BYU
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +16.3 23
Results Rating +16.5 25
Consistency 0.16 200
Pace 73.6 51
Improvement -8.0 364

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 8 B+ A B+ B- D+
Defense B 68 B+ C+ C A- A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 310 A 70% 6 +1.2 131
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 205 B+ 45% 26 +2.4 64
Three Pointers 44% 127 B- 36% 100 +2.7 89
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 272 A- +6.8 18
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.15 30
Second Chance B+ 37.4% 22 A- 1.18 24 A 0.44 11
Opponents' Steals B 7.9% 44
Other Turnovers B+ 5.7% 24
Turnovers B+ 13.6% 21
Freethrows C+ 0.32 124 B- 75% 83 B- 0.24 100
Total Offense A +12.1 8

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 276 A 5.5% 5
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 264 C 5.1% 201
Three Pointers B- 87% 110 C- 1.1% 249
Total D+ 52% 257 A- 3.5% 12


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% 359 C+ 56% 116 -6.7 13
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 6 B 35% 62 +2.9 353
Three Pointers 41% 178 C+ 33% 109 -0.9 144
Shot Selection/Accuracy A+ -2.1 6 B- -2.6 71
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.93 39
Second Chance B+ 25.6% 30 D 1.13 307 C+ 0.29 110
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.8% 83
Other Turnovers D- 6.0% 333
Turnovers C 16.7% 171
Freethrows B+ 0.24 18 B 70% 61 A- 0.17 14
Total Defense B +4.2 68

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 121 B- 14.0% 66
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 279 A- 9.3% 20
Three Pointers B- 79% 64 B+ 1.9% 36
Total C+ 53% 126 B 7.6% 45

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 21 18.5 323
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 12 0.14 68
Consistency 0.10 21 0.13 264
Improvement -0.1 194 -7.9 365

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 27 24 22
Results Rating Rank 32 26 21
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed 8 6 5
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Elite 8

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 3% 4% 0%
Top 6 Seed 58% 66% 38%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 99%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 99%
Average Seed 6.3 6.1 6.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 99%
Second Round68% 70% 65%
Sweet Sixteen26% 28% 23%
Elite Eight10% 10% 9%
Final Four3% 3% 3%
Championship Game1% 1% 1%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b5 - 27 - 9
Quad 27 - 215 - 11
Quad 33 - 018 - 11
Quad 45 - 023 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 34 Villanova W 71 - 66 57% +6  88% 1 - 0 A +19 B- +4 C- D+ A+ A+ +15 A+ F B
 Sat, Nov 8 328 Holy Cross W 98 - 53 99% +28  99% 2 - 0 A+ +31 A +13 A+ F A A+ +17 A+ D+ A
 Tue, Nov 11 288 Delaware W 85 - 68 98% -0  36% 3 - 0 B- +7 A+ +17 C A+ B D- -7 C- C F
 Sat, Nov 15 9 Connecticut L 84 - 86 36% -9  10% 3 - 1 A- +18 A +14 A+ A+ C+ B +4 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 22 Wisconsin W 98 - 70 50% +13  92% 4 - 1 A+ +44 A+ +21 A A A A+ +21 A+ A- A
