IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

New Mexico St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.2	#133
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#165

Pace	63.2	#320
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#154

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.1	#123

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.8%	13.4%	8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Average Seed	12.6	12.3	13.1

.500 or above	64.7%	78.9%	52.6%
.500 or above in Conference	66.1%	75.1%	58.5%
Conference Champion	12.4%	16.7%	8.8%
Last Place in Conference	5.5%	2.8%	7.9%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	10.7%	13.3%	8.4%
Second Round	2.2%	3.1%	1.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	0.8%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Home) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 4
Quad 3	6 - 6	7 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 3	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 15, 2025	93	New Mexico	L	71-72	46%
Nov 21, 2025	188	Samford	W	76-70	72%
Nov 25, 2025	108	UC Irvine	L	66-68	41%
Nov 26, 2025	312	Georgia St.	W	73-64	79%
Dec 02, 2025	172	South Alabama	W	64-62	60%
Dec 06, 2025	178	@ Abilene Christian	L	67-68	48%
Dec 13, 2025	141	Tulsa	W	68-67	52%
Dec 21, 2025	205	Sam Houston St.	W	72-65	71%
Jan 02, 2026	203	@ Florida International	W	69-68	51%
Jan 04, 2026	166	@ Missouri St.	L	63-64	47%
Jan 08, 2026	155	Western Kentucky	W	74-69	66%
Jan 10, 2026	150	Middle Tennessee	W	70-66	64%
Jan 15, 2026	92	@ Liberty	L	63-70	26%
Jan 17, 2026	262	@ Delaware	W	73-70	61%
Jan 22, 2026	166	Missouri St.	W	66-61	65%
Jan 24, 2026	203	Florida International	W	72-65	70%
Jan 28, 2026	262	Delaware	W	76-67	78%
Jan 31, 2026	136	@ Kennesaw St.	L	70-73	40%
Feb 04, 2026	182	@ Louisiana Tech	L	63-64	49%
Feb 07, 2026	162	@ UTEP	L	67-68	44%
Feb 11, 2026	92	Liberty	L	66-67	45%
Feb 14, 2026	159	@ Jacksonville St.	L	64-65	46%
Feb 21, 2026	162	UTEP	W	70-65	65%
Feb 26, 2026	155	@ Western Kentucky	L	71-72	44%
Feb 28, 2026	150	@ Middle Tennessee	L	67-69	45%
Mar 05, 2026	159	Jacksonville St.	W	67-62	66%
Mar 07, 2026	136	Kennesaw St.	W	73-70	59%
Projected Record						15 - 12	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.3	1.0	2.6	3.3	2.3	1.9	0.8	0.3		12.4	1st
2nd												0.1	0.7	2.1	3.7	4.0	2.0	0.4					12.9	2nd
3rd												0.7	2.7	4.3	2.9	0.8	0.1						11.6	3rd
4th										0.1	0.6	3.0	4.0	2.2	0.4	0.0							10.2	4th
5th										0.2	2.5	5.1	2.4	0.3									10.4	5th
6th									0.3	2.2	4.4	1.7	0.2	0.0									8.8	6th
7th								0.1	1.3	3.4	1.8	0.4											6.9	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	3.6	2.4	0.3	0.0											7.6	8th
9th						0.1	1.4	2.3	1.5	0.4	0.0												5.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	0.9	2.4	2.0	0.4	0.0													6.0	10th
11th				0.4	0.7	1.3	0.8	0.4															3.7	11th
12th		0.3	0.6	0.9	0.6	0.7	0.3																3.5	12th

Total		0.3	0.6	1.3	1.7	3.0	5.1	6.1	7.0	8.7	9.5	10.9	10.2	9.2	7.8	7.4	5.4	2.7	1.9	0.8	0.3			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8
18-2	100.0%	1.9		1.7	0.2
17-3	85.7%	2.3		1.8	0.4	0.1
16-4	61.2%	3.3		2.2	0.9	0.2
15-5	34.8%	2.6		1.0	1.2	0.4
14-6	12.1%	1.0		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1
13-7	3.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	12.4%	12.4		8.1	3.2	1.0	0.2	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		100.0%	57.1%	42.9%	8.7							0.0	0.1	0.0			0.1								100.0%
19-1	0.8%		45.5%	45.5%		10.0						0.0	0.0				0.0	0.2	0.1					0.5
18-2	1.9%		46.1%	44.1%	2.0%	11.4										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.3	0.1				1.0		3.6%
17-3	2.7%		42.9%	42.9%		11.9												0.3	0.7	0.2				1.5
16-4	5.4%		27.5%	27.5%		12.4												0.0	0.9	0.5	0.0			3.9
15-5	7.4%		24.7%	24.7%		12.7												0.1	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.0		5.6
14-6	7.8%		16.9%	16.9%		12.9													0.5	0.5	0.3			6.5
13-7	9.2%		12.0%	12.0%		13.1													0.3	0.6	0.2	0.1		8.1
12-8	10.2%		10.5%	10.5%		13.6													0.0	0.5	0.5	0.1		9.1
11-9	10.9%		5.9%	5.9%		13.9														0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	10.3
10-10	9.5%		3.6%	3.6%		14.7															0.2	0.1	0.1	9.2
9-11	8.7%		1.8%	1.8%		15.5																0.1	0.1	8.6
8-12	7.0%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
7-13	6.1%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
6-14	5.1%																							5.1
5-15	3.0%																							3.0
4-16	1.7%																							1.7
3-17	1.3%																							1.3
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20

Total	100%		10.8%	10.6%	0.2%	12.6						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.2	3.5	3.1	1.8	0.5	0.4	89.2		0.2%