Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.9 296
Results Rating -8.9 305
Consistency 0.17 295
Pace 61.2 347
Improvement +4.4 48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 283 D C C- C- C
Defense D+ 287 D- B- D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 D 53% 308 -1.3 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 150 C 38% 162 +0.6 144
Three Pointers 38% 243 D- 30% 328 -3.7 304
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 199 D -4.2 320
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 315
Second Chance C 29.5% 203 C 1.03 172 C 0.30 188
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 211
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 228
Turnovers C- 17.2% 220
Freethrows C- 0.28 249 C 72% 211 C- 0.20 243
Total Offense D+ -4.2 283

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 35% 345 C 10.8% 173
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 92 B 2.9% 44
Three Pointers D- 76% 331 B 0.4% 62
Total D- 45% 345 C+ 5.1% 131


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 19 D 64% 327 +6.7 356
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 200 C+ 37% 139 -0.5 144
Three Pointers 35% 341 D- 38% 336 -1.2 132
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 278 D- +4.3 338
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 337
Second Chance C 30.0% 173 B 0.93 42 B- 0.28 89
Turnovers from Steals C 9.2% 196
Other Turnovers F 5.3% 357
Turnovers D 14.5% 311
Freethrows D- 0.37 345 B 70% 40 D 0.26 320
Total Defense D+ -3.7 287

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 130 D+ 8.9% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 189 C 5.3% 139
Three Pointers C 84% 182 D 0.1% 343
Total C+ 53% 131 C- 5.2% 203

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.5 353 17.1 140
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 318 0.15 125
Consistency 0.13 254 0.13 211
Improvement +3.6 35 +0.8 147

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 297 296 296
Results Rating Rank 305 304 303
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 410 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 30 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 86 2% -9  5% 0 - 1 C +1 C- -2 B- D C B +4 C F A
 Tue, Nov 11 92 @High Point L 64 - 85 7% -11  17% 0 - 2 D- -12 D- -8 F D+ C+ D+ -4 B B+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 359 @VMI W 69 - 67 72% +3  84% 1 - 2 D- -12 F -11 D A- F C -0 D F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 100 @George Mason L 57 - 79 7% -12  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 F -10 D C- F D -5 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 24 248 Bethune-Cookman W 69 - 64 39% -2  26% 2 - 3 C -0 C- -2 C+ D B- B- +2 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 117 Pacific L 53 - 68 15% -7  5% 2 - 4 D- -12 F -12 F F+ B C- -2 C+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 311 Florida A&M W 85 - 82 OT 66% -0  49% 3 - 4 D -9 C+ +2 D+ C+ A+ F -11 F A- B
 Sat, Dec 6 189 @Florida International L 65 - 88 19% -18  3% 3 - 5 F -22 D- -8 F B- F F -14 F A D+
 Sun, Dec 14 34 @Texas A&M L 75 - 112 2% -24  2% 3 - 6 F -20 C +1 A- D- F F -18 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 17 311 @Florida A&M L 65 - 72 44% -9  0% 3 - 7 D- -13 D -6 D+ F C D- -8 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 62 @Florida St. L 63 - 87 4% -18  0% 3 - 8 D- -12 D+ -3 D+ F A+ F -10 D+ C- D+
