Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +7.5 79
Results Rating +8.3 71
Consistency 0.20 359
Pace 75.4 26
Improvement +4.1 48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 74 C+ B B+ C B
Defense B- 94 C+ B- B+ B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 182 B- 62% 86 +1.6 115
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 344 C 39% 146 -3.4 336
Three Pointers 50% 24 C- 33% 247 +3.6 67
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 39 C +0.5 147
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 122
Second Chance B- 32.7% 105 B+ 1.16 38 B 0.38 55
Opponents' Steals B 8.3% 72
Other Turnovers B+ 5.6% 22
Turnovers B+ 13.9% 28
Freethrows C 0.31 176 C+ 73% 164 C 0.23 157
Total Offense B- +4.6 74

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 284 C+ 10.2% 130
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 10% 355 D+ 6.4% 275
Three Pointers C 84% 196 D 1.4% 302
Total C- 54% 209 C+ 5.3% 155


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 325 C+ 56% 110 -4.4 49
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 143 C 38% 182 +0.3 219
Three Pointers 46% 42 C 34% 204 +3.0 316
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 82 C -0.6 158
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 136
Second Chance C 30.0% 173 B+ 0.90 28 B- 0.27 69
Turnovers from Steals B 11.1% 61
Other Turnovers B 8.5% 51
Turnovers B+ 19.6% 35
Freethrows B- 0.27 82 C+ 72% 133 B- 0.19 79
Total Defense B- +2.9 94

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 254 A- 17.7% 21
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 186 C+ 6.2% 87
Three Pointers D+ 86% 254 D+ 0.4% 291
Total D+ 60% 272 B 7.2% 57

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.1 17 18.1 302
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 160 0.16 137
Consistency 0.15 346 0.15 331
Improvement +3.2 45 +1.0 133

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 90 78 66
Results Rating Rank 93 74 60
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 11 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1% 2% 0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 10.9
.500 or above 70% 100% 44%
.500 or above in Conference 66% 100% 38%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 43 - 10
Quad 24 - 57 - 15
Quad 32 - 09 - 15
Quad 47 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 347 Alcorn St. W 108 - 76 98% +17  91% 1 - 0 A- +16 A+ +17 A- B- A+ D+ -3 F D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 311 Alabama St. W 101 - 64 96% +20  99% 2 - 0 A+ +25 A- +10 D+ A+ D+ A +11 A D A-
 Tue, Nov 11 3 @Florida L 76 - 78 4% -1  34% 2 - 1 A+ +26 B- +5 C- B- A A+ +22 A A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 230 Tennessee Martin W 87 - 73 90% +6  79% 3 - 1 B- +7 B +6 B+ C- A+ C -0 F F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 262 Georgia Southern W 98 - 72 93% +14  99% 4 - 1 A- +17 C +1 C- C+ A A+ +12 B A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 330 Cal St. Bakersfield W 89 - 59 97% +13  85% 5 - 1 A- +16 D -6 D- B F+ A+ +17 A D A+
