Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#200
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#136
Pace65.6#283
Improvement+1.9#50

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#229
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#254
Layup/Dunks+0.4#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#273
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+2.3#27

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#185
First Shot+0.5#155
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#257
Layups/Dunks-0.3#189
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows+2.1#66
Improvement-0.4#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.5% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 13.9
.500 or above 44.7% 57.9% 33.4%
.500 or above in Conference 46.9% 52.9% 41.8%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 3.4% 5.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.0% 2.5% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 55 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 335 Georgia St. W 71-49 85%     1 - 0 +8.4 -4.4 +13.4
  Mon, Nov 10 94 @Pittsburgh L 66-78 16%     1 - 1 -3.8 -2.6 -1.2
  Fri, Nov 14 354 IU Indianapolis L 83-90 89%     1 - 2 -22.6 -8.1 -13.7
  Tue, Nov 18 315 @Detroit Mercy W 72-62 62%     2 - 2 +4.3 -3.2 +7.5
  Fri, Nov 21 139 Oakland W 97-91 46%     3 - 2 +4.5 +14.3 -10.2
  Mon, Nov 24 10 @Louisville L 46-87 2%     3 - 3 -19.0 -16.0 -4.8
  Wed, Nov 26 64 @Cincinnati W 64-56 10%     4 - 3 +19.8 +6.9 +13.4
  Fri, Nov 28 351 NJIT W 73-55 88%     5 - 3 +2.8 -0.6 +4.3
  Tue, Dec 2 47 @Butler L 68-84 7%     5 - 4 -1.8 +5.0 -7.7
  Wed, Dec 10 241 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-75 46%    
  Fri, Dec 19 54 @Akron L 70-85 8%    
  Mon, Dec 22 161 @Wright St. L 67-72 32%    
  Tue, Dec 30 183 Massachusetts W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 211 Ohio W 76-72 63%    
  Tue, Jan 6 305 @Ball St. W 69-67 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 275 @Western Michigan W 72-71 53%    
  Tue, Jan 13 329 Northern Illinois W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 117 @Bowling Green L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 124 Kent St. L 75-77 42%    
  Tue, Jan 27 310 @Central Michigan W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 183 @Massachusetts L 71-75 36%    
  Tue, Feb 3 54 Akron L 73-82 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 124 @Kent St. L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 275 Western Michigan W 75-68 73%    
  Tue, Feb 17 310 Central Michigan W 75-66 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 170 @Toledo L 72-77 34%    
  Tue, Feb 24 126 Miami (OH) L 73-75 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 210 @Buffalo L 71-73 41%    
  Fri, Mar 6 117 Bowling Green L 68-71 41%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.4 2.7 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 5.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.9 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.7 4.3 0.6 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.0 5.3 1.0 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.6 4.9 1.2 0.1 10.3 9th
10th 0.3 2.2 4.4 1.7 0.1 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.6 0.1 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.2 7.2 10.6 13.3 14.9 14.3 12.2 9.0 6.1 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 56.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 27.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 15.8% 15.8% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 13.8% 13.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.6% 12.3% 12.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.0% 8.2% 8.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.8
12-6 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.8
11-7 9.0% 4.2% 4.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.6
10-8 12.2% 2.6% 2.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9
9-9 14.3% 1.6% 1.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.1
8-10 14.9% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.8
7-11 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 10.6% 10.6
5-13 7.2% 7.2
4-14 4.2% 4.2
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 98.0 0.0%