Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.8 #167
Expected Predictive Rating -3.3 #223
Pace 79.7 #11
Improvement -1.5 #265

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #197 D+ B- C C B
Defense #141 B F C+ C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #116 1.12 #226 +0.6 #156
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #315 0.79 #129 -2.2 #283
Three Pointers 45% #105 0.87 #318 -1.1 #222
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #251 -2.7 #251
Freethrows 19.2 #93 72% #212 13.7 #110
Second Chance 34.6% #74 0.92 #312 0.32 #173
Turnovers 17.1% #204
Total Offense -1.3 #197

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #19 1.02 #40 -1.2 #223
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #217 0.66 #67 +1.4 #89
Three Pointers 35% #325 1.00 #177 +3.3 #68
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #72 +3.6 #73
Freethrows 25.5 #363 77% #329 19.5 #365
Second Chance 29.4% #132 1.00 #139 0.29 #130
Turnovers 15.6% #246
Total Defense +0.5 #141

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #58 1.6% #306
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.3% #291 -8.4% #50
Possession Length 14.9 #22 16.9 #130
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #201 0.19 #239
Improvement -4.1 #354 +2.6 #37

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.3% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 50.2% 59.3% 33.5%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 49.6% 23.9%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 5.6% 15.6%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.6%
First Round5.3% 6.2% 3.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 64.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 49 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 338 @Florida A&M W 92-72 77%     9.4   1 - 0 +11.6 +3.9 +5.1
  Sun, Nov 16 88 South Florida L 89-108 34%     -9.3   1 - 1 -15.5 +6.5 -19.6
  Mon, Nov 24 255 Rice W 89-84 OT 68%     -1.3   2 - 1 -0.6 +1.1 -2.3
  Tue, Nov 25 297 Oral Roberts L 83-91 75%     0.5   2 - 2 -15.8 -1.2 -13.8
  Wed, Nov 26 175 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102-100 OT 40%     0.4   3 - 2 +3.9 +8.1 -4.6
  Tue, Dec 2 342 Jackson St. W 88-73 90%     9.4   4 - 2 +0.5 +4.7 -4.8
  Sat, Dec 6 303 Georgia St. W 92-69 83%     16.3   5 - 2 +12.0 -0.7 +8.8
  Wed, Dec 17 120 @Middle Tennessee L 67-68 26%     -7.0   5 - 3 0 - 1 +4.8 -1.9 +6.7
  Sun, Dec 21 12 Alabama L 81-92 5%     -17.6   5 - 4 +7.6 +4.0 +4.8
  Fri, Jan 2 105 @Liberty L 73-81 21%     -8.0   5 - 5 0 - 2 -0.5 -1.6 +1.5
  Sun, Jan 4 278 @Delaware L 52-67 61%     -4.8   5 - 6 0 - 3 -18.6 -15.9 -4.1
  Wed, Jan 7 187 Missouri St. W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 215 Jacksonville St. W 76-71 69%    
  Wed, Jan 14 154 Florida International W 85-83 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 146 @Western Kentucky L 81-85 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 135 @Sam Houston St. L 81-86 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 213 @Louisiana Tech L 69-70 47%    
  Wed, Jan 28 146 Western Kentucky W 84-82 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 145 New Mexico St. W 78-77 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 215 @Jacksonville St. L 73-74 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 120 Middle Tennessee L 75-76 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 135 Sam Houston St. W 84-83 53%    
  Wed, Feb 18 187 @Missouri St. L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 213 Louisiana Tech W 72-67 69%    
  Thu, Feb 26 105 Liberty L 76-78 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 278 Delaware W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Mar 5 246 @UTEP W 74-73 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 145 @New Mexico St. L 75-80 34%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.2 0.7 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.4 1.1 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 6.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.4 4.3 0.5 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.8 4.9 1.1 0.0 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 4.3 1.3 0.1 11.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.0 3.0 1.1 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.5 8.8 11.8 13.7 14.5 13.1 11.0 8.0 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 79.5% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 46.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 24.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 28.9% 28.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 1.0% 21.8% 21.8% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-6 2.5% 20.7% 20.7% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0
13-7 4.7% 16.1% 16.1% 13.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.0
12-8 8.0% 11.8% 11.8% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 7.0
11-9 11.0% 9.7% 9.7% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.9
10-10 13.1% 4.7% 4.7% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 12.5
9-11 14.5% 3.4% 3.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.0
8-12 13.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.4
7-13 11.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.5
6-14 8.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-15 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-16 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-17 1.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.6 94.6 0.0%