Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.8 145
Results Rating +4.1 104
Pace 75.2 30
Improvement -2.7 284

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 139 C- B- D+ A C+
Defense C 179 C C+ C- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 230 D+ 55% 262 -2.1 260
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 236 D+ 35% 276 -1.7 265
Three Pointers 45% 83 C 34% 203 +2.0 112
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 159 C- -2.0 248
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 224
Second Chance B- 34.2% 77 C+ 1.06 135 B- 0.36 75
Turnovers D+ 18.6% 293
Freethrows A 0.38 7 B- 74% 127 A 0.28 9
Total Offense C+ +1.1 139

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 56% 62 D 13.5% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 311 C+ 4.1% 115
Three Pointers C 83% 207 C+ 0.8% 162
Total B- 60% 86 C- 6.1% 233

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 165 C+ 57% 150 -0.1 178
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 272 B- 36% 93 -1.5 67
Three Pointers 43% 106 C- 34% 212 +1.5 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 246 C -0.5 160
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 172
Second Chance C 30.6% 191 C+ 0.99 114 C+ 0.30 154
Turnovers C- 15.8% 241
Freethrows D+ 0.33 260 C 72% 179 C- 0.24 254
Total Defense C -0.2 179

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 167 C- 9.6% 226
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 52 C- 4.5% 198
Three Pointers D- 90% 336 C+ 1.2% 112
Total C- 58% 232 C- 5.0% 217

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 80 16.6 68
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 200 0.20 270
Improvement -3.9 #339 +1.2 #121

