Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#149
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#87
Pace71.0#123
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#211
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#116
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 10.3% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 13.7
.500 or above 74.4% 77.5% 54.9%
.500 or above in Conference 71.0% 73.0% 58.2%
Conference Champion 11.8% 12.8% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.5% 3.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round9.5% 10.3% 4.5%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 86.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 412 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 261   Texas St. W 83-48 78%     1 - 0 +26.8 +6.6 +20.0
  Nov 09, 2025 321   Le Moyne W 80-68 86%    
  Nov 15, 2025 142   @ Davidson L 68-71 39%    
  Nov 19, 2025 222   William & Mary W 80-74 72%    
  Nov 24, 2025 265   Bucknell W 74-68 69%    
  Nov 26, 2025 276   VMI W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 01, 2025 58   @ Kansas St. L 67-79 14%    
  Dec 06, 2025 119   Utah Valley W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 16, 2025 350   Chicago St. W 83-69 90%    
  Dec 20, 2025 139   @ Ohio L 73-77 38%    
  Dec 30, 2025 112   Miami (OH) L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 03, 2026 192   @ Massachusetts L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 06, 2026 135   @ Kent St. L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 10, 2026 95   Akron L 75-78 42%    
  Jan 17, 2026 253   Eastern Michigan W 75-67 74%    
  Jan 20, 2026 274   @ Western Michigan W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 24, 2026 196   @ Toledo L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 27, 2026 320   Buffalo W 81-69 84%    
  Jan 31, 2026 271   @ Central Michigan W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 03, 2026 223   Ball St. W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 11, 2026 299   @ Northern Illinois W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 14, 2026 196   Toledo W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 17, 2026 135   Kent St. W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 21, 2026 112   @ Miami (OH) L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 24, 2026 274   Western Michigan W 76-67 76%    
  Feb 28, 2026 192   Massachusetts W 76-71 68%    
  Mar 06, 2026 253   @ Eastern Michigan W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.1 3.2 3.2 2.7 1.1 0.2 11.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.7 3.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.3 4.7 4.1 0.9 0.1 12.6 3rd
4th 0.3 2.5 4.9 2.7 0.5 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.9 0.6 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.4 3.3 0.6 9.6 6th
7th 0.6 3.8 4.0 0.5 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.3 2.3 3.3 0.8 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 2.5 0.9 4.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.0 0.2 4.8 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.2 3.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.2 5.4 6.5 9.5 11.0 11.0 11.2 10.4 10.5 7.7 4.7 3.0 1.2 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 96.8% 1.1    1.1 0.1
16-2 89.9% 2.7    2.2 0.6
15-3 67.8% 3.2    2.1 1.0 0.1
14-4 41.2% 3.2    1.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
13-5 10.2% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.8% 11.8 6.9 3.7 0.8 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 11.3 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.2% 45.2% 38.8% 6.5% 11.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 10.6%
16-2 3.0% 43.8% 43.8% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.7
15-3 4.7% 26.6% 26.6% 12.3 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.5
14-4 7.7% 24.0% 24.0% 12.7 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 5.9
13-5 10.5% 16.4% 16.4% 13.2 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.7
12-6 10.4% 9.9% 9.9% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 9.4
11-7 11.2% 6.8% 6.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 10.4
10-8 11.0% 4.2% 4.2% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.6
9-9 11.0% 2.8% 2.8% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 10.7
8-10 9.5% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.1 0.0 9.4
7-11 6.5% 6.5
6-12 5.4% 5.4
5-13 4.2% 4.2
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.5% 9.4% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.9 2.8 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.4 90.5 0.1%