Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
73 Akron 62.3%   12   25 - 5 17 - 1 +8.4      +6.2 57 +2.2 117 75.1 29 +7.8 76 +13.4 2
96 Miami (OH) 49.6%   11   28 - 1 18 - 0 +5.5      +5.0 72 +0.4 152 73.1 59 +15.6 28 +17.6 1
142 Toledo 17.8%   16 - 14 11 - 7 +0.9      +3.4 93 -2.5 252 69.7 140 -0.5 169 +0.3 4
147 Kent St. 11.4%   22 - 8 14 - 4 +0.6      +1.9 121 -1.3 217 74.6 33 +4.2 110 +5.7 3
168 Bowling Green 0.0%   15 - 14 9 - 9 -0.2      -1.9 217 +1.7 128 70.0 133 -2.1 198 -2.1 5
191 Massachusetts 8.6%   16 - 15 7 - 11 -1.7      +0.4 155 -2.0 238 74.4 36 -2.5 207 -5.5 9
211 Buffalo 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 -2.9      +1.4 132 -4.3 300 66.3 238 -2.7 211 -5.5 8
227 Ohio 0.0%   13 - 17 9 - 9 -3.8      -0.7 181 -3.1 265 71.5 99 -3.2 222 -2.4 6
247 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   9 - 21 4 - 14 -5.0      -5.6 312 +0.5 150 66.8 223 -7.1 281 -9.9 12
269 Central Michigan 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 12 -6.1      -2.3 233 -3.8 289 67.4 209 -8.5 299 -7.5 10
277 Western Michigan 0.0%   9 - 20 4 - 14 -6.6      -1.5 205 -5.1 312 69.0 161 -7.1 280 -9.5 11
280 Ball St. 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 11 -7.0      -6.9 336 -0.2 180 61.5 342 -7.6 291 -5.4 7
342 Northern Illinois 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 14 -12.8      -9.1 351 -3.7 284 69.1 158 -8.8 304 -10.0 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Mar 12 191 Massachusetts 87 96 Miami (OH) 83   
Thu, Mar 12 168 Bowling Green 76 142 Toledo 77   
Thu, Mar 12 147 Kent St. 86 227 Ohio 75   
Thu, Mar 12 73 Akron 73 211 Buffalo 70   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 13 191 Massachusetts 81 142 Toledo 84 60%   
Fri, Mar 13 73 Akron 89 147 Kent St. 81 77%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Miami (OH) 1.0 100.0
Akron 2.0 100.0
Kent St. 3.0 100.0
Toledo 4.0 100.0
Ohio 5.0 100.0
Bowling Green 5.0 100.0
Ball St. 7.0 100.0
Buffalo 7.0 100.0
Massachusetts 7.0 100.0
Central Michigan 10.0 100.0
Western Michigan 11.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 11.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Miami (OH) 18 - 0 28 - 1 100.0
Akron 17 - 1 26 - 5 100.0
Kent St. 14 - 4 22 - 9 100.0
Toledo 11 - 7 17 - 14 100.0
Ohio 9 - 9 13 - 17 100.0
Bowling Green 9 - 9 15 - 14 100.0
Ball St. 7 - 11 10 - 19 100.0
Buffalo 7 - 11 15 - 15 100.0
Massachusetts 7 - 11 16 - 16 100.0
Central Michigan 6 - 12 8 - 21 100.0
Western Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 20 100.0
Northern Illinois 4 - 14 7 - 21 100.0
Eastern Michigan 4 - 14 9 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Miami (OH) 100.0% 100.0
Akron
Kent St.
Toledo
Ohio
Bowling Green
Ball St.
Buffalo
Massachusetts
Central Michigan
Western Michigan
Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 62.3% 62.2% 0.1% 12   0.2 23.4 35.1 3.6 0.0 37.7 0.2%
Miami (OH) 49.6% 0.0% 49.6% 11   0.0 0.4 38.7 10.1 0.4 50.5 49.6%
Toledo 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 0.1 2.5 12.5 2.8 82.2 0.0%
Kent St. 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 0.7 5.7 5.0 0.1 88.6 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.4 6.5 1.8 91.4 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.5 50.4 49.6 0.0
1st Round 99.9% 1.1 0.1 85.7 14.2
2nd Round 14.2% 0.1 85.8 14.1 0.2
Sweet Sixteen 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 62.3% 0.1% 62.3% 11.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 49.6% 49.1% 14.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 17.8% 0.0% 17.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 11.4% 0.0% 11.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 8.6% 0.3% 8.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%