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 171 144 120
Results Rating Rank 135 114 94
Conference Record 12 - 6 14 - 4 15 - 3
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 7% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round7% 7% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Central Michigan (Home) - 83.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 310 - 310 - 7
Quad 411 - 222 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 152 Troy L 97 - 103 OT 63% -8  9% 0 - 1 D -9 C+ +2 D- A C F -10 F C- D
 Fri, Nov 7 172 Cornell W 110 - 102 67% +8  98% 1 - 1 C+ +4 A +14 A+ A C+ F -10 F D- A-
 Mon, Nov 10 109 UNC Wilmington W 86 - 77 50% +8  95% 2 - 1 B +10 B+ +9 A+ B- C- C+ +1 A+ D F
 Sat, Nov 15 316 Cleveland St. W 102 - 95 83% +2  72% 3 - 1 C- -3 B+ +8 D A C+ F -11 F+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 16 164 Wright St. W 76 - 72 OT 55% -2  19% 4 - 1 C+ +4 D -5 F A F A- +8 B- C+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 279 Eastern Kentucky W 93 - 78 84% +16  98% 5 - 1 B- +5 D+ -4 D+ B- F+ A- +7 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 22 316 Cleveland St. W 91 - 71 89% +14  96% 6 - 1 B- +7 D -6 B- D+ F A +11 B+ B- A
 Wed, Dec 3 155 Austin Peay W 96 - 84 65% +3  82% 7 - 1 B +9 A+ +16 A+ A C+ D- -8 F A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 14 220 @Portland L 78 - 88 55% -0  40% 7 - 2 D -10 D- -8 F+ B F C -1 F+ A- C
 Sat, Dec 20 185 @Massachusetts W 69 - 59 48% +5  84% 8 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +11 D- -7 D- C D+ A+ +19 A+ A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 7 @Purdue L 60 - 101 2% -24  0% 8 - 3 F+ -17 F -11 D- F+ D+ C- -2 D- A D+
 Sat, Jan 3 323 Northern Illinois W 77 - 73 90% +9  99% 9 - 3 2 - 0 D -9 D -6 F+ D+ D D+ -4 F D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 166 Bowling Green W 96 - 93 66% +2  60% 10 - 3 3 - 0 C -0 A+ +20 A+ A+ A- F -21 F+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 269 @Central Michigan L 85 - 87 65% -1  27% 10 - 4 3 - 1 D+ -5 B- +5 F A+ F F -10 B- F F
 Tue, Jan 13 208 @Buffalo W 87 - 81 52% +7  91% 11 - 4 4 - 1 B- +6 B+ +9 B- A- C C- -2 C+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 16 159 Toledo W 87 - 84 65% -0  42% 12 - 4 5 - 1 C -0 B- +5 C+ C+ A+ D -5 C+ F C
 Tue, Jan 20 84 Miami (OH) L 101 - 107 OT 38% -6  16% 12 - 5 5 - 2 C- -2 A- +10 B- A+ D F -11 F A F
 Sat, Jan 24 250 @Eastern Michigan W 76 - 75 2OT 60% +3  76% 13 - 5 6 - 2 C -1 D -6 C F F B +5 A+ C+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 209 Ohio W 72 - 57 73% +4  79% 14 - 5 7 - 2 B +9 F+ -9 F A F A+ +18 A+ B+ D+
 Fri, Jan 30 79 @Akron L 52 - 69 18% -11  0% 14 - 6 7 - 3 D+ -7 F -20 F C- F+ A+ +13 B- A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 159 @Toledo W 75 - 72 42% -6  6% 15 - 6 8 - 3 B- +6 C +0 F B+ C+ B+ +6 B- B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 241 @Southern Miss L 65 - 66 58% -0  33% 15 - 7 C- -2 D+ -4 F C+ A- C+ +1 B+ C- D
 Wed, Feb 11 250 Eastern Michigan W 95 - 91 80% -2  35% 16 - 7 9 - 3 C- -4 A+ +18 A- A+ A- F -22 F D+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 313 @Ball St. W 75 - 68 75% +6  96% 17 - 7 10 - 3 C +1 D+ -3 C D- D B +4 B- B- D-
 Tue, Feb 17 166 @Bowling Green W 78 - 71 43% +3  61% 18 - 7 11 - 3 B +10 C+ +3 B- F A B+ +6 A B- C+
 Tue, Feb 24 269 Central Michigan W 83 - 73 83%
 Sat, Feb 28 79 Akron L 83 - 87 36%
 Tue, Mar 3 323 @Northern Illinois W 80 - 72 78%
 Fri, Mar 6 288 Western Michigan W 86 - 75 86%
Totals 21 - 8 14 - 4 +1 C+ +1 A+ C- C+ C +0 C B- A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ D+ C C- 37% 33% 45% C+ C- B- C+ B- D+ A B- A C C+ B- C- C 39% 18% 43% D+ C C C+ C+ C- D+ C C-
