Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
60 Akron 46.8%   12   8 - 3 1 - 0 22 - 6 15 - 3 +9.0      +9.9 16 -0.9 200 76.7 34 +5.8 93 +9.1 4
103 Miami (OH) 19.7%   11 - 0 2 - 0 22 - 4 13 - 4 +5.1      +5.2 69 -0.1 166 74.6 53 +13.5 41 +17.4 2
126 Bowling Green 9.5%   7 - 4 1 - 1 17 - 10 11 - 7 +2.2      -0.8 188 +3.1 89 70.9 139 +1.6 146 +2.0 7
128 Kent St. 9.7%   8 - 3 1 - 0 19 - 9 12 - 6 +2.0      +1.8 125 +0.2 156 79.6 14 +4.4 106 +17.5 1
170 Massachusetts 3.1%   8 - 5 0 - 2 17 - 12 9 - 9 -0.7      -2.3 233 +1.6 117 77.1 27 -1.2 182 -15.8 11
177 Toledo 3.4%   5 - 6 1 - 0 13 - 14 9 - 8 -1.1      +2.4 110 -3.4 286 71.9 107 -1.4 185 +6.0 5
178 Ohio 3.2%   5 - 7 1 - 1 13 - 15 9 - 9 -1.2      -0.8 189 -0.3 179 74.2 63 -1.8 194 -4.2 8
187 Buffalo 2.9%   10 - 2 2 - 0 18 - 10 10 - 8 -1.7      +1.8 124 -3.6 292 66.4 261 +4.9 102 +10.3 3
208 Eastern Michigan 1.5%   6 - 7 1 - 1 13 - 16 8 - 10 -3.1      -2.7 242 -0.4 180 67.2 243 -0.2 164 +4.2 6
271 Western Michigan 0.3%   5 - 7 0 - 2 11 - 17 6 - 12 -6.2      -1.6 211 -4.6 316 70.3 159 -5.0 244 -17.5 12
299 Ball St. 0.1%   2 - 9 0 - 1 7 - 21 5 - 13 -8.0      -5.5 314 -2.6 258 64.5 310 -12.8 336 -13.1 10
330 Northern Illinois 0.0%   3 - 8 1 - 1 7 - 20 5 - 13 -10.5      -4.6 292 -5.9 341 71.0 133 -8.1 287 -9.2 9
332 Central Michigan 0.0%   2 - 10 0 - 2 6 - 22 4 - 14 -10.7      -5.3 311 -5.5 334 67.4 240 -13.2 338 -21.3 13




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Dec 29 128 Kent St. 60 3 Purdue 101   
Tue, Dec 30 208 Eastern Michigan 80 170 Massachusetts 74   
Tue, Dec 30 177 Toledo 84 271 Western Michigan 79   
Tue, Dec 30 332 Central Michigan 64 178 Ohio 80   
Tue, Dec 30 126 Bowling Green 83 103 Miami (OH) 93   
Wed, Dec 31 187 Buffalo 81 330 Northern Illinois 67   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 3 60 Akron 90 103 Miami (OH) 89 54%   
Sat, Jan 3 126 Bowling Green 74 170 Massachusetts 75 50%   
Sat, Jan 3 208 Eastern Michigan 74 178 Ohio 73 54%   
Sat, Jan 3 299 Ball St. 66 187 Buffalo 76 81%   
Sat, Jan 3 332 Central Michigan 74 177 Toledo 80 74%   
Sat, Jan 3 128 Kent St. 89 330 Northern Illinois 74 92%   
Tue, Jan 6 126 Bowling Green 77 128 Kent St. 80 61%   
Tue, Jan 6 170 Massachusetts 77 178 Ohio 80 60%   
Tue, Jan 6 299 Ball St. 67 208 Eastern Michigan 69 57%   
Tue, Jan 6 103 Miami (OH) 89 271 Western Michigan 74 90%   
Tue, Jan 6 330 Northern Illinois 77 177 Toledo 83 73%   
Tue, Jan 6 60 Akron 94 332 Central Michigan 71 97%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.4 73.7 16.3 6.2 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Miami (OH) 2.9 19.4 32.7 20.4 11.7 7.3 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0
Bowling Green 4.2 7.4 17.5 19.1 17.0 13.2 9.3 7.0 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
Kent St. 3.7 13.0 21.7 20.5 14.7 11.2 7.7 5.1 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Massachusetts 6.8 0.5 3.3 6.5 9.6 12.2 13.5 14.0 13.2 12.4 7.7 4.8 1.8 0.7
Toledo 5.9 1.6 6.6 10.2 13.4 13.4 14.0 13.4 11.2 7.9 4.9 2.3 1.0 0.2
Ohio 6.1 1.5 5.7 9.3 12.6 14.1 14.2 13.1 11.4 8.9 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.2
Buffalo 5.7 2.6 6.2 10.5 13.6 15.0 14.7 13.1 10.6 7.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
Eastern Michigan 7.0 0.7 2.9 5.7 7.9 10.6 12.6 14.7 14.7 13.7 8.6 5.1 2.1 0.8
Western Michigan 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 6.3 8.5 13.9 19.3 20.6 15.3 9.5
Ball St. 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.4 6.1 8.8 12.4 17.9 19.1 15.9 12.4
Northern Illinois 10.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 3.0 5.4 8.9 15.4 20.5 25.8 18.2
