Ohio
Mid-American
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#228
Pace66.3#250
Improvement-0.1#217

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#132
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#116
Layup/Dunks-0.8#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#70
Freethrows-1.8#283
Improvement+0.0#164

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#216
First Shot-1.2#208
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#204
Layups/Dunks-0.5#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows+0.1#181
Improvement-0.1#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 6.9% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 69.8% 84.6% 62.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 83.6% 74.0%
Conference Champion 4.7% 6.9% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round4.7% 6.6% 3.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Away) - 31.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 11
Quad 413 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 157   @ Belmont L 69-70 37%     0 - 1 +2.6 -4.2 +6.8
  Nov 12, 2022 181   Cleveland St. W 81-70 66%     1 - 1 +7.1 +15.2 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2022 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 74-88 42%     1 - 2 -11.8 -4.4 -7.1
  Nov 20, 2022 54   @ Michigan L 66-70 OT 13%     1 - 3 +8.3 -3.8 +12.1
  Nov 25, 2022 357   Eastern Illinois W 78-67 95%     2 - 3 -7.6 +0.8 -7.8
  Nov 27, 2022 355   Alabama St. W 72-58 94%     3 - 3 -3.8 -1.7 -1.1
  Dec 03, 2022 91   @ Marshall L 69-83 21%     3 - 4 -5.4 +1.2 -7.0
  Dec 11, 2022 138   @ Youngstown St. L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 14, 2022 56   Florida L 69-78 20%    
  Dec 17, 2022 225   Stetson W 75-69 72%    
  Dec 21, 2022 201   @ Delaware L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 30, 2022 352   Chicago St. W 81-64 94%    
  Jan 03, 2023 159   @ Buffalo L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 07, 2023 272   @ Bowling Green W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 10, 2023 162   Ball St. W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 14, 2023 48   Kent St. L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 17, 2023 99   @ Toledo L 76-83 25%    
  Jan 21, 2023 266   Central Michigan W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 24, 2023 316   Western Michigan W 77-65 87%    
  Jan 28, 2023 142   @ Akron L 62-67 33%    
  Jan 31, 2023 279   @ Eastern Michigan W 78-75 62%    
  Feb 04, 2023 301   Miami (OH) W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 07, 2023 311   @ Northern Illinois W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 11, 2023 142   Akron W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 14, 2023 159   Buffalo W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 18, 2023 266   @ Central Michigan W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 21, 2023 311   Northern Illinois W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 25, 2023 301   @ Miami (OH) W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 28, 2023 48   @ Kent St. L 63-76 13%    
  Mar 03, 2023 272   Bowling Green W 79-70 78%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.1 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.9 4.8 1.3 0.1 17.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.6 7.5 3.9 0.7 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.1 6.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.0 3.8 6.5 9.6 12.8 14.8 15.1 13.1 10.1 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 81.3% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 50.1% 1.7    0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 19.2% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 33.3% 20.8% 12.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8%
17-1 0.3% 24.2% 24.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.2% 20.0% 20.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.3% 15.9% 15.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.8
14-4 6.2% 11.4% 11.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.5
13-5 10.1% 8.4% 8.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 9.2
12-6 13.1% 6.2% 6.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 12.3
11-7 15.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 14.5
10-8 14.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 14.3
9-9 12.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.5
8-10 9.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.4
7-11 6.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.4
6-12 3.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.2 95.0 0.0%