Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.3 165
Expected Predictive Rating -1.2 178
Pace 76.6 22
Improvement +0.8 153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 127 C- C+ C B- B
Defense C- 227 C C+ D+ F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 D+ 55% 255 +0.1 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 299 D+ 34% 301 -3.1 326
Three Pointers 45% 91 C 34% 193 +2.1 108
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 55 C- -1.9 242
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 202
Second Chance B 34.5% 65 D+ 0.97 264 C+ 0.34 115
Turnovers C 16.7% 169
Freethrows B 0.35 42 D+ 69% 281 B- 0.24 99
Total Offense C+ +1.5 127

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 36% 336 F+ 15.2% 347
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 149 D+ 7.2% 308
Three Pointers B 90% 56 C- 1.2% 265
Total C 55% 205 F+ 7.7% 346

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 63 B 52% 46 +0.2 188
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 251 C- 39% 220 -0.7 130
Three Pointers 38% 256 D- 37% 323 +0.7 222
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 286 C -0.4 166
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 184
Second Chance C 30.0% 161 C+ 1.00 129 C+ 0.30 141
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 252
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D 75% 308 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C- -1.8 227

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 136 A 19.0% 14
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 78 C+ 5.5% 126
Three Pointers B 79% 56 C+ 1.3% 265
Total C+ 53% 119 A 9.7% 8

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 34 17.1 153
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 189 0.19 251
Improvement +2.1 #90 -1.3 #260

