New Mexico St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.2 180
Results Rating -2.2 199
Consistency 0.17 263
Pace 66.6 229
Improvement -4.3 323

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 172 D+ C B C- D-
Defense C- 202 B- D+ D+ F+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 326 C 58% 186 -3.3 299
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 60 C- 37% 219 +2.7 51
Three Pointers 38% 234 C- 33% 241 -2.2 253
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 334 C- -1.4 225
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 263
Second Chance B- 32.8% 104 D 0.95 304 C 0.31 173
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 89
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 62
Turnovers B 14.6% 63
Freethrows C- 0.28 247 C 72% 212 C- 0.20 235
Total Offense C -0.3 172

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 125 B- 9.0% 73
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 262 B- 3.8% 91
Three Pointers D 77% 323 C+ 0.7% 136
Total D+ 51% 278 B 4.3% 43


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 300 C 58% 194 -2.4 101
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 125 B+ 34% 37 -0.5 144
Three Pointers 44% 91 B- 32% 72 +0.0 185
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 93 B- -2.3 86
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 86
Second Chance C- 30.8% 206 D 1.12 300 D+ 0.34 272
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 249
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 307
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 290
Freethrows D- 0.37 342 D 75% 313 F+ 0.28 348
Total Defense C- -0.9 202

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 101 C 10.9% 177
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 13% 4 C 5.3% 138
Three Pointers C- 86% 250 B- 1.3% 85
Total C+ 53% 125 C 5.4% 185

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 217 17.7 254
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 94 0.19 263
Consistency 0.14 320 0.13 251
Improvement -3.7 334 -0.6 218

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 183 181 179
Results Rating Rank 201 200 199
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 86 - 11
Quad 47 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 15 54 New Mexico W 76 - 68 20% +2  70% 1 - 0 A- +16 B+ +9 D+ A A+ A- +7 A+ D A
 Fri, Nov 21 206 Samford W 81 - 72 65% +10  92% 2 - 0 C+ +4 A- +11 A- A A- D- -6 A- F F
 Tue, Nov 25 113 UC Irvine W 57 - 45 33% +5  93% 3 - 0 A- +15 F -11 F B F A+ +26 A+ A A+
 Wed, Nov 26 304 Georgia St. W 77 - 58 76% +9  73% 4 - 0 B +10 D -5 D D- A A+ +14 B+ A- C+
 Tue, Dec 2 207 South Alabama L 75 - 77 54% +1  59% 4 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 C- C D D- -7 B+ F+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 246 @Abilene Christian L 69 - 77 53% -5  13% 4 - 2 D -10 C+ +3 D- D+ B+ F -14 F F C
 Sat, Dec 13 63 Tulsa L 70 - 83 17% -13  1% 4 - 3 C- -4 D -5 F+ D C+ C+ +1 D F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 112 Sam Houston St. W 87 - 78 43% +13  96% 5 - 3 1 - 0 B +9 B +6 A D+ A+ B- +3 A B C-
 Fri, Jan 2 188 @Florida International L 74 - 89 40% -11  8% 5 - 4 1 - 1 D- -14 C- -1 B+ F C- F -12 D- F C+
