Ohio
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.8 209
Expected Predictive Rating -2.0 195
Pace 72.1 82
Improvement -0.6 209

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 182 C D+ C+ C C-
Defense C- 235 C D+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 216 C 58% 174 -0.7 209
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 142 A+ 50% 4 +4.2 28
Three Pointers 39% 226 D- 30% 326 -3.4 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 255 C +0.5 151
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 175
Second Chance C- 28.0% 251 C- 0.98 251 D+ 0.28 259
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 130
Freethrows C+ 0.32 139 D+ 70% 253 C 0.22 165
Total Offense C -0.7 182

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 44% 253 C 11.2% 197
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 302 B- 3.5% 75
Three Pointers D 78% 304 D+ 1.3% 295
Total D- 46% 341 C 5.5% 177

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 60 C+ 56% 125 +2.0 250
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 172 C- 40% 245 +0.4 219
Three Pointers 36% 321 D+ 35% 251 -1.8 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 228 C +0.3 194
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 199
Second Chance D 34.2% 320 C 1.03 177 D+ 0.35 286
Turnovers C- 16.2% 219
Freethrows C- 0.32 227 C- 73% 244 C- 0.23 241
Total Defense C- -2.0 235

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 84 C- 9.6% 221
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 23 C- 4.5% 193
Three Pointers B+ 78% 304 C- 0.7% 295
Total B 48% 39 C 5.4% 196

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 127 17.0 130
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 330 0.15 89
Improvement -0.2 #191 -0.5 #221

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 27% 37% 7%
.500 or above in Conference 91% 100% 74%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 35 - 66 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 145 Arkansas St. L 85 - 89 48% +2  61% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C+ +2 B+ F B D- -8 C- F A-
 Thu, Nov 6 103 Illinois St. W 72 - 68 33% +2  74% 1 - 1 B- +6 C- -1 A- F A A- +7 B A- C-
 Tue, Nov 11 40 @St. Mary's L 60 - 90 5% -15  11% 1 - 2 D- -14 D -6 D- A- F F+ -8 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 13 @Louisville L 81 - 106 2% -14  0% 1 - 3 C- -3 B+ +8 A+ D- F F+ -9 C+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 19 245 Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 76 68% -4  10% 1 - 4 D -11 C- -1 C- F A F+ -10 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 98 George Mason L 69 - 92 23% -20  0% 1 - 5 F -18 C- -1 C B+ D+ F -18 D- F F
 Tue, Nov 25 154 Loyola Marymount L 58 - 70 39% -4  38% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -17 F D- F B+ +6 A- D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 3 345 Maine W 79 - 57 88% +12  88% 2 - 6 B- +6 B +6 C+ C B- B- +2 B F+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 176 Marshall W 88 - 81 55% +6  93% 3 - 6 C+ +3 B +6 B D A C- -3 B D- C-
 Sat, Dec 13 137 St. Bonaventure W 88 - 83 OT 34% +2  70% 4 - 6 B- +6 C+ +3 B A+ B+ B- +3 B+ C C+
