Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.9 296
Results Rating -8.9 304
Consistency 0.17 291
Pace 61.2 348
Improvement +4.4 44

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 282 D C C- C- C
Defense D+ 284 D- B- D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 D 53% 308 -1.3 232
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 150 C 38% 163 +0.6 143
Three Pointers 38% 242 D- 30% 326 -3.7 304
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 198 D -4.2 319
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 315
Second Chance C 29.6% 200 C 1.03 177 C 0.31 187
Opponents' Steals C- 9.7% 215
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 224
Turnovers C- 17.2% 221
Freethrows C- 0.28 246 C 72% 212 C- 0.20 240
Total Offense D+ -4.2 282

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 35% 345 C 10.8% 174
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 99 B 2.8% 41
Three Pointers D- 76% 333 B 0.4% 66
Total D- 45% 346 C+ 5.1% 133


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 19 D 64% 325 +6.7 355
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 200 C+ 37% 136 -0.5 143
Three Pointers 35% 340 D- 38% 334 -1.2 133
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 283 D- +4.2 337
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 336
Second Chance C 30.0% 173 B 0.93 44 B- 0.28 88
Turnovers from Steals C 9.2% 197
Other Turnovers F 5.3% 356
Turnovers D 14.5% 311
Freethrows D- 0.37 343 B 70% 40 D 0.26 320
Total Defense D+ -3.7 284

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 128 D+ 9.0% 251
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 191 C 5.3% 137
Three Pointers C 84% 178 D 0.1% 339
Total C+ 53% 132 C- 5.2% 201

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.5 353 17.1 142
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 317 0.16 125
Consistency 0.13 255 0.13 209
Improvement +3.5 40 +0.9 146

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 297 296 294
Results Rating Rank 304 303 301
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 410 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 30 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 86 2% -9  5% 0 - 1 C +1 C- -2 B- D+ C B +4 C F A
 Tue, Nov 11 94 @High Point L 64 - 85 7% -11  17% 0 - 2 D- -12 D- -8 F D+ C+ D+ -4 B B+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 359 @VMI W 69 - 67 71% +3  84% 1 - 2 D- -12 F -11 D A- F C -0 D F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 97 @George Mason L 57 - 79 7% -12  0% 1 - 3 D- -13 F -11 D C- F D+ -4 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 24 239 Bethune-Cookman W 69 - 64 38% -2  26% 2 - 3 C +0 C- -1 C+ D C+ B- +2 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 117 Pacific L 53 - 68 16% -7  5% 2 - 4 D- -12 F -12 F F+ B C- -2 C+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 315 Florida A&M W 85 - 82 OT 67% -0  49% 3 - 4 D -9 C +1 D+ C+ A+ F -11 F A- B
 Sat, Dec 6 186 @Florida International L 65 - 88 19% -18  3% 3 - 5 F -21 D- -8 F B- F F -14 F A D+
 Sun, Dec 14 31 @Texas A&M L 75 - 112 2% -24  2% 3 - 6 F -19 C +1 A- D- F F -17 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 17 315 @Florida A&M L 65 - 72 45% -9  0% 3 - 7 D- -13 D- -6 D+ F C- D- -8 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 70 @Florida St. L 63 - 87 5% -18  0% 3 - 8 D- -13 D+ -3 D F A+ F -12 D C- D+