Central Michigan 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 3.0 5.5 11.0 16.9 25.8 35.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 15 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 4.3 9.1 15.1 21.0 23.6 17.1 6.9
Miami (OH) 13 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.4 7.5 12.1 16.5 18.9 18.1 12.8 6.6 1.9
Bowling Green 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.3 6.4 10.0 14.3 16.4 16.5 14.2 9.6 5.0 1.7 0.4
Kent St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.2 4.2 7.6 11.2 15.6 16.6 16.4 11.9 7.7 3.8 1.2 0.2
Massachusetts 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.2 9.3 12.8 15.7 17.1 14.5 11.3 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.2
Toledo 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 6.4 9.4 14.0 15.6 16.8 13.6 10.4 5.9 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
Ohio 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.1 6.0 9.9 14.5 16.5 16.0 13.8 9.6 5.6 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0
Buffalo 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 9.2 13.3 16.7 17.2 14.9 10.8 6.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.9 10.7 14.9 16.7 16.2 12.8 9.4 5.6 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
Western Michigan 6 - 12 0.3 1.6 5.6 9.7 15.5 18.9 17.4 13.7 9.0 4.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ball St. 5 - 13 0.5 2.4 6.0 11.1 15.5 18.0 15.8 12.5 8.9 5.1 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 13 3.2 11.1 18.0 19.5 18.2 13.4 8.5 4.7 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Central Michigan 4 - 14 2.7 9.5 17.2 20.7 19.1 14.6 8.7 4.5 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 73.7% 59.2 12.2 2.1 0.2 0.0
Miami (OH) 19.4% 10.1 7.6 1.5 0.2 0.0
Bowling Green 7.4% 3.3 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
Kent St. 13.0% 7.0 4.8 1.1 0.1 0.0
Massachusetts 0.5% 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Toledo 1.6% 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
Ohio 1.5% 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Buffalo 2.6% 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0 0.0
Northern Illinois
Central Michigan


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 46.8% 46.7% 0.1% 12   0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 10.6 25.3 7.4 0.9 0.0 53.2 0.3%
Miami (OH) 19.7% 19.6% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.4 11.1 4.4 0.4 0.0 80.3 0.2%
Bowling Green 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 3.1 4.2 1.8 0.3 90.5 0.0%
Kent St. 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 0.2 2.6 4.4 2.2 0.3 0.0 90.3 0.0%
Massachusetts 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.2 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.1 96.9 0.0%
Toledo 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 96.6 0.0%
Ohio 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.2 96.8 0.0%
Buffalo 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.3 97.1 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 98.5 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 46.8% 0.1% 46.8% 12.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 19.7% 0.1% 19.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 9.5% 0.0% 9.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 9.7% 0.0% 9.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 3.1% 0.0% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 3.4% 0.1% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 3.2% 0.1% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 2.9% 0.0% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 1.5% 0.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.8 0.1
2nd Round 17.5% 0.2 82.5 17.5
Sweet Sixteen 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0