Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
69 Akron 51.9%   12   24 - 5 17 - 1 +8.8      +6.9 50 +1.9 121 75.2 29 +7.6 80 +13.5 2
92 Miami (OH) 35.6%   28 - 0 18 - 0 +6.0      +4.9 74 +1.1 137 73.4 55 +19.1 15 +17.6 1
143 Toledo 6.1%   15 - 14 11 - 7 +0.9      +3.3 95 -2.4 251 69.8 135 -1.0 179 +0.3 4
157 Kent St. 6.0%   21 - 8 14 - 4 +0.3      +1.7 126 -1.4 216 74.7 32 +4.0 110 +5.8 3
166 Bowling Green 4.4%   15 - 13 9 - 9 -0.3      -2.0 225 +1.7 127 70.1 130 -1.8 194 -2.1 5
199 Massachusetts 2.1%   15 - 15 7 - 11 -2.1      -0.2 168 -1.9 233 74.5 37 -3.2 223 -5.5 9
218 Buffalo 1.3%   15 - 14 7 - 11 -3.3      +1.6 128 -4.9 312 66.4 239 -2.7 211 -5.4 7
221 Ohio 1.3%   13 - 16 9 - 9 -3.5      -0.6 181 -2.9 258 71.6 98 -2.9 217 -2.5 6
248 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   9 - 21 4 - 14 -5.0      -5.6 312 +0.6 150 66.8 227 -7.2 283 -10.0 12
269 Central Michigan 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 12 -6.2      -2.4 235 -3.8 288 67.4 209 -8.5 300 -7.5 10
276 Western Michigan 0.0%   9 - 20 4 - 14 -6.6      -1.5 205 -5.1 313 69.0 160 -7.1 279 -9.5 11
280 Ball St. 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 11 -7.0      -6.8 336 -0.2 183 61.5 344 -7.6 291 -5.5 8
343 Northern Illinois 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 14 -12.8      -9.1 353 -3.7 285 69.1 159 -8.9 305 -10.1 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Mar 6 92 Miami (OH) 110 221 Ohio 108   
Fri, Mar 6 166 Bowling Green 77 248 Eastern Michigan 69   
Fri, Mar 6 218 Buffalo 78 143 Toledo 98   
Fri, Mar 6 157 Kent St. 86 276 Western Michigan 78   
Fri, Mar 6 280 Ball St. 85 269 Central Michigan 69   
Fri, Mar 6 69 Akron 94 343 Northern Illinois 55   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 12 166 Bowling Green 76 143 Toledo 77 55%   
Thu, Mar 12 157 Kent St. 84 221 Ohio 80 64%   
Thu, Mar 12 199 Massachusetts 79 92 Miami (OH) 87 78%   
Thu, Mar 12 69 Akron 88 218 Buffalo 76 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Miami (OH) 1.0 100.0
Akron 2.0 100.0
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Toledo 4.0 100.0
Ohio 5.0 100.0
Bowling Green 5.0 100.0
Ball St. 7.0 100.0
Buffalo 7.0 100.0
Massachusetts 7.0 100.0
Central Michigan 10.0 100.0
Western Michigan 11.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 11.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Miami (OH) 18 - 0 29 - 0 100.0
Akron 17 - 1 25 - 5 100.0
Kent St. 14 - 4 22 - 8 100.0
Toledo 11 - 7 16 - 14 100.0
Ohio 9 - 9 13 - 17 100.0
Bowling Green 9 - 9 15 - 14 100.0
Ball St. 7 - 11 10 - 19 100.0
Buffalo 7 - 11 15 - 15 100.0
Massachusetts 7 - 11 15 - 16 100.0
Central Michigan 6 - 12 8 - 21 100.0
Western Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 20 100.0
Northern Illinois 4 - 14 7 - 21 100.0
Eastern Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Miami (OH) 100.0% 100.0
Akron
Kent St.
Toledo
Ohio
Bowling Green
Ball St.
Buffalo
Massachusetts
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 51.9% 51.7% 0.2% 12   0.2 23.3 26.9 1.5 48.1 0.3%
Miami (OH) 35.6% 27.1% 8.5% 0.0 0.1 1.5 25.9 8.0 0.1 64.4 11.7%
Toledo 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.1 1.4 3.9 0.7 93.9 0.0%
Kent St. 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.4 2.7 2.8 0.2 94.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 2.9 0.3 95.6 0.0%
Massachusetts 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.2 1.8 0.1 97.9 0.0%
Buffalo 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.0 0.1 98.8 0.0%
Ohio 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.2 98.7 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 91.3 8.7 0.0
1st Round 99.6% 1.0 0.4 97.1 2.6
2nd Round 14.5% 0.1 85.5 14.4 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.1% 0.0 97.9 2.1
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 51.9% 0.2% 51.8% 10.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 35.6% 8.4% 29.6% 4.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 6.1% 0.0% 6.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 6.0% 0.0% 6.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 4.4% 0.0% 4.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 2.1% 0.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 1.3% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%