Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
70 Akron 48.2%   12   22 - 5 15 - 1 +8.3      +7.0 50 +1.3 135 75.9 23 +7.4 82 +13.2 2
87 Miami (OH) 41.1%   26 - 0 16 - 0 +6.5      +4.8 72 +1.6 125 73.5 53 +18.5 18 +16.8 1
155 Toledo 6.0%   14 - 13 10 - 6 +0.2      +2.8 100 -2.6 256 70.0 135 -1.2 178 +0.2 4
160 Kent St. 4.5%   19 - 8 12 - 4 -0.1      +1.1 138 -1.2 213 74.5 36 +3.6 112 +5.5 3
167 Bowling Green 3.7%   14 - 13 8 - 9 -0.6      -2.1 228 +1.5 131 69.9 137 -2.3 200 -2.9 6
200 Massachusetts 1.3%   14 - 15 6 - 11 -2.3      -0.3 169 -2.0 237 74.5 37 -3.5 226 -6.2 8
212 Buffalo 0.7%   14 - 13 6 - 10 -3.0      +1.5 129 -4.4 305 66.8 228 -2.7 210 -5.9 7
219 Ohio 1.7%   13 - 14 9 - 7 -3.3      -1.2 194 -2.1 238 71.1 110 -2.3 202 -1.5 5
248 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   9 - 19 4 - 12 -4.8      -5.2 306 +0.4 156 66.6 235 -6.4 267 -9.1 12
258 Central Michigan 0.4%   8 - 19 6 - 10 -5.5      -2.0 226 -3.5 280 67.4 211 -8.0 293 -6.7 9
276 Western Michigan 0.0%   9 - 18 4 - 12 -6.3      -1.2 198 -5.1 316 69.0 166 -6.1 261 -8.0 11
294 Ball St. 0.1%   8 - 19 5 - 11 -7.8      -7.1 338 -0.7 201 61.4 346 -8.8 309 -7.0 10
336 Northern Illinois 0.0%   7 - 19 4 - 12 -11.8      -8.8 352 -3.0 265 69.0 165 -8.6 305 -9.7 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Feb 27 87 Miami (OH) 69 276 Western Michigan 67   
Fri, Feb 27 70 Akron 92 160 Kent St. 70   
Sat, Feb 28 167 Bowling Green 81 200 Massachusetts 62   
Sat, Feb 28 212 Buffalo 70 258 Central Michigan 75   
Sat, Feb 28 219 Ohio 67 155 Toledo 79   
Sat, Feb 28 294 Ball St. 79 336 Northern Illinois 43   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 3 87 Miami (OH) 87 155 Toledo 77 81%   
Tue, Mar 3 200 Massachusetts 82 219 Ohio 78 65%   
Tue, Mar 3 212 Buffalo 75 248 Eastern Michigan 70 68%   
Tue, Mar 3 294 Ball St. 67 276 Western Michigan 72 67%   
Tue, Mar 3 70 Akron 87 258 Central Michigan 76 84%   
Tue, Mar 3 160 Kent St. 80 336 Northern Illinois 71 80%   
Fri, Mar 6 212 Buffalo 77 155 Toledo 83 72%   
Fri, Mar 6 167 Bowling Green 70 248 Eastern Michigan 69 55%   
Fri, Mar 6 87 Miami (OH) 84 219 Ohio 77 74%   
Fri, Mar 6 294 Ball St. 68 258 Central Michigan 67 53%   
Fri, Mar 6 160 Kent St. 85 276 Western Michigan 76 81%   
Fri, Mar 6 70 Akron 90 336 Northern Illinois 67 97%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Akron 1.7 34.8 65.2
Miami (OH) 1.0 95.4 4.6
Toledo 4.0 0.6 97.1 2.3
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Bowling Green 5.7 26.2 73.8
Massachusetts 7.7 49.9 29.9 19.5 0.7
Buffalo 7.3 9.0 65.8 14.0 10.8 0.4
Ohio 4.8 18.8 81.2
Eastern Michigan 10.9 1.3 5.2 6.8 14.1 39.2 26.9 6.4
Central Michigan 7.8 3.8 44.5 23.0 20.9 7.9
Western Michigan 10.8 0.7 3.0 5.9 25.3 40.0 21.2 3.9
Ball St. 9.0 16.8 17.4 22.7 32.1 9.9 1.1
Northern Illinois 12.0 0.1 0.2 5.1 21.7 38.2 34.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Akron 17 - 1 24 - 5 0.3 16.4 83.4
Miami (OH) 18 - 0 28 - 0 5.4 35.3 59.3
Toledo 11 - 7 15 - 14 23.7 62.0 14.3
Kent St. 14 - 4 21 - 8 4.3 32.7 63.0
Bowling Green 9 - 9 15 - 13 45.8 54.2
Massachusetts 7 - 11 15 - 15 35.1 64.9
Buffalo 7 - 11 15 - 14 23.3 56.5 20.2
Ohio 10 - 8 14 - 15 48.0 42.0 9.9
Eastern Michigan 5 - 13 10 - 20 37.8 46.7 15.5
Central Michigan 7 - 11 9 - 20 44.4 47.8 7.8
Western Michigan 5 - 13 10 - 19 27.5 59.2 13.3
Ball St. 6 - 12 9 - 20 32.5 49.5 18.0
Northern Illinois 4 - 14 7 - 21 77.0 22.6 0.4

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 34.8% 4.6 30.2
Miami (OH) 95.4% 65.2 30.2
Toledo
Kent St.
Bowling Green
Massachusetts
Buffalo
Ohio
Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
Ball St.
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 48.2% 48.2% 0.1% 12   0.1 15.1 30.8 2.3 0.0 51.8 0.1%
Miami (OH) 41.1% 33.5% 7.6% 0.0 0.7 23.7 16.3 0.3 59.0 11.4%
Toledo 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.4 0.1 94.0 0.0%
Kent St. 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.5 2.4 1.4 0.2 95.5 0.0%
Bowling Green 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.1 96.3 0.0%
Massachusetts 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 0.3 98.7 0.0%
Buffalo 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.2 0.4 0.1 99.3 0.0%
Ohio 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 98.3 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.1 92.4 7.6
1st Round 99.6% 1.0 0.4 97.0 2.6
2nd Round 14.7% 0.1 85.3 14.6 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 48.2% 0.1% 48.2% 9.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 41.1% 7.5% 36.0% 5.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 6.0% 0.0% 6.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 4.5% 0.0% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 3.7% 0.0% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 1.7% 0.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%