 Fri, Nov 28 34 Texas A&M L 59 - 95 27% -22  0% 5 - 2 F -22 F -15 F B- D+ D+ -5 D F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 29 Georgia L 73 - 107 33% -19  5% 5 - 3 F -22 D- -8 D+ C A F -11 D- F A-
 Sat, Dec 6 6 Houston L 67 - 82 9% -10  0% 5 - 4 B- +7 C+ +3 C+ A+ F B +4 F+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 202 Massachusetts L 95 - 103 82% -5  18% 5 - 5 D -10 B- +4 B+ D- B F -13 F F D+
 Tue, Dec 16 77 @Dayton L 69 - 97 38% -13  1% 5 - 6 F+ -17 D- -6 D+ C- F+ F+ -8 C B D+
 Fri, Dec 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 96 - 49 99% +29  97% 6 - 6 A +21 B- +5 D+ C A- A+ +13 B- B A+
 Mon, Dec 22 294 Jacksonville W 87 - 63 95% +18  97% 7 - 6 B+ +13 A +13 C+ A- B C+ +2 C A+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 25 @North Carolina L 66 - 79 16% -7  13% 7 - 7 0 - 1 B- +5 C- -2 D A B- B+ +7 A C+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 2 Duke L 87 - 91 8% -0  49% 7 - 8 0 - 2 A +19 A+ +24 A+ A+ C+ D -5 C- B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 30 North Carolina St. L 69 - 113 35% -24  0% 7 - 9 0 - 3 F -32 F+ -9 F A A- F -19 F F C-
 Tue, Jan 13 75 @Syracuse L 86 - 94 38% -1  44% 7 - 10 0 - 4 C+ +3 A- +11 B+ A+ C F+ -8 F C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 17 68 Wake Forest L 68 - 69 58% +3  70% 7 - 11 0 - 5 C+ +4 C- -2 D A F B+ +6 A- B F
 Tue, Jan 20 35 @Miami (FL) W 65 - 63 19% +0  46% 8 - 11 1 - 5 A +19 C- -2 B F C+ A+ +21 A+ A A-
 Sat, Jan 24 38 @SMU L 80 - 83 20% -4  12% 8 - 12 1 - 6 B+ +13 A- +11 B- B+ A+ B- +2 B A- F+
 Wed, Jan 28 73 California W 63 - 61 60% +5  78% 9 - 12 2 - 6 B- +7 D- -7 C F A+ A+ +14 A+ B- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 66 Stanford W 88 - 80 57% +7  72% 10 - 12 3 - 6 B+ +14 A+ +17 A+ A+ A+ C- -3 D+ B+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 86 @Notre Dame W 82 - 79 42% +8  95% 11 - 12 4 - 6 B+ +13 B+ +8 C+ C+ A+ B +5 A A C+
 Tue, Feb 10 21 Virginia L 58 - 61 25% +2  68% 11 - 13 4 - 7 B+ +12 F+ -8 F D+ A+ A+ +20 A+ C+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 55 @Virginia Tech W 92 - 69 30% +3  40% 12 - 13 5 - 7 A+ +36 A+ +30 A+ D- A+ A- +8 C+ A+ C+
 Tue, Feb 17 139 Boston College W 80 - 72 81% -7  11% 13 - 13 6 - 7 B- +6 A- +11 B A- A- D+ -4 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 39 @Clemson W 70 - 65 20% +1  65% 14 - 13 7 - 7 A +21 A+ +17 A+ A+ B B+ +6 C+ A+ C-
 Tue, Feb 24 35 Miami (FL) L 73 - 83 37% -4  6% 14 - 14 7 - 8 C +1 C +1 B- C- B C -0 A- F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 145 @Georgia Tech W 80 - 71 64% +8  99% 15 - 14 8 - 8 B+ +13 A +14 B A+ C+ C -1 D A+ F+
 Wed, Mar 4 96 @Pittsburgh L 74 - 75 45%
 Sat, Mar 7 38 SMU L 83 - 86 39%
