Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.9 #131
Expected Predictive Rating +4.3 #106
Pace 79.7 #14
Improvement -1.0 #244

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #121 B- A+ B F B-
Defense #161 D+ D+ B- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #211 1.16 #185 -0.8 #215
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #288 0.66 #284 -2.7 #302
Three Pointers 48% #58 1.13 #58 +6.2 #29
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #106 +2.7 #107
Freethrows 21.8 #19 77% #66 16.7 #14
Second Chance 32.4% #127 1.15 #66 0.37 #80
Turnovers 19.8% #319
Total Offense +1.9 #121

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #196 1.13 #140 +0.9 #153
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #243 0.81 #260 +0.2 #179
Three Pointers 44% #118 1.12 #306 -3.7 #306
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #255 -2.6 #257
Freethrows 18.4 #236 75% #269 13.7 #258
Second Chance 25.5% #35 1.13 #280 0.29 #113
Turnovers 16.4% #197
Total Defense +0.1 #161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #106 0.5% #217
Shot Type Make Effect 4% #119 4.4% #250
Possession Length 15.6 #46 16.6 #96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #94 0.23 #324
Improvement -3.8 #359 +2.8 #25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 9.7% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 13.0
.500 or above 98.2% 98.7% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 93.7% 76.4%
Conference Champion 12.9% 13.8% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 1.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.4% 9.7% 6.2%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 91.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 37 - 48 - 8
Quad 412 - 220 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 137 Troy L 97-103 OT 63%     -7.7   0 - 1 -7.5 +6.3 -12.7
  Fri, Nov 7 159 Cornell W 110-102 68%     8.2   1 - 1 +5.1 +17.4 -13.3
  Mon, Nov 10 119 UNC Wilmington W 86-77 58%     8.5   2 - 1 +9.0 +9.3 -0.5
  Sat, Nov 15 326 Cleveland St. W 102-95 87%     1.7   3 - 1 -3.0 +12.9 -16.4
  Sun, Nov 16 141 Wright St. W 76-72 OT 54%     -1.9   4 - 1 +5.0 +0.4 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 18 256 Eastern Kentucky W 93-78 83%     15.6   5 - 1 +6.7 +2.0 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 22 326 Cleveland St. W 91-71 91%     14.3   6 - 1 +7.0 -1.0 +6.0
  Wed, Dec 3 196 Austin Peay W 96-84 76%     3.1   7 - 1 +6.6 +18.8 -12.8
  Sun, Dec 14 254 @Portland L 78-88 66%     -0.3   7 - 2 -12.3 -6.5 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 20 170 @Massachusetts W 69-59 49%     5.4   8 - 2 1 - 0 +12.1 -1.5 +13.6
  Mon, Dec 29 3 @Purdue L 60-101 3%     -23.5   8 - 3 -15.6 -7.5 -4.9
  Sat, Jan 3 322 Northern Illinois W 90-75 92%    
  Tue, Jan 6 126 Bowling Green W 80-77 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 333 @Central Michigan W 84-74 81%    
  Tue, Jan 13 195 @Buffalo W 82-81 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 172 Toledo W 88-82 71%    
  Tue, Jan 20 100 Miami (OH) L 86-87 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 206 @Eastern Michigan W 78-76 58%    
  Tue, Jan 27 177 Ohio W 86-80 72%    
  Fri, Jan 30 59 @Akron L 85-95 18%    
  Tue, Feb 3 172 @Toledo L 84-85 50%    
  Wed, Feb 11 206 Eastern Michigan W 81-73 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 303 @Ball St. W 79-72 74%    
  Tue, Feb 17 126 @Bowling Green L 77-80 39%    
  Tue, Feb 24 333 Central Michigan W 87-71 92%    
  Sat, Feb 28 59 Akron L 88-92 36%    
  Tue, Mar 3 322 @Northern Illinois W 87-78 78%    
  Fri, Mar 6 272 Western Michigan W 87-76 85%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 3.1 4.5 3.1 1.3 0.2 12.9 1st
2nd 0.2 3.0 7.7 7.6 2.8 0.4 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.4 8.7 6.3 1.9 0.1 20.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 6.8 4.9 0.8 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.0 0.5 7.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.7 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.6 2.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.4 8.0 12.0 14.4 17.4 15.6 12.6 7.4 3.4 1.3 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 88.7% 3.1    2.3 0.8 0.0
15-3 60.7% 4.5    2.4 1.8 0.3
14-4 24.5% 3.1    0.9 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 5.1% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.9% 12.9 7.0 4.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.3% 25.2% 25.2% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.0
16-2 3.4% 24.1% 24.1% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6
15-3 7.4% 19.9% 19.9% 12.5 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 5.9
14-4 12.6% 13.0% 13.0% 12.8 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.2 11.0
13-5 15.6% 12.4% 12.4% 13.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 13.7
12-6 17.4% 8.8% 8.8% 13.2 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 15.8
11-7 14.4% 6.5% 6.5% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 13.5
10-8 12.0% 3.5% 3.5% 13.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.6
9-9 8.0% 2.1% 2.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.8
8-10 4.4% 1.6% 1.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 4.3
7-11 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 2.1
6-12 0.9% 0.9
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 90.6 0.0%