Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#313
Expected Predictive Rating-11.8#338
Pace70.0#141
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#303
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 12.4% 20.4% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 24.8% 32.6% 19.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.8% 15.2% 25.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Home) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 72 - 11
Quad 47 - 89 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 203   @ Georgia Southern L 65-80 19%     0 - 1 -13.9 -11.4 -1.5
  Nov 12, 2024 226   Monmouth L 71-73 43%    
  Nov 16, 2024 86   @ Bradley L 61-79 5%    
  Nov 20, 2024 279   Elon W 73-72 54%    
  Nov 23, 2024 137   @ DePaul L 67-79 13%    
  Nov 27, 2024 257   @ Valparaiso L 69-75 29%    
  Nov 29, 2024 335   @ Eastern Illinois L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 07, 2024 114   @ Northern Iowa L 63-78 10%    
  Dec 18, 2024 220   @ Illinois St. L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 04, 2025 299   @ Eastern Michigan L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 07, 2025 117   Kent St. L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 127   @ Ohio L 67-80 13%    
  Jan 14, 2025 186   Miami (OH) L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 253   Central Michigan L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 21, 2025 312   @ Western Michigan L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 236   Ball St. L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 28, 2025 130   Akron L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 178   @ Toledo L 71-81 19%    
  Feb 04, 2025 268   @ Bowling Green L 69-75 32%    
  Feb 11, 2025 327   Buffalo W 77-72 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 236   @ Ball St. L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 18, 2025 130   @ Akron L 62-75 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 299   Eastern Michigan W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 186   @ Miami (OH) L 66-76 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 312   Western Michigan W 73-70 59%    
  Mar 04, 2025 268   Bowling Green W 72-71 51%    
  Mar 07, 2025 253   @ Central Michigan L 64-71 30%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.7 0.9 0.1 6.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 3.7 1.5 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.0 2.9 0.4 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.2 3.8 5.2 3.3 0.6 0.0 14.3 11th
12th 0.7 2.7 4.1 3.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.5 12th
Total 0.7 2.9 5.3 8.3 10.6 12.5 12.6 11.6 10.6 8.4 6.4 4.3 2.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 61.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 38.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 4.4% 4.4% 13.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.2% 23.7% 23.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.9% 12.2% 12.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.5% 8.3% 8.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4
12-6 2.9% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.7
11-7 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.1
10-8 6.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 6.2
9-9 8.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.3
8-10 10.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.6
7-11 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
5-13 12.5% 12.5
4-14 10.6% 10.6
3-15 8.3% 8.3
2-16 5.3% 5.3
1-17 2.9% 2.9
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%