Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -0.4 166
Results Rating -0.8 172
Consistency 0.14 130
Pace 76.7 20
Improvement +1.0 148

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 147 C- C+ C B- B
Defense C- 207 C C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 111 D+ 55% 266 +0.2 177
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 303 D+ 35% 267 -2.9 315
Three Pointers 45% 90 C- 33% 218 +1.7 128
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 51 D+ -2.1 257
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 207
Second Chance B 34.4% 74 D+ 0.96 281 C+ 0.33 126
Turnovers from Steals D+ 10.6% 288
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 58
Turnovers C 16.8% 175
Freethrows B 0.35 54 D 69% 286 B- 0.24 109
Total Offense C +0.7 147

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 321 F+ 15.6% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 149 D+ 6.9% 297
Three Pointers B 90% 59 D+ 1.3% 296
Total C 55% 196 F 8.0% 348

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 78 B 52% 43 -0.1 173
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 240 C- 39% 233 -0.6 141
Three Pointers 39% 251 D 37% 312 +0.7 219
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 270 C -0.5 161
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 174
Second Chance C 30.4% 178 B- 0.98 95 C+ 0.30 133
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.2% 201
Other Turnovers D+ 6.7% 256
Turnovers C- 15.9% 228
Freethrows F 0.40 361 D 75% 317 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C- -1.1 207

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 163 A 19.4% 13
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 55 C+ 5.8% 110
Three Pointers B 80% 61 B 1.5% 64
Total C+ 53% 136 A 9.9% 7

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 38 17.1 144
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 191 0.18 227
Consistency 0.12 153 0.14 315
Improvement +0.5 157 +0.5 159

