IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.0	#128
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#95
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#113

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.1	#159

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.6%	18.4%	10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.9	12.6	13.4

.500 or above	89.0%	92.9%	76.9%
.500 or above in Conference	83.2%	86.1%	74.2%
Conference Champion	14.8%	16.8%	8.5%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.6%	1.6%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	16.6%	18.5%	11.0%
Second Round	2.3%	2.7%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 75.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 4	5 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 3	19 - 9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	200	Old Dominion	W	76-69	75%
Nov 15, 2025	280	@ Air Force	W	72-66	70%
Nov 20, 2025	361	Mercyhurst	W	79-58	97%
Nov 23, 2025	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	92-64	99%
Nov 26, 2025	225	UNC Greensboro	W	71-65	69%
Dec 06, 2025	290	Maine	W	75-63	86%
Dec 10, 2025	184	@ UNC Asheville	W	76-75	53%
Dec 13, 2025	174	@ Eastern Kentucky	W	76-75	51%
Dec 16, 2025	191	@ Wright St.	W	76-75	54%
Dec 20, 2025	244	@ Ball St.	W	75-71	62%
Dec 30, 2025	220	@ Bowling Green	W	75-73	58%
Jan 03, 2026	104	Akron	W	80-79	51%
Jan 06, 2026	286	Western Michigan	W	80-68	85%
Jan 09, 2026	180	@ Toledo	W	78-77	52%
Jan 13, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	79-66	85%
Jan 17, 2026	334	Buffalo	W	84-69	90%
Jan 20, 2026	126	@ Kent St.	L	70-73	40%
Jan 27, 2026	173	Massachusetts	W	79-73	69%
Jan 31, 2026	316	Northern Illinois	W	82-68	88%
Feb 03, 2026	334	@ Buffalo	W	81-72	78%
Feb 14, 2026	145	Ohio	W	80-76	65%
Feb 17, 2026	173	@ Massachusetts	W	77-76	50%
Feb 21, 2026	220	Bowling Green	W	78-70	76%
Feb 24, 2026	291	@ Eastern Michigan	W	78-72	70%
Feb 28, 2026	286	@ Western Michigan	W	77-71	69%
Mar 06, 2026	145	@ Ohio	L	77-79	44%
Projected Record						18 - 8	11 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	1.2	3.5	4.8	3.8	1.4			14.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	2.0	5.1	5.3	2.7	0.5				15.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.1	5.8	5.4	1.9	0.2					15.6	3rd
4th										0.2	1.8	5.4	4.6	1.3	0.1						13.3	4th
5th									0.1	1.3	4.6	3.8	1.0	0.0	0.0						10.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.9	3.7	3.5	1.0	0.0								9.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.0	0.4	2.4	2.8	0.8	0.1									6.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	1.6	2.3	0.8	0.0										5.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	1.0	1.6	0.7	0.1											3.5	9th
10th					0.1	0.6	1.2	0.6	0.1												2.6	10th
11th			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1													1.5	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1														0.9	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0															0.4	13th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.6	3.1	4.4	6.4	8.8	11.1	12.6	13.6	13.0	10.8	7.6	4.3	1.4				Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
16-2	88.3%	3.8		3.0	0.8	0.0
15-3	62.5%	4.8		2.6	1.8	0.3	0.0
14-4	32.6%	3.5		1.2	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	9.2%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	14.8%	14.8		8.3	4.8	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	1.4%		60.3%	58.1%	2.1%	9.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5		5.1%
16-2	4.3%		46.4%	46.2%	0.3%	11.5						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0			2.3		0.5%
15-3	7.6%		36.1%	36.1%		12.1									0.0		0.0	0.6	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0		4.9
14-4	10.8%		29.5%	29.5%		12.6												0.2	1.4	1.3	0.3	0.0		7.6
13-5	13.0%		22.5%	22.5%		13.2												0.0	0.6	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0	10.0
12-6	13.6%		15.1%	15.1%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.0	11.5
11-7	12.6%		10.9%	10.9%		14.1													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	11.3
10-8	11.1%		8.0%	8.0%		14.9													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	10.2
9-9	8.8%		4.7%	4.7%		16.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	8.4
8-10	6.4%		2.5%	2.5%		17.7															0.0	0.1	0.1	6.3
7-11	4.4%		0.5%	0.5%		19.0																0.0	0.0	4.4
6-12	3.1%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		3.1
5-13	1.6%																							1.6
4-14	0.8%																							0.8
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		16.6%	16.5%	0.0%	12.9				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	2.0	4.7	4.7	2.9	1.5	0.4	83.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.3%	100.0%	7.5			1.5	8.6	10.1	23.3	11.6	8.6	8.7	11.5	16.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.1%	24.0%	10.2								4.8		9.5	5.0	4.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.1%	0.2%	10.0										0.2