Akron
Mid-American
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#108
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#112
Pace62.8#318
Improvement+1.3#41

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#134
First Shot+1.6#119
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#203
Layup/Dunks-1.4#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#78
Freethrows+2.0#50
Improvement+0.6#80

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#105
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#95
Layups/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#199
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement+0.7#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.3% 19.8% 15.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 28.2% 45.8% 11.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round17.3% 19.7% 15.0%
Second Round2.6% 3.1% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 48.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 36 - 9
Quad 414 - 019 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 200   South Dakota St. W 81-80 OT 78%     1 - 0 -3.2 +1.8 -5.1
  Nov 11, 2022 55   Mississippi St. L 54-73 29%     1 - 1 -9.5 -4.5 -6.8
  Nov 15, 2022 300   Morgan St. W 65-59 90%     2 - 1 -4.4 -6.4 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2022 163   Western Kentucky W 72-53 63%     3 - 1 +19.3 +12.8 +10.2
  Nov 22, 2022 106   LSU L 58-73 49%     3 - 2 -11.1 -5.2 -7.7
  Nov 23, 2022 59   Nevada L 58-62 31%     3 - 3 +4.9 -4.4 +8.9
  Nov 30, 2022 78   @ Marshall L 57-68 29%     3 - 4 -1.6 -13.2 +11.8
  Dec 11, 2022 327   Jackson St. W 85-72 92%     4 - 4 +0.8 +9.7 -8.5
  Dec 14, 2022 201   Wright St. W 66-54 78%     5 - 4 +7.7 -8.6 +16.4
  Dec 19, 2022 288   Maine W 87-55 89%     6 - 4 +22.5 +7.4 +14.4
  Dec 22, 2022 89   @ Bradley L 55-74 33%     6 - 5 -10.7 -10.7 -0.4
  Jan 03, 2023 271   Northern Illinois W 76-51 87%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +16.6 +2.6 +15.0
  Jan 06, 2023 155   @ Ball St. L 63-70 52%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -3.7 -6.0 +1.9
  Jan 10, 2023 243   @ Bowling Green W 74-70 69%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +2.5 -0.4 +3.0
  Jan 13, 2023 302   Eastern Michigan W 104-67 90%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +26.5 +14.3 +8.9
  Jan 17, 2023 299   @ Central Michigan W 69-51 79%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +13.1 +0.2 +13.9
  Jan 21, 2023 285   @ Western Michigan W 63-55 76%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +4.1 -9.3 +14.2
  Jan 24, 2023 297   Miami (OH) W 73-68 89%     12 - 6 6 - 1 -5.0 +5.1 -9.3
  Jan 28, 2023 153   Ohio W 83-77 71%     13 - 6 7 - 1 +3.9 +14.0 -9.6
  Jan 31, 2023 183   @ Buffalo W 81-64 56%     14 - 6 8 - 1 +19.2 +12.0 +7.8
  Feb 03, 2023 73   Kent St. L 64-65 48%    
  Feb 07, 2023 104   Toledo W 76-74 60%    
  Feb 10, 2023 153   @ Ohio W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 14, 2023 302   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-67 79%    
  Feb 18, 2023 183   Buffalo W 75-68 75%    
  Feb 21, 2023 104   @ Toledo L 73-76 37%    
  Feb 25, 2023 285   Western Michigan W 75-62 89%    
  Feb 28, 2023 155   Ball St. W 71-65 72%    
  Mar 03, 2023 73   @ Kent St. L 62-68 27%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 7.8 12.5 6.0 1.0 28.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 10.8 14.3 3.3 30.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.7 11.0 12.8 2.4 29.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.6 4.4 0.7 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 2.2 7.9 17.1 25.2 24.5 15.8 6.0 1.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0
16-2 100.0% 6.0    5.5 0.5
15-3 79.1% 12.5    6.8 5.2 0.5
14-4 31.8% 7.8    1.7 4.0 2.0 0.1
13-5 3.7% 0.9    0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 28.2% 28.2 15.0 10.0 2.9 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 1.0% 36.1% 31.7% 4.4% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 6.4%
16-2 6.0% 26.8% 26.8% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.0 4.4
15-3 15.8% 22.7% 22.7% 12.6 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.2 12.2
14-4 24.5% 19.2% 19.2% 13.0 0.0 0.9 2.8 0.9 0.0 19.8
13-5 25.2% 15.7% 15.7% 13.4 0.0 0.3 2.0 1.5 0.1 21.2
12-6 17.1% 12.7% 12.7% 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.2 14.9
11-7 7.9% 10.1% 10.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 7.1
10-8 2.2% 6.7% 6.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0
9-9 0.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.6 3.6 8.0 4.4 0.7 0.0 82.7 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 36.1% 11.4 1.6 19.2 13.3 2.0