Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +0.1 154
Results Rating +0.1 154
Consistency 0.14 113
Pace 76.4 21
Improvement +2.4 95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 138 C C+ C B- B
Defense C- 206 C C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 93 C- 55% 255 +0.8 151
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 302 D+ 34% 293 -3.1 321
Three Pointers 44% 106 C+ 35% 143 +2.3 100
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 43 C- -1.2 219
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 174
Second Chance B 34.4% 70 D+ 0.95 293 C+ 0.33 132
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 307
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 52
Turnovers C 16.9% 195
Freethrows B 0.35 47 D 69% 302 B- 0.24 113
Total Offense C+ +1.1 138

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 304 F+ 15.2% 350
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 193 D+ 6.8% 292
Three Pointers B- 88% 100 C- 1.2% 268
Total C 55% 186 F+ 7.8% 348


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 98 B+ 52% 37 -0.7 151
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 230 C- 39% 225 -0.5 145
Three Pointers 39% 233 D- 37% 320 +1.2 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 261 C -0.5 165
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 176
Second Chance C 29.7% 158 B- 0.98 96 C+ 0.29 112
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 188
Other Turnovers C- 6.8% 249
Turnovers C- 16.2% 215
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D- 76% 338 F 0.31 364
Total Defense C- -1.0 206

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 151 A 20.0% 10
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 65 C+ 5.9% 109
Three Pointers B 79% 49 B 1.6% 56
Total C+ 53% 129 A+ 10.2% 7

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 39 17.1 143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 199 0.18 223
Consistency 0.12 143 0.14 305
Improvement +1.4 117 +1.0 131

