Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#26
Expected Predictive Rating+9.7#63
Pace66.3#257
Improvement-0.6#230

Offense
Total Offense+8.6#16
First Shot+8.6#13
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#180
Layup/Dunks-0.6#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#40
Freethrows+1.1#112
Improvement-1.5#296

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#45
First Shot+3.7#73
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#68
Layups/Dunks+7.6#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#349
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows+0.5#153
Improvement+0.9#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.1% 3.0% 1.0%
Top 2 Seed 5.5% 7.8% 2.9%
Top 4 Seed 18.6% 24.7% 11.5%
Top 6 Seed 36.4% 45.8% 25.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.3% 84.6% 68.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.7% 83.3% 67.2%
Average Seed 6.6 6.2 7.2
.500 or above 96.6% 98.5% 94.4%
.500 or above in Conference 76.3% 80.6% 71.4%
Conference Champion 6.8% 8.3% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four4.7% 4.0% 5.6%
First Round75.1% 82.7% 66.4%
Second Round51.2% 58.9% 42.5%
Sweet Sixteen24.0% 29.2% 18.0%
Elite Eight10.8% 13.5% 7.7%
Final Four4.7% 6.0% 3.3%
Championship Game2.0% 2.7% 1.3%
National Champion0.8% 1.1% 0.5%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Neutral) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 34 - 116 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 293   Bethune-Cookman W 94-61 98%     1 - 0 +23.3 +21.3 +2.8
  Nov 08, 2024 292   Northwestern St. W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +11.3 +11.8 +0.1
  Nov 13, 2024 174   Wyoming W 96-49 94%     3 - 0 +43.2 +22.5 +21.1
  Nov 18, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 98-64 99%     4 - 0 +14.5 +8.9 +4.4
  Nov 21, 2024 91   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 79%     4 - 1 +4.7 +7.5 -2.8
  Nov 22, 2024 94   Syracuse W 79-74 79%     5 - 1 +10.6 +10.7 +0.1
  Nov 29, 2024 195   Northern Colorado W 89-64 95%     6 - 1 +20.3 +12.4 +7.9
  Dec 04, 2024 98   DePaul W 76-62 86%     7 - 1 +16.5 +7.9 +9.5
  Dec 08, 2024 30   Texas A&M W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 16, 2024 290   Oral Roberts W 87-63 99%    
  Dec 21, 2024 220   Lamar W 81-61 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 82   Central Florida W 79-68 84%    
  Jan 04, 2025 68   @ Utah W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 07, 2025 48   @ BYU W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 7   Iowa St. L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 14, 2025 62   @ Kansas St. W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 22   Arizona W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 21, 2025 24   @ Cincinnati L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 26, 2025 84   Oklahoma St. W 81-70 83%    
  Jan 29, 2025 79   TCU W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 5   @ Houston L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 04, 2025 14   Baylor W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 22   @ Arizona L 77-80 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 51   Arizona St. W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 84   @ Oklahoma St. W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 18, 2025 79   @ TCU W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 47   West Virginia W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 24, 2025 5   Houston L 66-68 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 8   @ Kansas L 70-77 25%    
  Mar 05, 2025 78   Colorado W 76-66 81%    
  Mar 08, 2025 51   @ Arizona St. W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.3 2.3 0.5 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.9 1.0 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 3.9 1.5 0.1 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.6 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.0 2.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.3 3.9 6.5 9.0 11.2 12.6 13.6 12.4 10.2 7.3 4.9 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 96.7% 1.0    0.8 0.2
17-3 76.5% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 41.2% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 15.3% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.5 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 34.3% 65.7% 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 27.2% 72.8% 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.6% 100.0% 22.0% 78.0% 2.2 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 4.9% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 3.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 7.3% 99.9% 13.7% 86.3% 4.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 10.2% 99.7% 11.0% 88.7% 5.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.8 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 12.4% 99.0% 8.1% 90.9% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 3.0 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.9%
12-8 13.6% 96.3% 4.4% 91.9% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.0 3.2 3.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.5 96.2%
11-9 12.6% 89.4% 2.2% 87.1% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.0 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.3 89.1%
10-10 11.2% 75.6% 1.8% 73.8% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.1 2.5 1.4 0.0 2.7 75.1%
9-11 9.0% 47.0% 1.0% 46.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 0.2 4.8 46.4%
8-12 6.5% 19.4% 0.8% 18.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.1 5.3 18.8%
7-13 3.9% 4.4% 0.5% 3.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.7 3.9%
6-14 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.5%
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 77.3% 6.3% 71.0% 6.6 2.1 3.4 5.6 7.5 8.6 9.3 10.3 10.0 8.3 7.1 4.8 0.3 22.7 75.7%