 Sun, Jan 4 192 @Missouri St. L 82 - 89 40% -8  1% 5 - 5 1 - 2 D+ -6 B- +5 B- C- C F -11 D+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 8 150 Western Kentucky W 80 - 64 55% +16  99% 6 - 5 2 - 2 B+ +13 B+ +9 C- A C+ B+ +6 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 159 Middle Tennessee L 55 - 59 56% -0  43% 6 - 6 2 - 3 D+ -7 F -17 F F D+ A +10 A+ A D
 Thu, Jan 15 125 @Liberty L 71 - 73 26% -6  7% 6 - 7 2 - 4 C+ +3 B+ +8 C+ C+ A D -5 D+ C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 288 @Delaware W 97 - 68 62% +14  98% 7 - 7 3 - 4 A+ +25 A+ +31 A+ A+ A+ C- -3 B- D- F
 Thu, Jan 22 192 Missouri St. L 75 - 84 63% -5  28% 7 - 8 3 - 5 D- -14 C+ +3 F B- A+ F -17 F B+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 188 Florida International L 78 - 81 63% -4  21% 7 - 9 3 - 6 D+ -8 D -5 F D C+ C- -2 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 288 Delaware L 64 - 73 81% -5  15% 7 - 10 3 - 7 F -19 D- -7 C+ F+ D- F -14 F B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 168 @Kennesaw St. L 53 - 76 36% -15  17% 7 - 11 3 - 8 F -20 F -20 F F D C- -2 C+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 191 @Louisiana Tech W 72 - 63 40% +2  76% 8 - 11 4 - 8 B +10 B+ +8 A+ D+ C- B- +3 C+ C- B-
 Sat, Feb 7 259 @UTEP L 88 - 91 OT 55% +5  77% 8 - 12 4 - 9 D+ -5 C +1 C- D+ A+ D -6 B+ F C
 Wed, Feb 11 125 Liberty L 75 - 77 48% -1  28% 8 - 13 4 - 10 C- -3 C- -2 C- B B C -1 A+ F D-
 Sat, Feb 14 204 @Jacksonville St. W 79 - 70 42% +5  86% 9 - 13 5 - 10 B +10 A- +10 D+ A A C +0 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 259 UTEP W 67 - 63 76% +3  70% 10 - 13 6 - 10 C- -4 C+ +3 D C- A+ D- -7 B+ D- F
 Thu, Feb 26 150 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 93 32% -21  0% 10 - 14 6 - 11 F -20 F -11 F D B- D -6 F A+ D
 Sat, Feb 28 159 @Middle Tennessee L 85 - 86 OT 33% +3  54% 10 - 15 6 - 12 C+ +2 B- +5 C- B- A C- -3 C- F A-
 Thu, Mar 5 204 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 75 OT 65% -6  8% 11 - 15 7 - 12 C- -3 D -6 F C+ A B- +2 A+ F F+
 Sat, Mar 7 168 Kennesaw St. W 79 - 76 59% +1  55% 12 - 15 8 - 12 C -0 B- +4 D A B- D+ -4 C C+ D-
 Tue, Mar 10 204 Jacksonville St. W 68 - 63 54% +5  91% 13 - 15 C+ +3 C- -1 D C- C+ B +4 D- A+ B+
 Wed, Mar 11 112 Sam Houston St. L 61 - 69 32% -8  0% 13 - 16 C- -5 F -15 F D D- A +11 A+ A+ F+
Totals 13 - 16 8 - 12 -1 C +0 A+ C- D- C- -1 C- C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C- C- C- 33% 49% 38% D- D+ B- D C B C- C C- C- C B+ B- B- 34% 22% 44% B- B- C- D D+ D+ D- D F+
1.08 58% 37% 33% -1 -1 0.96 33% 0.9 .31 15% .28 72% .20 1.10 58% 34% 32% -2 0 0.96 31% 1.1 .34 15% .37 75% .21
Nov
15		 New Mexico B+ A+ F+ F C- 17% 25% 58% D- D+ B A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ A- C- A A+ A+ 31% 15% 54% B+ A+ B- F D A C- F D
1.16 88% 33% 25% -4 -2 0.90 31% 1.3 .41 12% .45 77% .35 1.03 60% 29% 27% -7 0 0.90 28% 1.3 .38 20% .32 82% .27
Nov
21		 Samford A- A- C+ A+ A 36% 34% 30% D+ A- B+ A A A- C C C D- D+ D+ A+ A 27% 20% 53% C+ A- D+ F F F C F D+
1.30 67% 41% 47% +10 -2 1.18 32% 1.3 .43 10% .28 75% .21 1.16 64% 40% 22% -7 -1 0.86 26% 1.4 .37 5% .35 76% .27
Nov
25		 UC Irvine F C- A- F F+ 29% 37% 34% F F A- C B F A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 34% 39% A A+ A+ D A A+ F B- F
0.82 50% 47% 7% -13 -3 0.71 41% 0.9 .38 30% .55 70% .39 0.64 55% 21% 13% -19 -3 0.59 17% 1.2 .20 26% .56 66% .37
Nov
26		 Georgia St. D D- F A+ D+ 38% 29% 33% F+ D B F D- A F C- F A+ D A+ A A 27% 22% 51% D B+ C A+ A- C+ A B A+