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 177 155 133
Results Rating Rank 201 156 130
Conference Record 10 - 10 11 - 9 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 11% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round9% 11% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: UTEP (Away) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 316 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 74% +9  87% 1 - 0 B+ +13 B- +4 A- D- C B+ +7 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 16 56 South Florida L 89 - 108 25% -9  0% 1 - 1 D- -12 B +6 D A+ B F -16 D+ D F+
 Mon, Nov 24 234 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 66% -1  34% 2 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ C C B- +2 C- B C+
 Tue, Nov 25 319 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 82% +1  55% 2 - 2 F+ -18 D -5 D+ D+ F F -12 F B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 268 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 62% +0  50% 3 - 2 C -1 B- +5 B D- F D- -6 D+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 346 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 92% +9  74% 4 - 2 C -1 C +1 F A B+ C- -2 B+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 298 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 85% +16  97% 5 - 2 B+ +12 C- -2 A C F A +10 A+ F+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 162 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 40% -7  4% 5 - 3 0 - 1 C+ +2 D- -7 F C+ F+ A- +8 A A+ A-
 Sun, Dec 21 13 Alabama L 81 - 92 5% -18  0% 5 - 4 B- +8 C +2 C+ A+ F A- +8 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 113 @Liberty L 73 - 81 27% -8  1% 5 - 5 0 - 2 C -2 D -6 F D+ C B +5 B- B- B+
 Sun, Jan 4 272 @Delaware L 52 - 67 63% -5  22% 5 - 6 0 - 3 F -18 F -21 F F F C+ +1 D+ B- D
 Wed, Jan 7 203 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 70% +8  90% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +6 A B- F C- -2 C C C
 Sat, Jan 10 194 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 69% +5  96% 7 - 6 2 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 C A+ B D- -7 F C C
 Wed, Jan 14 197 Florida International W 89 - 86 69% -4  19% 8 - 6 3 - 3 C- -2 B +7 B- D+ A+ F+ -9 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 129 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 32% +5  79% 9 - 6 4 - 3 A +21 B +7 B- F+ B+ A+ +14 A- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 108 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 26% -5  2% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C +1 A- +9 C B A+ F+ -8 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 222 @Louisiana Tech L 76 - 82 53% +2  63% 9 - 8 4 - 5 D+ -7 B+ +9 C B- A F -16 F F D
 Wed, Jan 28 129 Western Kentucky W 72 - 69 54% -0  56% 10 - 8 5 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -4 C C- C B+ +6 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 174 New Mexico St. W 76 - 53 65% +15  82% 11 - 8 6 - 5 A +19 C +1 C A- B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 194 @Jacksonville St. L 58 - 77 46% -11  4% 11 - 9 6 - 6 F -18 F -13 F B C D -6 D- C- D+
 Thu, Feb 12 162 Middle Tennessee L 87 - 90 63% +3  81% 11 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 A- +9 B A+ A- F -16 F B C+
 Sat, Feb 14 108 Sam Houston St. L 79 - 83 47% -2  14% 11 - 11 6 - 8 C- -3 B +7 B+ B- B+ F -10 F D C
 Wed, Feb 18 203 @Missouri St. W 91 - 87 48% +5  94% 12 - 11 7 - 8 C+ +5 A +13 A B- A F+ -8 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 21 222 Louisiana Tech W 58 - 55 74% +1  51% 13 - 11 8 - 8 C- -4 F -15 F F D+ A+ +12 B B A+
 Thu, Feb 26 113 Liberty W 74 - 65 49% +3  62% 14 - 11 9 - 8 B +9 C+ +3 A D- D+ A- +7 B+ A- A
 Sat, Feb 28 272 Delaware W 90 - 82 81% +16  92% 15 - 11 10 - 8 C -1 A- +10 A+ B D- F -11 F A- C-
 Thu, Mar 5 260 @UTEP W 76 - 73 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 174 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 80 43%
Totals 16 - 12 11 - 9 +0 C+ +1 F C- B C- -1 C+ D B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D+ C+ C- 42% 27% 44% B C B D+ C+ C B D B- C- B+ C- D- C 42% 19% 39% D+ C C B- C+ C- F D- F
1.10 55% 34% 35% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.0 .33 17% .35 69% .24 1.10 52% 39% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .29 16% .41 76% .26
Nov
8		 Florida A&M B- A C- A- A- 47% 15% 38% B- A- F A+ D- C A D- B+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 49% 20% 31% F A+ D+ B C F F D- F
1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30 0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35
Nov
16		 South Florida B C F F F 52% 5% 43% A+ D A+ C A+ B A+ D- A+ F B- B- F+ C- 60% 6% 35% F+ D+ C D- D F+ F F F
1.12 55% 0% 25% -9 +3 0.89 46% 1.0 .44 18% .59 64% .38 1.36 52% 33% 39% -2 +3 1.06 39% 1.3 .50 11% .65 83% .54
Nov
24		 Rice C- D- F B D 40% 17% 43% A D+ B+ F C C A+ B- A+ B- A F+ D- C 33% 29% 38% C- C- C+ B+ B C+ F A- F
1.10 54% 20% 38% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 16% .44 77% .34 1.04 44% 44% 38% 0 -1 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 19% .58 63% .37
Nov
25		 Oral Roberts D D+ A+ F+ C- 38% 22% 40% D- D+ C+ F D+ F A+ D A+ F F+ A+ F F 44% 11% 44% F+ F A+ D+ B+ A+ F F F
1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37 1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42
Nov
26		 Florida Gulf Coast B- B+ A C- B- 49% 7% 44% A B B F D- F A+ A- A+ D- B C+ F C- 42% 20% 38% F+ D+ B- C+ B- D- F C F
1.17 67% 50% 33% +5 +2 1.16 36% 0.7 .25 22% .53 81% .43 1.15 52% 38% 42% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 14% .52 72% .37
Dec
2		 Jackson St. C D+ F F F 41% 2% 57% A F A+ C- A B+ A+ F A+ C- A+ D A- A- 31% 24% 45% C- B+ D+ F F C F F F
