California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.8 119
Results Rating +5.5 98
Consistency 0.14 99
Pace 65.1 270
Improvement +2.0 119

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 209 D C+ C- C- B-
Defense B 63 B B+ D+ C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 38 F+ 49% 351 -0.5 199
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 154 C 38% 160 -0.3 196
Three Pointers 36% 283 C- 33% 219 -2.9 279
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 106 D -4.2 318
1st FG Attempt D 0.95 299
Second Chance B+ 37.0% 26 D 0.92 327 C+ 0.34 111
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 167
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 280
Turnovers C- 17.2% 223
Freethrows C- 0.30 216 C- 71% 230 C- 0.21 219
Total Offense C- -1.6 209

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 34% 347 C+ 10.4% 154
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 337 C+ 4.1% 117
Three Pointers D 78% 303 D- 1.7% 334
Total F+ 43% 354 C- 6.0% 238


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 117 B 52% 41 -0.9 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 94 C- 40% 240 +1.2 284
Three Pointers 36% 320 B 31% 64 -3.9 31
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 145 B -3.5 44
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 53
Second Chance B 26.4% 50 B+ 0.92 35 B+ 0.24 29
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.8% 343
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 49
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 275
Freethrows C- 0.32 247 C 72% 172 C- 0.23 240
Total Defense B +4.4 63

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 58 C- 9.2% 239
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 28 D- 1.4% 346
Three Pointers C+ 82% 128 D+ 0.4% 289
Total B+ 47% 29 D+ 4.2% 290

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 290 17.1 143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 304 0.16 159
Consistency 0.13 201 0.10 29
Improvement -0.8 230 +2.8 64

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 127 118 110
Results Rating Rank 110 97 78
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32% 46% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round32% 46% 0%
Second Round2% 2% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 37 - 9
Quad 417 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 306 South Carolina Upstate W 87 - 75 91% +8  95% 1 - 0 C +0 B+ +8 A+ F+ A+ D- -8 D+ C B-
 Fri, Nov 7 113 @UC Irvine W 69 - 61 36% +3  55% 2 - 0 B+ +14 C +1 C C+ F A+ +13 A A+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 364 Western Illinois W 69 - 59 98% +6  88% 3 - 0 D- -12 D- -8 F F+ A C- -3 D+ A F
 Tue, Nov 18 273 UC Riverside W 80 - 57 87% +15  95% 4 - 0 B+ +14 D -5 F+ C- C- A+ +17 A B- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 307 Grambling St. W 72 - 59 91% +13  97% 5 - 0 C +1 C+ +2 A+ D+ F C+ +0 C- A+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 226 San Diego W 76 - 61 73% +2  54% 6 - 0 B +11 D+ -3 F+ A+ F A+ +14 B+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 148 @Oregon St. W 75 - 69 47% +2  50% 7 - 0 B +10 B- +5 B+ F A B+ +5 D+ A+ C