 Sat, Dec 20 162 Bowling Green L 58 - 68 52% -9  8% 4 - 7 0 - 1 D- -13 F -15 F C F+ C+ +1 B F+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 273 @Central Michigan W 80 - 64 53% +5  53% 5 - 7 1 - 1 B+ +12 D -5 F+ F+ C+ A+ +16 B+ A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 239 @Eastern Michigan W 68 - 67 45% -9  8% 6 - 7 2 - 1 C -0 C- -2 B F F C+ +2 D- A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 6 180 Massachusetts W 86 - 83 56% +3  71% 7 - 7 3 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 A D C+ D+ -4 D A+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 215 Buffalo W 91 - 80 62% +4  59% 8 - 7 4 - 1 B- +5 B +6 A A+ F C -1 B D D+
 Tue, Jan 13 171 @Toledo L 85 - 101 31% -4  47% 8 - 8 4 - 2 D- -14 B+ +8 C+ A- B F -22 F F D
 Fri, Jan 16 314 @Ball St. L 71 - 76 63% -8  0% 8 - 9 4 - 3 D- -11 C- -2 C- D C+ F -10 F+ D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 20 321 Northern Illinois W 80 - 77 83% +5  78% 9 - 9 5 - 3 D -10 C- -2 C C D F+ -8 F B C+
 Fri, Jan 23 77 Akron L 65 - 86 24% -15  0% 9 - 10 5 - 4 F+ -16 F -14 F D+ A+ C -1 C+ A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 144 @Kent St. L 57 - 72 26% -4  12% 9 - 11 5 - 5 D -11 F -19 F D- B A- +8 A F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 215 @Buffalo W 95 - 83 39% +8  92% 10 - 11 6 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +15 B- C A+ C- -3 F+ D B-
 Tue, Feb 3 286 Western Michigan W 91 - 71 76% +13  96% 11 - 11 7 - 5 B +10 B+ +9 A B- C C+ +1 D A F
 Sat, Feb 7 237 @Old Dominion L 72 - 78 44% +0  38% 11 - 12 D+ -7 C+ +2 B D+ B F -10 C+ F F
 Fri, Feb 13 86 @Miami (OH) L 74 - 90 13% -10  2% 11 - 13 7 - 6 D+ -6 C- -1 D+ D+ A D+ -5 C F D
 Tue, Feb 17 314 Ball St. W 69 - 57 81% +6  71% 12 - 13 8 - 6 C -0 C+ +2 C- F A C +0 D+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 321 @Northern Illinois W 76 - 72 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 171 Toledo W 81 - 80 53%
 Tue, Mar 3 180 @Massachusetts L 79 - 83 34%
 Fri, Mar 6 86 Miami (OH) L 79 - 85 27%
Totals 14 - 15 10 - 8 -3 C -1 A+ C C- C- -2 D- D+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C A+ D- C 37% 40% 39% C- C C- C- D+ C+ C+ D+ C C- C+ C- D+ C 43% 21% 36% C- C D C D+ C- C- C- C-
1.08 58% 50% 30% +1 0 1.02 28% 1.0 .28 16% .32 70% .22 1.12 56% 40% 35% 0 0 1.03 34% 1.0 .35 16% .32 73% .23
Nov
3		 Arkansas St. C+ B- A+ D+ B+ 41% 17% 42% B B+ D- F F B C D C- D- A F C- C+ 42% 4% 54% F C- D- F F A- F F F
1.13 63% 70% 32% +6 +1 1.15 20% 0.6 .11 13% .34 68% .23 1.18 45% 100% 35% -2 +2 1.02 42% 1.6 .68 24% .49 89% .44
Nov
6		 Illinois St. C- B+ C+ F B- 70% 16% 14% A+ A- F F+ F A A+ F B A- B+ F A- B+ 44% 18% 38% D- B B A+ A- C- A+ A+ A+
1.03 66% 38% 14% +1 +3 1.10 16% 0.8 .13 11% .44 56% .24 0.97 54% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 23% 0.9 .21 16% .19 55% .10
Nov
11		 St. Mary's D C+ B- F D- 34% 28% 38% D+ D- B A+ A- F F A+ F+ F+ B- B+ F C 42% 19% 38% C- C D- F F D- D B C-
0.86 56% 40% 15% -11 -1 0.77 29% 1.2 .34 20% .13 86% .11 1.30 55% 30% 45% +3 0 1.10 42% 1.5 .65 13% .36 77% .28
Nov