Totals 16 - 15 9 - 9 +8 B- +5 A- C B B- +3 C- C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- C C- C 39% 20% 50% B C+ B- B+ B B+ C C+ C B- C+ C C C 32% 21% 46% B- C+ C B+ B- B+ B- C+ B-
1.15 62% 39% 33% +1 +1 1.06 33% 1.2 .38 14% .31 73% .23 1.05 56% 38% 34% -1 -1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 20% .27 72% .22
Nov
4		 Alcorn St. A+ B+ D- A- B+ 54% 5% 40% A- A- C- A- B- A+ B D- C+ D+ C+ F F F 30% 39% 32% A+ F D D D A+ F A+ F
1.42 71% 33% 39% +10 +3 1.28 37% 1.4 .50 11% .37 68% .25 1.00 54% 53% 50% +12 -3 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 28% .49 59% .29
Nov
7		 Alabama St. A- A- B- F+ D 27% 8% 65% C+ D+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F A A- A+ B- A+ 33% 27% 40% B A C+ F D A- D+ A+ B-
1.29 71% 40% 30% 0 +1 1.03 44% 1.9 .82 19% .22 93% .21 0.82 44% 13% 32% -13 -1 0.75 29% 1.1 .31 22% .31 58% .18
Nov
11		 Florida B- D F+ F D- 39% 11% 50% A+ C- D A+ B- A A A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+ 41% 6% 53% C- A A- A+ A+ A+ F B F
0.94 46% 29% 26% -12 +1 0.81 16% 1.1 .18 12% .35 84% .30 0.96 76% 33% 19% -5 +2 0.96 38% 0.5 .18 22% .51 69% .35
Nov
18		 Tennessee Martin B B- F C+ B- 45% 9% 46% A+ B+ C D+ C- A+ C F D- C B+ F F F 31% 18% 51% C F D+ F F A+ F F F
1.15 64% 20% 35% +1 +2 1.09 33% 0.9 .29 8% .33 57% .19 0.97 50% 63% 39% +6 0 1.13 37% 1.2 .43 34% .42 76% .32
Nov
21		 Georgia Southern C B F C C- 28% 3% 68% C+ C- D- A+ C+ A B- F D+ A+ B+ D+ A- B 30% 13% 57% B- B A- A+ A+ A D F F
1.18 65% 0% 34% +1 +2 1.07 29% 1.3 .38 13% .40 66% .26 0.87 47% 43% 28% -8 0 0.88 21% 0.7 .14 20% .36 88% .32
Nov
25		 Cal St. Bakersfield D B- A+ F F 44% 2% 54% A+ D- C+ B+ B F+ A A A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 31% 20% F+ A D- C- D A+ F A+ D
1.10 63% 100% 24% -5 +3 0.98 38% 1.2 .46 21% .45 79% .36 0.73 55% 21% 11% -14 -1 0.73 36% 1.0 .36 35% .49 62% .30
Nov
28		 Texas A&M F F F F F 30% 14% 56% B- F B C B- D+ C F F D+ B+ A+ F D 41% 7% 52% C D F A- F A+ F D- F
0.78 41% 13% 22% -19 0 0.65 34% 0.9 .31 21% .29 47% .13 1.26 52% 0% 52% +9 +2 1.23 52% 0.8 .43 21% .42 80% .34
Dec
2		 Georgia D- F+ C D D 46% 14% 40% B+ D+ D+ B C A C+ F D- F F F C D 45% 5% 50% D- D- F F F A- C C- C
0.93 46% 38% 30% -8 +1 0.89 28% 1.0 .28 14% .27 50% .13 1.37 73% 67% 34% +9 +2 1.24 52% 1.4 .72 18% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Houston C+ C F F D+ 41% 5% 55% A+ C+ A+ A A+ F B- B+ B B C+ F F D- 38% 20% 42% F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+
0.97 56% 0% 25% -10 +2 0.86 41% 1.1 .46 27% .36 72% .26 1.18 62% 55% 43% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.6 .21 19% .16 78% .12
Dec
13		 Massachusetts B- A+ F C- B 42% 7% 52% A- B+ A F D- B D- A+ C- F C A- F F 49% 17% 34% F+ F D+ F F D+ C+ D- C-
1.17 76% 25% 32% +5 +2 1.17 38% 0.5 .20 15% .33 83% .27 1.26 59% 30% 50% +7 +1 1.19 33% 1.6 .53 17% .31 71% .22
Dec
