Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.4 #240
Expected Predictive Rating -4.2 #230
Pace 66.7 #239
Improvement -4.7 #346

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #275 C- D C D+ C-
Defense #179 C C+ C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #124 1.11 #232 +0.4 #162
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #79 0.71 #246 +1.5 #95
Three Pointers 33% #328 1.05 #132 -3.3 #296
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #224 -1.5 #223
Freethrows 0.27 #287 72% #198 0.19 #274
Second Chance 27.0% #281 0.94 #311 0.25 #306
Turnovers 16.9% #213
Total Offense -4.0 #275

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #86 1.13 #138 -1.5 #230
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #105 0.78 #230 -0.9 #260
Three Pointers 35% #328 1.03 #208 +2.6 #88
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #180 +0.1 #178
Freethrows 0.29 #145 74% #263 0.21 #166
Second Chance 29.4% #130 1.01 #120 0.30 #120
Turnovers 16.2% #190
Total Defense -0.5 #179

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #256 0.1% #168
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.9% #204 -0.2% #180
Possession Length 18.5 #286 17.1 #133
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #186 0.21 #305
Improvement -1.8 #282 -3.0 #328

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 2.0% 5.1% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 6.7% 16.3% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 3.1% 12.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 27.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 47 - 512 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 276 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 69% +8  1 - 0 +13 -3 F A- D +16 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 94 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 11% -11  1 - 1 -3 -3 F+ D+ B -0 C+ B D-
 Fri, Nov 14 340 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 83% -3  1 - 2 -21 -8 F C B -13 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 278 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 47% -1  2 - 2 +6 -4 C D F +10 A+ C+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 132 Oakland W 97 - 91 38% +1  3 - 2 +5 +14 A+ F C- -9 D- D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 18 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3 - 3 -20 -16 F D+ D+ -6 D B+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 52 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 6% +9  4 - 3 +21 +8 C A+ F +14 A A- B+
 Fri, Nov 28 332 NJIT W 73 - 55 81% +3  5 - 3 +4 -1 B+ D F +6 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 61 @Butler L 68 - 84 7% -7  5 - 4 -4 +4 C C- D+ -8 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 225 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 36% -12  5 - 5 -16 -4 C F B+ -13 B- F C
 Fri, Dec 19 60 @Akron L 72 - 93 7% -15  5 - 6 0 - 1 -9 +1 F C A- -10 C+ D F+
 Mon, Dec 22 147 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 22% -1  5 - 7 -2 -6 D F C+ +4 C A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 30 171 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 48% +2  6 - 7 1 - 1 +2 +3 C- D+ A- -1 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 214 Ohio L 67 - 68 57% +9  6 - 8 1 - 2 -7 -5 B- F C -2 D A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 297 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 51% +13  7 - 8 2 - 2 +17 +16 A+ B+ F +6 B- A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 274 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 46% -1  7 - 9 2 - 3 -20 -11 C F F+ -10 F+ D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 308 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 76% +3  8 - 9 3 - 3 +6 -3 C- F B+ +8 B A+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 146 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 22% -6  8 - 10 3 - 4 -2 +13 A- C- A -15 F+ D C
 Sat, Jan 24 144 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 41% -3  8 - 11 3 - 5 -3 -7 F C A +4 C A+ A-
 Tue, Jan 27 303 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 53% -9  8 - 12 3 - 6 -40 -15 D+ F F -22 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 171 @Massachusetts L 70 - 77 27%
 Tue, Feb 3 60 Akron L 72 - 83 16%
 Sat, Feb 7 196 @Appalachian St. L 62 - 67 31%
 Wed, Feb 11 144 @Kent St. L 71 - 79 22%
 Sat, Feb 14 274 Western Michigan W 76 - 71 68%
 Tue, Feb 17 303 Central Michigan W 74 - 67 74%
 Sat, Feb 21 163 @Toledo L 71 - 78 26%
 Tue, Feb 24 93 Miami (OH) L 73 - 80 24%
 Tue, Mar 3 185 @Buffalo L 70 - 76 31%
 Fri, Mar 6 146 Bowling Green L 71 - 73 42%
Totals 12 - 18 6 - 12 -4 -4 C- D C +0 C C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.2 4th
5th 0.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 1.9 0.1 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 5.8 0.8 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 9.6 3.8 0.1 15.0 8th
9th 1.5 11.8 9.5 0.6 23.3 9th
10th 0.3 7.4 11.1 1.5 20.3 10th
11th 0.0 2.5 8.5 2.3 0.0 13.3 11th
12th 0.3 4.3 2.5 0.1 7.2 12th
13th 1.1 1.6 0.2 2.9 13th
Total 1.5 8.7 20.1 26.8 23.0 13.2 5.1 1.4 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 1.4% 4.0% 4.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
9-9 5.1% 2.1% 2.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.0
8-10 13.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.0
7-11 23.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 22.9
6-12 26.8% 26.8
5-13 20.1% 20.1
4-14 8.7% 8.7
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%