Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#34
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#75
Pace66.3#249
Improvement-0.4#342

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#67
First Shot+2.7#98
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#110
Layup/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#251
Freethrows+2.5#50
Improvement+0.0#185

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#28
First Shot+5.1#49
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#41
Layups/Dunks+7.0#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#228
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-0.4#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 5.7% 5.9% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 16.7% 17.2% 4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.9% 51.7% 29.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 47.4% 48.2% 26.7%
Average Seed 7.6 7.5 8.6
.500 or above 84.3% 85.3% 59.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.2% 43.8% 27.6%
Conference Champion 4.6% 4.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 14.9% 14.5% 25.1%
First Four4.4% 4.4% 3.8%
First Round49.0% 49.8% 28.3%
Second Round28.7% 29.3% 14.6%
Sweet Sixteen11.2% 11.5% 4.8%
Elite Eight4.7% 4.8% 1.7%
Final Four1.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 96.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 23 - 28 - 12
Quad 32 - 010 - 12
Quad 48 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 227   Northwestern St. W 73-49 94%     1 - 0 +17.7 -1.5 +20.4
  Nov 10, 2022 253   Texas Southern W 78-54 95%     2 - 0 +16.7 +0.0 +15.6
  Nov 14, 2022 110   Louisiana Tech W 64-55 84%     3 - 0 +9.8 -5.7 +15.8
  Nov 21, 2022 20   Creighton L 65-76 38%     3 - 1 +3.6 +6.4 -4.0
  Nov 22, 2022 249   Louisville W 70-38 92%     4 - 1 +27.8 +0.0 +28.5
  Nov 23, 2022 21   Ohio St. L 73-80 39%     4 - 2 +7.5 +11.7 -5.2
  Nov 30, 2022 173   Georgetown W 79-65 91%     5 - 2 +10.7 +1.1 +9.3
  Dec 07, 2022 243   Nicholls St. W 78-71 95%     6 - 2 +0.0 -3.4 +2.9
  Dec 13, 2022 242   Eastern Washington W 77-59 96%    
  Dec 17, 2022 302   Jackson St. W 78-58 97%    
  Dec 21, 2022 347   Houston Christian W 81-53 99.5%   
  Dec 27, 2022 348   South Carolina St. W 85-57 99%    
  Dec 31, 2022 47   @ TCU L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 03, 2023 13   Kansas L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 07, 2023 44   Oklahoma W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 10, 2023 31   @ Iowa St. L 60-64 37%    
  Jan 14, 2023 7   @ Texas L 62-71 20%    
  Jan 17, 2023 18   Baylor L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 21, 2023 53   @ Kansas St. L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 25, 2023 15   West Virginia L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 28, 2023 74   @ LSU W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 30, 2023 31   Iowa St. W 63-61 59%    
  Feb 04, 2023 18   @ Baylor L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 08, 2023 37   @ Oklahoma St. L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 11, 2023 53   Kansas St. W 68-63 68%    
  Feb 13, 2023 7   Texas L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 18, 2023 15   @ West Virginia L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 21, 2023 44   @ Oklahoma L 62-64 43%    
  Feb 25, 2023 47   TCU W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 28, 2023 13   @ Kansas L 64-72 26%    
  Mar 04, 2023 37   Oklahoma St. W 67-64 62%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 5.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.2 3.0 0.2 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.9 3.6 0.4 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.3 3.9 0.5 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.9 5.6 8.3 11.3 13.3 13.7 12.7 10.8 8.3 5.6 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 94.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
14-4 74.8% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-5 42.7% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 16.0% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 19.6% 80.4% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.3% 99.9% 13.9% 86.0% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 5.6% 99.8% 13.0% 86.8% 5.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 8.3% 99.1% 9.3% 89.8% 6.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.0%
10-8 10.8% 95.6% 8.4% 87.2% 7.5 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.3 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 95.2%
9-9 12.7% 84.5% 7.2% 77.2% 8.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.5 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 2.0 83.2%
8-10 13.7% 51.1% 6.1% 45.0% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 47.9%
7-11 13.3% 16.5% 4.7% 11.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 12.3%
6-12 11.3% 4.7% 4.1% 0.7% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.8 0.7%
5-13 8.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.1
4-14 5.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.4
3-15 2.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.9
2-16 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-17 0.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 50.9% 6.7% 44.2% 7.6 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.9 4.8 6.2 8.3 8.6 6.1 5.1 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 49.1 47.4%