Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#329
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#270
Pace70.3#165
Improvement-3.4#355

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#269
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#179
Layup/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
Freethrows-1.0#227
Improvement-2.3#340

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#350
First Shot-2.8#266
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#334
Layups/Dunks-2.0#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#236
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement-1.1#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 16.0 15.5
.500 or above 1.2% 5.0% 1.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 13.1% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.2% 26.6% 38.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 72 - 14
Quad 46 - 67 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 360 Louisiana Monroe W 102-82 77%     1 - 0 +2.4 +13.9 -12.8
  Fri, Nov 7 36 @Wisconsin L 72-97 2%     1 - 1 -9.3 +2.7 -10.9
  Mon, Nov 10 95 @Grand Canyon L 59-88 6%     1 - 2 -20.8 -8.7 -11.3
  Tue, Nov 18 92 @Northern Iowa L 57-70 5%     1 - 3 -4.4 -1.5 -4.5
  Fri, Nov 21 262 @Loyola Chicago W 76-59 25%     2 - 3 +14.4 +11.3 +5.5
  Tue, Nov 25 173 @Austin Peay L 59-77 14%     2 - 4 -16.2 -5.4 -12.3
  Tue, Dec 2 252 Lindenwood L 64-99 43%     2 - 5 -42.8 -14.4 -26.4
  Sat, Dec 6 122 @Bradley L 65-81 7%    
  Sat, Dec 13 207 @Elon L 74-84 18%    
  Sat, Dec 20 310 Central Michigan W 75-74 55%    
  Tue, Dec 30 210 Buffalo L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Jan 3 124 @Kent St. L 73-89 8%    
  Tue, Jan 6 170 Toledo L 76-82 30%    
  Tue, Jan 13 200 @Eastern Michigan L 67-77 18%    
  Sat, Jan 17 183 Massachusetts L 75-80 32%    
  Tue, Jan 20 211 @Ohio L 74-84 19%    
  Sat, Jan 24 305 @Ball St. L 69-74 32%    
  Tue, Jan 27 275 Western Michigan L 75-76 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 126 @Miami (OH) L 71-86 9%    
  Wed, Feb 11 117 Bowling Green L 69-79 18%    
  Sat, Feb 14 310 @Central Michigan L 72-77 34%    
  Tue, Feb 17 210 @Buffalo L 71-81 20%    
  Sat, Feb 21 211 Ohio L 77-81 38%    
  Tue, Feb 24 170 @Toledo L 73-85 15%    
  Sat, Feb 28 305 Ball St. W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 124 Kent St. L 76-86 20%    
  Fri, Mar 6 54 @Akron L 71-94 2%    
Projected Record 7 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.6 1.0 0.1 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.3 2.2 0.3 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.1 5.9 1.5 0.1 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 4.8 7.2 2.4 0.1 15.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 6.1 8.2 3.4 0.4 0.0 20.0 12th
13th 1.3 4.8 8.1 7.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 24.9 13th
Total 1.3 5.0 9.9 14.5 16.3 15.8 13.3 9.8 6.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 18.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 5.8% 5.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.4% 0.4
11-7 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.0
8-10 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
7-11 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 13.3% 13.3
5-13 15.8% 15.8
4-14 16.3% 16.3
3-15 14.5% 14.5
2-16 9.9% 9.9
1-17 5.0% 5.0
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%