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 196 165 136
Results Rating Rank 208 173 132
Conference Record 9 - 11 10 - 10 12 - 8
Conference Finish 7 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 10% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 86% 97% 78%
.500 or above in Conference 75% 94% 59%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round7% 10% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 10
Quad 412 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 327 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 76% +9  87% 1 - 0 B+ +12 C+ +3 A- D- C+ B+ +6 A+ C- F
 Sun, Nov 16 56 South Florida L 89 - 108 24% -9  0% 1 - 1 D- -12 B +6 D A+ B F -16 D+ D F+
 Mon, Nov 24 237 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 64% -1  34% 2 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ C C B- +2 C- B C+
 Tue, Nov 25 333 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 85% +1  55% 2 - 2 F -19 D -5 D+ D F F -14 F B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 251 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 56% +0  50% 3 - 2 C +0 B- +5 B D- F D -5 D+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 337 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 91% +9  74% 4 - 2 C +0 C +1 F A B+ C- -2 B+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 293 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 83% +16  97% 5 - 2 B+ +12 C- -2 A C F A +10 A+ F+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 168 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 39% -7  4% 5 - 3 0 - 1 C +2 D- -7 F C+ F+ A- +8 A A+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 16 Alabama L 81 - 92 5% -18  0% 5 - 4 B- +8 C +1 C+ A+ F A- +8 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 107 @Liberty L 73 - 81 24% -8  1% 5 - 5 0 - 2 C -1 D -6 F D+ C B +5 B- B- B+
 Sun, Jan 4 267 @Delaware L 52 - 67 60% -5  22% 5 - 6 0 - 3 F -18 F -20 F F F C+ +1 D+ B D
 Wed, Jan 7 204 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 69% +8  90% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +7 A B F C- -3 C C C
 Sat, Jan 10 197 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 68% +5  96% 7 - 6 2 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 C A+ B D- -7 F C C-
 Wed, Jan 14 184 Florida International W 89 - 86 66% -4  19% 8 - 6 3 - 3 C -2 B+ +8 B D+ A+ F+ -9 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 147 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 35% +5  79% 9 - 6 4 - 3 A +20 B +6 B- F+ B+ A+ +13 B+ A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 114 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 27% -5  2% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C +0 A- +9 C B A+ F+ -9 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 216 @Louisiana Tech L 76 - 82 49% +2  63% 9 - 8 4 - 5 D+ -6 A- +10 C B- A F -17 F F D
 Wed, Jan 28 147 Western Kentucky W 72 - 69 58% -0  56% 10 - 8 5 - 5 C +1 D -5 C C- C B +5 A+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 159 New Mexico St. W 76 - 53 61% +15  82% 11 - 8 6 - 5 A +20 C +1 C+ A- B+ A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 197 @Jacksonville St. L 58 - 77 45% -11  4% 11 - 9 6 - 6 F -18 F -13 F B C D- -7 D- C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 168 Middle Tennessee L 87 - 90 62% +3  81% 11 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 B+ +9 B+ A+ A- F -16 F B B-
 Sat, Feb 14 114 Sam Houston St. L 79 - 83 48% -2  14% 11 - 11 6 - 8 C- -4 B +7 B+ B B+ F -11 F D C-
 Wed, Feb 18 204 @Missouri St. W 91 - 87 46% +5  94% 12 - 11 7 - 8 C+ +5 A +13 A B- A F+ -9 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 216 Louisiana Tech W 58 - 55 71% +1  51% 13 - 11 8 - 8 C- -3 F -14 F F D+ A+ +11 B- B A+
 Thu, Feb 26 107 Liberty L 79 - 80 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 267 Delaware W 79 - 70 79%
 Thu, Mar 5 241 @UTEP W 75 - 74 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 159 @New Mexico St. L 77 - 80 39%
Totals 15 - 13 10 - 10 +0 C +1 C- D+ B C- -1 C- D B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D+ C- D+ 41% 27% 45% B C- B D+ C+ C B D B- C- B C- D C 43% 19% 39% D+ C C B- C+ C- F D F
1.10 55% 35% 33% -2 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .33 17% .35 69% .24 1.10 52% 39% 37% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 16% .40 75% .26
Nov
8		 Florida A&M C+ A C- A- A- 47% 15% 38% B- A- F A+ D- C+ A D- B+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 49% 20% 31% F A+ D B- C- F F F+ F
1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30 0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35
Nov
16		 South Florida B C F F F 52% 5% 43% A+ D A+ C A+ B A+ D- A+ F B- B- F+ C- 60% 6% 35% F+ D+ C D- D F+ F F F
1.12 55% 0% 25% -9 +3 0.89 46% 1.0 .44 18% .59 64% .38 1.36 52% 33% 39% -2 +3 1.06 39% 1.3 .50 11% .65 83% .54
Nov
24		 Rice C- D- F B D 40% 17% 43% A D+ B+ F C C A+ B- A+ B- A F+ D- C 33% 29% 38% C- C- C+ B+ B C+ F A- F
1.10 54% 20% 38% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 16% .44 77% .34 1.04 44% 44% 38% 0 -1 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 19% .58 63% .37
Nov
25		 Oral Roberts D D+ A+ F+ C- 38% 22% 40% D- D+ C F D F A+ D- A+ F F A+ F F 44% 11% 44% D- F A+ D+ B+ A+ F F F
1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37 1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42
Nov
26		 Florida Gulf Coast B- B+ A+ C- B- 49% 7% 44% A B B+ F D- F A+ A- A+ D B+ C+ F C- 42% 20% 38% F+ D+ B- C+ B- D- F C F
