William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#120
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#63
Pace84.0#6
Improvement+1.9#49

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#136
First Shot+2.6#101
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#268
Layup/Dunks+0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#59
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-0.4#210

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#109
First Shot+2.3#95
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#209
Layups/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#137
Freethrows-0.9#235
Improvement+2.3#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.0% 23.3% 17.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.2 12.7
.500 or above 96.8% 99.4% 96.2%
.500 or above in Conference 91.8% 94.9% 91.0%
Conference Champion 27.1% 33.6% 25.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round18.9% 23.3% 17.8%
Second Round2.3% 3.7% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 20.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 37 - 49 - 8
Quad 412 - 221 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 231 @Norfolk St. W 81-78 66%     1 - 0 +1.7 +3.4 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 11 116 @Richmond L 86-90 38%     1 - 1 +2.3 +7.7 -5.0
  Sat, Nov 15 15 @St. John's L 60-93 6%     1 - 2 -12.3 -12.2 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 19 117 @Bowling Green W 82-74 38%     2 - 2 +14.2 +5.4 +8.0
  Mon, Nov 24 239 UTEP W 74-63 76%     3 - 2 +6.5 -1.9 +7.8
  Tue, Nov 25 236 Abilene Christian W 92-58 76%     4 - 2 +29.6 +14.4 +13.0
  Sun, Nov 30 220 Old Dominion W 88-75 82%     5 - 2 +6.3 +0.6 +4.2
  Tue, Dec 2 135 @Duquesne W 83-79 43%     6 - 2 +8.7 +5.0 +3.3
  Sat, Dec 6 61 @George Washington L 83-92 20%    
  Thu, Dec 18 271 Radford W 91-79 87%    
  Mon, Dec 29 132 Towson W 76-72 65%    
  Wed, Dec 31 222 Stony Brook W 82-72 81%    
  Mon, Jan 5 177 @College of Charleston W 80-79 55%    
  Thu, Jan 8 203 @Monmouth W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 260 @Drexel W 78-72 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 321 N.C. A&T W 88-73 92%    
  Thu, Jan 22 100 UNC Wilmington W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 134 Hofstra W 79-75 65%    
  Thu, Jan 29 207 @Elon W 86-83 61%    
  Sat, Jan 31 226 Campbell W 88-78 82%    
  Thu, Feb 5 100 @UNC Wilmington L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 230 @Hampton W 79-75 65%    
  Thu, Feb 12 195 @Northeastern W 81-79 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 207 Elon W 89-80 79%    
  Thu, Feb 19 226 @Campbell W 85-81 64%    
  Thu, Feb 26 195 Northeastern W 84-76 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 321 @N.C. A&T W 85-76 79%    
  Tue, Mar 3 230 Hampton W 82-72 82%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 3.0 6.6 7.6 6.1 2.5 0.6 27.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.2 7.2 5.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.9 4.2 1.0 0.1 16.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 5.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.0 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.5 3.9 6.9 9.9 12.4 15.0 14.9 13.4 9.8 6.5 2.5 0.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
17-1 99.9% 2.5    2.5 0.1
16-2 94.4% 6.1    5.2 0.8 0.0
15-3 77.6% 7.6    5.3 2.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 49.2% 6.6    3.1 2.7 0.7 0.0
13-5 20.4% 3.0    0.7 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 27.1% 27.1 17.4 7.4 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.6% 53.6% 48.0% 5.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 10.8%
17-1 2.5% 45.2% 44.4% 0.8% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.4 1.4%
16-2 6.5% 36.4% 36.3% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 0.2%
15-3 9.8% 32.8% 32.8% 12.3 0.3 1.9 1.0 0.1 6.6
14-4 13.4% 26.2% 26.2% 12.5 0.1 1.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.9
13-5 14.9% 21.0% 21.0% 12.8 0.0 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 11.8
12-6 15.0% 16.6% 16.6% 13.1 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.0 12.5
11-7 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 13.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 10.9
10-8 9.9% 6.7% 6.7% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.2
9-9 6.9% 5.4% 5.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.5
8-10 3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
7-11 2.5% 1.3% 1.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.1
5-13 0.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 19.0% 18.9% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 7.5 7.0 2.4 0.3 0.1 81.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 9.2 9.1 6.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 18.2 36.4 3.0