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 77% 86% 54%
.500 or above in Conference 61% 73% 31%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 4%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round6% 7% 4%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 71.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 412 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 333 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 77% +9  87% 1 - 0 B+ +12 C+ +3 A- D- C+ B+ +7 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 16 64 South Florida L 89 - 108 28% -9  0% 1 - 1 D- -13 B- +5 D A B- F -16 D+ D+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 231 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 63% -1  34% 2 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ C- C B- +2 C- B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 339 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 86% +1  55% 2 - 2 F -20 D -6 D+ D F F -13 F B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 253 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 57% +0  50% 3 - 2 C -0 B- +4 B D F D -5 C- B- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 331 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 90% +9  74% 4 - 2 C +1 C +1 F A B+ C -1 A- F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 285 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 82% +16  97% 5 - 2 B+ +13 D+ -2 A C F A+ +11 A+ D- D
 Wed, Dec 17 171 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 40% -7  4% 5 - 3 0 - 1 C +1 D- -7 F C+ F+ A- +8 A A A-
 Sun, Dec 21 19 Alabama L 81 - 92 5% -18  0% 5 - 4 B- +7 C +1 C+ A+ F A- +7 A+ B D
 Fri, Jan 2 95 @Liberty L 73 - 81 20% -8  1% 5 - 5 0 - 2 C +0 D -4 F C- C B+ +5 B- B- B+
 Sun, Jan 4 263 @Delaware L 52 - 67 59% -5  22% 5 - 6 0 - 3 F -18 F -20 F F+ F C+ +1 D+ B D
 Wed, Jan 7 201 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 69% +8  90% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +7 A B F C- -3 C C C
 Sat, Jan 10 200 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 69% +5  96% 7 - 6 2 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 C A+ B+ D- -8 F C C-
 Wed, Jan 14 191 Florida International W 89 - 86 67% -4  19% 8 - 6 3 - 3 C- -2 B +7 B D A+ F+ -9 A- F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 170 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 40% +5  79% 9 - 6 4 - 3 A +18 B- +5 B- F+ B A+ +12 B+ A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 21 116 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 27% -5  2% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C +0 A- +10 C B A+ F+ -10 F C F
 Fri, Jan 23 219 @Louisiana Tech L 76 - 82 50% +2  63% 9 - 8 4 - 5 D+ -6 B+ +9 C C+ A- F -16 F F D+
 Wed, Jan 28 170 Western Kentucky W 72 - 69 63% -0  56% 10 - 8 5 - 5 C -1 D -5 C D+ C- B +4 A+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 155 New Mexico St. W 76 - 53 60% +15  82% 11 - 8 6 - 5 A +20 C +1 C A- B+ A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 200 @Jacksonville St. L 58 - 77 46% -11  4% 11 - 9 6 - 6 F -18 F -12 F B C D- -7 D- C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 171 Middle Tennessee L 87 - 90 63% +3  81% 11 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -7 A- +9 B+ A+ A- F -16 F B- C+
 Sat, Feb 14 116 Sam Houston St. L 79 - 83 48% -2  14% 11 - 11 6 - 8 C- -4 B+ +8 B+ B- B+ F -12 F D C-
 Wed, Feb 18 201 @Missouri St. W 91 - 87 47% +5  94% 12 - 11 7 - 8 C+ +5 A +13 A B- A F+ -9 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 21 219 Louisiana Tech W 76 - 70 72%
 Thu, Feb 26 95 Liberty L 78 - 81 40%
 Sat, Feb 28 263 Delaware W 79 - 71 78%
 Thu, Mar 5 243 @UTEP W 76 - 75 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 155 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 81 37%
Totals 15 - 13 10 - 10 +0 C+ +2 D- C- B C- -2 C D+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ D+ C C- 41% 27% 45% B C- B D+ C+ C B D+ B- C- B C- D- C 43% 18% 38% D+ C C C+ C+ D+ F D F
1.11 55% 34% 34% -2 +1 1.00 35% 1.0 .34 17% .35 69% .24 1.11 52% 39% 37% 0 +1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 16% .41 75% .26
Nov
8		 Florida A&M C+ A C- A- A- 47% 15% 38% B- A- F A+ D- C+ A F+ B B+ A+ A A+ A+ 49% 20% 31% F A+ D B- C F F D- F
1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30 0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35
Nov
16		 South Florida B- C F F F 52% 5% 43% A+ D A+ C- A B- A+ D- A+ F B B- F+ C- 60% 6% 35% D- D+ C D D+ F F F F
1.12 55% 0% 25% -9 +3 0.89 46% 1.0 .44 18% .59 64% .38 1.36 52% 33% 39% -2 +3 1.06 39% 1.3 .50 11% .65 83% .54
Nov
24		 Rice C- D- F B D 40% 17% 43% A D+ B+ F C- C A+ B- A+ B- A D- D- C- 33% 29% 38% D+ C- B- B+ B+ C+ F A- F
1.10 54% 20% 38% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 16% .44 77% .34 1.04 44% 44% 38% 0 -1 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 19% .58 63% .37
Nov
25		 Oral Roberts D D+ A+ F+ C- 38% 22% 40% D- D+ C F D F A+ F+ A+ F F A+ F F 44% 11% 44% D- F A+ C- B+ A+ F F F
1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37 1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42
Nov
26		 Florida Gulf Coast B- B+ A+ C- B- 49% 7% 44% A B B F D F A+ A- A+ D B+ C+ F C 42% 20% 38% F+ C- B- C+ B- F+ F C+ F
1.17 67% 50% 33% +5 +2 1.16 36% 0.7 .25 22% .53 81% .43 1.15 52% 38% 42% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 14% .52 72% .37
Dec
2		 Jackson St. C D+ F F F 41% 2% 57% A F A+ C A B+ A+ F A+ C A+ D+ A- A 31% 24% 45% C- A- D+ F F C+ F F F
