Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#137
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#142
Pace64.7#289
Improvement-0.1#183

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#112
First Shot+4.2#60
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#295
Layup/Dunks-4.6#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#66
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement-0.2#205

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot+0.8#141
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#242
Layups/Dunks+2.6#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#35
Freethrows-2.8#316
Improvement+0.1#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 10.9% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.9 13.9
.500 or above 78.6% 84.6% 65.9%
.500 or above in Conference 79.3% 82.5% 72.5%
Conference Champion 9.5% 11.4% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round9.4% 10.7% 6.7%
Second Round1.5% 1.8% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 46 - 10
Quad 412 - 318 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 59-73 14%     0 - 1 -0.1 -3.4 +2.7
  Nov 22, 2021 163   James Madison W 74-69 57%     1 - 1 +5.2 +2.6 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2021 262   George Washington W 77-69 77%     2 - 1 +2.4 +11.4 -8.2
  Nov 24, 2021 123   East Tennessee St. L 51-57 47%     2 - 2 -3.2 -14.2 +10.4
  Dec 06, 2021 164   Towson W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 09, 2021 231   Detroit Mercy W 77-69 78%    
  Dec 12, 2021 45   @ West Virginia L 63-74 16%    
  Dec 19, 2021 292   Southern W 76-64 87%    
  Dec 21, 2021 166   Cleveland St. W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 28, 2021 304   Central Michigan W 80-67 88%    
  Jan 01, 2022 117   Toledo W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 04, 2022 214   @ Ball St. W 74-73 56%    
  Jan 08, 2022 76   @ Ohio L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 11, 2022 312   Northern Illinois W 72-59 89%    
  Jan 14, 2022 165   Akron W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 18, 2022 260   @ Eastern Michigan W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 22, 2022 72   @ Buffalo L 73-81 24%    
  Jan 25, 2022 296   Western Michigan W 75-63 86%    
  Jan 29, 2022 224   @ Bowling Green W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 01, 2022 136   @ Miami (OH) L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 260   Eastern Michigan W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 08, 2022 224   Bowling Green W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 12, 2022 165   @ Akron L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 15, 2022 117   @ Toledo L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 19, 2022 76   Ohio L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 22, 2022 214   Ball St. W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 26, 2022 304   @ Central Michigan W 77-70 74%    
  Mar 01, 2022 312   @ Northern Illinois W 69-62 74%    
  Mar 04, 2022 72   Buffalo L 76-78 43%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.7 0.6 0.2 9.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.8 3.1 0.7 0.0 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 4.3 5.9 3.0 0.3 15.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 4.9 5.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 5.3 1.8 0.2 14.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.0 3.9 3.9 1.1 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.7 2.6 1.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.3 1.3 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 2.2 3.7 5.5 7.5 9.3 12.1 12.7 12.5 11.4 9.2 6.2 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 98.5% 1.7    1.4 0.2 0.0
17-3 78.6% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
16-4 43.9% 2.7    1.3 1.1 0.3
15-5 14.0% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0
14-6 2.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.4 3.0 1.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 88.0% 61.4% 26.5% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 68.8%
19-1 0.6% 46.0% 34.7% 11.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 17.2%
18-2 1.7% 46.5% 41.8% 4.7% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 8.1%
17-3 3.4% 26.5% 23.4% 3.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.5 4.0%
16-4 6.2% 26.2% 26.2% 12.7 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.6
15-5 9.2% 16.5% 16.5% 13.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 7.7
14-6 11.4% 10.9% 10.9% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.2
13-7 12.5% 10.6% 10.6% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.1
12-8 12.7% 6.0% 6.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 11.9
11-9 12.1% 3.6% 3.6% 14.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 11.7
10-10 9.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.0
9-11 7.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.3
8-12 5.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 3.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.7
6-14 2.2% 2.2
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.6% 9.3% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.1 2.2 1.2 0.3 90.4 0.3%