California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#130
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#77
Pace65.1#297
Improvement-2.9#336

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#141
First Shot-0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#120
Layup/Dunks+4.1#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#293
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#304
Freethrows+1.9#81
Improvement-0.2#189

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#131
First Shot+1.9#111
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#257
Layups/Dunks+0.9#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#252
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#119
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement-2.7#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.4% 26.9% 18.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.8 13.2
.500 or above 99.1% 99.9% 98.9%
.500 or above in Conference 87.9% 96.1% 85.4%
Conference Champion 20.3% 42.8% 13.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.3% 1.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round20.4% 26.9% 18.5%
Second Round1.7% 2.7% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 36 - 37 - 8
Quad 416 - 222 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 269 South Carolina Upstate W 87-75 84%     1 - 0 +3.3 +10.1 -7.0
  Fri, Nov 7 145 @UC Irvine W 69-61 41%     2 - 0 +12.1 +2.4 +9.5
  Fri, Nov 14 355 Western Illinois W 69-59 95%     3 - 0 -6.9 -3.9 -1.8
  Tue, Nov 18 271 UC Riverside W 80-57 84%     4 - 0 +14.2 -4.7 +17.1
  Fri, Nov 21 241 Grambling St. W 72-59 81%     5 - 0 +5.4 +3.1 +3.4
  Tue, Nov 25 245 San Diego W 76-61 74%     6 - 0 +10.2 -1.0 +11.1
  Sat, Nov 29 165 @Oregon St. W 75-69 47%     7 - 0 +8.5 +6.5 +2.2
  Mon, Dec 1 73 @Colorado L 70-78 20%     7 - 1 +2.6 +1.9 +0.5
  Wed, Dec 3 9 BYU L 44-66 6%     7 - 2 -2.5 +1.2 -14.5
  Sat, Dec 6 111 @Utah L 85-91 32%     7 - 3 +0.6 +12.4 -11.7
  Fri, Dec 12 260 @Eastern Washington W 88-83 66%     8 - 3 +2.5 +10.3 -7.9
  Tue, Dec 16 206 Southern W 75-67 77%     9 - 3 +1.9 +1.3 +0.7
  Sat, Dec 20 273 Sacramento St. W 74-67 84%     10 - 3 -1.9 +0.5 -2.1
  Mon, Dec 29 87 @Utah Valley L 66-74 23%    
  Thu, Jan 1 177 @Texas Arlington W 68-67 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 180 @Tarleton St. W 73-72 52%    
  Thu, Jan 8 251 Utah Tech W 75-65 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 318 Southern Utah W 79-65 91%    
  Thu, Jan 15 210 @Abilene Christian W 69-67 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 251 Utah Tech W 75-65 82%    
  Sat, Jan 24 87 Utah Valley L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 177 @Texas Arlington W 68-67 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 180 Tarleton St. W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 210 Abilene Christian W 72-64 77%    
  Thu, Feb 12 318 @Southern Utah W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 251 @Utah Tech W 72-68 64%    
  Thu, Feb 19 87 @Utah Valley L 66-74 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 177 Texas Arlington W 70-64 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 180 Tarleton St. W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Mar 5 210 Abilene Christian W 72-64 76%    
  Sat, Mar 7 318 @Southern Utah W 76-68 77%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 5.7 5.0 2.8 0.9 0.1 20.3 1st
2nd 0.4 2.8 8.1 11.3 9.7 4.5 1.1 0.0 37.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.9 7.4 6.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 21.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 7th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.8 9.6 12.8 15.4 15.8 14.2 10.2 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9
16-2 99.0% 2.8    2.5 0.3
15-3 82.0% 5.0    3.8 1.2 0.0
14-4 55.4% 5.7    3.6 2.0 0.1
13-5 28.1% 4.0    1.7 2.0 0.3 0.0
12-6 10.9% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.3% 20.3 13.1 6.4 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 48.4% 48.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 49.2% 49.2% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.8% 43.8% 43.8% 12.2 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6
15-3 6.1% 38.8% 38.8% 12.5 0.0 1.2 1.0 0.1 3.7
14-4 10.2% 33.3% 33.3% 12.8 0.0 1.1 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.8
13-5 14.2% 27.6% 27.6% 13.0 0.0 0.8 2.3 0.8 0.0 10.3
12-6 15.8% 22.8% 22.8% 13.3 0.4 2.0 1.2 0.1 12.2
11-7 15.4% 16.6% 16.6% 13.5 0.1 1.2 1.1 0.1 12.8
10-8 12.8% 11.6% 11.6% 13.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.3
9-9 9.6% 8.8% 8.8% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 8.8
8-10 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.5
7-11 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.3
6-12 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
5-13 0.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 20.4% 20.4% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.3 4.7 9.4 5.1 0.9 0.1 79.6 0.0%