Ball St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#288
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#330
Pace65.6#285
Improvement-1.6#303

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#258
First Shot-1.2#205
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#309
Layup/Dunks-0.4#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#110
Freethrows-1.6#284
Improvement-1.2#288

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#308
First Shot-2.8#278
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#261
Layups/Dunks-1.6#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#346
Freethrows+3.2#21
Improvement-0.4#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 7.5% 11.2% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 18.7% 22.7% 14.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 21.0% 31.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 47 - 89 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 325 Louisiana W 75-64 68%     1 - 0 -0.7 +5.7 -5.4
  Tue, Nov 11 34 @Wisconsin L 55-86 3%     1 - 1 -15.2 -9.4 -6.6
  Sat, Nov 15 248 Arkansas Little Rock L 62-68 54%     1 - 2 -14.0 -11.2 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 22 195 @Indiana St. L 52-70 23%     1 - 3 -17.3 -14.3 -4.4
  Fri, Nov 28 200 Monmouth L 73-80 33%     1 - 4 -9.5 +3.2 -13.0
  Sat, Nov 29 338 @Lafayette W 71-70 54%    
  Sun, Nov 30 328 Le Moyne W 75-73 58%    
  Wed, Dec 3 291 @Evansville L 68-71 40%    
  Tue, Dec 9 152 South Dakota St. L 69-73 36%    
  Sun, Dec 14 224 @Campbell L 71-77 28%    
  Sat, Dec 20 122 Miami (OH) L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 227 @Buffalo L 70-76 29%    
  Tue, Jan 6 202 Eastern Michigan L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 177 @Massachusetts L 69-78 22%    
  Tue, Jan 13 59 @Akron L 69-88 4%    
  Fri, Jan 16 209 Ohio L 74-75 47%    
  Tue, Jan 20 304 @Central Michigan L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 282 Northern Illinois W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 31 171 @Toledo L 71-80 22%    
  Tue, Feb 3 141 @Bowling Green L 65-76 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 227 Buffalo L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 124 Kent St. L 74-81 28%    
  Tue, Feb 17 209 @Ohio L 71-78 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 59 Akron L 72-85 12%    
  Tue, Feb 24 177 Massachusetts L 72-75 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 282 @Northern Illinois L 71-74 38%    
  Tue, Mar 3 246 @Western Michigan L 70-75 32%    
  Fri, Mar 6 304 Central Michigan W 72-68 63%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.0 1.1 0.1 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.9 2.2 0.2 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.4 3.6 5.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.9 2.1 0.1 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.4 3.3 0.2 13.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.6 6.1 4.0 0.5 0.0 15.2 12th
13th 0.7 2.5 4.8 5.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 16.6 13th
Total 0.7 2.5 5.6 9.4 12.0 14.4 14.1 12.5 10.2 7.6 5.3 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 32.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 6.3% 6.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 6.5% 6.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.6% 3.7% 3.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
11-7 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
10-8 5.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.2
9-9 7.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.5
8-10 10.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.2
7-11 12.5% 12.5
6-12 14.1% 14.1
5-13 14.4% 14.4
4-14 12.0% 12.0
3-15 9.4% 9.4
2-16 5.6% 5.6
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%