16		 Dayton D- F+ F B- D 35% 19% 46% B- D+ B- F C- F+ A+ C A+ F+ F A+ B C 40% 13% 48% C C A D- B D+ F F F
0.88 47% 22% 36% -5 0 0.92 33% 0.8 .26 26% .46 70% .33 1.24 74% 17% 30% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.3 .28 15% .71 85% .61
Dec
19		 Mississippi Valley B- A D- D- D+ 33% 11% 56% B- D+ B- D- C A- D+ B+ C A+ F B A+ B- 24% 37% 39% C- B- D+ A+ B A+ F A+ F+
1.29 74% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.09 41% 1.1 .46 13% .37 79% .29 0.66 70% 33% 19% -8 -3 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 34% .45 55% .24
Dec
22		 Jacksonville A A+ D D+ C+ 29% 12% 59% C C+ A+ D+ A- B A A A+ C+ F F A+ D+ 15% 32% 53% A+ C B+ A+ A+ F B C B
1.34 80% 33% 33% +5 +1 1.14 46% 0.9 .40 12% .46 77% .35 0.97 88% 59% 18% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.6 .14 11% .24 71% .17
Dec
30		 North Carolina C- F B+ F F+ 26% 13% 61% B+ D B- A+ A B- B- F C- B+ C- B- A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A D- A C+ D+ B- C- B-
0.95 36% 43% 27% -11 0 0.80 28% 1.3 .35 13% .23 57% .13 1.14 65% 38% 27% -3 +1 0.98 39% 0.9 .37 11% .32 70% .23
Jan
3		 Duke A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 32% 16% 52% B+ A+ A- A+ A+ C+ A C- A- D B- F F D+ 37% 7% 57% B- C- C B+ B A+ F F F
1.25 56% 50% 46% +11 0 1.24 30% 1.8 .53 19% .28 69% .19 1.30 59% 67% 42% +9 +2 1.24 40% 1.1 .44 22% .46 92% .42
Jan
10		 North Carolina St. F+ C- F F F 47% 8% 45% A- F F A+ A A- A+ C A+ F F C+ F F 22% 29% 49% A+ F F+ F F C- C- C- D+
0.89 54% 0% 22% -13 +2 0.80 15% 2.5 .38 17% .45 69% .31 1.46 77% 35% 55% +19 -2 1.36 37% 1.8 .67 12% .34 78% .26
Jan
13		 Syracuse A- C+ F B B 45% 12% 43% B+ B+ A- A+ A+ C A+ C+ A+ F+ F F F F 39% 13% 48% D+ F F+ A+ C+ A- A A- A
1.18 57% 17% 36% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.4 .55 19% .46 74% .34 1.29 81% 71% 42% +19 +1 1.43 38% 0.8 .31 19% .25 60% .15
Jan
17		 Wake Forest C- A- B+ F D+ 21% 21% 58% D- D A+ C- A F A A+ A+ B+ B F A+ B+ 23% 23% 54% A A- A F+ B F A+ B- A+
1.03 67% 44% 24% -6 -1 0.88 46% 1.0 .46 24% .38 89% .34 1.05 54% 62% 27% -1 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 8% .20 75% .15
Jan
20		 Miami (FL) C- C- A B B 41% 27% 33% C+ B F F F C+ C+ B B- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% B A+ A+ D- A A- A- D B
0.94 55% 46% 38% +3 -1 1.06 13% 0.5 .07 19% .27 73% .20 0.91 58% 17% 23% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.2 .31 20% .27 73% .20
Jan
24		 SMU A- A+ F C B- 30% 21% 48% C+ B- A+ D+ B+ A+ C- D- D+ B- C+ F B- B+ 34% 17% 49% D B B- A A- F+ F C F+
1.18 71% 25% 33% +1 -1 1.02 42% 0.9 .37 12% .25 67% .17 1.22 61% 56% 35% +4 0 1.11 34% 0.8 .29 10% .38 74% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 California D- A C F B- 27% 29% 44% F C C- F F A+ B F C- A+ A- A+ B+ A+ 19% 31% 50% A+ A+ A- F B- B- A- B+ A
0.93 67% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.91 27% 0.3 .07 10% .34 52% .18 0.90 50% 25% 31% -8 -3 0.81 21% 1.3 .26 16% .26 73% .19