1.04 50% 29% 42% -2 -1 0.97 39% 0.7 .26 12% .21 71% .15 0.78 60% 8% 25% -13 -1 0.75 26% 0.7 .19 18% .20 75% .15
Dec
2		 South Alabama C+ B- A+ F C 20% 19% 61% D- C- A+ F C D C+ B- B- D- B+ A+ C B+ 49% 22% 29% C B+ A- F F+ D F F F
1.13 64% 80% 24% 0 -1 1.00 45% 0.7 .33 20% .24 77% .19 1.16 50% 22% 33% -8 +1 0.88 18% 2.0 .36 11% .66 82% .54
Dec
6		 Abilene Christian C+ F B B+ D- 41% 19% 41% C- D- A+ F D+ B+ A+ A- A+ F C+ F+ F F 36% 26% 38% B- F F D F C F F F
1.09 47% 43% 40% 0 0 1.03 42% 0.6 .26 19% .68 77% .53 1.22 53% 45% 50% +9 -1 1.19 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .38
Dec
13		 Tulsa D F F+ C F 43% 22% 35% C+ F+ D D+ D C+ A+ D A+ C+ C B F D- 29% 7% 63% B D C F F A+ F D F
1.00 45% 27% 33% -8 0 0.86 21% 1.1 .24 16% .44 69% .31 1.19 58% 33% 42% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.6 .52 23% .65 83% .54
Dec
21		 Sam Houston St. B C A+ B A 41% 23% 36% C A F+ A D+ A+ F B- F B- A+ F B- A+ 38% 14% 48% C- A D+ A B C- F C+ F
1.17 60% 64% 36% +8 0 1.18 21% 1.3 .27 9% .16 73% .12 1.05 33% 50% 33% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.8 .31 16% .42 69% .29
Jan
2		 Florida International C- B A+ B+ A- 31% 18% 51% D+ B+ F C- F C- F D- F F F A+ F F+ 40% 25% 35% B D- F F F C+ F D- F
1.04 63% 56% 38% +8 0 1.18 20% 1.0 .20 21% .21 67% .14 1.25 68% 25% 41% +5 0 1.10 41% 1.5 .62 18% .45 73% .33
Jan
4		 Missouri St. B- A+ F+ A+ B+ 25% 45% 29% F B- A- F C- C B- A+ A- F F A+ F F+ 22% 39% 39% A+ D+ F F F B- F F F
1.15 85% 30% 47% +9 -4 1.12 39% 0.8 .33 17% .39 83% .32 1.25 80% 17% 50% +6 -4 1.07 39% 1.4 .56 18% .67 74% .50
Jan
8		 Western Kentucky B+ F C- A+ C- 28% 28% 43% D C- A+ C A C+ A+ A- A+ B+ A+ C A+ A+ 37% 30% 33% A A+ D- F F F D- C D
1.21 31% 38% 45% 0 -2 0.98 44% 0.9 .41 17% .62 76% .47 0.97 15% 38% 22% -22 -1 0.56 36% 1.2 .44 8% .38 74% .28
Jan
10		 Middle Tennessee F D+ C- F F 27% 23% 50% D- F D- F F D+ A+ F C+ A D- A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% D+ A+ A+ C- A D F A- F
0.85 54% 36% 25% -8 -1 0.83 20% 0.8 .15 17% .41 59% .24 0.91 67% 18% 22% -8 0 0.85 17% 1.0 .17 14% .43 63% .27
Jan
15		 Liberty B+ B- D+ A+ B+ 19% 37% 44% F C+ C+ C+ C+ A F F F D D+ B F D 52% 14% 34% B- D+ C- A C+ D- F F F
1.22 60% 37% 43% +6 -3 1.08 33% 1.3 .42 12% .08 50% .04 1.25 65% 33% 47% +10 +2 1.25 19% 0.8 .15 10% .34 78% .27
Jan
17		 Delaware A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 27% 30% 43% D- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ D C- A+ A+ F B 39% 17% 43% D B- C+ F D- F F A- D-
1.57 80% 41% 46% +14 -2 1.27 33% 2.0 .67 6% .19 100% .19 1.10 44% 25% 45% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 10% .32 72% .23
Jan
22		 Missouri St. C+ B+ D- F F 19% 41% 41% F+ F C- A+ B- A+ D+ C+ C- F F F F+ F 32% 27% 41% B- F F A+ B+ C F F F
1.16 70% 32% 27% -4 -4 0.85 29% 1.4 .39 8% .34 75% .25 1.30 79% 58% 39% +15 -1 1.30 43% 0.6 .27 17% .50 81% .41
Jan
24		 Florida International D F F C+ F 30% 28% 43% F F A- F D C+ A+ D- A C- C- F A+ C+ 39% 19% 42% C+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F F C F+
1.03 44% 27% 35% -7 -2 0.85 43% 0.7 .29 20% .45 67% .30 1.07 59% 55% 25% -2 0 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 8% .40 68% .27
Jan
28		 Delaware D- D+ B+ A- B 18% 32% 50% F C+ B F F+ D- F F+ F F F F F F 34% 23% 43% C+ F C+ A+ B+ D+ D- F F