15		 Louisville B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% D+ A+ A F D- F A+ A- A+ F+ B B F C 35% 15% 50% A- C+ F F F C- F B+ F
1.06 57% 50% 41% +8 -2 1.13 33% 0.4 .14 22% .44 77% .34 1.39 58% 38% 44% +8 +1 1.19 44% 1.5 .67 14% .46 73% .34
Nov
19		 Bethune-Cookman C- B A+ F C- 51% 22% 27% C C- C- F F A A+ D A F+ B F F F 48% 23% 29% D+ F A+ A- A+ F A A+ A
1.08 62% 55% 14% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.8 .23 10% .46 68% .31 1.13 52% 58% 53% +10 0 1.23 16% 0.8 .13 12% .24 57% .13
Nov
24		 George Mason C- B- A D+ B 18% 40% 42% F C A C B+ D+ A+ F A- F B- A+ F F+ 35% 15% 51% D+ D- F D+ F F B+ C+ B+
1.02 63% 44% 32% +2 -4 0.98 36% 0.9 .33 18% .36 65% .23 1.36 58% 25% 46% +8 +1 1.18 41% 1.1 .44 9% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Loyola Marymount F F D D F 37% 20% 43% B- F D+ F D- F A+ F A+ B+ B- F A+ A 38% 19% 42% D- A- F A D+ A- D D+ D
0.81 29% 33% 30% -14 0 0.74 29% 0.8 .22 24% .53 59% .31 0.97 55% 50% 23% -6 0 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 22% .30 71% .21
Dec
3		 Maine B D A+ C- C 49% 16% 35% B C+ A+ F C B- F A+ F B- C- A+ A B+ 46% 21% 33% D B F C+ F+ A- A+ D- A
1.21 56% 56% 32% 0 +1 1.05 53% 0.8 .39 17% .13 100% .13 0.87 59% 10% 25% -10 +1 0.83 29% 1.0 .29 24% .20 70% .14
Dec
6		 Marshall B F A+ A+ B 33% 24% 43% C B F+ B- D A A+ D+ A C- D B- A+ A 48% 11% 41% F B F+ D+ D- C- F+ D+ F+
1.21 44% 54% 43% +5 -1 1.11 25% 1.0 .25 12% .46 69% .31 1.12 67% 33% 22% -4 +2 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 17% .33 75% .25
Dec
13		 St. Bonaventure C+ C+ A+ D A- 33% 33% 35% F B D A+ A+ B+ F A F+ B- C+ C A B+ 43% 33% 24% B B+ D- B+ C C+ D+ F F+
1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17 1.08 56% 42% 29% -1 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27
Dec
20		 Bowling Green F A A+ F F 26% 13% 62% C- F D+ B C F+ A+ F A+ C+ A D D+ B 53% 16% 31% C- B F D+ F+ A+ F F F
0.86 70% 60% 17% -10 0 0.82 25% 1.1 .28 22% .57 63% .36 1.01 46% 43% 36% -5 +2 0.96 35% 0.9 .32 24% .45 83% .37
Dec
30		 Central Michigan D D+ A+ F F 55% 13% 32% B+ F+ F C+ F+ C+ A+ D- A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A 53% 22% 25% F B+ A A+ A+ B- F C- F
1.04 55% 57% 18% -7 +2 0.92 25% 1.2 .30 16% .52 65% .34 0.83 67% 36% 0% -9 +1 0.86 21% 0.5 .11 19% .37 70% .26
Jan
3		 Eastern Michigan C- A+ B+ D A- 28% 26% 46% F+ B C- F F F D+ C D+ C+ D- A F F+ 33% 33% 33% B+ D- D- A+ A+ D+ F A- F
1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21 1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32
Jan
6		 Massachusetts C+ B B A+ A 34% 17% 49% C- A F B D C+ D- D- F+ D+ C- D+ F+ D 44% 25% 32% C D C+ A+ A+ D B+ F C+
1.16 67% 44% 42% +10 0 1.23 19% 1.2 .22 16% .34 67% .23 1.12 60% 43% 39% +4 0 1.11 30% 0.6 .19 16% .27 76% .21
Jan
10		 Buffalo B A+ A+ A- A+ 43% 26% 32% D A A+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+ C B+ F B B+ 41% 19% 41% C B F B- D D+ C- A+ B-
1.24 75% 58% 40% +15 0 1.32 50% 1.3 .64 24% .36 85% .31 1.09 50% 50% 32% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.0 .35 15% .35 64% .22
Jan
13		 Toledo B+ D+ A+ B- B+ 31% 33% 37% F C+ C+ A+ A- B A F B F D F F F 40% 30% 30% B- F F F F D C F D-