1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39 1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44
Dec
6		 Georgia St. D+ B- C A+ A 44% 15% 41% B- A D- A C F A+ F A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 46% F A+ B- F D- D F B- F
1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28 0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35
Dec
17		 Middle Tennessee D- D F F F 56% 8% 35% A F A+ F C+ F+ A- A- A A- B A C+ A 29% 31% 40% A- A F A+ A A- F F F
0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32 0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43
Dec
21		 Alabama C B C D- B- 30% 33% 37% D C+ A- A+ A+ F C+ A+ B+ A- B- A+ B+ A+ 40% 14% 46% C+ A+ B+ C+ B D C+ C- C+
1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22 1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25
Jan
2		 Liberty D F F F F 40% 12% 48% B+ F A+ F C- C C- D+ D+ B+ B- F D- B 56% 4% 40% D B- B+ C B- B+ F F F
1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15 1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31
Jan
4		 Delaware F F A+ F F 22% 16% 61% C+ F B F F+ F D A+ C C+ D+ D- C- C- 51% 19% 30% D- D+ C A B D F+ A+ C
0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22 1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri St. B B+ D A A- 38% 6% 56% A+ A B- B- B F A+ B A+ C- A D+ C B 46% 15% 39% F C F A+ C C F A F+
1.21 72% 33% 41% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .39 24% .57 78% .44 1.07 52% 38% 33% -3 +1 0.98 42% 0.8 .36 17% .50 58% .29
Jan
10		 Jacksonville St. B+ C- F C+ C- 48% 9% 43% A- C B A+ A+ B+ A+ D A+ D- C F F F 55% 4% 40% F F D+ B C C- F B+ D-
1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40 1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28
Jan
14		 Florida International B D F A+ B+ 31% 15% 55% C- B C+ F D A+ A+ F B+ F+ A+ A- F A 53% 13% 35% F A- F F+ F F+ F D- F
1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27 1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28
Jan
17		 Western Kentucky B- F B+ A+ B- 27% 22% 51% C B- B- F F+ B A B+ A+ A+ A+ B- D A- 37% 16% 47% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ F+ D A+ C
1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36 0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23
Jan
21		 Sam Houston St. A- B- F B+ C 33% 21% 47% C- C B C+ B A+ D+ B C- F+ F A+ F F 41% 23% 36% B- F A+ F C F D+ A C
1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21 1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19
Jan
23		 Louisiana Tech B+ F A+ C+ C- 43% 15% 43% B- C B- C C+ A- A+ D+ A+ F B F F F 48% 22% 30% D+ F D- F F D+ F D F
1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41 1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29
Jan
28		 Western Kentucky D F F A+ D 59% 5% 36% A+ C B- F+ D+ C- A+ F B+ B A+ A B A+ 40% 19% 40% C- A+ D D D D- F F F
1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33 0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
31		 New Mexico St. C A F D- C 33% 19% 49% C+ C C+ A A- B+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 41% 33% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ B+ F D F
1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42 0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49
Feb
7		 Jacksonville St. F F D F F 31% 12% 57% C F C+ A- B C C+ F C- D- C+ D F F+ 41% 11% 48% C D- C- C C- D F+ D+ F
0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24 1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Middle Tennessee A- C- A+ B B 43% 7% 50% A- B+ B- A+ A+ A- B- F D F D- F F F 44% 15% 42% F F C- A- B- C+ F F F
1.24 57% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21 1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40
Feb
14		 Sam Houston St. B+ C- F A+ B+ 43% 17% 41% B- B+ B+ C- B- B+ D C- D F F+ F F+ F 47% 20% 33% C- F B- F D C- F D+ F
1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19 1.25 67% 56% 40% +11 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36
Feb
18		 Missouri St. A A+ D- A+ A+ 15% 34% 51% D- A D+ A+ B- A A+ F+ A+ F+ F F+ F F 26% 26% 49% C+ F B+ B+ A- F F C- F
1.26 86% 31% 50% +14 -3 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 12% .54 68% .36 1.20 75% 42% 39% +9 -2 1.17 27% 1.0 .27 12% .62 67% .41



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.5 1.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.6 15.3 4.4 26.3 3rd
4th 1.0 14.6 5.4 0.1 21.2 4th
5th 5.7 9.8 0.6 16.1 5th
6th 0.1 11.0 2.9 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 1.7 7.8 0.2 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 4.5 1.3 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.2 3.4 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.6 0.7 1.3 10th
11th 0.5 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
Total 1.4 10.4 26.8 34.2 21.8 5.5 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 5.5% 16.7% 16.7% 13.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.6
11-9 21.8% 9.6% 9.6% 13.8 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.3 19.7
10-10 34.2% 5.8% 5.8% 14.3 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.0 32.2
9-11 26.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 25.8
8-12 10.4% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.2 0.1 10.2
7-13 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.3
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 14.2 93.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 13.2 9.2 61.4 27.2 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%
Lose Out 0.7%