 Mon, Dec 1 67 @Colorado L 70 - 78 20% +2  64% 7 - 1 C+ +4 C +0 D- C C B- +3 B D+ C+
 Wed, Dec 3 22 BYU L 60 - 91 10% -18  1% 7 - 2 D- -14 F+ -10 F D D- D -5 C+ F C-
 Sat, Dec 6 108 @Utah L 85 - 91 34% -4  1% 7 - 3 C +1 A- +10 F+ A+ D F+ -9 B- D- D-
 Fri, Dec 12 178 @Eastern Washington W 88 - 83 54% +5  71% 8 - 3 B- +7 A- +10 B+ A+ F D+ -3 C- D+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 276 Southern W 75 - 67 87% +4  89% 9 - 3 C -2 D -5 D- D- B B- +3 B C- A-
 Sat, Dec 20 275 Sacramento St. W 74 - 67 87% +2  62% 10 - 3 C- -3 D -4 F A+ D- B- +2 A F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 98 @Utah Valley L 66 - 73 30% -0  45% 10 - 4 0 - 1 C +1 D -5 A+ F F B+ +7 D A+ F
 Thu, Jan 1 171 @Texas Arlington L 51 - 63 52% -4  3% 10 - 5 0 - 2 D -10 F -13 D D- F B- +3 A- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 229 @Tarleton St. L 76 - 81 OT 64% -1  25% 10 - 6 0 - 3 D+ -6 D+ -2 B B- F D+ -3 F+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 8 196 Utah Tech W 84 - 72 77% +7  89% 11 - 6 1 - 3 B- +7 A+ +15 D A+ A- D -6 D A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 10 264 Southern Utah W 58 - 55 86% +6  95% 12 - 6 2 - 3 D+ -6 F -14 F A- A- A- +9 A+ F C
 Thu, Jan 15 249 @Abilene Christian W 74 - 58 68% +13  85% 13 - 6 3 - 3 B+ +14 B+ +8 D- C+ A+ A- +8 B- A+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 196 Utah Tech W 73 - 64 77% +5  81% 14 - 6 4 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +3 D- A A- B- +2 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 98 Utah Valley W 78 - 71 OT 52% +0  54% 15 - 6 5 - 3 B +9 C- -2 B- D+ D A +11 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 171 @Texas Arlington W 87 - 77 OT 52% +5  95% 16 - 6 6 - 3 B+ +12 B+ +9 C+ B A- B- +3 C+ A F+
 Thu, Feb 5 229 Tarleton St. W 56 - 55 82% -1  31% 17 - 6 7 - 3 D+ -6 F -17 F C- D- A +11 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 249 Abilene Christian W 65 - 63 85% +4  82% 18 - 6 8 - 3 D+ -6 F+ -9 F F A B- +3 A A D-
 Thu, Feb 12 264 @Southern Utah W 83 - 66 70% +8  95% 19 - 6 9 - 3 B+ +14 B+ +8 C- A+ B- B+ +6 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 196 @Utah Tech L 65 - 70 56% -1  34% 19 - 7 9 - 4 C- -4 D -6 F D+ A+ C+ +1 C- B+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 98 @Utah Valley L 46 - 65 30% -10  0% 19 - 8 9 - 5 D -11 F -22 F F F A +10 A- A D+
 Thu, Feb 26 171 Texas Arlington W 68 - 56 73% +7  85% 20 - 8 10 - 5 B +8 C+ +3 B C+ B B+ +6 A+ B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 229 Tarleton St. W 82 - 67 82% +11  96% 21 - 8 11 - 5 B- +8 B+ +9 D B A+ C -0 B D A+
 Thu, Mar 5 249 Abilene Christian W 87 - 48 85% +24  98% 22 - 8 12 - 5 A+ +31 B+ +8 B- A+ B+ A+ +22 A A+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 264 @Southern Utah W 82 - 75 70% +10  96% 23 - 8 13 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 C+ A+ F+ C -0 B C- F
