Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#322
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#334
Pace67.3#243
Improvement-3.9#354

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#278
First Shot-5.4#330
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#102
Layup/Dunks+2.0#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#340
Freethrows-3.2#332
Improvement-1.8#315

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#337
First Shot-0.2#174
After Offensive Rebounds-5.3#364
Layups/Dunks-2.3#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-2.2#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 16.0 15.8
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 4.0% 9.9% 3.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.9% 26.6% 39.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 71 - 14
Quad 45 - 87 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 229 Appalachian St. W 82-66 41%     1 - 0 +8.8 +14.1 -4.0
  Sat, Nov 8 107 @Bradley L 54-85 7%     1 - 1 -23.9 -13.2 -11.4
  Thu, Nov 13 190 South Alabama L 64-66 24%     1 - 2 -4.1 -0.6 -3.8
  Fri, Nov 14 364 Coppin St. W 82-59 82%     2 - 2 +3.8 -0.2 +3.7
  Thu, Nov 20 199 Northern Kentucky L 66-90 34%     2 - 3 -29.3 -7.5 -22.3
  Sat, Nov 22 105 @Marquette L 71-85 7%     2 - 4 -6.6 +1.7 -8.2
  Tue, Dec 2 274 @Loyola Chicago L 72-83 26%     2 - 5 -14.0 -0.7 -13.9
  Sun, Dec 7 32 @Saint Louis L 65-107 2%     2 - 6 -25.6 +1.0 -27.1
  Sat, Dec 13 233 @Stony Brook L 55-78 22%     2 - 7 -24.3 -13.1 -13.4
  Sat, Dec 20 325 @Northern Illinois L 73-74 39%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -7.8 +0.2 -8.0
  Mon, Dec 22 48 @Wisconsin L 64-88 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 186 Ohio L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 167 Toledo L 75-81 29%    
  Tue, Jan 6 63 @Akron L 72-93 2%    
  Sat, Jan 10 123 Kent St. L 74-83 20%    
  Tue, Jan 13 103 @Miami (OH) L 69-86 6%    
  Tue, Jan 20 306 Ball St. W 70-68 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 284 @Western Michigan L 72-78 29%    
  Tue, Jan 27 226 Eastern Michigan L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 118 Bowling Green L 67-77 19%    
  Tue, Feb 3 163 @Massachusetts L 69-81 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 325 Northern Illinois W 77-74 62%    
  Tue, Feb 17 226 @Eastern Michigan L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Feb 21 284 Western Michigan L 74-75 50%    
  Tue, Feb 24 123 @Kent St. L 71-86 9%    
  Sat, Feb 28 192 @Buffalo L 70-80 17%    
  Tue, Mar 3 63 Akron L 75-90 8%    
  Fri, Mar 6 306 @Ball St. L 67-71 35%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.8 5.8 1.1 0.0 13.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 6.5 7.6 2.0 0.1 17.5 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 7.5 8.4 2.5 0.2 20.6 12th
13th 1.3 5.2 9.2 7.5 2.3 0.2 0.0 25.7 13th
Total 1.3 5.3 11.1 16.3 18.4 17.1 13.4 8.4 4.8 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-9 2.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2
8-10 4.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.7
7-11 8.4% 8.4
6-12 13.4% 13.4
5-13 17.1% 17.1
4-14 18.4% 18.4
3-15 16.3% 16.3
2-16 11.1% 11.1
1-17 5.3% 5.3
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%