 Thu, Nov 27 31 Miami (FL) W 72 - 62 57% +3  54% 5 - 1 A+ +25 B- +4 B C+ C+ A+ +21 A+ B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 77 Dayton W 83 - 79 80% -0  40% 6 - 1 B +11 B+ +8 A C+ B- B- +3 D+ B+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 120 California Baptist W 91 - 60 89% +18  98% 7 - 1 A+ +34 A+ +21 A A+ B A+ +13 A+ A B+
 Tue, Dec 9 40 Clemson W 67 - 64 62% -5  20% 8 - 1 A- +16 A- +10 D- A+ A- B+ +6 A+ D+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 274 UC Riverside W 100 - 53 98% +22  96% 9 - 1 A+ +38 A +14 A+ D B- A+ +20 A C+ A
 Tue, Dec 16 117 Pacific W 93 - 57 93% +18  99% 10 - 1 A+ +36 A+ +16 B+ A+ B A+ +19 A+ D A
 Fri, Dec 19 255 Abilene Christian W 85 - 67 98% +5  67% 11 - 1 B +10 B +7 B- A+ D- B- +2 A- F B-
 Mon, Dec 22 172 Eastern Washington W 109 - 81 96% +10  92% 12 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +22 A A+ A C+ +1 B F+ C
 Sat, Jan 3 98 @Kansas St. W 83 - 73 77% +6  85% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A +18 C+ +4 C- A F A+ +14 A A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 7 57 Arizona St. W 104 - 76 81% +17  94% 14 - 1 2 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +22 A+ B+ C- A +10 A+ B A-
 Sat, Jan 10 108 @Utah W 89 - 84 81% +4  78% 15 - 1 3 - 0 B+ +12 A- +11 C A+ C- C+ +1 A- F+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 44 TCU W 76 - 70 73% -0  35% 16 - 1 4 - 0 A- +16 B+ +8 F A+ A+ A- +8 A- A D+
 Sat, Jan 17 13 @Texas Tech L 71 - 84 30% -1  33% 16 - 2 4 - 1 B +9 B- +4 C+ B+ C- B +5 A- B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 108 Utah W 91 - 78 92% +6  91% 17 - 2 5 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +22 B A+ B D -6 F+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 26 4 Arizona L 83 - 86 27% -8  13% 17 - 3 5 - 2 A +20 A +13 A A- B B+ +6 C A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 20 @Kansas L 82 - 90 34% -13  2% 17 - 4 5 - 3 B+ +13 A+ +20 A+ A- A+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 60 @Oklahoma St. L 92 - 99 64% -5  8% 17 - 5 5 - 4 B- +6 A- +11 A+ C+ D- D+ -5 D- D- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 6 Houston L 66 - 77 39% -5  5% 17 - 6 5 - 5 B- +8 A +13 B C+ A+ D- -7 B F+ F
 Tue, Feb 10 46 @Baylor W 99 - 94 56% +2  53% 18 - 6 6 - 5 A +20 A+ +22 A+ A+ A+ C- -3 D+ B- B+
 Sat, Feb 14 67 Colorado W 90 - 86 OT 84% +2  66% 19 - 6 7 - 5 B +10 C+ +2 A- F+ D- A- +7 B+ A F
 Wed, Feb 18 4 @Arizona L 68 - 75 13% -6  12% 19 - 7 7 - 6 A +22 A +12 A C A A +10 A- A- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 7 Iowa St. W 79 - 69 46% +6  85% 20 - 7 8 - 6 A+ +27 A+ +17 A+ A+ A+ A +11 A+ F+ C+
 Tue, Feb 24 52 Central Florida L 84 - 97 79% -20  0% 20 - 8 8 - 7 D+ -5 C +1 D+ B+ A+ D -5 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 28 51 @West Virginia L 71 - 79 59% -5  14% 20 - 9 8 - 8 B- +6 A +14 A C+ C F+ -9 C+ D+ D-
 Tue, Mar 3 38 @Cincinnati L 68 - 90 50% -13  6% 20 - 10 8 - 9 D+ -6 C+ +3 B- C+ D+ D- -8 C- F F