 Thu, Jan 1 217 @Lipscomb L 57 - 76 23% -9  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -19 D- -7 D- B- F F -16 F A F
 Sat, Jan 3 185 @Austin Peay L 68 - 71 18% -2  22% 3 - 10 0 - 2 C -1 D -5 B B F B +4 B+ A+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 193 Queens L 51 - 77 38% -15  0% 3 - 11 0 - 3 F -31 F -28 F D+ F D+ -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 302 West Georgia W 75 - 43 64% +17  99% 4 - 11 1 - 3 A +20 B+ +8 A F A+ A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 169 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 62 16% +5  70% 4 - 12 1 - 4 C +1 D+ -3 F B A+ B- +3 D A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 343 @North Alabama W 90 - 68 58% +13  85% 5 - 12 2 - 4 B+ +12 A +13 B- A+ C C -0 C- C+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 282 Bellarmine L 70 - 77 59% -1  32% 5 - 13 2 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -10 F C- B D- -8 F C B-
 Sat, Jan 24 298 Eastern Kentucky W 81 - 76 OT 62% -3  13% 6 - 13 3 - 5 D+ -6 D+ -2 C A F D+ -4 D F A
 Thu, Jan 29 217 Lipscomb W 70 - 65 43% +8  97% 7 - 13 4 - 5 C -1 C+ +3 B- C+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 255 Florida Gulf Coast L 49 - 68 51% -3  44% 7 - 14 4 - 6 F -27 F -27 F F F C -1 C+ C D-
 Thu, Feb 5 193 @Queens L 84 - 93 19% -11  1% 7 - 15 4 - 7 D+ -8 B- +4 C+ C D F -11 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 302 @West Georgia L 73 - 87 41% -6  4% 7 - 16 4 - 8 F -20 C- -2 D- B D F -18 D+ F F
 Wed, Feb 11 309 @Stetson L 62 - 67 43% -5  6% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D -11 F -11 F C C C -1 D A- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 340 North Florida W 63 - 56 77% +4  92% 8 - 17 5 - 9 D -8 F -12 F A D+ B +5 D C+ A-
 Wed, Feb 18 255 @Florida Gulf Coast L 84 - 86 29% -4  7% 8 - 18 5 - 10 C- -4 A +13 A+ D- A F -18 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 185 Austin Peay L 61 - 65 36% -3  30% 8 - 19 5 - 11 D -8 D- -6 F C+ A C- -3 B- C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 309 Stetson W 89 - 85 66% +7  90% 9 - 19 6 - 11 D+ -8 B+ +9 F A+ A+ F -17 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 340 @North Florida W 85 - 61 56% +21  99% 10 - 19 7 - 11 B+ +15 C+ +2 C A F A+ +13 A- A+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 282 Bellarmine L 79 - 82 47% -5  20% 10 - 20 D -10 C- -0 F+ F+ A+ F -10 D- B+ F
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -8 D+ -4 A- D C D+ -4 D- C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D C D- D 40% 40% 38% C D C C C C- C- C C- D+ D C+ D- D- 45% 20% 35% D+ D- C B B- D D- B D
1.03 53% 38% 30% -4 0 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 17% .28 72% .20 1.14 64% 37% 38% +4 +1 1.12 30% 0.9 .28 14% .37 70% .20
Nov
3		 Miami (FL) C- A+ D+ D- B- 33% 17% 50% B B- F+ A- D C C- F F+ B F C- A+ B- 61% 11% 27% F C B F F A F F F
0.94 72% 33% 30% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 19% .23 50% .12 1.17 74% 40% 17% +3 +3 1.14 35% 2.0 .70 20% .63 78% .49
Nov
11		 High Point D- F+ F D F 32% 8% 60% C+ F C D- D+ C+ C- D D+ D+ B- A+ C- B+ 48% 13% 38% D+ B A- C+ B+ F F C- F
0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20 1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35
Nov
15		 VMI F B- F D+ D- 40% 13% 47% B D C A+ A- F F F F C B+ D- D D- 35% 24% 41% B+ D D- F F A+ A- F B-
1.04 67% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 29% .21 50% .11 1.01 47% 42% 35% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.4 .43 23% .21 82% .17
