IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.5	#111
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.1	#163

Pace	80.8	#7
Improvement	-6.9	#365

Offense
Total Offense	+2.0	#119

First Shot	+0.8	#156
After Offensive Rebound	+1.2	#93

Layup/Dunks	+1.2	#136
2 Pt Jumpshots	-3.9	#356
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.9	#62
Freethrows	-0.5	#216

Improvement	-1.8	#319

Defense
Total Defense	+1.5	#122

First Shot	-0.9	#196
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.4	#26

Layups/Dunks	+0.1	#171
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.8	#123
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.2	#237
Freethrows	-0.7	#237

Improvement	-5.0	#362

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.8%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.7%	0.2%
Average Seed	10.3	10.1	10.3

.500 or above	7.7%	20.2%	6.7%
.500 or above in Conference	7.0%	18.7%	6.1%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	22.3%	8.6%	23.3%

First Four	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	0.2%	0.7%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 6	0 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 6	1 - 12
Quad 2	2 - 6	4 - 18
Quad 3	1 - 2	5 - 19
Quad 4	7 - 0	12 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Tue, Nov 4	337 Alcorn St.	W	108-76	94%	1 - 0			+18.0	+20.7	-5.1
Fri, Nov 7	282 Alabama St.	W	101-64	88%	2 - 0			+27.5	+11.1	+12.5
Tue, Nov 11	12 @Florida	L	76-78	6%	2 - 1			+19.0	+3.9	+15.3
Tue, Nov 18	214 Tennessee Martin	W	87-73	82%	3 - 1			+7.6	+5.7	+0.9
Fri, Nov 21	213 Georgia Southern	W	98-72	82%	4 - 1			+19.7	+4.5	+11.0
Tue, Nov 25	307 Cal St. Bakersfield	W	89-59	91%	5 - 1			+18.8	-0.3	+15.0
Fri, Nov 28	43 Texas A&M	L	59-95	21%	5 - 2			-24.1	-13.3	-8.2
Tue, Dec 2	22 Georgia	L	73-107	18%	5 - 3			-21.0	-2.1	-15.3
Sat, Dec 6	8 Houston	L	67-82	7%	5 - 4			+5.3	+5.0	+0.1
Sat, Dec 13	164 Massachusetts	L	95-103	65%	5 - 5			-8.4	+10.7	-18.1
Tue, Dec 16	68 @Dayton	L	69-97	23%	5 - 6			-16.9	-4.2	-9.9
Fri, Dec 19	365 Mississippi Valley	W	96-49	99%	6 - 6			+20.9	+7.0	+11.2
Mon, Dec 22	317 Jacksonville	W	87-63	92%	7 - 6			+11.7	+15.5	-1.9
Tue, Dec 30	21 @North Carolina	L	72-88	7%
Sat, Jan 3	5 Duke	L	72-87	7%
Sat, Jan 10	28 North Carolina St.	L	80-88	22%
Tue, Jan 13	75 @Syracuse	L	77-84	26%
Sat, Jan 17	59 Wake Forest	L	81-83	41%
Tue, Jan 20	36 @Miami (FL)	L	75-88	12%
Sat, Jan 24	38 @SMU	L	77-90	12%
Wed, Jan 28	67 California	L	78-80	44%
Sat, Jan 31	87 Stanford	L	81-82	50%
Sat, Feb 7	64 @Notre Dame	L	72-80	23%
Tue, Feb 10	25 Virginia	L	76-85	21%
Sat, Feb 14	74 @Virginia Tech	L	78-85	26%
Tue, Feb 17	158 Boston College	W	77-71	72%
Sat, Feb 21	41 @Clemson	L	69-81	14%
Tue, Feb 24	36 Miami (FL)	L	78-85	27%
Sat, Feb 28	126 @Georgia Tech	L	79-81	43%
Wed, Mar 4	84 @Pittsburgh	L	74-80	29%
Sat, Mar 7	38 SMU	L	80-87	28%
Projected Record					12 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st															0.0						0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.0							0.1	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.3	4th
5th											0.1	0.2	0.1								0.4	5th
6th										0.0	0.4	0.2	0.0								0.7	6th
7th									0.0	0.5	0.7	0.1									1.3	7th
8th								0.0	0.2	1.2	0.5	0.0									1.9	8th
9th								0.1	1.1	1.3	0.2	0.0									2.8	9th
10th							0.0	0.8	2.2	0.7	0.0										3.7	10th
11th							0.3	2.6	2.2	0.2											5.3	11th
12th						0.1	2.1	3.7	0.9	0.0											6.7	12th
13th					0.0	1.2	4.9	2.5	0.1												8.7	13th
14th					0.6	4.5	5.1	0.8	0.0												11.0	14th
15th				0.3	3.6	6.7	2.3	0.1													13.0	15th
16th		0.0	0.3	3.0	7.5	4.2	0.4	0.0													15.4	16th
17th		0.4	3.3	6.8	4.9	0.8	0.0														16.2	17th
18th	0.6	3.1	4.9	3.1	0.6	0.0															12.4	18th

Total	0.6	3.5	8.5	13.3	17.2	17.5	15.0	10.7	6.8	3.9	1.9	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%
14-4	12.5%	0.0			0.0
13-5	0.0%
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%															0.0
14-4	0.0%													0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0
13-5	0.1%		42.3%	3.8%	38.5%	9.9									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		40.0%
12-6	0.3%		21.1%	3.2%	17.9%	10.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.3		18.5%
11-7	0.7%		8.5%	0.5%	8.0%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.7		8.0%
10-8	1.9%		1.4%	0.4%	1.1%	10.6										0.0	0.0	0.0						1.9		1.1%
9-9	3.9%		0.2%		0.2%	11.0												0.0						3.9		0.2%
8-10	6.8%		0.1%	0.1%		11.0												0.0						6.8
7-11	10.7%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					10.7
6-12	15.0%																							15.0
5-13	17.5%																							17.5
4-14	17.2%																							17.2
3-15	13.3%																							13.3
2-16	8.5%																							8.5
1-17	3.5%																							3.5
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		0.2%	0.0%	0.2%	10.3								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					99.8		0.2%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%