Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 #143
Expected Predictive Rating +4.0 #102
Pace 76.3 #29
Improvement -1.5 #251

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #119 C B- D A C+
Defense #196 C C C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #182 1.16 #166 +0.0 #178
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #266 0.63 #337 -2.6 #304
Three Pointers 45% #89 1.05 #134 +2.9 #88
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #166 +0.3 #165
Freethrows 0.38 #8 75% #87 0.29 #6
Second Chance 34.9% #61 1.08 #122 0.38 #66
Turnovers 19.0% #325
Total Offense +2.0 #119

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #185 1.16 #170 -0.1 #178
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #261 0.67 #49 +1.8 #55
Three Pointers 43% #109 1.07 #262 -2.3 #287
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #199 -0.7 #198
Freethrows 0.33 #262 72% #163 0.23 #256
Second Chance 28.9% #116 1.10 #269 0.32 #183
Turnovers 15.1% #262
Total Defense -0.8 #196

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #116 0.7% #233
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.5% #179 0.6% #197
Possession Length 16.4 #84 16.7 #77
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #208 0.20 #270
Improvement -2.7 #322 +1.2 #104

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.0% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.5 13.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 100.0% 99.6%
Conference Champion 1.8% 8.8% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.1% 9.0% 6.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 38 - 48 - 8
Quad 413 - 221 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 120 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 56% -8  0 - 1 -6 +5 D A- C -11 F C D
 Fri, Nov 7 174 Cornell W 110 - 102 70% +8  1 - 1 +4 +16 A+ A- C -13 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 115 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 54% +8  2 - 1 +9 +10 A+ B- D+ -1 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 319 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 84% +2  3 - 1 -3 +13 C- A C -16 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 16 148 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 52% -2  4 - 1 +5 -2 F A- F +6 B B- D+
 Tue, Nov 18 258 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 82% +16  5 - 1 +6 -0 C C+ F +5 B C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 319 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 89% +14  6 - 1 +7 -1 B D F +6 B- B A-
 Wed, Dec 3 171 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 69% +3  7 - 1 +8 +19 A+ A B -11 F A+ C-
 Sun, Dec 14 218 @Portland L 78 - 88 56% -0  7 - 2 -10 -5 D- B F -4 F+ B+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 170 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 46% +5  8 - 2 1 - 0 +12 -3 D+ C D +15 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 9 @Purdue L 60 - 101 3% -24  8 - 3 -18 -9 D- F D- -5 D A D+
 Sat, Jan 3 309 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 88% +9  9 - 3 2 - 0 -8 -3 D- D D+ -5 F C A+
 Tue, Jan 6 146 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 63% +2  10 - 3 3 - 0 +1 +22 A+ A+ A -21 D F D
 Sat, Jan 10 303 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 73% -1  10 - 4 3 - 1 -7 +7 F A+ F -14 B- F F
 Tue, Jan 13 187 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 50% +7  11 - 4 4 - 1 +7 +11 B- B C- -4 C+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 16 163 Toledo W 87 - 84 67% -0  12 - 4 5 - 1 -0 +7 C B- A+ -8 C F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 93 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 43% -6  12 - 5 5 - 2 -3 +11 B- A+ D- -14 F A F
 Sat, Jan 24 241 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 60% +3  13 - 5 6 - 2 -0 -4 C F F +3 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 215 Ohio W 72 - 57 76% +4  14 - 5 7 - 2 +9 -5 F A- F +14 A+ B D+
 Fri, Jan 30 62 @Akron L 82 - 93 15%
 Tue, Feb 3 163 @Toledo L 83 - 84 45%
 Sat, Feb 7 266 @Southern Miss W 81 - 77 64%
 Wed, Feb 11 241 Eastern Michigan W 81 - 72 78%
 Sat, Feb 14 297 @Ball St. W 77 - 71 71%
 Tue, Feb 17 146 @Bowling Green L 78 - 81 40%
 Tue, Feb 24 303 Central Michigan W 85 - 73 87%
 Sat, Feb 28 62 Akron L 85 - 90 33%
 Tue, Mar 3 309 @Northern Illinois W 82 - 75 73%
 Fri, Mar 6 273 Western Michigan W 86 - 76 84%
Totals 20 - 9 12 - 6 +1 +2 C B- D -1 C C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.3 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.8 2.2 0.4 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 10.3 24.4 22.3 10.4 0.9 69.9 3rd
4th 0.3 4.1 7.0 2.3 0.2 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.3 2.1 8.5 17.9 27.1 24.6 14.6 4.2 0.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 44.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 26.8% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.5
14-4 2.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2
13-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.4 0.7 0.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.7% 23.1% 23.1% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 4.2% 10.8% 10.8% 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.8
14-4 14.6% 9.0% 9.0% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 13.2
13-5 24.6% 9.8% 9.8% 12.9 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 22.2
12-6 27.1% 5.2% 5.2% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 25.7
11-7 17.9% 5.9% 5.9% 13.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 16.9
10-8 8.5% 3.0% 3.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.2
9-9 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 2.1
8-10 0.3% 0.3
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 13.0 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 11.4 63.6 36.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%