Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#221
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#173
Pace64.5#307
Improvement+2.3#49

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#277
First Shot-5.9#332
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#69
Layup/Dunks-3.7#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#63
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#263
Freethrows-2.1#303
Improvement+2.7#23

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#150
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#37
Layups/Dunks-0.1#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#122
Freethrows-5.7#363
Improvement-0.4#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.0% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 12.8 14.5
.500 or above 31.8% 56.0% 31.7%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 57.0% 41.5%
Conference Champion 2.7% 10.0% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 4.0% 12.2%
First Four0.6% 0.0% 0.6%
First Round4.5% 6.0% 4.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 64 - 13
Quad 410 - 413 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 235 Nebraska Omaha W 73-71 64%     1 - 0 -5.1 -3.6 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 14 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 22%     1 - 1 -5.6 -0.8 -5.2
  Tue, Nov 18 239 @Texas St. L 49-63 42%     1 - 2 -15.4 -17.5 +0.7
  Mon, Nov 24 286 Texas San Antonio W 61-50 63%     2 - 2 +4.1 -5.1 +10.7
  Tue, Nov 25 121 William & Mary L 58-92 27%     2 - 3 -31.0 -16.7 -12.2
  Tue, Dec 2 293 @Pepperdine W 71-63 53%     3 - 3 +3.7 +7.8 -3.0
  Sat, Dec 6 132 New Mexico St. W 77-69 41%     4 - 3 +6.7 +12.1 -4.5
  Tue, Dec 16 3 @Arizona L 57-86 0.3%   
  Fri, Dec 19 9 @BYU L 57-83 1%    
  Mon, Dec 22 306 @Texas Southern W 71-69 56%    
  Thu, Jan 1 262 Utah Tech W 70-65 68%    
  Sat, Jan 3 84 Utah Valley L 64-71 25%    
  Thu, Jan 8 199 @Tarleton St. L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 177 @Texas Arlington L 62-67 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 127 California Baptist L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 318 @Southern Utah W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 199 @Tarleton St. L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 262 Utah Tech W 70-65 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 318 Southern Utah W 75-66 79%    
  Thu, Feb 5 84 @Utah Valley L 61-74 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 127 @California Baptist L 62-71 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 177 Texas Arlington W 65-64 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 199 Tarleton St. W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 318 Southern Utah W 75-66 78%    
  Thu, Feb 26 262 @Utah Tech L 67-68 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 84 @Utah Valley L 61-74 12%    
  Thu, Mar 5 127 @California Baptist L 62-71 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 177 Texas Arlington W 65-64 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.5 6.5 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.6 7.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 22.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 5.6 8.1 4.8 1.3 0.1 21.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.1 6.0 5.1 2.0 0.3 17.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.5 7th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.7 5.7 8.9 11.5 13.8 14.1 13.3 10.7 7.8 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.4    0.4 0.1
14-4 56.9% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 28.6% 0.8    0.3 0.5 0.1
12-6 9.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 38.6% 38.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 30.8% 30.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.2% 25.1% 25.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.9% 17.0% 17.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.4
12-6 4.9% 16.7% 16.7% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.1
11-7 7.8% 10.4% 10.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 7.0
10-8 10.7% 6.3% 6.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.1
9-9 13.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 12.8
8-10 14.1% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.1 0.3 13.7
7-11 13.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.5
6-12 11.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.4
5-13 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-15 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.5 1.0 95.3 0.0%