Jan
31		 Stanford A+ A A+ C- A+ 48% 11% 41% A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ C- D- F D- F+ 25% 24% 51% A+ D+ C- A B+ C+ A+ A A+
1.27 68% 80% 32% +8 +2 1.22 24% 2.0 .48 13% .48 79% .38 1.16 64% 46% 39% +8 -1 1.15 36% 0.8 .28 16% .16 67% .10
Feb
7		 Notre Dame B+ F F A C 29% 12% 59% B C+ D+ A C+ A+ B B- B B C+ D- A+ A 33% 20% 47% C- A C A+ A C+ F A D+
1.13 47% 0% 40% -2 0 0.98 21% 1.2 .26 7% .33 77% .25 1.09 61% 45% 27% -3 0 0.96 33% 0.6 .21 17% .40 63% .25
Feb
10		 Virginia F+ D F F F 33% 17% 50% B+ F C- D+ D+ A+ A C- A A+ A+ C- A A+ 24% 18% 58% A A+ A F C+ A A+ A+ A+
0.85 47% 22% 19% -17 0 0.67 24% 0.8 .20 12% .37 73% .27 0.90 42% 44% 28% -8 -1 0.84 32% 1.3 .42 21% .15 63% .09
Feb
14		 Virginia Tech A+ B A+ A+ A+ 46% 12% 42% A A+ F A+ D- A+ B C- B A- A+ B- F C+ 43% 24% 33% C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B F+ C+
1.42 63% 83% 55% +20 +2 1.46 17% 1.3 .22 8% .29 71% .20 1.07 43% 33% 56% +3 0 1.08 23% 0.6 .13 15% .27 80% .22
Feb
17		 Boston College A- D A+ C B 31% 16% 53% C+ B B- A A- A- A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ D F F 25% 36% 38% A+ F A+ B+ A+ F A- A+ A+
1.20 50% 57% 33% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 12% .59 77% .46 1.08 50% 45% 48% +8 -3 1.13 20% 0.9 .18 10% .22 23% .05
Feb
21		 Clemson A+ A F A A+ 37% 9% 53% A A+ C- A+ A+ B B A+ A B+ D+ B- C- C+ 30% 11% 60% B- C+ C- A+ A+ C- A- F C+
1.17 69% 0% 39% +5 +1 1.14 21% 2.2 .46 17% .32 88% .28 1.09 64% 40% 36% +4 +1 1.11 30% 0.0 .00 13% .29 87% .25
Feb
24		 Miami (FL) C B A+ D- C+ 33% 18% 49% B- B- C- C- C- B B- C C+ C A- B+ D A- 40% 19% 40% B A- F F F A+ D+ A- C
1.03 61% 50% 30% 0 0 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 17% .27 69% .19 1.17 53% 33% 37% -1 0 1.00 50% 1.6 .78 25% .36 63% .23
Feb
28		 Georgia Tech A A D+ F+ B- 41% 13% 46% A- B A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ C C- B- F D- 21% 19% 60% B- D D- A+ A+ F+ D D+ D-
1.24 68% 33% 29% 0 +1 1.04 49% 1.0 .49 15% .48 73% .35 1.10 60% 33% 41% +6 -1 1.13 37% 0.3 .10 14% .34 74% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 1.5 1.5 6th
7th 1.0 9.0 10.0 7th
8th 23.6 7.6 31.2 8th
9th 6.2 19.2 25.5 9th
10th 21.7 4.0 25.7 10th
11th 5.6 5.6 11th
12th 0.4 0.4 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 34.0 47.9 18.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 18.1% 4.2% 0.2% 4.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 17.4 4.0%
9-9 47.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 47.8 0.2%
8-10 34.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 33.9 0.0%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.1% 0.8% 11.1 99.1 0.8%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 42.2% 10.4 4.4 17.8 20.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 16.2% 11.1 14.5 1.7
Lose Out 17.2%