California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#181
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#138
Pace65.1#281
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#169
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.9% 21.9% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 59.2% 77.9% 53.9%
.500 or above in Conference 66.2% 77.2% 63.1%
Conference Champion 17.5% 24.6% 15.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 4.5% 9.7%
First Four1.4% 0.8% 1.6%
First Round15.3% 21.6% 13.5%
Second Round0.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Irvine (Away) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 64 - 11
Quad 413 - 517 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 319   South Carolina Upstate W 87-75 82%     1 - 0 +0.5 +7.8 -7.5
  Nov 07, 2025 107   @ UC Irvine L 66-74 22%    
  Nov 14, 2025 334   Western Illinois W 74-63 84%    
  Nov 18, 2025 281   UC Riverside W 73-66 75%    
  Nov 21, 2025 282   Grambling St. W 69-61 75%    
  Nov 25, 2025 175   San Diego L 74-75 48%    
  Nov 29, 2025 121   @ Oregon St. L 63-70 27%    
  Dec 01, 2025 95   @ Colorado L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 03, 2025 13   BYU L 63-82 5%    
  Dec 06, 2025 80   @ Utah L 67-78 17%    
  Dec 12, 2025 205   @ Eastern Washington L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 16, 2025 193   Southern W 77-73 62%    
  Dec 20, 2025 258   Sacramento St. W 71-65 70%    
  Dec 29, 2025 120   @ Utah Valley L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 01, 2026 203   @ Texas Arlington L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 03, 2026 293   @ Tarleton St. W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 08, 2026 260   Utah Tech W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 10, 2026 269   Southern Utah W 74-67 73%    
  Jan 15, 2026 176   @ Abilene Christian L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 21, 2026 260   Utah Tech W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 24, 2026 120   Utah Valley L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 31, 2026 203   @ Texas Arlington L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 05, 2026 293   Tarleton St. W 71-63 75%    
  Feb 07, 2026 176   Abilene Christian W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 12, 2026 269   @ Southern Utah W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 14, 2026 260   @ Utah Tech W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 19, 2026 120   @ Utah Valley L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 26, 2026 203   Texas Arlington W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 28, 2026 293   Tarleton St. W 71-63 75%    
  Mar 05, 2026 176   Abilene Christian W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 07, 2026 269   @ Southern Utah W 71-70 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.6 4.3 3.5 2.3 0.9 0.2 17.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 6.1 4.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.1 6.7 4.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 19.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.0 5.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 4.6 3.5 1.1 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.6 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.5 7th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.4 6.2 8.2 9.8 11.3 11.9 11.3 9.9 8.2 6.2 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.2 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9
16-2 99.1% 2.3    2.2 0.1
15-3 89.9% 3.5    3.0 0.5 0.0
14-4 69.3% 4.3    3.1 1.1 0.1
13-5 44.6% 3.6    1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0
12-6 19.4% 1.9    0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0
11-7 4.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.5% 17.5 12.0 4.4 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 75.3% 71.2% 4.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 14.3%
17-1 0.9% 58.3% 58.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.3% 50.4% 50.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.9% 46.7% 46.7% 13.2 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-4 6.2% 36.3% 36.3% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 3.9
13-5 8.2% 31.5% 31.5% 14.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.1 5.6
12-6 9.9% 24.5% 24.5% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 7.5
11-7 11.3% 16.7% 16.7% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 9.4
10-8 11.9% 11.0% 11.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 10.6
9-9 11.3% 6.8% 6.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 10.5
8-10 9.8% 4.9% 4.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.3
7-11 8.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.9
6-12 6.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.1
5-13 4.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 15.9% 15.9% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 4.1 3.8 2.6 84.1 0.0%