1.21 57% 0% 21% -13 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39 1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44
Dec
6		 Georgia St. C- B- C- A+ A 44% 15% 41% B- A D- A C F A+ F A A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 46% F A+ C+ F F+ D F B- F
1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28 0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35
Dec
17		 Middle Tennessee D- D F F F 56% 8% 35% A+ F A+ F C+ F+ A- A- A A- B A C+ A 29% 31% 40% A- A F+ A+ A+ A- F F F
0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32 0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43
Dec
21		 Alabama C B C+ D- B- 30% 33% 37% D C+ A- A+ A+ F B- A+ A- A- B- A+ A- A+ 40% 14% 46% B- A+ B+ C B+ D C+ C- C+
1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22 1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25
Jan
2		 Liberty D F F F F 40% 12% 48% B+ F A+ F D+ C C- D- D+ B B- F D- B 56% 4% 40% D B- B C- B- B+ F F F
1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15 1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31
Jan
4		 Delaware F F A+ F F 22% 16% 61% C F B F F F D A+ C- C+ D+ D C- C- 51% 19% 30% F+ D+ C A B- D F+ A+ C+
0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22 1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri St. B A- D A A- 38% 6% 56% A+ A B C B- F A+ B+ A+ C- A- D+ C B- 46% 15% 39% F C F A+ C C F A F
1.21 72% 33% 41% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .39 24% .57 78% .44 1.07 52% 38% 33% -3 +1 0.98 42% 0.8 .36 17% .50 58% .29
Jan
10		 Jacksonville St. B+ C- F C+ C- 48% 9% 43% A- C B A+ A+ B A+ D A+ D- C+ F F F 55% 4% 40% F F D+ B C C F A- D-
1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40 1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28
Jan
14		 Florida International B D F A+ B 31% 15% 55% C- B- C+ F D+ A+ A+ F B+ F+ A+ A- F A 53% 13% 35% F B+ F F+ F F+ F+ D F
1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27 1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28
Jan
17		 Western Kentucky B F B+ A+ B 27% 22% 51% C- B- B- F F+ B+ A- A- A A+ A+ B- D A 37% 16% 47% C- A- B A+ A+ D- D A+ C+
1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36 0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23
Jan
21		 Sam Houston St. A- B- F B+ C 33% 21% 47% C- C B+ C B A+ D+ B- C- F+ F A+ F F 41% 23% 36% C+ F A+ F C+ F C- A+ C+
1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21 1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19
Jan
23		 Louisiana Tech B+ F A+ C+ C- 43% 15% 43% B- C B- C+ B- A A+ D A+ F B F F F 48% 22% 30% D+ F D- F F D F D+ F
1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41 1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29
Jan
28		 Western Kentucky D+ F F A+ D 59% 5% 36% A+ C B- F C- C A+ F+ B+ B+ A+ A B A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ D D+ D- D- F F F
1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33 0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
31		 New Mexico St. C A F F+ C 33% 19% 49% C+ C B- A A- B+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 41% 33% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A- F D- F
1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42 0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49
Feb
7		 Jacksonville St. F F D F F 31% 12% 57% C F C+ A B C C+ F D+ D C+ D F F+ 41% 11% 48% C D- C- C C- D+ F D+ F
0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24 1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Middle Tennessee A- C- A+ B B 43% 7% 50% A- B B- A+ A+ A- B- F D F D- F F F 44% 15% 42% F F C A B C+ F F F
1.24 57% 50% 37% +2 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21 1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40
Feb
14		 Sam Houston St. B D+ F A+ B+ 43% 17% 41% B B+ B+ D+ B- B+ D D+ D F D- F F+ F 47% 20% 33% D+ F B- F D C F C- F
1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19 1.25 67% 56% 40% +10 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36
Feb
18		 Missouri St. A A+ D- A+ A+ 15% 34% 51% D- A C- A B- A A+ F+ A+ F+ F D- F F 26% 26% 49% B- F B+ B A- F F C F
1.26 86% 31% 50% +14 -3 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 12% .54 68% .36 1.20 75% 42% 39% +9 -2 1.17 27% 1.0 .27 12% .62 67% .41
Feb
21		 Louisiana Tech F F A+ F F 45% 8% 47% A- F D F F D+ C+ F D A+ A- C B+ B- 36% 31% 33% A- B F A+ B A+ F F F
0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20 0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30
Feb
26		 Liberty C+ F D+ A+ A 48% 17% 35% B+ A C+ F D- D+ C F D A- B- A+ C- A- 45% 2% 52% C- B+ A+ F A- A F F F
1.17 43% 38% 65% +9 +1 1.23 33% 0.9 .30 19% .23 58% .14 1.03 58% 0% 36% +1 +3 1.10 4% 2.0 .09 19% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 Delaware A- A+ F A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A+ A+ B+ C- B D- A+ F A+ F A F F F 28% 26% 46% A- F B A+ A- C- F F F
1.29 75% 25% 50% +17 +2 1.41 38% 1.0 .38 17% .54 71% .38 1.18 46% 50% 52% +12 -1 1.24 16% 0.5 .08 17% .45 96% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 10.8 18.6 29.4 3rd
4th 14.4 38.9 7.8 61.2 4th
5th 7.9 7.9 5th
6th 1.4 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 23.8 49.7 26.5 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 26.5% 12.3% 12.3% 13.4 0.2 1.7 1.4 0.1 23.2
11-9 49.7% 10.1% 10.1% 14.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 44.7
10-10 23.8% 4.7% 4.7% 14.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 22.7
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 13.8 90.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 13.4 4.9 51.5 41.7 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.3%
Lose Out 9.2%