Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#175
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#184
Pace74.2#61
Improvement+3.1#30

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#139
First Shot+2.6#105
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#280
Layup/Dunks+1.6#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#260
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement+2.1#40

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#239
First Shot+0.7#144
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#338
Layups/Dunks-0.5#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement+1.0#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 44.5% 57.3% 32.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.1% 79.2% 55.6%
Conference Champion 3.5% 5.8% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.7% 2.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.7% 4.9% 2.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 48.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 48 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 141 Arkansas St. L 85-89 52%     0 - 1 -5.7 +4.7 -10.1
  Thu, Nov 6 88 Illinois St. W 72-68 34%     1 - 1 +7.2 -0.1 +7.2
  Tue, Nov 11 42 @St. Mary's L 60-90 7%     1 - 2 -14.9 -3.4 -11.8
  Sat, Nov 15 14 @Louisville L 81-106 3%     1 - 3 -4.5 +9.1 -11.5
  Wed, Nov 19 260 Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 76%     1 - 4 -11.5 -1.3 -10.3
  Mon, Nov 24 77 George Mason L 69-92 21%     1 - 5 -15.4 +2.9 -19.2
  Tue, Nov 25 126 Loyola Marymount L 58-70 38%     1 - 6 -9.8 -11.7 +2.2
  Wed, Dec 3 334 Maine W 79-57 88%     2 - 6 +8.2 +9.4 +0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 157 Marshall W 88-81 57%     3 - 6 +4.1 +10.2 -6.3
  Sat, Dec 13 112 St. Bonaventure W 88-83 OT 33%     4 - 6 +8.6 +9.1 -1.0
  Sat, Dec 20 123 Bowling Green L 76-77 49%    
  Tue, Dec 30 325 @Central Michigan W 80-74 70%    
  Sat, Jan 3 227 @Eastern Michigan W 76-75 50%    
  Tue, Jan 6 155 Massachusetts W 82-80 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 209 Buffalo W 82-77 68%    
  Tue, Jan 13 166 @Toledo L 81-84 38%    
  Fri, Jan 16 307 @Ball St. W 75-71 65%    
  Tue, Jan 20 323 Northern Illinois W 86-74 85%    
  Sat, Jan 24 64 Akron L 84-91 27%    
  Tue, Jan 27 130 @Kent St. L 83-89 30%    
  Sat, Jan 31 209 @Buffalo L 79-80 47%    
  Tue, Feb 3 257 Western Michigan W 82-75 75%    
  Sat, Feb 14 103 @Miami (OH) L 77-86 22%    
  Tue, Feb 17 307 Ball St. W 78-68 82%    
  Sat, Feb 21 323 @Northern Illinois W 83-77 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 166 Toledo W 84-81 59%    
  Tue, Mar 3 155 @Massachusetts L 79-83 35%    
  Fri, Mar 6 103 Miami (OH) L 80-83 41%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.3 1.9 3.4 2.5 0.9 0.1 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 6.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.7 4.6 0.8 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 3.6 1.3 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.1 0.1 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 6.0 9.3 12.1 13.9 14.7 13.3 10.9 7.2 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 81.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-3 54.5% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 26.0% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 23.5% 23.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 23.5% 23.5% 12.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.1% 14.6% 14.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.8
14-4 4.2% 10.7% 10.7% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.8
13-5 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.6
12-6 10.9% 6.9% 6.9% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 10.1
11-7 13.3% 4.5% 4.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.7
10-8 14.7% 3.4% 3.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 14.2
9-9 13.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.2 0.1 13.7
8-10 12.1% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
6-12 6.0% 6.0
5-13 3.3% 3.3
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.2 96.2 0.0%