 Fri, Mar 13 196 Utah Tech W 73 - 68 67%
Totals 24 - 8 13 - 5 +3 C- -2 A- D B- B +4 C- C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- F+ C C- D 44% 40% 36% B- D B+ D C+ C- C- C- C- B B C- B B 41% 23% 36% C B B B+ B+ D+ C- C C-
1.06 49% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.95 37% 0.9 .34 17% .30 71% .21 1.02 52% 40% 31% -4 0 0.95 26% 0.9 .24 15% .32 72% .21
Nov
3		 South Carolina Upstate B+ B- A+ A- A+ 58% 13% 28% A- A+ B+ F F+ A+ B- F D+ D- D- D A D 44% 25% 31% C+ D+ B+ F C B- F C+ F
1.23 61% 71% 40% +9 +2 1.25 37% 0.7 .26 10% .33 57% .19 1.06 62% 42% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.1 .27 20% .51 69% .35
Nov
7		 UC Irvine C F A+ A- C- 48% 17% 35% A- C A+ F C+ F B- D- C+ A+ A+ A+ F A 40% 36% 25% B+ A A A+ A+ F+ F A+ C-
0.96 32% 56% 39% -7 +1 0.90 48% 0.7 .33 24% .28 67% .18 0.85 33% 26% 46% -10 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .17 14% .37 57% .21
Nov
14		 Western Illinois D- F F F F 42% 8% 50% B- F A F F+ A B A A- C- C+ F A+ C- 51% 28% 21% F+ D+ A+ C A F F F+ F
1.10 50% 25% 25% -11 +2 0.83 46% 0.7 .30 10% .35 80% .28 0.94 50% 46% 20% -6 0 0.89 12% 1.0 .12 13% .38 71% .27
Nov
18		 UC Riverside D F A+ F F 64% 20% 16% A- F+ A+ F C- C- C+ D- C- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 46% 21% 33% C- A D A B- A+ A- B+ A-
1.05 47% 55% 22% -7 +2 0.93 47% 0.6 .29 16% .36 65% .23 0.75 42% 45% 24% -11 +1 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 29% .24 69% .17
Nov
21		 Grambling St. C+ A- A+ B+ A 61% 7% 32% A+ A+ C+ D- D+ F B- C- C+ C+ D- F+ A+ C- 40% 18% 43% D C- A+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.12 68% 67% 38% +10 +3 1.29 35% 0.9 .30 28% .37 71% .26 0.91 63% 43% 24% -4 +1 0.95 17% 0.0 .00 22% .46 91% .42
Nov
25		 San Diego D+ F F C+ F 42% 12% 47% B F+ C+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ A+ F B A+ A 46% 12% 42% F B+ A+ F A+ C- C+ A+ B
1.07 50% 20% 35% -5 +1 0.95 35% 1.5 .55 24% .52 79% .41 0.86 75% 33% 14% -6 +2 0.94 3% 4.0 .13 17% .22 62% .14
Nov
29		 Oregon St. B- B- F A B 54% 17% 29% B B+ D F F A C+ F D+ B+ A A F D+ 38% 15% 47% D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C A- F C+
1.11 61% 22% 40% +1 +2 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 10% .33 65% .22 1.03 44% 29% 45% +1 +1 1.06 14% 1.0 .14 18% .31 88% .27
Dec
1		 Colorado C D+ F F F 64% 13% 23% A+ D- B+ F+ C C A+ B- A+ B- A+ D F B+ 46% 24% 30% C+ B D- B- D+ C+ F C- F
1.03 53% 29% 17% -10 +3 0.87 33% 0.9 .28 16% .42 75% .32 1.15 48% 45% 43% +1 0 1.04 36% 0.9 .33 15% .53 77% .41
Dec
3		 BYU F+ F F D+ F 46% 17% 37% A+ F A- F D D- A+ B A+ D C- D C B- 38% 20% 42% D C+ D- F F C- A D A-
0.87 38% 11% 32% -15 +1 0.73 34% 0.6 .22 20% .34 74% .25 1.31 67% 45% 35% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.6 .68 13% .23 79% .18
Dec
6		 Utah A- C+ F F F+ 42% 25% 34% C- F+ A+ A+ A+ D A- F+ B- F+ B- F B- B- 41% 22% 37% B- B- B- F D- D- F D F
