1.9 0.0
16-4 77.1% 19.7    10.9 8.0 0.8 0.0
15-5 37.6% 10.4    1.9 4.7 3.2 0.6 0.0
14-6 6.8% 1.2    0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 49.5% 49.5 28.9 14.8 4.4 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.6% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 4.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 4.3% 96.7% 10.6% 86.1% 6.9 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 96.3%
17-3 13.8% 83.4% 7.2% 76.3% 8.4 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.9 3.5 1.5 0.3 2.3 82.2%
16-4 25.5% 62.7% 6.7% 56.1% 9.5 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.8 6.0 2.6 0.0 9.5 60.1%
15-5 27.6% 39.0% 5.9% 33.1% 10.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.3 4.5 0.1 16.9 35.2%
14-6 17.8% 20.8% 4.8% 15.9% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 14.1 16.7%
13-7 8.0% 8.9% 3.6% 5.3% 11.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 7.3 5.5%
12-8 2.1% 4.3% 2.4% 1.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0%
11-9 0.3% 0.3
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 47.5% 6.0% 41.5% 9.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 3.9 7.1 10.3 12.6 10.4 0.6 0.0 52.5 44.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 4.6 10.5 36.8 40.4 10.5 1.8