1.10 55% 35% 34% -2 0 0.99 34% 1.1 .36 19% .38 74% .28 1.09 57% 36% 34% -1 0 1.02 31% 1.0 .30 16% .33 72% .28
Nov
3		 Troy C+ F F A+ D- 35% 23% 42% C- D- A+ C A C A+ B+ A+ F C- C- F F 50% 9% 41% D- F A+ F C- D F D+ F
1.13 36% 29% 42% -5 0 0.92 44% 1.0 .46 16% .46 76% .35 1.20 59% 40% 46% +8 +2 1.22 21% 1.7 .34 14% .45 76% .34
Nov
7		 Cornell A A- C A+ A+ 31% 9% 59% C+ A+ B+ A- A C+ A+ D- A+ F D+ F F F 26% 6% 69% B- F F C+ D- A- F+ D F+
1.39 71% 40% 50% +18 +1 1.41 38% 1.3 .48 14% .48 67% .32 1.29 64% 67% 46% +15 +1 1.35 39% 1.1 .42 22% .35 77% .27
Nov
10		 UNC Wilmington B+ A+ F A+ A+ 23% 15% 63% B A+ D+ A+ B- C- A+ D A+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% F A+ D+ D- D F A D+ A-
1.19 82% 29% 43% +13 0 1.27 23% 1.4 .33 15% .39 71% .28 1.07 42% 44% 19% -15 +2 0.75 35% 1.2 .42 10% .28 72% .20
Nov
15		 Cleveland St. B+ B+ F+ F D- 46% 12% 42% B D B- A+ A C+ A+ D+ A+ F D- B- F F 22% 12% 66% C F+ F C- F B- F D F
1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52 1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39
Nov
16		 Wright St. D D D+ F F 46% 15% 38% B F A+ C+ A F A+ A A+ A- F C- A+ B- 37% 28% 35% B+ B- A F C+ D+ C+ A+ B+
1.03 54% 38% 20% -10 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .45 24% .47 81% .38 0.98 70% 40% 21% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 15% .30 63% .19
Nov
18		 Eastern Kentucky D+ C+ F C- D 48% 12% 40% A- D+ C- A- B- F+ A+ D A+ A- C+ D A B+ 23% 13% 64% D- B C- C+ C A+ F A F+
1.14 64% 33% 33% +2 +2 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 20% .56 70% .40 0.96 54% 43% 28% -6 0 0.89 33% 1.1 .35 23% .38 63% .24
Nov
22		 Cleveland St. D D+ F A+ B- 30% 7% 63% B- B- B- F D+ F D- D+ D- A A+ F C A 48% 14% 39% F B+ A+ F B- A F B- F
1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19 0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37
Dec
3		 Austin Peay A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ F+ A+ A C+ A+ B- A+ D- B- D+ F F 41% 9% 50% F+ F C- A+ A+ D+ B B+ B+
1.31 68% 40% 54% +19 +1 1.44 23% 1.7 .38 18% .53 72% .38 1.14 52% 40% 46% +7 +2 1.20 30% 0.5 .16 15% .26 69% .18
Dec
14		 Portland D- C+ F F F 45% 18% 37% B- F+ B+ C B F A+ A+ A+ C D- F+ C- F+ 47% 18% 35% D+ F+ A- C+ A- C C- A C+
0.96 59% 22% 22% -9 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .42 29% .49 86% .42 1.08 68% 45% 33% +6 +1 1.15 23% 1.1 .26 20% .32 67% .21
Dec
20		 Massachusetts D- F A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C- D- D A C D+ F B+ F+ A+ B A+ F A+ 40% 32% 28% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F D- F
0.98 50% 67% 25% -4 0 0.94 23% 1.3 .29 18% .29 76% .23 0.83 53% 0% 46% -9 -1 0.81 22% 0.8 .17 20% .42 71% .30
Dec
29		 Purdue F A F F D- 18% 36% 46% F+ D- F+ F F+ D+ B- A+ B+ C- D F D F+ 25% 26% 49% B+ D- A+ F A D+ C+ F D
0.79 70% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.80 15% 0.8 .13 20% .23 79% .18 1.33 71% 73% 39% +16 -2 1.32 21% 1.5 .32 11% .28 89% .25
Jan
3		 Northern Illinois D B- A+ F F+ 38% 18% 44% D+ F+ B- F D+ D A+ B+ A+ D+ D+ A- F F 29% 17% 55% A- F F B D+ A+ F B+ F
1.05 65% 50% 20% -5 0 0.93 35% 0.8 .30 19% .68 78% .52 1.00 58% 29% 43% +6 0 1.14 40% 0.7 .29 30% .59 60% .35
Jan
6		 Bowling Green A+ A B A+ A+ 42% 13% 45% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A- C- A+ B+ F C A+ F D- 53% 9% 38% F+ F+ F F F F+ F F F
1.36 68% 43% 42% +10 +1 1.25 34% 1.5 .52 14% .31 89% .28 1.32 56% 25% 44% +4 +3 1.15 44% 1.2 .52 13% .51 87% .44
Jan
10		 Central Michigan B- D- F D F 38% 15% 47% C F A+ A A+ F D- C D F C+ C- A- B- 34% 29% 37% B- B- F F F F F+ C F+
