Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#267
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#295
Pace70.1#154
Improvement+0.3#170

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#251
First Shot+1.2#143
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#350
Layup/Dunks-0.5#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#201
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement-1.0#262

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#274
First Shot-2.3#248
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#237
Layups/Dunks-2.0#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows-1.3#267
Improvement+1.3#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.4% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 21.7% 25.2% 9.1%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 46.1% 33.0%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.4% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 7.7% 12.3%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
First Round1.8% 2.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 78.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 72 - 9
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 250   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 34%     0 - 1 -10.7 -8.5 -1.7
  Nov 08, 2024 134   Davidson L 85-91 33%     0 - 2 -7.6 +3.4 -10.5
  Nov 16, 2024 27   @ Michigan St. L 72-86 3%     0 - 3 +2.3 +6.6 -4.2
  Nov 19, 2024 308   Niagara W 76-68 67%     1 - 3 -2.6 +6.5 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2024 333   @ Bellarmine L 68-80 53%     1 - 4 -18.9 -8.0 -11.2
  Nov 29, 2024 210   Weber St. L 70-73 36%     1 - 5 -5.3 -3.9 -1.4
  Nov 30, 2024 218   New Mexico St. W 61-60 39%     2 - 5 -2.1 -9.7 +7.6
  Dec 07, 2024 340   Morgan St. W 80-72 78%    
  Dec 14, 2024 292   @ UMKC L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 21, 2024 133   St. Thomas L 72-76 34%    
  Jan 03, 2025 131   Akron L 74-78 34%    
  Jan 07, 2025 271   @ Western Michigan L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 270   @ Ball St. L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 14, 2025 331   Buffalo W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 299   Eastern Michigan W 72-68 66%    
  Jan 21, 2025 198   @ Miami (OH) L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 24, 2025 203   Toledo L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 28, 2025 110   @ Kent St. L 60-73 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 196   @ Central Michigan L 68-75 25%    
  Feb 04, 2025 338   Northern Illinois W 76-68 76%    
  Feb 11, 2025 157   Ohio L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 18, 2025 110   Kent St. L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 203   @ Toledo L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 25, 2025 299   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-71 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 270   Ball St. W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 04, 2025 338   @ Northern Illinois W 73-71 56%    
  Mar 07, 2025 271   Western Michigan W 75-72 60%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.5 1.9 0.2 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.9 4.1 0.8 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.0 5.5 8.5 11.2 13.1 13.9 12.9 10.8 8.2 5.6 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.5% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 77.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 41.5% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 30.0% 30.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 17.6% 17.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 15.2% 15.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.7% 10.5% 10.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.2% 9.6% 9.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.9
12-6 5.6% 6.0% 6.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.3
11-7 8.2% 4.2% 4.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.9
10-8 10.8% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.1 0.4 10.4
9-9 12.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.7
8-10 13.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.7
7-11 13.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-13 8.5% 8.5
4-14 5.5% 5.5
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 97.9 0.0%