Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#311
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#256
Pace66.0#278
Improvement-3.4#347

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#308
First Shot-3.5#278
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#284
Layup/Dunks+0.8#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
Freethrows-3.2#332
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#293
First Shot-4.1#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#145
Layups/Dunks-2.6#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement-3.3#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 3.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.4% 17.6% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 39.2% 28.2%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 8.4% 14.2%
First Four1.0% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round1.1% 2.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 8.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 410 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 34 @Miami (FL) L 69-86 2%     0 - 1 -0.8 +1.0 -1.0
  Tue, Nov 11 106 @High Point L 64-85 8%     0 - 2 -13.9 -7.5 -6.7
  Sat, Nov 15 333 @VMI W 69-67 46%     1 - 2 -5.5 -5.1 -0.3
  Tue, Nov 18 75 @George Mason L 57-79 5%     1 - 3 -11.4 -6.1 -6.9
  Mon, Nov 24 261 Bethune-Cookman W 69-64 38%     2 - 3 -0.5 -0.8 +0.7
  Tue, Nov 25 139 Pacific L 53-68 17%     2 - 4 -13.7 -10.4 -5.5
  Tue, Dec 2 335 Florida A&M W 85-82 OT 69%     3 - 4 -10.7 +1.7 -12.6
  Sat, Dec 6 186 @Florida International L 65-88 18%     3 - 5 -21.8 -5.7 -16.6
  Sun, Dec 14 45 @Texas A&M L 75-112 3%     3 - 6 -22.8 +1.8 -21.5
  Wed, Dec 17 335 @Florida A&M L 65-72 46%     3 - 7 -14.7 -6.0 -9.3
  Mon, Dec 22 119 @Florida St. L 70-85 9%    
  Thu, Jan 1 142 @Lipscomb L 66-79 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 190 @Austin Peay L 64-74 19%    
  Thu, Jan 8 211 Queens L 76-78 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 312 West Georgia W 73-70 61%    
  Thu, Jan 15 283 @Central Arkansas L 68-73 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 214 @North Alabama L 65-73 22%    
  Thu, Jan 22 274 Bellarmine W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 241 Eastern Kentucky L 72-73 47%    
  Thu, Jan 29 142 Lipscomb L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 183 Florida Gulf Coast L 71-75 36%    
  Thu, Feb 5 211 @Queens L 73-81 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 312 @West Georgia L 70-73 40%    
  Thu, Feb 12 346 @Stetson W 71-70 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 350 North Florida W 82-75 72%    
  Thu, Feb 19 183 @Florida Gulf Coast L 68-78 18%    
  Sat, Feb 21 190 Austin Peay L 67-71 37%    
  Thu, Feb 26 346 Stetson W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 350 @North Florida W 79-78 53%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.5 0.9 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.2 4.3 0.6 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 5.9 5.1 1.0 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.9 1.2 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.4 3.9 1.1 0.0 11.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.7 8.6 11.9 14.1 14.9 13.9 11.2 8.1 5.0 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 87.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 54.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 34.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 19.6% 19.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.2% 10.3% 10.3% 15.6 0.1 0.1 1.1
12-6 2.8% 6.6% 6.6% 15.7 0.1 0.1 2.6
11-7 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 4.7
10-8 8.1% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.8
9-9 11.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 11.0
8-10 13.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.7
7-11 14.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.8
6-12 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.1
5-13 11.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.8
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 4.7% 4.7
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%