1.20 59% 23% 28% -6 0 0.89 53% 1.3 .72 17% .32 63% .20 1.29 55% 55% 33% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.3 .38 13% .60 78% .47
Dec
12		 Eastern Washington A- B- A+ D B+ 53% 18% 29% B- B+ A+ F+ A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ A- D- F C 56% 21% 23% F+ C- D+ C- D+ D- F A F
1.25 63% 75% 31% +8 +1 1.20 54% 1.0 .54 21% .50 82% .41 1.18 48% 45% 50% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 16% .45 67% .30
Dec
16		 Southern D C+ C+ F+ F+ 25% 10% 65% C+ D- C+ F D- B A B+ A+ B- A+ A D B+ 38% 24% 38% D+ B D+ B- C- A- D F+ D-
1.08 62% 40% 30% -2 0 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 16% .45 81% .36 0.97 42% 25% 37% -8 0 0.86 32% 1.0 .32 20% .36 75% .27
Dec
20		 Sacramento St. D F A D F 61% 9% 30% A F A- A- A+ D- A+ D+ A+ B- A+ F A+ A 22% 35% 44% A+ A F F F C+ A+ F+ A+
1.10 33% 50% 31% -16 +3 0.77 43% 1.3 .55 19% .55 70% .38 0.99 17% 58% 21% -11 -3 0.75 38% 1.4 .51 16% .11 83% .09
Dec
29		 Utah Valley D A A+ D- A+ 53% 23% 25% C+ A+ C- F F F A A+ A+ B+ D- D+ B D 57% 19% 24% C D A+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ A-
0.94 67% 67% 30% +9 +1 1.23 28% 0.0 .00 33% .42 85% .36 1.04 68% 40% 31% +5 +2 1.15 9% 0.7 .06 11% .32 45% .14
Jan
1		 Texas Arlington F C D+ F C- 33% 40% 28% F D D+ F D- F D- C D B- A- A+ B A- 38% 29% 33% A A- C+ C+ C+ F F F F
0.80 57% 35% 25% -5 -3 0.86 25% 0.9 .21 27% .30 71% .21 0.99 44% 25% 29% -12 -1 0.76 34% 0.9 .31 16% .43 87% .37
Jan
3		 Tarleton St. D+ B+ A B- B 46% 13% 41% B+ B A- D B- F D- C- D- D+ F B+ F F 33% 41% 26% A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C- F C F
1.02 67% 50% 37% +7 +2 1.20 41% 1.0 .41 28% .34 72% .24 1.09 67% 32% 50% +6 -3 1.09 21% 0.6 .12 19% .64 74% .48
Jan
8		 Utah Tech A+ F B+ C+ D 46% 15% 39% B- D A+ A+ A+ A- A+ B+ A+ D D B F D 49% 19% 32% D+ D C- A+ A+ D+ F D- F
1.35 48% 43% 33% -4 +1 0.96 52% 1.4 .73 11% .47 77% .36 1.15 65% 33% 40% +5 +1 1.15 29% 0.4 .13 14% .34 78% .26
Jan
10		 Southern Utah F F F F F 39% 27% 35% D+ F A+ C- A- A- A F C+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% D+ A+ F+ F F C C+ D C
0.95 37% 23% 18% -21 -1 0.59 44% 1.0 .42 10% .35 58% .20 0.90 42% 13% 22% -18 +1 0.67 36% 1.3 .46 20% .25 75% .18
Jan
15		 Abilene Christian B+ C- F A+ F+ 54% 19% 27% B- D- A F C+ A+ D- A+ C+ A- B+ B C B 52% 27% 20% D+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F B- F
1.16 58% 11% 46% 0 +1 1.04 36% 0.8 .30 16% .39 86% .33 0.91 48% 33% 33% -7 0 0.89 19% 0.3 .05 13% .45 68% .30
Jan
21		 Utah Tech C+ F D+ C- F+ 49% 18% 33% C+ D- B- A+ A A- A+ F C+ B- A+ A+ F A+ 36% 28% 36% A A+ D+ F F+ F B+ F C-
1.18 50% 33% 31% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.4 .49 11% .38 57% .22 1.03 37% 20% 42% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.2 .36 10% .18 100% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Utah Valley C- D+ F+ A+ B- 50% 22% 28% C+ B- C- D- D+ D A+ C- A+ A B+ F A+ A+ 58% 11% 30% D- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ F D F
1.03 52% 30% 46% 0 +1 1.04 29% 0.9 .26 22% .53 71% .37 0.93 52% 50% 13% -12 +3 0.83 30% 0.7 .21 18% .52 72% .37
