Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#48
Expected Predictive Rating+14.6#30
Pace68.5#204
Improvement-0.8#256

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#89
First Shot+1.8#132
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#115
Layup/Dunks+2.7#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
Freethrows+1.9#68
Improvement+1.2#73

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#22
First Shot+5.7#38
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#84
Layups/Dunks+4.5#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#100
Freethrows+1.8#78
Improvement-2.0#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 2.4% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 6.8% 11.0% 4.0%
Top 6 Seed 16.7% 24.2% 11.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.1% 58.9% 41.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.3% 57.0% 39.5%
Average Seed 7.5 7.1 7.9
.500 or above 84.3% 92.9% 78.8%
.500 or above in Conference 43.0% 48.6% 39.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 5.4% 9.2%
First Four6.5% 6.0% 6.7%
First Round44.7% 55.4% 37.8%
Second Round24.6% 33.0% 19.2%
Sweet Sixteen9.3% 13.4% 6.6%
Elite Eight3.5% 5.2% 2.3%
Final Four1.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Championship Game0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 39.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 24 - 28 - 11
Quad 35 - 113 - 12
Quad 46 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 303   Texas A&M - Commerce W 73-46 96%     1 - 0 +16.2 -6.5 +21.6
  Nov 12, 2023 112   San Jose St. W 56-42 81%     2 - 0 +14.7 -7.9 +24.4
  Nov 16, 2023 314   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-64 97%     3 - 0 -2.5 -8.3 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2023 16   Villanova L 69-85 30%     3 - 1 -0.6 +2.1 -2.4
  Nov 23, 2023 110   Northern Iowa W 72-70 72%     4 - 1 +6.0 +4.5 +1.6
  Nov 24, 2023 55   Michigan W 73-57 53%     5 - 1 +25.4 +12.4 +15.1
  Nov 30, 2023 49   @ Butler L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 06, 2023 284   Nebraska Omaha W 81-62 97%    
  Dec 12, 2023 168   Oral Roberts W 78-65 90%    
  Dec 16, 2023 157   Vanderbilt W 75-65 82%    
  Dec 21, 2023 190   Texas Arlington W 76-61 91%    
  Dec 28, 2023 132   Sam Houston St. W 74-63 84%    
  Jan 01, 2024 244   North Alabama W 79-62 94%    
  Jan 06, 2024 28   @ Texas L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 09, 2024 74   Oklahoma St. W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 13, 2024 46   Kansas St. W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 17, 2024 3   @ Houston L 58-70 14%    
  Jan 20, 2024 14   BYU L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 27, 2024 22   @ Oklahoma L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 30, 2024 23   @ TCU L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 03, 2024 39   Cincinnati W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 06, 2024 10   @ Baylor L 72-81 22%    
  Feb 10, 2024 86   Central Florida W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 12, 2024 7   Kansas L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 17, 2024 31   @ Iowa St. L 63-68 30%    
  Feb 20, 2024 23   TCU L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 24, 2024 86   @ Central Florida W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 27, 2024 28   Texas W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 02, 2024 103   @ West Virginia W 68-65 59%    
  Mar 05, 2024 74   @ Oklahoma St. W 68-67 51%    
  Mar 09, 2024 10   Baylor L 75-78 41%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.1 4.8 1.4 0.1 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 4.8 3.2 0.2 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.4 4.5 0.5 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.7 1.3 0.0 9.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.6 2.2 0.1 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 2.4 0.3 8.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 2.2 0.3 7.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.2 5.2 9.1 11.1 13.2 13.1 12.7 10.6 8.0 5.8 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 69.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.1% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.9% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 64.5% 35.5% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 28.6% 71.4% 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.7% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 3.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.3% 99.9% 8.4% 91.6% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 5.8% 99.8% 4.0% 95.7% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 8.0% 97.8% 7.4% 90.3% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.6%
10-8 10.6% 92.0% 3.9% 88.2% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.1 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 91.7%
9-9 12.7% 78.6% 3.8% 74.8% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.9 2.3 1.1 0.1 2.7 77.8%
8-10 13.1% 45.5% 2.9% 42.6% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.1 43.8%
7-11 13.2% 17.1% 2.0% 15.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 10.9 15.4%
6-12 11.1% 4.7% 1.7% 3.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 3.0%
5-13 9.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.1%
4-14 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 48.1% 3.4% 44.7% 7.5 0.4 0.8 2.5 3.1 4.5 5.4 6.3 6.6 6.1 6.1 5.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 51.9 46.3%