Nov
18		 George Mason F F+ A+ F F+ 50% 19% 31% A- D A+ F C- F A A+ A+ D F C F F 47% 21% 32% D+ F C A+ A+ A- F A+ F
0.87 48% 50% 23% -8 +1 0.88 39% 0.6 .23 29% .32 87% .28 1.21 83% 38% 58% +23 +1 1.50 32% 0.4 .12 20% .67 63% .42
Nov
24		 Bethune-Cookman C- B+ F D C 53% 13% 34% B C+ D+ D- D B- A+ F B- B- F C- A+ C 36% 28% 36% B+ C+ B A+ A+ F F A+ C
1.07 64% 17% 31% -1 +2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .45 56% .25 0.99 72% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.7 .16 14% .43 50% .22
Nov
25		 Pacific F A+ F F F 30% 40% 30% F+ F F+ F F+ B C+ B- B- C- F F A+ C+ 32% 18% 50% C+ C+ F A+ B- D- F C+ F
0.87 79% 21% 14% -10 -3 0.77 17% 0.8 .14 13% .34 72% .25 1.12 71% 63% 23% 0 0 1.02 50% 0.6 .31 16% .45 74% .34
Dec
2		 Florida A&M C+ C- F B D 39% 12% 49% B- D+ C+ C+ C+ A+ D F F+ F F A+ F F 33% 28% 39% B F A+ F A- B A+ A+ A+
1.15 57% 14% 38% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 12% .29 68% .20 1.11 83% 20% 62% +20 -1 1.39 8% 2.0 .16 23% .11 50% .05
Dec
6		 Florida International D- F F C- F 23% 19% 58% F+ F A- D B- F D F F+ F F+ A+ F F 48% 18% 34% D+ F A+ C+ A D+ F F F
0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18 1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40
Dec
14		 Texas A&M C D+ A+ B+ A- 39% 12% 49% B+ A- D+ F D- F C+ A+ B F D F F F 43% 17% 41% B+ F F F F B- D+ B+ C
0.98 53% 67% 38% +4 +1 1.12 26% 0.7 .18 25% .30 82% .24 1.46 65% 67% 50% +18 +1 1.39 52% 1.2 .64 16% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Florida A&M D F F A+ D 49% 11% 40% B+ D+ F+ F F C D C- D D- F D C- F 39% 31% 31% B F C+ A+ A+ F F A+ F
1.00 48% 0% 47% -1 +2 1.04 23% 0.6 .13 18% .30 75% .23 1.10 68% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.08 27% 0.4 .10 12% .51 59% .30
Dec
22		 Florida St. D+ A+ A+ F C- 15% 32% 53% F D+ D- F F A+ D+ C+ D+ F F B+ C+ D 29% 12% 59% B- D+ F A+ C- D+ F D- F
0.97 88% 59% 18% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.6 .14 11% .24 71% .17 1.34 80% 33% 33% +5 +1 1.14 46% 0.9 .40 12% .46 77% .35
Jan
1		 Lipscomb D- B- F+ D- D- 27% 24% 49% D D- B+ C- B- F C D C- F F A F F 40% 16% 44% B- F B- A+ A F B- F C-
0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18 1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18
Jan
3		 Austin Peay D B- D A+ B 38% 20% 42% C- B C- A+ B F A F C B C- A+ A A- 44% 20% 35% C B+ A- A+ A+ F D- D F+
0.99 65% 33% 42% +7 0 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 25% .38 55% .21 1.03 58% 18% 26% -8 0 0.87 23% 0.9 .20 12% .36 77% .28
Jan
8		 Queens F F F F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C- D+ D+ F B F F D+ B- F F F 44% 4% 52% F F B A+ A+ B- C A+ A-
0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17 1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18
Jan
10		 West Georgia B+ F A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 32% F+ A F A+ F A+ D- A D+ A+ F A+ A+ A 40% 31% 29% D A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F
1.27 45% 58% 60% +12 0 1.26 13% 1.3 .17 8% .28 80% .22 0.73 71% 18% 10% -11 -1 0.77 19% 0.8 .15 25% .50 64% .32
Jan
15		 Central Arkansas D+ F A+ F F 34% 13% 53% C F A D- B A+ B B B+ B- D F B D- 43% 25% 33% B D D A+ A+ C+ F C- F
1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25 1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31
Jan
17		 North Alabama A D- C+ A+ C+ 61% 14% 25% B+ B- C A+ A+ C B- A+ A C C F A+ C+ 53% 11% 36% F C- A+ F C+ F+ F F F