1.07 56% 44% 40% +6 -3 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 17% .16 75% .12 1.22 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.32 19% 0.5 .10 17% .30 100% .30
Jan
31		 Kennesaw St. F F C- F F 26% 41% 33% F F D+ F F D A+ C+ A+ C- F A+ A- C 33% 19% 49% A- C+ C+ F F F F C- F
0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49 1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42
Feb
4		 Louisiana Tech B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 42% 22% 36% C A+ B- F D+ C- D+ F+ D B- D- A+ D+ C+ 31% 24% 44% B C+ F A C- B- F A F
1.13 58% 50% 44% +8 0 1.18 37% 0.8 .30 19% .29 67% .19 0.99 64% 9% 35% -4 -1 0.91 48% 0.6 .30 20% .50 56% .28
Feb
7		 UTEP C D- D- A+ C- 38% 29% 33% C- C- D+ C- D+ A+ D F F D C- A+ B B+ 23% 26% 51% C B+ F F F C F C F
1.08 50% 33% 43% 0 -1 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 12% .32 61% .20 1.12 62% 20% 31% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 17% .56 68% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
11		 Liberty C- A C+ F C- 34% 21% 45% C- C- C- A+ B B F A+ D- C A- F A- A+ 42% 7% 51% B- A+ F F F D- A+ F B+
1.11 68% 42% 28% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.5 .45 15% .12 100% .12 1.14 52% 75% 30% -3 +2 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 10% .15 89% .13
Feb
14		 Jacksonville St. A- C F D+ D 42% 9% 49% B+ D+ C A+ A A A+ A A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A- F F+ F B C- B-
1.20 58% 0% 32% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.6 .44 12% .54 84% .45 1.06 40% 22% 29% -13 +1 0.78 23% 1.6 .37 5% .30 68% .21
Feb
21		 UTEP C+ C D- C- D+ 26% 34% 40% F D B- D- C- A+ F C- F D- C- D- A+ A- 27% 25% 48% D+ B+ D D- D- F B- F D+
1.15 57% 33% 33% -2 -3 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 7% .13 71% .09 1.08 62% 42% 22% -7 -1 0.85 29% 1.1 .32 10% .25 85% .21
Feb
26		 Western Kentucky F C+ F F F 27% 23% 50% D+ F D C- D B- A+ B A+ D D F+ F F 42% 15% 42% D F A+ A+ A+ D F B F
0.89 60% 31% 18% -13 -1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 16% .52 74% .38 1.18 60% 44% 44% +8 +1 1.20 11% 0.3 .03 11% .44 71% .31
Feb
28		 Middle Tennessee B- C A- D C+ 27% 35% 37% F C- B+ D+ B- A F+ C- F+ C- C- F C+ D 25% 33% 41% A C- D+ F F A- F F F
1.13 59% 45% 30% +1 -3 0.98 33% 1.0 .33 11% .24 75% .18 1.14 62% 53% 33% +5 -3 1.08 33% 1.5 .50 20% .45 78% .35
Mar
5		 Jacksonville St. D A- F F F+ 32% 32% 36% F F C- A- C+ A A+ F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 35% 25% A+ A+ F F+ F F+ F A+ F+
1.01 67% 22% 25% -7 -2 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 12% .52 66% .34 0.99 40% 22% 23% -17 -2 0.65 42% 1.1 .47 13% .52 56% .29
Mar
7		 Kennesaw St. B- D A- F D+ 44% 34% 22% F+ D A+ D+ A B- A A- A+ D+ C- A+ D+ C 35% 14% 51% B- C A- F+ C+ D- F C- F
1.17 50% 47% 27% -3 -1 0.94 47% 0.9 .42 15% .50 83% .42 1.12 59% 14% 36% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 13% .44 69% .31
Mar
10		 Jacksonville St. C- F F A+ C- 37% 31% 33% F+ D B- F C- C+ A C+ A B F A+ B D- 43% 12% 45% C D- B+ A+ A+ B+ D- B- D+
1.06 44% 20% 50% -3 -1 0.94 31% 0.8 .26 16% .42 78% .33 0.98 78% 0% 32% +2 +1 1.10 23% 0.6 .13 20% .39 65% .25
Mar
11		 Sam Houston St. F D- C F F 34% 32% 34% F+ F C F D D- A+ F B- A A+ F A+ A+ 58% 8% 35% F A+ D A+ A+ F+ F A+ F
0.85 53% 38% 18% -10 -2 0.78 29% 0.8 .24 20% .42 58% .24 0.96 40% 50% 22% -16 +3 0.77 40% 0.6 .22 13% .53 61% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%