1.21 56% 59% 37% +8 -2 1.13 36% 1.2 .44 16% .32 63% .20 1.44 62% 75% 44% +17 -1 1.34 46% 1.4 .63 13% .28 94% .26
Jan
16		 Ball St. C- C+ A+ F C+ 33% 39% 29% F C- D- C- D C+ A- C A- F C- D C- F 36% 23% 41% B- F+ D+ C- D+ D+ F F F
1.06 63% 53% 29% +5 -3 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 18% .35 79% .27 1.14 56% 40% 33% -1 0 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 15% .55 81% .44
Jan
20		 Northern Illinois C- B- D B+ C+ 42% 25% 33% D- C F+ A+ C D A C A F+ A+ F F F 45% 14% 41% C- F C- A B C+ F F F
1.10 65% 33% 38% +4 0 1.08 24% 1.4 .34 19% .42 72% .31 1.06 40% 50% 50% +3 +1 1.11 32% 0.6 .19 23% .48 74% .36
Jan
23		 Akron F F D F F 38% 34% 29% F F F A D+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C C+ F B C 41% 30% 30% A C+ D+ A+ A+ C+ F C F
0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33 1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32
Jan
27		 Kent St. F F F F F 42% 9% 49% B+ F D- F+ D- B D- C- D- A- A+ F A+ A+ 52% 7% 40% F A F C F A+ F C F
0.79 36% 20% 23% -19 +2 0.68 24% 0.8 .20 14% .27 71% .19 1.00 41% 67% 24% -13 +3 0.81 46% 1.1 .49 28% .68 74% .50
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Buffalo A+ A A+ F B 46% 28% 26% D B- C+ C- C A+ A+ B- A+ C- D F F F 48% 26% 26% B- F+ B F D B- F B F
1.33 72% 53% 29% +9 0 1.19 35% 0.9 .32 8% .40 77% .30 1.16 64% 50% 42% +9 0 1.20 22% 1.5 .33 18% .46 70% .32
Feb
3		 Western Michigan B+ A A+ A- A 35% 8% 58% B- A C- A B- C A- A+ A+ C+ C+ A F D 52% 21% 27% F+ D A+ B+ A F F A+ B
1.32 72% 50% 40% +11 +1 1.27 30% 1.3 .40 13% .37 82% .30 1.03 52% 27% 50% +1 +1 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 9% .40 40% .16
Feb
7		 Old Dominion C+ A+ B+ D+ B+ 30% 24% 46% D B D C- D+ B F F F F F A+ F C- 34% 45% 21% A+ C+ F D F F C- F F
1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18 1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27
Feb
13		 Miami (OH) C- D+ A+ F D+ 34% 26% 40% D+ D+ F A+ D+ A B F C D+ C+ A F C 48% 20% 31% C- C D F F D F B- F
1.03 56% 64% 24% 0 -1 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 13% .32 65% .21 1.25 62% 27% 47% +6 +1 1.15 27% 1.9 .50 13% .45 75% .33
Feb
17		 Ball St. C+ D+ A+ C- C- 36% 23% 41% C- C- D- F F A A+ C+ A+ C C A C+ D+ 53% 18% 29% F+ D+ D- A C+ D+ C+ A+ B+
1.15 56% 50% 33% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 13% .41 81% .33 0.95 54% 25% 31% -6 +1 0.93 31% 0.6 .19 15% .28 57% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 3.3 26.6 19.0 3.7 52.6 4th
5th 0.3 14.8 10.3 0.3 25.7 5th
6th 4.1 12.0 0.6 16.7 6th
7th 4.3 0.3 4.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 8.8 30.5 37.5 19.4 3.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 13.3 0.1 0.1 3.7
11-7 19.4% 3.0% 3.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 18.8
10-8 37.5% 2.4% 2.4% 15.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 36.6
9-9 30.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.1 0.4 30.0
8-10 8.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.7
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.1 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 13.3 68.1 31.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.3%
Lose Out 7.2%