1.17 67% 50% 33% +5 +3 1.16 36% 0.7 .25 22% .53 81% .43 1.15 52% 38% 42% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 14% .52 72% .37
Dec
2		 Jackson St. C D+ F F F 41% 2% 57% A F A+ C A B+ A+ F A+ C- A+ D+ A- A- 31% 24% 45% C- B+ D+ F F C F F F
1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39 1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44
Dec
6		 Georgia St. C- B- C- A+ A 44% 15% 41% B- A D- A+ C F A+ F A A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 46% F A+ C+ F F+ D F B- F
1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28 0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35
Dec
17		 Middle Tennessee D- D F F F 56% 8% 35% A+ F A+ F C+ F+ A- B+ A A- B A C+ A 29% 31% 40% A- A F+ A+ A+ A F F F
0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32 0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43
Dec
21		 Alabama C B C+ D- B- 30% 33% 37% D C+ A- A+ A+ F B- A+ B+ A- B- A+ A- A+ 40% 14% 46% B- A+ B+ C B+ D C+ C- C+
1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22 1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25
Jan
2		 Liberty D F F F F 40% 12% 48% B+ F A+ F D+ C D+ D- D+ B B- F D- B 56% 4% 40% D B- B C B- B+ F F F
1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15 1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31
Jan
4		 Delaware F F A+ F F 22% 16% 61% C+ F B F F F D A+ C- C+ D+ D C- C- 51% 19% 30% F+ D+ C A+ B D F+ A+ C
0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22 1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri St. B B+ D A A- 38% 6% 56% A+ A B C+ B F A+ B+ A+ C- A- D+ C B 46% 15% 39% F C F A+ C C F A F
1.21 72% 33% 41% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .39 24% .57 78% .44 1.07 52% 38% 33% -3 +1 0.98 42% 0.8 .36 17% .50 58% .29
Jan
10		 Jacksonville St. B+ D+ F C+ C- 48% 9% 43% A- C B A+ A+ B A+ D A+ D- C+ F F F 55% 4% 40% F F D+ B C C- F B+ D-
1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40 1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28
Jan
14		 Florida International B+ D+ F A+ B+ 31% 15% 55% C- B B- F D+ A+ A+ F B+ F+ A+ A- F A 53% 13% 35% F B+ F F+ F F+ F D F
1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27 1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28
Jan
17		 Western Kentucky B F B+ A+ B- 27% 22% 51% C- B- B- F F+ B+ A- A- A A+ A+ B- D A- 37% 16% 47% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ D- D A+ C
1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36 0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23
Jan
21		 Sam Houston St. A- B- F B+ C 33% 21% 47% C- C B+ C+ B A+ D+ B C- F+ F A+ F F 41% 23% 36% B- F A+ F C+ F D+ A C+
1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21 1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19
Jan
23		 Louisiana Tech A- F A+ C+ C- 43% 15% 43% B- C B- C B- A A+ D+ A+ F B F F F 48% 22% 30% D+ F D- F F D F D F
1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41 1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29
Jan
28		 Western Kentucky D F F A+ D 59% 5% 36% A+ C B- F+ C- C A+ F+ B+ B A+ A B A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ D+ D+ D D- F F F
1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33 0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
31		 New Mexico St. C A F D- C 33% 19% 49% C+ C+ C+ A A- B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 41% 33% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ B+ F D- F
1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42 0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49
Feb
7		 Jacksonville St. F F D F F 31% 12% 57% C F C+ A- B C C+ F D+ D- C+ D F F+ 41% 11% 48% C D- C- C C- D F D+ F
0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24 1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Middle Tennessee B+ C- A+ B B 43% 7% 50% A- B+ B- A+ A+ A- C+ F D F D- F F F 44% 15% 42% F F C- A B B- F F F
1.24 57% 50% 37% +2 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21 1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40
Feb
14		 Sam Houston St. B D+ F A+ B 43% 17% 41% B B+ B+ C- B B+ D C- D F D- F F+ F 47% 20% 33% D+ F B- F D C- F D+ F
1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19 1.25 67% 56% 40% +10 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36
Feb
18		 Missouri St. A A+ D- A+ A+ 15% 34% 51% D- A C- A+ B- A A+ F+ A+ F+ F F+ F F 26% 26% 49% C+ F B+ B B+ F F C- F
1.26 86% 31% 50% +14 -3 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 12% .54 68% .36 1.20 75% 42% 39% +9 -2 1.17 27% 1.0 .27 12% .62 67% .41
Feb
21		 Louisiana Tech F F A+ F F 45% 8% 47% A- F D F F D+ C+ F D+ A+ A- C B C+ 36% 31% 33% A- B- F A+ B A+ F F F
0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20 0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.0 2nd
3rd 3.4 13.9 6.4 23.6 3rd
4th 0.9 18.1 13.2 1.1 33.3 4th
5th 5.2 12.8 1.4 19.3 5th
6th 0.1 9.3 3.4 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.8 5.3 0.2 6.4 7th
8th 1.6 0.5 2.2 8th
9th 1.3 1.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 4.0 21.2 37.8 28.7 8.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 8.4% 14.2% 14.2% 13.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.2
11-9 28.7% 11.6% 11.6% 13.9 0.1 0.7 2.0 0.6 25.3
10-10 37.8% 5.7% 5.7% 14.3 0.1 1.2 0.8 0.0 35.7
9-11 21.2% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 20.5
8-12 4.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 3.9
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.0 92.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 13.1 13.4 60.5 24.4 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.7%
Lose Out 1.9%