1.17 52% 13% 31% -8 +1 0.87 50% 1.4 .68 21% .30 71% .21 1.20 55% 41% 27% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.4 .52 10% .35 70% .24
Jan
13		 Buffalo B+ B+ F A+ B- 44% 16% 40% C+ B- B- A A- C B B B+ C- C A+ F C+ 38% 22% 40% B- C+ A+ F B- F F+ B D-
1.24 68% 13% 45% +7 +1 1.18 36% 1.2 .42 17% .31 78% .24 1.15 57% 25% 41% +1 0 1.04 15% 1.7 .26 7% .41 70% .29
Jan
16		 Toledo B- B+ C+ C- C 45% 11% 45% B C+ B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ C A+ D B A+ F B+ 53% 13% 35% F C+ C- F F C F A- F
1.21 67% 40% 33% +4 +2 1.13 41% 0.9 .38 13% .57 72% .41 1.17 52% 29% 42% 0 +2 1.05 29% 1.4 .41 15% .48 69% .33
Jan
20		 Miami (OH) A- B+ B- D+ C 43% 13% 45% A- B- A+ B A+ D A+ B+ A+ F F F B F 40% 15% 45% D+ F C A+ A F F A+ D
1.23 67% 43% 32% +3 +1 1.11 44% 1.0 .44 19% .47 81% .38 1.30 84% 67% 32% +13 +1 1.31 24% 0.7 .16 7% .44 65% .29
Jan
24		 Eastern Michigan D C+ D+ B C+ 32% 26% 42% D- C C F F F A+ B+ A+ B F A+ A+ A+ 33% 35% 32% A- A+ D A- C+ F C+ F D
0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37 0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22
Jan
27		 Ohio F+ F A+ F F 52% 7% 40% A F A+ C+ A F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 9% 49% F A+ B A- B+ D+ B C B
1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50 0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19
Jan
30		 Akron F F+ F F F 42% 22% 36% C F A+ F C- F+ A+ F B+ A+ B+ F B- B- 29% 17% 54% B+ B- A A+ A+ B+ B A+ A-
0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24 1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Toledo C F F+ C- F 31% 24% 44% F+ F A- C+ B+ C+ A+ C A+ B+ B- F B+ B 49% 21% 30% F+ B- D A+ B+ C- B- D- C+
1.10 41% 31% 33% -8 -1 0.85 42% 1.1 .44 18% .37 71% .27 1.06 54% 55% 31% 0 +1 1.04 32% 0.7 .22 15% .26 80% .21
Feb
7		 Southern Miss D+ F A+ F F 34% 16% 50% C F C+ C C+ A- D+ F F C+ A+ B- B A- 38% 32% 30% C B+ F A- C- D F D F
1.00 41% 63% 28% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 14% .32 44% .14 1.02 44% 33% 29% -9 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 17% .44 79% .35
Feb
11		 Eastern Michigan A+ F A+ A+ A 28% 26% 47% F+ A- B- A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F F F D F 33% 33% 33% B+ F F A+ D+ C+ A F+ B+
1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47 1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14
Feb
14		 Ball St. D+ F+ A+ B C- 40% 12% 48% B+ C D D D- D A+ F A- B A A+ C B+ 49% 9% 42% F B- B+ C B- D- F D+ F
1.03 50% 50% 38% +1 +1 1.06 29% 0.9 .26 21% .40 70% .28 0.94 42% 0% 32% -13 +2 0.81 20% 0.9 .18 14% .48 73% .35
Feb
17		 Bowling Green C+ F B A B 29% 16% 56% C- B- D+ F F A A+ C- A+ B+ A- B- A+ A+ 59% 6% 35% F A B- C+ B- C+ F B F
1.08 46% 43% 40% +2 0 1.07 26% 0.3 .08 14% .64 70% .45 0.98 48% 33% 24% -12 +3 0.86 25% 0.8 .20 18% .60 69% .42



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 6.2 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.5 5.6 25.4 46.6 14.9 93.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.5 5.6 25.4 47.1 21.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 21.3% 9.7% 9.7% 12.5 0.0 1.1 0.9 0.1 19.3
14-4 47.1% 7.1% 7.1% 13.2 0.4 2.0 0.9 0.0 43.8
13-5 25.4% 6.0% 6.0% 13.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 23.9
12-6 5.6% 5.0% 5.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.3
11-7 0.5% 3.7% 3.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 13.1 92.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 12.5 0.7 51.6 44.6 3.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.2%
Lose Out 0.3%