 Sat, Mar 7 13 Texas Tech W 82 - 76 52% -3  22% 21 - 10 9 - 9 A +22 A+ +25 B A+ A+ C- -2 D A C
 Tue, Mar 10 98 Kansas St. W 105 - 91 85% +6  72% 22 - 10 A +19 A+ +22 A+ A+ A D+ -4 D+ D C
 Wed, Mar 11 51 West Virginia W 74 - 69 70%
Totals 23 - 10 9 - 9 +16 A +12 A+ A- D+ B +4 B- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A A B+ B- A- 34% 36% 44% D+ B+ B+ A- A B+ C+ B- B- B C+ B C+ B- 28% 31% 41% A+ B+ B+ D C+ C B+ B A-
1.26 70% 45% 36% +7 -1 1.15 37% 1.2 .44 14% .32 75% .24 1.03 56% 35% 33% -3 -2 0.93 26% 1.1 .29 17% .24 70% .23
Nov
3		 Villanova B- D+ F D+ D 51% 20% 29% A- C- C- D D+ A+ A D B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 17% 54% B A+ C- F F B B A+ A
1.04 54% 27% 31% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.8 .23 6% .33 67% .22 0.97 33% 22% 18% -23 0 0.56 35% 1.8 .65 16% .26 53% .14
Nov
8		 Holy Cross A A+ A+ F+ A+ 47% 13% 40% B A+ F F F A D+ A C A+ B D+ A+ A 4% 58% 38% A+ A+ C- D+ D+ A A B A
1.36 93% 75% 29% +18 +2 1.42 16% 0.5 .08 8% .24 81% .20 0.74 50% 43% 15% -8 -7 0.71 22% 1.0 .22 21% .19 73% .14
Nov
11		 Delaware A+ D B+ C+ C- 31% 18% 51% C+ C A+ A- A+ B C A- B- D- B+ B F D 27% 29% 44% A C- C- C C F A C A
1.40 53% 44% 36% +1 0 1.04 51% 1.2 .62 12% .28 87% .24 1.12 50% 33% 48% +6 -2 1.10 21% 0.9 .18 8% .16 78% .13
Nov
15		 Connecticut A B+ A+ D+ A+ 41% 12% 47% A- A+ A- A+ A+ C+ B+ A A B D- C+ F F 50% 15% 35% D+ F A+ F C+ A+ F B+ F
1.13 60% 67% 30% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.4 .47 19% .38 78% .30 1.16 70% 43% 50% +15 +2 1.35 28% 1.4 .40 22% .46 67% .31
Nov
21		 Wisconsin A+ D- A+ A+ A 27% 15% 58% B A B+ A+ A A A+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 20% 26% 54% A+ A+ A- B A- A F A+ D+
1.31 47% 63% 41% +6 0 1.15 30% 1.3 .38 11% .44 76% .33 0.94 82% 21% 24% -7 -2 0.83 26% 1.1 .28 16% .42 65% .27
Nov
27		 Miami (FL) B- F C A+ B 43% 23% 34% B- B B- C- C+ C+ A+ D A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% D+ A+ A D+ B+ D+ B+ A+ A+
1.05 45% 36% 50% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 19% .36 65% .23 0.90 41% 38% 17% -18 +2 0.70 31% 1.2 .38 15% .29 41% .12
Nov
28		 Dayton B+ B- B A+ A 38% 23% 40% C+ A F A+ C+ B- C A+ B+ B- C+ A+ F D 30% 16% 54% B+ D+ A- C- B+ B- A+ A+ A+
1.11 60% 42% 43% +7 0 1.15 17% 1.8 .31 20% .30 83% .25 1.06 59% 22% 42% +4 0 1.11 21% 1.3 .26 19% .23 43% .10
Dec
3		 California Baptist A+ A B+ B- A 38% 20% 42% C+ A A+ A+ A+ B F A- F+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 46% 17% 37% D+ A+ B- A+ A B+ D D+ D-
1.31 67% 45% 35% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.6 .68 13% .23 79% .18 0.87 38% 11% 32% -16 +1 0.73 34% 0.6 .22 20% .34 74% .25
Dec
9		 Clemson A- B- D F D- 36% 28% 36% C D- A+ A+ A+ A- C- A+ B- B+ B+ B- A- A+ 34% 11% 55% C A+ F A+ D+ A B F C-
1.10 59% 31% 18% -11 -1 0.79 43% 1.4 .59 15% .27 86% .23 1.05 53% 40% 29% -5 +1 0.93 46% 0.7 .32 20% .31 87% .27
Dec
13		 UC Riverside A A+ B+ A+ A+ 35% 31% 35% F A+ B F D B- B+ F D- A+ B+ B+ B+ A- 19% 37% 44% A+ A A+ F C+ A A+ A+ A+
1.33 95% 47% 47% +22 -2 1.44 36% 0.7 .25 13% .40 50% .20 0.70 50% 30% 29% -8 -4 0.80 17% 1.3 .22 24% .09 20% .02
