Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#263
Expected Predictive Rating-11.8#324
Pace73.2#79
Improvement-0.2#235

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#188
First Shot-2.9#270
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#49
Layup/Dunks-1.9#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#336
Freethrows+0.3#163
Improvement-0.1#203

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#301
First Shot-4.1#297
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#226
Layups/Dunks-2.7#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#156
Freethrows-3.1#328
Improvement-0.2#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.0% 15.3% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 35.3% 23.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.0% 9.9% 17.2%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Home) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 73 - 12
Quad 47 - 89 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 58   Michigan L 83-88 10%     0 - 1 +3.9 +2.5 +2.1
  Nov 15, 2022 115   @ Bradley L 61-89 13%     0 - 2 -21.2 -9.3 -10.9
  Nov 19, 2022 301   @ Oakland L 90-92 OT 48%     0 - 3 -6.8 -0.9 -5.6
  Nov 22, 2022 198   Purdue Fort Wayne L 67-74 36%     0 - 4 -8.6 -4.5 -4.2
  Nov 23, 2022 209   Winthrop L 87-101 39%     0 - 5 -16.3 +1.7 -16.7
  Nov 27, 2022 283   UC San Diego L 63-66 65%     0 - 6 -12.3 -12.5 +0.1
  Nov 30, 2022 241   @ Florida International W 80-68 34%     1 - 6 +11.0 +5.3 +5.6
  Dec 04, 2022 68   Florida Atlantic L 70-80 17%    
  Dec 07, 2022 280   @ Illinois St. L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 11, 2022 212   @ Niagara L 65-71 30%    
  Dec 18, 2022 197   Detroit Mercy L 76-77 48%    
  Dec 30, 2022 232   @ South Carolina L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 03, 2023 271   Bowling Green W 80-77 62%    
  Jan 07, 2023 244   Central Michigan W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 10, 2023 312   @ Western Michigan W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 14, 2023 137   @ Akron L 62-73 17%    
  Jan 17, 2023 54   Kent St. L 68-80 15%    
  Jan 21, 2023 266   Northern Illinois W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 24, 2023 102   @ Toledo L 78-91 12%    
  Jan 28, 2023 286   @ Miami (OH) L 78-80 44%    
  Jan 31, 2023 157   Ohio L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 04, 2023 186   @ Ball St. L 74-81 25%    
  Feb 07, 2023 190   @ Buffalo L 77-84 27%    
  Feb 11, 2023 102   Toledo L 81-88 27%    
  Feb 14, 2023 137   Akron L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 18, 2023 54   @ Kent St. L 65-83 6%    
  Feb 21, 2023 312   Western Michigan W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 25, 2023 186   Ball St. L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 28, 2023 271   @ Bowling Green L 77-80 41%    
  Mar 03, 2023 266   @ Northern Illinois L 74-77 41%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.9 0.8 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.4 1.4 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.4 3.6 5.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.3 3.1 6.4 2.8 0.2 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.4 3.5 0.3 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.2 4.0 0.5 0.0 13.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 12.0 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.3 12th
Total 0.2 0.9 3.0 5.8 9.7 13.1 14.5 14.6 13.0 10.2 7.0 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 76.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 31.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 9.5% 9.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 2.4% 2.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 4.3% 4.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.0% 4.8% 4.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.1
11-7 4.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.2
10-8 7.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.9
9-9 10.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.1
8-10 13.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.9
7-11 14.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.5
6-12 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-14 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
3-15 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-16 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%