Jan
31		 Texas Arlington B+ C- B- B- B- 36% 34% 30% D C+ C- A+ B A- A+ D+ A+ B- A F B+ C 32% 25% 42% A C+ C+ A+ A F+ B- F C-
1.11 56% 41% 33% 0 -2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 13% .53 69% .37 0.99 42% 47% 28% -7 -1 0.86 34% 0.7 .23 17% .32 81% .26
Feb
5		 Tarleton St. F F A F F 43% 27% 30% D+ F A+ F C- D- C+ A- B A F C- A+ C 45% 39% 16% B+ C+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.85 26% 50% 23% -15 0 0.70 47% 0.8 .35 24% .40 80% .32 0.84 70% 40% 0% -2 -2 0.94 13% 0.8 .10 20% .11 83% .09
Feb
7		 Abilene Christian F+ F F A+ F 51% 15% 33% B- F B- F F A A+ C- A+ B- A+ F+ A+ A+ 49% 22% 29% D- A D+ A+ A D- F C+ F
0.96 35% 17% 54% -5 +2 0.95 30% 0.3 .10 18% .61 71% .43 0.93 42% 45% 21% -12 +1 0.80 33% 0.5 .16 18% .47 69% .32
Feb
12		 Southern Utah B+ F A+ B C 40% 29% 31% D C- B+ A+ A+ B- F B F B+ C+ A F C 46% 24% 30% C C A A+ A+ F F A+ C
1.23 43% 59% 39% +3 -1 1.05 37% 1.4 .51 12% .13 75% .10 0.98 57% 25% 40% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 12% .34 55% .18
Feb
14		 Utah Tech D F C+ D- F 28% 15% 57% D+ F B+ F D+ A+ A F C+ C+ A+ C+ F C 50% 15% 35% F+ C- B A- B+ F F+ A D+
1.01 20% 38% 29% -15 0 0.72 39% 0.8 .30 8% .37 59% .22 1.09 46% 38% 50% +2 +2 1.10 24% 0.8 .19 11% .30 65% .19
Feb
19		 Utah Valley F F F F F 50% 17% 33% B F B+ F F F F A- F A C+ A B B+ 50% 23% 27% B+ A- D A+ A D+ C C C
0.70 39% 25% 27% -15 +1 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 31% .20 78% .15 0.99 58% 27% 31% -4 +1 0.96 40% 0.7 .29 18% .30 69% .21
Feb
26		 Texas Arlington C+ D- C+ A+ B+ 33% 31% 35% D B C- B+ C+ B F C+ F B+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 27% 27% B+ A+ B C+ B- F B B B+
1.08 50% 40% 41% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.2 .33 14% .20 73% .15 0.89 35% 50% 7% -18 0 0.65 32% 0.9 .29 14% .30 69% .20
Feb
28		 Tarleton St. B+ F C+ A+ D 38% 25% 38% D+ D A D B A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ D D- B- 45% 36% 18% B B F A+ D A+ F D F
1.23 39% 42% 44% 0 -1 1.00 43% 1.0 .43 13% .50 83% .41 1.00 40% 44% 38% -5 -2 0.89 50% 0.7 .36 25% .46 78% .36
Mar
5		 Abilene Christian B+ B B B- C+ 57% 15% 28% B B- B- A+ A+ B+ A+ F C- A+ A+ F B+ A+ 36% 28% 36% B A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.20 65% 43% 38% +7 +2 1.20 30% 1.8 .53 19% .56 55% .31 0.66 21% 55% 29% -11 -1 0.77 17% 0.5 .09 29% .58 53% .31
Mar
7		 Southern Utah B- A A F B 38% 35% 27% F+ C+ C+ A+ A+ F+ B D- B- C D D A+ B+ 45% 20% 35% C- B A- F C- F F F F
1.17 70% 50% 29% +7 -2 1.12 32% 1.5 .48 17% .31 67% .21 1.07 64% 40% 18% -6 +1 0.92 23% 1.4 .31 13% .43 81% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 31.5% 31.5% 12.7 0.1 10.9 18.3 2.3 68.5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 31.5% 31.5% 0.0% 12.7 68.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 31.5% 100.0% 12.7 0.3 34.5 57.9 7.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 36.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.1%