Dec
16		 Pacific A+ A+ D B- A- 22% 33% 45% D- B+ A+ A A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 36% 42% A+ A+ A F D A A+ A+ A+
1.30 83% 33% 36% +5 -3 1.07 38% 1.2 .47 13% .43 89% .38 0.80 67% 26% 23% -9 -3 0.77 28% 1.5 .40 25% .06 0% .00
Dec
19		 Abilene Christian B A A+ D A- 30% 30% 41% F B- B- A+ A+ D- A+ C+ A+ B- F A A+ C+ 19% 52% 29% A+ A- D+ F F B- A- F C-
1.19 73% 64% 33% +12 -2 1.22 30% 2.3 .70 25% .75 73% .54 0.94 89% 28% 21% -5 -5 0.81 33% 1.3 .42 22% .27 93% .25
Dec
22		 Eastern Washington A+ A+ D B+ A+ 25% 13% 62% D+ A A A+ A+ A C- A+ C+ C+ F+ F A C- 11% 40% 49% A+ B B- F F+ C A+ C- A+
1.45 93% 38% 38% +12 0 1.27 43% 1.4 .60 12% .30 85% .26 1.08 67% 52% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 1.5 .45 19% .20 75% .15
Jan
3		 Kansas St. C+ F B B+ C+ 33% 31% 37% D- C- A- B A F A+ D A+ A+ C- C- A+ A+ 57% 14% 29% F A A- A+ A+ C- C- C- C-
1.07 41% 44% 37% -2 -2 0.94 40% 1.3 .50 24% .46 67% .31 0.94 64% 38% 12% -7 +2 0.93 26% 0.6 .17 15% .29 74% .21
Jan
7		 Arizona St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 51% C A+ B+ C+ B+ C- A+ A A+ A F A+ A+ A+ 27% 37% 36% A+ A+ F A+ B A- A B A
1.34 88% 50% 48% +22 0 1.45 38% 1.0 .38 21% .41 80% .32 0.98 81% 18% 24% -7 -3 0.83 41% 0.8 .33 19% .29 72% .21
Jan
10		 Utah A- B A+ F C- 46% 11% 43% A- C A+ A A+ C- A+ D A+ C+ C C- A B+ 39% 30% 30% A A- B- F F+ F+ D+ F F+
1.21 64% 67% 22% -2 +2 1.02 41% 1.2 .49 15% .46 66% .30 1.14 59% 41% 29% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.4 .40 12% .33 86% .28
Jan
14		 TCU B+ C- F F F 25% 37% 38% F F A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F A+ B- B 20% 33% 46% A+ A- A+ F+ A D+ B+ B+ B+
1.09 54% 26% 15% -16 -3 0.63 44% 1.1 .50 13% .48 79% .38 1.00 82% 22% 32% -2 -3 0.93 23% 1.2 .28 13% .30 67% .20
Jan
17		 Texas Tech B- A D F C+ 30% 33% 37% C C+ B+ B- B+ C- D+ A+ B- B B- B- C- A 33% 20% 47% C- A- A- C- B C- F F F
1.01 69% 33% 25% -3 -2 0.91 32% 1.0 .32 17% .24 86% .21 1.20 59% 40% 38% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.1 .33 14% .38 83% .32
Jan
24		 Utah A+ A+ F A+ A- 27% 35% 37% F B A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ D F B+ F F 13% 50% 37% A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F B+
1.41 79% 28% 42% +7 -3 1.10 44% 1.4 .59 12% .41 83% .34 1.21 71% 33% 65% +17 -6 1.24 19% 0.3 .06 9% .19 100% .19
Jan
26		 Arizona A B C- A+ A+ 11% 43% 46% F A A C+ A- B B+ F C+ B+ F F A- D+ 36% 43% 21% A+ C A+ A- A+ B+ F F+ F
1.10 57% 35% 43% +5 -5 1.02 33% 0.9 .29 16% .30 63% .19 1.14 76% 50% 30% +10 -3 1.17 25% 0.9 .21 17% .51 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 21% 26% 53% D A+ B A+ A- A+ B D B- D- C- F F F 32% 26% 42% B F A+ F A+ F F+ A+ C
1.18 67% 47% 33% +4 -2 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 10% .27 65% .18 1.30 65% 50% 50% +15 -1 1.30 14% 1.8 .24 9% .38 63% .24
Feb
4		 Oklahoma St. A- C- A+ A+ A+ 43% 8% 48% B+ A+ B+ D- C+ D- C+ A- B- D+ F B- B D- 55% 11% 35% D D- C+ F D- F+ F A+ D-
1.18 54% 60% 45% +8 +2 1.22 33% 1.0 .33 20% .27 76% .21 1.27 73% 33% 32% +7 +2 1.20 31% 1.3 .41 10% .48 65% .31