 Thu, Jan 1 216 @Lipscomb L 57 - 76 23% -9  2% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -19 D- -7 D- B- F F -16 F A F
 Sat, Jan 3 183 @Austin Peay L 68 - 71 18% -2  22% 3 - 10 0 - 2 C -1 D -5 B B F B +4 B+ A+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 192 Queens L 51 - 77 38% -15  0% 3 - 11 0 - 3 F -31 F -28 F D+ F D+ -5 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 301 West Georgia W 75 - 43 64% +17  99% 4 - 11 1 - 3 A +20 B+ +8 A F A+ A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 15 167 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 62 16% +5  70% 4 - 12 1 - 4 C +1 D+ -3 F B A+ B- +3 D A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 343 @North Alabama W 90 - 68 57% +13  85% 5 - 12 2 - 4 B+ +12 A +13 B- A+ C C -0 C- C+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 282 Bellarmine L 70 - 77 59% -1  32% 5 - 13 2 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -10 F C- B D- -8 F C B-
 Sat, Jan 24 298 Eastern Kentucky W 81 - 76 OT 62% -3  13% 6 - 13 3 - 5 D+ -6 D+ -2 C A F D+ -4 D F A
 Thu, Jan 29 216 Lipscomb W 70 - 65 44% +8  97% 7 - 13 4 - 5 C -1 C+ +3 B- C+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 252 Florida Gulf Coast L 49 - 68 51% -3  44% 7 - 14 4 - 6 F -27 F -27 F F F C -1 C+ C D-
 Thu, Feb 5 192 @Queens L 84 - 93 19% -11  1% 7 - 15 4 - 7 D+ -8 B- +4 C+ C D F -11 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 301 @West Georgia L 73 - 87 41% -6  4% 7 - 16 4 - 8 F -20 C- -2 D- B D F -18 D+ F F
 Wed, Feb 11 309 @Stetson L 62 - 67 43% -5  6% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D -11 F -11 F C C C -1 D A- F+
 Sat, Feb 14 341 North Florida W 63 - 56 77% +4  92% 8 - 17 5 - 9 D -8 F -12 F A D+ B +5 D C+ A-
 Wed, Feb 18 252 @Florida Gulf Coast L 84 - 86 29% -4  7% 8 - 18 5 - 10 C- -4 A +13 A+ D- A F -18 F C- F
 Sat, Feb 21 183 Austin Peay L 61 - 65 37% -3  30% 8 - 19 5 - 11 D -8 D- -6 F C+ A C- -3 B- C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 309 Stetson W 89 - 85 66% +7  90% 9 - 19 6 - 11 D+ -8 B+ +9 F A+ A+ F -17 F A F
 Sat, Feb 28 341 @North Florida W 85 - 61 56% +21  99% 10 - 19 7 - 11 B+ +15 C+ +2 C A F A+ +13 A- A+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 282 Bellarmine L 79 - 82 47% -5  20% 10 - 20 D -10 C- -0 F+ F+ A+ F -10 D- B+ F
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -8 D+ -4 A- D C D+ -4 D- C C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D C D- D 40% 40% 38% C D C C C C- C- C C- D+ D C+ D- D- 46% 20% 35% D+ D- C B B- D D- B D
1.03 53% 38% 30% -4 0 0.93 30% 1.0 .31 17% .28 72% .20 1.14 64% 37% 38% +4 +1 1.12 30% 0.9 .28 14% .37 70% .20
Nov
3		 Miami (FL) C- A+ D+ D- B- 33% 17% 50% B B- F+ A- D+ C C- F F+ B F C A+ B- 61% 11% 27% F C B+ F F A F F F
0.94 72% 33% 30% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 19% .23 50% .12 1.17 74% 40% 17% +3 +3 1.14 35% 2.0 .70 20% .63 78% .49
Nov
11		 High Point D- F+ F D F 32% 8% 60% C+ F C D- D+ C+ C- D D+ D+ B- A+ C- B+ 48% 13% 38% D+ B A- C+ B+ F F C- F
0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20 1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35
Nov
15		 VMI F B- F D+ D- 40% 13% 47% B D C A+ A- F F F F C B+ D- D D- 35% 24% 41% B+ D D- F F A+ A- F B-
1.04 67% 33% 33% +2 +1 1.09 39% 1.3 .52 29% .21 50% .11 1.01 47% 42% 35% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.4 .43 23% .21 82% .17
