IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.1	#127
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.7	#246
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#149

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.6	#121

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	17.3%	20.3%	12.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.8	12.6	13.1

.500 or above	85.6%	92.0%	75.5%
.500 or above in Conference	88.2%	92.0%	82.4%
Conference Champion	25.2%	29.8%	18.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.5%	0.4%	0.7%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	17.3%	20.3%	12.7%
Second Round	2.3%	2.9%	1.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	1 - 3
Quad 3	5 - 4	6 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 3	19 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	130	Troy	W	68-65	61%
Nov 07, 2025	165	Cornell	W	79-73	71%
Nov 10, 2025	120	UNC Wilmington	W	70-67	59%
Nov 15, 2025	223	Cleveland St.	W	69-63	70%
Nov 16, 2025	206	Wright St.	W	73-68	67%
Nov 22, 2025	223	Cleveland St.	W	71-62	78%
Dec 03, 2025	272	Austin Peay	W	73-62	84%
Dec 14, 2025	265	@ Portland	W	74-69	66%
Dec 20, 2025	170	@ Massachusetts	W	72-71	50%
Dec 29, 2025	2	@ Purdue	L	57-81	2%
Jan 03, 2026	314	Northern Illinois	W	78-64	88%
Jan 06, 2026	212	Bowling Green	W	74-66	75%
Jan 10, 2026	299	@ Central Michigan	W	72-65	72%
Jan 13, 2026	337	@ Buffalo	W	77-67	80%
Jan 17, 2026	196	Toledo	W	77-70	73%
Jan 20, 2026	125	Miami (OH)	W	73-70	60%
Jan 24, 2026	292	@ Eastern Michigan	W	73-67	71%
Jan 27, 2026	152	Ohio	W	76-71	66%
Jan 31, 2026	108	@ Akron	L	72-77	34%
Feb 03, 2026	196	@ Toledo	W	74-73	55%
Feb 11, 2026	292	Eastern Michigan	W	76-64	85%
Feb 14, 2026	247	@ Ball St.	W	71-67	61%
Feb 17, 2026	212	@ Bowling Green	W	71-69	57%
Feb 24, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	75-62	85%
Feb 28, 2026	108	Akron	W	75-74	53%
Mar 03, 2026	314	@ Northern Illinois	W	75-67	74%
Mar 06, 2026	282	Western Michigan	W	76-64	83%
Projected Record						18 - 9	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.2	1.5	4.4	6.3	6.9	4.5	1.5		25.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	2.1	5.6	6.5	3.4	0.8	0.0			18.6	2nd
3rd											0.2	2.1	5.4	5.2	1.9	0.3					15.0	3rd
4th										0.2	1.6	4.4	4.1	1.1	0.1						11.3	4th
5th									0.0	1.1	3.6	3.2	0.9	0.0							8.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.3	2.6	0.7	0.0								6.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.8	2.1	0.8	0.0									5.0	7th
8th							0.2	1.0	1.7	0.6	0.0										3.5	8th
9th						0.1	0.7	1.2	0.6	0.0											2.6	9th
10th				0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.1												1.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1													1.0	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0														0.6	12th
13th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.2	13th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	2.1	3.1	4.7	6.3	8.9	10.6	12.7	13.3	12.9	10.0	7.7	4.5	1.5			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.5		1.5
17-1	99.8%	4.5		4.2	0.2
16-2	89.7%	6.9		5.4	1.4	0.1
15-3	63.2%	6.3		3.5	2.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	33.9%	4.4		1.7	1.9	0.7	0.1
13-5	10.9%	1.5		0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	25.2%	25.2		16.6	6.7	1.6	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.5%		58.0%	55.2%	2.8%	10.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.0				0.6		6.3%
17-1	4.5%		46.2%	45.7%	0.5%	11.5						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8	0.9	0.2	0.0			2.4		0.9%
16-2	7.7%		38.9%	38.8%	0.1%	12.0											0.0	0.6	1.7	0.6	0.1			4.7		0.1%
15-3	10.0%		30.6%	30.6%		12.5												0.2	1.5	1.1	0.2			6.9
14-4	12.9%		24.5%	24.5%		13.0												0.0	0.9	1.4	0.7	0.1		9.7
13-5	13.3%		14.8%	14.8%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	11.4
12-6	12.7%		12.0%	12.0%		13.8													0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	11.2
11-7	10.6%		8.9%	8.9%		14.8													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	9.6
10-8	8.9%		5.4%	5.4%		15.6													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	8.4
9-9	6.3%		2.9%	2.9%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	6.1
8-10	4.7%		1.7%	1.7%		17.3																0.0	0.1	4.6
7-11	3.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
6-12	2.1%																							2.1
5-13	1.0%																							1.0
4-14	0.6%																							0.6
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		17.3%	17.2%	0.1%	12.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	2.1	5.6	4.9	2.8	1.3	0.3	82.7		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	34.9%	10.9									2.3		32.6