1.34 52% 43% 54% +4 +3 1.16 35% 1.9 .65 15% .31 89% .28 1.01 54% 60% 19% -8 +2 0.91 19% 1.5 .29 15% .52 77% .40
Jan
22		 Bellarmine F+ D- A F F 43% 13% 43% B+ F F A+ C- B C A+ A D- B D+ F F 56% 11% 33% D- F D A C B- B- F+ C
1.12 55% 50% 30% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 13% .31 100% .31 1.23 56% 40% 60% +12 +2 1.31 25% 1.0 .25 18% .27 86% .23
Jan
24		 Eastern Kentucky D+ D- A+ D+ B- 30% 43% 27% F C B+ A- A F A+ B A+ D+ C F+ D D 40% 24% 36% D D F D F A F C F
1.18 54% 63% 33% +9 -4 1.14 39% 1.2 .46 20% .55 77% .42 1.11 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 40% 1.2 .47 22% .52 71% .37
Jan
29		 Lipscomb C+ B- C+ C+ B- 43% 21% 36% B- B- D+ A- C+ A+ C A+ B D+ C D A+ B 58% 10% 32% F C+ B+ F F F B B+ B
1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22 1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Florida Gulf Coast F C- A F F 34% 30% 36% F F D+ F F F D F F C C+ A+ F+ B- 48% 25% 27% F+ C+ A F C D- F A+ F
0.74 56% 50% 6% -12 -1 0.74 26% 0.7 .18 24% .30 53% .16 1.03 57% 25% 38% -2 0 0.98 22% 1.4 .31 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Queens B- D A+ A+ B 38% 27% 36% D- C+ F A+ C D A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 43% 26% 30% B+ F B B B+ F F B- F+
1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43 1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29
Feb
7		 West Georgia C- C- F F F+ 56% 14% 30% B D- B B B D A+ D A- F C- A- C- C- 46% 28% 26% F D+ F F F F F C- F
1.08 57% 29% 27% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 68% .30 1.29 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 47% 1.2 .58 12% .54 72% .39
Feb
11		 Stetson F B- F F F 42% 25% 33% D+ F B F+ C C A- C A- C B+ D- F D 35% 23% 43% C D B- A+ A- F+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26 1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34
Feb
14		 North Florida F F C C- F 35% 16% 49% C- F F A+ A D+ C A B- B A- F F C 64% 2% 33% F D F A+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.08 40% 43% 33% -6 0 0.91 27% 2.1 .58 14% .28 79% .22 0.96 48% 100% 43% 0 +4 1.10 33% 0.8 .26 22% .13 50% .07
Feb
18		 Florida Gulf Coast A A+ A A A+ 44% 25% 31% D+ A+ F B- D- A A+ F C- F F F A F 50% 26% 24% F+ F F A D+ F F D+ F
1.28 81% 50% 40% +16 0 1.33 21% 1.2 .24 12% .45 54% .24 1.31 74% 58% 27% +11 0 1.24 40% 0.8 .33 12% .48 75% .36
Feb
21		 Austin Peay D- C F F F 60% 12% 29% A F B D+ C+ A A+ B A+ C- D- A+ A+ B 57% 14% 30% F B- F+ A- C- F F A+ D+
1.01 60% 20% 17% -8 +3 0.90 35% 0.8 .26 13% .44 74% .32 1.08 64% 0% 23% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 7% .41 61% .25
Feb
26		 Stetson B+ F F A F 56% 23% 21% C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C- F 57% 7% 37% F F B- A+ A F F B- F
1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49 1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30
Feb
28		 North Florida C+ D- A+ C- C+ 45% 23% 32% D+ C A+ D- A F F A+ D- A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 51% 6% 43% F A- A- A+ A+ D F A+ F
1.23 52% 69% 33% +4 0 1.11 53% 1.1 .57 19% .20 82% .16 0.88 52% 33% 24% -10 +3 0.88 19% 0.6 .11 16% .40 65% .26
Mar
4		 Bellarmine C- F A+ A+ F+ 42% 26% 32% C- F+ B F F+ A+ D+ D D F C- B- F D- 49% 12% 39% D+ D- C A+ B+ F D- F+ F
1.24 36% 57% 47% +2 -1 1.06 39% 0.7 .29 8% .29 71% .20 1.29 63% 33% 47% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.8 .18 11% .35 85% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%