Nov
18		 George Mason F F A+ F F+ 50% 19% 31% A- D A+ F C- F A A+ A+ D+ F C F F 47% 21% 32% D F C A+ A+ A- F A+ F
0.87 48% 50% 23% -8 +1 0.88 39% 0.6 .23 29% .32 87% .28 1.21 83% 38% 58% +23 +1 1.50 32% 0.4 .12 20% .67 63% .42
Nov
24		 Bethune-Cookman C- B+ F D+ C+ 53% 13% 34% B C+ D+ F+ D C+ A+ F B- B- F C- A+ C 36% 28% 36% B+ C+ B A+ A+ F F A+ C
1.07 64% 17% 31% -1 +2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .45 56% .25 0.99 72% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.7 .16 14% .43 50% .22
Nov
25		 Pacific F A+ F F F 30% 40% 30% F+ F F+ F F+ B C+ B- B- C- F F A+ C+ 32% 18% 50% C+ C+ F A+ B- D- F C+ F
0.87 79% 21% 14% -10 -3 0.77 17% 0.8 .14 13% .34 72% .25 1.12 71% 63% 23% 0 0 1.02 50% 0.6 .31 16% .45 74% .34
Dec
2		 Florida A&M C C- F B D 39% 12% 49% B- D+ C+ C+ C+ A+ D F F+ F F A+ F F 33% 28% 39% B F A+ F A- B A+ A+ A+
1.15 57% 14% 38% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 12% .29 68% .20 1.11 83% 20% 62% +20 -1 1.39 8% 2.0 .16 23% .11 50% .05
Dec
6		 Florida International D- F F C- F 23% 19% 58% F+ F A- D B- F D F F+ F F+ A+ F F 48% 18% 34% D+ F A+ C+ A D+ F F F
0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18 1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40
Dec
14		 Texas A&M C D+ A+ B+ A- 39% 12% 49% A- A- C- F D- F C+ A+ B F D F F F 43% 17% 41% B+ F F F F B- D+ B+ C
0.98 53% 67% 38% +4 +1 1.12 26% 0.7 .18 25% .30 82% .24 1.46 65% 67% 50% +18 +1 1.39 52% 1.2 .64 16% .36 70% .25
Dec
17		 Florida A&M D- F F A+ D 49% 11% 40% B+ D+ F+ F F C- D C- D D- F D C- F 39% 31% 31% B F C+ A+ A+ F F A+ F
1.00 48% 0% 47% -1 +2 1.04 23% 0.6 .13 18% .30 75% .23 1.10 68% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.08 27% 0.4 .10 12% .51 59% .30
Dec
22		 Florida St. D+ A+ A+ F C- 15% 32% 53% F D D- F F A+ D+ C D+ F F B C D- 29% 12% 59% B D F A+ C- D+ F D- F
0.97 88% 59% 18% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.6 .14 11% .24 71% .17 1.34 80% 33% 33% +5 +1 1.14 46% 0.9 .40 12% .46 77% .35
Jan
1		 Lipscomb D- B- F+ D- D- 27% 24% 49% D D- B+ C- B- F C D C- F F A F F 40% 16% 44% B- F B- A+ A F B- F C-
0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18 1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18
Jan
3		 Austin Peay D B- D A+ B 38% 20% 42% C- B C- A+ B F A F C B C- A+ A A- 44% 20% 35% C B+ A- A+ A+ F D- D F+
0.99 65% 33% 42% +7 0 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 25% .38 55% .21 1.03 58% 18% 26% -8 0 0.87 23% 0.9 .20 12% .36 77% .28
Jan
8		 Queens F F F F F 48% 16% 36% B- F C- D+ D+ F B F F D+ B- F F F 44% 4% 52% F F B A+ A+ B- C A+ A-
0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17 1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18
Jan
10		 West Georgia B+ F A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 32% F+ A F A+ F A+ D- A D+ A+ F A+ A+ A 40% 31% 29% D A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A- F
1.27 45% 58% 60% +12 0 1.26 13% 1.3 .17 8% .28 80% .22 0.73 71% 18% 10% -11 -1 0.77 19% 0.8 .15 25% .50 64% .32
Jan
15		 Central Arkansas D+ F A+ F F 34% 13% 53% C F A D- B A+ B B B+ B- D F B D- 43% 25% 33% B D D A+ A+ C+ F C- F
1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25 1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31
Jan
17		 North Alabama A D- C+ A+ C+ 61% 14% 25% B+ B- C A+ A+ C B- A+ A C C F A+ C+ 53% 11% 36% F C- A+ F C+ F+ F F F
