Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#198
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#121
Pace68.5#193
Improvement+0.2#176

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#221
First Shot-0.5#188
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#263
Layup/Dunks-4.1#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#51
Freethrows-4.1#350
Improvement-1.2#269

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot-0.3#183
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#140
Layups/Dunks-0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#289
Freethrows+2.8#33
Improvement+1.3#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 10.7% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 81.1% 92.0% 74.8%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 84.1% 74.8%
Conference Champion 10.6% 13.5% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.7% 1.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round8.5% 10.6% 7.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 414 - 417 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 163   @ Appalachian St. W 77-63 34%     1 - 0 +16.5 +5.2 +11.0
  Nov 09, 2024 136   Wright St. L 68-81 50%     1 - 1 -14.6 -9.4 -4.9
  Nov 12, 2024 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 88-70 92%     2 - 1 +0.8 +16.3 -13.6
  Nov 18, 2024 16   @ Michigan L 67-94 4%     2 - 2 -8.9 +1.6 -9.4
  Nov 25, 2024 302   Siena W 70-58 71%     3 - 2 +4.7 -2.0 +7.2
  Nov 26, 2024 232   Mercer W 75-72 58%     4 - 2 -0.8 -5.2 +4.2
  Dec 02, 2024 286   Air Force W 73-60 77%     5 - 2 +3.5 +4.0 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2024 39   @ Indiana L 57-76 7%     5 - 3 -4.2 -6.6 +1.6
  Dec 18, 2024 183   @ Vermont L 62-66 37%    
  Dec 22, 2024 269   Sacred Heart W 77-70 75%    
  Jan 04, 2025 331   Buffalo W 78-67 85%    
  Jan 07, 2025 270   @ Ball St. W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 271   Western Michigan W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 14, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 18, 2025 110   @ Kent St. L 60-68 23%    
  Jan 21, 2025 267   Bowling Green W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 131   @ Akron L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 28, 2025 299   Eastern Michigan W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 01, 2025 157   Ohio W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 04, 2025 196   @ Central Michigan L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 11, 2025 203   Toledo W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 271   @ Western Michigan W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 18, 2025 299   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 22, 2025 110   Kent St. L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 25, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 76-64 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 157   @ Ohio L 72-77 33%    
  Mar 04, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 75-70 68%    
  Mar 07, 2025 270   Ball St. W 72-65 74%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.2 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.4 3.3 0.9 0.1 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 6.0 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.6 6.2 8.9 11.9 13.8 14.9 13.2 10.9 7.1 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 93.9% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
15-3 77.3% 3.1    2.0 1.0 0.1
14-4 44.9% 3.2    1.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
13-5 15.8% 1.7    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 5.8 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 47.7% 47.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 30.7% 30.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.8% 33.2% 33.2% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.2
15-3 4.0% 24.9% 24.9% 13.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.0
14-4 7.1% 16.8% 16.8% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 5.9
13-5 10.9% 15.1% 15.1% 13.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 9.2
12-6 13.2% 10.3% 10.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 11.8
11-7 14.9% 7.5% 7.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 13.8
10-8 13.8% 5.5% 5.5% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 13.0
9-9 11.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.5
8-10 8.9% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.6
7-11 6.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.1
6-12 3.6% 3.6
5-13 2.0% 2.0
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.2 2.8 2.3 0.5 91.4 0.0%