Akron
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#131
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#139
Pace71.6#108
Improvement+1.5#86

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#97
First Shot+3.9#74
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#240
Layup/Dunks-1.5#239
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#8
Freethrows-1.4#261
Improvement+3.3#12

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#213
First Shot+1.3#131
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#333
Layups/Dunks-3.8#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#134
Freethrows+2.4#47
Improvement-1.9#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.2% 22.9% 16.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 90.5% 95.1% 84.0%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 93.3% 87.1%
Conference Champion 27.0% 30.9% 21.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round20.2% 22.9% 16.4%
Second Round2.3% 3.0% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Neutral) - 58.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 414 - 319 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 130   @ Arkansas St. L 75-80 OT 38%     0 - 1 -0.4 -6.4 +6.8
  Nov 12, 2024 42   @ St. Mary's L 68-87 12%     0 - 2 -4.7 +2.0 -6.6
  Nov 22, 2024 280   Lamar W 79-72 84%     1 - 2 -2.4 -3.4 +0.5
  Nov 23, 2024 306   Nebraska Omaha W 92-84 87%     2 - 2 -2.4 +19.0 -20.9
  Nov 24, 2024 285   Alabama St. W 97-78 85%     3 - 2 +9.5 +15.1 -6.5
  Dec 03, 2024 216   Northern Kentucky W 86-73 76%     4 - 2 +7.3 +15.3 -7.5
  Dec 15, 2024 172   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-78 58%    
  Dec 20, 2024 107   Yale L 78-80 41%    
  Dec 30, 2024 108   @ Princeton L 75-80 31%    
  Jan 03, 2025 267   @ Bowling Green W 78-74 66%    
  Jan 07, 2025 196   Central Michigan W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 299   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 14, 2025 203   Toledo W 84-78 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 157   Ohio W 81-77 65%    
  Jan 21, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 82-74 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 198   Miami (OH) W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 28, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ Kent St. L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 04, 2025 270   Ball St. W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 11, 2025 271   Western Michigan W 82-71 83%    
  Feb 15, 2025 196   @ Central Michigan W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 18, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 83-68 91%    
  Feb 22, 2025 157   @ Ohio L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 25, 2025 270   @ Ball St. W 75-71 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 110   Kent St. W 69-68 54%    
  Mar 04, 2025 203   @ Toledo W 81-80 52%    
  Mar 07, 2025 331   Buffalo W 85-71 89%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.8 8.0 5.6 2.7 0.7 27.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.2 7.8 5.6 2.1 0.2 20.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.0 0.2 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.5 6.9 9.7 12.6 14.2 14.8 13.2 10.1 5.8 2.7 0.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 2.7    2.6 0.1
16-2 95.9% 5.6    5.0 0.6
15-3 79.2% 8.0    5.6 2.3 0.2
14-4 51.4% 6.8    3.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
13-5 18.5% 2.7    0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 27.0% 27.0 17.8 7.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 57.8% 57.0% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.9%
17-1 2.7% 50.3% 50.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3
16-2 5.8% 41.0% 41.0% 12.6 0.0 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4
15-3 10.1% 33.5% 33.5% 13.0 0.0 0.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 6.7
14-4 13.2% 27.4% 27.4% 13.4 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.3 9.5
13-5 14.8% 21.5% 21.5% 13.8 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.0 11.6
12-6 14.2% 16.3% 16.3% 14.1 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 11.9
11-7 12.6% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 10.8
10-8 9.7% 10.9% 10.9% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 8.6
9-9 6.9% 8.0% 8.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.4
8-10 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.3
7-11 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 20.2% 20.2% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.6 6.3 5.9 3.3 0.6 79.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.9 3.2 3.2 6.3 6.3 17.5 4.8 39.7 19.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%