1.34 52% 43% 54% +4 +3 1.16 35% 1.9 .65 15% .31 89% .28 1.01 54% 60% 19% -8 +2 0.91 19% 1.5 .29 15% .52 77% .40
Jan
22		 Bellarmine F+ D- A F F 43% 13% 43% B+ F F A+ C- B C A+ A D- B D+ F F 56% 11% 33% D- F D A C B- B- F+ C
1.12 55% 50% 30% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 13% .31 100% .31 1.23 56% 40% 60% +12 +2 1.31 25% 1.0 .25 18% .27 86% .23
Jan
24		 Eastern Kentucky D+ D- A+ D+ B- 30% 43% 27% F C B+ A- A F A+ B- A+ D+ C F+ D D 40% 24% 36% D D F D F A F C F
1.18 54% 63% 33% +9 -4 1.14 39% 1.2 .46 20% .55 77% .42 1.11 56% 45% 38% +3 0 1.07 40% 1.2 .47 22% .52 71% .37
Jan
29		 Lipscomb C+ B- C+ C+ B- 43% 21% 36% B- B- D+ A- C+ A+ C A+ B D+ C D A+ B 58% 10% 32% F C+ B+ F F F B B+ B
1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22 1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Florida Gulf Coast F C- A F F 34% 30% 36% F F D F F F D F F C C+ A+ F+ B- 48% 25% 27% F+ C+ A F C D- F A+ F
0.74 56% 50% 6% -12 -1 0.74 26% 0.7 .18 24% .30 53% .16 1.03 57% 25% 38% -2 0 0.98 22% 1.4 .31 14% .44 60% .26
Feb
5		 Queens B- D A+ A+ B 38% 27% 36% D- C+ F A+ C D A+ A+ A+ F F A F F 43% 26% 30% B+ F B B B+ F F B- F+
1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43 1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29
Feb
7		 West Georgia C- C- F F F+ 56% 14% 30% B D- B B B D A+ D A- F C- A- C- C- 46% 28% 26% F D+ F F F F F C- F
1.08 57% 29% 27% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 68% .30 1.29 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 47% 1.2 .58 12% .54 72% .39
Feb
11		 Stetson F B- F F F 42% 25% 33% D+ F B F+ C C A- C A- C B+ D- F D 35% 23% 43% C D B- A+ A- F+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26 1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34
Feb
14		 North Florida F F C C- F 35% 16% 49% C- F F A+ A D+ C A B- B A- F F C 64% 2% 33% F D F A+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+
1.08 40% 43% 33% -6 0 0.91 27% 2.1 .58 14% .28 79% .22 0.96 48% 100% 43% -1 +4 1.10 33% 0.8 .26 22% .13 50% .07
Feb
18		 Florida Gulf Coast A A+ A A A+ 44% 25% 31% D+ A+ F B D- A A+ F C- F F F A F 50% 26% 24% F+ F F A C- F F D+ F
1.28 81% 50% 40% +16 0 1.33 21% 1.2 .24 12% .45 54% .24 1.31 74% 58% 27% +11 0 1.24 40% 0.8 .33 12% .48 75% .36
Feb
21		 Austin Peay D- C F F F 60% 12% 29% A F B D+ C+ A A+ B A+ C- D- A+ A+ B 57% 14% 30% F B- F+ A- C- F F A+ D+
1.01 60% 20% 17% -8 +3 0.90 35% 0.8 .26 13% .44 74% .32 1.08 64% 0% 23% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 7% .41 61% .25
Feb
26		 Stetson B+ F F A F 56% 23% 21% C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C- F 57% 7% 37% F F B- A+ A F F B- F
1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49 1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30
Feb
28		 North Florida C+ D- A+ C- C+ 45% 23% 32% D+ C A+ D- A F F A+ D- A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 51% 6% 43% F A- A- A+ A+ D F A+ F
1.23 52% 69% 33% +4 0 1.11 53% 1.1 .57 19% .20 82% .16 0.88 52% 33% 24% -10 +3 0.88 19% 0.6 .11 16% .40 65% .26
Mar
4		 Bellarmine C- F A+ A+ F+ 42% 26% 32% C- F+ B F F+ A+ D+ D D F C- B- F D- 49% 12% 39% D+ D- C A+ B+ F D- F+ F
1.24 36% 57% 47% +2 -1 1.06 39% 0.7 .29 8% .29 71% .20 1.29 63% 33% 47% +9 +2 1.24 21% 0.8 .18 11% .35 85% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%