Akron
Mid-American
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#272
Pace64.8#286
Improvement-3.3#348

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#203
First Shot-3.6#282
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#48
Layup/Dunks-7.9#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#138
Freethrows-1.6#280
Improvement-2.7#346

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#135
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#269
Layups/Dunks+6.1#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.6#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#12
Freethrows-1.6#277
Improvement-0.6#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 7.0% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.3
.500 or above 63.7% 76.3% 51.5%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 78.1% 64.5%
Conference Champion 5.3% 6.6% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.9% 2.4%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round5.2% 6.9% 3.6%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 49.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 412 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 25   @ Ohio St. L 66-67 7%     0 - 1 +15.4 +8.5 +6.7
  Nov 22, 2021 246   Fordham L 43-63 67%     0 - 2 -24.6 -22.9 -4.5
  Nov 23, 2021 172   Appalachian St. L 45-57 52%     0 - 3 -12.3 -24.8 +12.0
  Nov 24, 2021 245   Evansville W 69-60 67%     1 - 3 +4.6 +3.8 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2021 114   Marshall L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 04, 2021 292   Southern W 73-63 83%    
  Dec 12, 2021 305   Florida A&M W 70-59 85%    
  Dec 15, 2021 205   @ Wright St. L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 20, 2021 248   Radford W 67-59 76%    
  Dec 28, 2021 224   @ Bowling Green L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 01, 2022 312   Northern Illinois W 69-58 85%    
  Jan 04, 2022 76   Ohio L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 08, 2022 136   @ Miami (OH) L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 11, 2022 214   Ball St. W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 14, 2022 137   @ Kent St. L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 18, 2022 296   Western Michigan W 72-62 82%    
  Jan 22, 2022 260   Eastern Michigan W 74-65 77%    
  Jan 25, 2022 304   @ Central Michigan W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 28, 2022 117   @ Toledo L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 01, 2022 72   Buffalo L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 136   Miami (OH) W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 08, 2022 312   @ Northern Illinois W 66-61 68%    
  Feb 12, 2022 137   Kent St. W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 15, 2022 296   @ Western Michigan W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 19, 2022 260   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-68 61%    
  Feb 22, 2022 224   Bowling Green W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 26, 2022 76   @ Ohio L 65-75 20%    
  Mar 01, 2022 214   @ Ball St. L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 04, 2022 304   Central Michigan W 77-66 83%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.2 2.0 0.5 0.1 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.3 1.8 5.2 4.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 5.0 2.0 0.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.5 2.6 5.0 3.9 1.3 0.1 13.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.3 3.3 1.1 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 2.9 10th
11th 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.9 3.6 4.7 7.6 9.4 11.3 12.1 12.6 11.4 9.6 6.8 3.7 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 87.4% 1.0    0.8 0.2
17-3 75.1% 1.6    1.0 0.5 0.1
16-4 34.3% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 13.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 1.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.8 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 14.0% 14.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.2% 33.0% 33.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8
17-3 2.1% 28.6% 28.6% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.5
16-4 3.7% 15.8% 15.8% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.1
15-5 6.8% 12.3% 12.3% 13.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.0
14-6 9.6% 7.5% 7.5% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 8.9
13-7 11.4% 7.2% 7.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 10.5
12-8 12.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.1
11-9 12.1% 3.4% 3.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.7
10-10 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.1 0.2 11.1
9-11 9.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.3
8-12 7.6% 7.6
7-13 4.7% 4.7
6-14 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.6
5-15 1.9% 1.9
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.4 0.7 94.7 0.0%