Feb
7		 Houston A A+ C+ C- A 16% 40% 44% F B A- D- C+ A+ A+ F A+ D- F B F+ C 16% 53% 31% A+ B C+ F F+ F C D+ C-
1.12 71% 35% 32% -1 -4 0.93 34% 0.8 .27 10% .53 57% .30 1.31 88% 35% 40% +6 -6 1.02 37% 1.3 .49 7% .27 80% .22
Feb
10		 Baylor A+ A+ A+ F A+ 12% 59% 29% F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C- F F F F 2% 62% 36% A+ D+ B- C+ B- B+ F F+ F
1.34 100% 68% 18% +15 -7 1.19 35% 1.3 .47 7% .36 80% .29 1.27 100% 52% 47% +16 -8 1.19 36% 1.1 .39 18% .41 80% .33
Feb
14		 Colorado C+ A- F A+ A 30% 32% 39% D- A- D F F+ D- A+ B+ A+ A- F+ D A B 25% 33% 42% A+ B+ A+ C- A F A A+ A+
1.10 65% 28% 50% +8 -2 1.14 21% 0.8 .16 19% .41 78% .32 1.05 71% 45% 29% +2 -3 1.01 19% 1.0 .19 9% .24 61% .15
Feb
18		 Arizona A A+ A+ D- A+ 24% 41% 35% D- A C+ D+ C A B A+ A- A B+ C+ F B 29% 36% 35% A+ A- A- B A- C- A+ A A+
1.03 67% 48% 28% +3 -4 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 14% .28 81% .23 1.13 56% 40% 42% +4 -3 1.05 34% 0.9 .31 14% .21 67% .14
Feb
21		 Iowa St. A+ A+ D- C- A+ 32% 21% 47% B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A A F A+ A A+ 25% 33% 42% A+ A+ A+ F F+ C+ C F D
1.18 93% 30% 32% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.7 .59 16% .36 70% .25 1.03 83% 25% 30% -1 -3 0.96 18% 2.7 .48 15% .33 79% .26
Feb
24		 Central Florida C C+ F+ C C- 31% 31% 39% D- D+ B- A B+ A+ C A+ B D F C F F 23% 38% 39% A+ F A+ B- A+ A A D+ B+
1.08 58% 32% 33% -2 -2 0.94 27% 1.3 .34 12% .29 85% .25 1.25 85% 38% 59% +21 -3 1.38 27% 1.1 .30 19% .22 79% .18
Feb
28		 West Virginia A B A+ C A 43% 11% 46% A A C+ B- C+ C A+ C+ A+ F+ B A+ F+ B- 53% 10% 37% F C+ F A+ D+ D- F F F
1.12 60% 60% 33% +3 +2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 19% .37 74% .27 1.25 54% 20% 39% -1 +2 1.04 46% 0.8 .38 13% .40 77% .31
Mar
3		 Cincinnati C+ C- A+ F B- 32% 28% 40% D+ B- B- D C+ D+ A C- B+ D- B+ F+ F C- 43% 21% 36% D C- B F F F F+ D F+
0.95 50% 57% 25% -3 -1 0.94 28% 1.0 .28 21% .33 68% .23 1.25 52% 45% 42% +3 0 1.09 29% 1.7 .50 10% .34 73% .25
Mar
7		 Texas Tech A+ A+ A- F+ A- 18% 39% 43% F+ B A+ B- A+ A+ A- A- A C- A F F F 13% 32% 55% A+ D C+ A+ A C A+ C- A+
1.35 78% 45% 27% +2 -4 0.98 47% 1.0 .47 5% .33 74% .24 1.25 50% 53% 50% +17 -3 1.30 34% 0.8 .28 15% .15 75% .12
Mar
10		 Kansas St. A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 28% 25% 48% D A+ A A A+ A C- A C+ D+ A+ C- F D- 34% 29% 38% A+ D+ A- F D C D- B+ D+
1.35 82% 67% 28% +9 -1 1.18 41% 1.4 .56 14% .27 78% .21 1.17 47% 38% 57% +9 -1 1.18 26% 1.6 .40 17% .32 67% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 99.6% 2.4% 97.2% 6.3 0.6 2.2 13.3 41.6 35.2 6.3 0.5 0.0 0.4 99.6%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.6% 2.4% 97.2% 6.3 0.4 99.6%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 100.0% 4.5 14.6 31.4 42.3 11.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.8% 100.0% 5.4 1.8 8.8 39.7 43.6 5.9 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.7% 99.8% 6.0 0.3 1.8 20.8 55.4 21.1 0.3
Lose Out 29.3% 99.3% 6.7 0.3 4.7 33.0 47.3 12.8 1.2 0.1