Central Florida
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +10.9 51
Results Rating +14.6 35
Consistency 0.14 123
Pace 72.6 69
Improvement -2.8 286

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 41 B A- B C C
Defense B- 92 C+ B C+ C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 86 B 63% 68 +4.2 45
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 118 C 38% 158 +0.9 127
Three Pointers 35% 297 B+ 38% 27 -0.9 215
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 194 B +4.2 60
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 66
Second Chance B+ 36.2% 33 B+ 1.17 23 A- 0.43 20
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.4% 19
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 177
Turnovers B 14.6% 58
Freethrows C 0.30 200 B- 75% 89 C 0.22 159
Total Offense B+ +8.0 41

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 64 B 8.2% 41
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 69 B- 3.7% 85
Three Pointers C- 81% 240 B 0.4% 53
Total C+ 59% 104 B 4.4% 53


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 B- 55% 89 -3.2 74
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 108 D+ 41% 289 +1.4 302
Three Pointers 42% 124 C+ 33% 111 +0.0 182
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 91 C+ -1.4 123
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 114
Second Chance A- 24.6% 21 C 1.03 175 B 0.25 42
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 212
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 63
Turnovers C+ 17.2% 144
Freethrows C+ 0.29 156 D 75% 302 C 0.22 183
Total Defense B- +3.0 92

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 173 C+ 12.5% 108
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 156 D+ 3.1% 290
Three Pointers B+ 77% 28 C 1.0% 138
Total B- 52% 115 C 5.5% 183

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.3 25 18.6 337
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 45 0.15 96
Consistency 0.11 90 0.12 145
Improvement -3.1 313 +0.2 176

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 56 52 49
Results Rating Rank 38 36 30
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None 10 8
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 2% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 83% 96% 82%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 83% 96% 82%
Average Seed 9.4 8.5 9.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four6% 1% 7%
First Round80% 95% 78%
Second Round28% 35% 27%
Sweet Sixteen3% 3% 3%
Elite Eight1% 1% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 8
Quad 26 - 311 - 11
Quad 34 - 015 - 11
Quad 46 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 100 Hofstra W 82 - 78 79% +1  65% 1 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 B- A+ F C+ +2 C- A C
 Sat, Nov 8 18 Vanderbilt L 93 - 105 33% -12  3% 1 - 1 C+ +3 A+ +18 A+ A+ B+ F -14 D- F F
 Tue, Nov 11 312 Florida A&M W 97 - 60 97% +22  97% 2 - 1 A+ +25 A +13 A A+ D- A +10 C A+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 31 @Texas A&M W 86 - 74 26% -2  25% 3 - 1 A+ +30 A +13 A+ C- D A+ +16 A+ D A
 Mon, Nov 17 173 Oakland W 87 - 83 91% +5  92% 4 - 1 C +0 C+ +3 C A- C C- -3 C A- C-
 Thu, Nov 20 91 Pittsburgh W 77 - 67 68% +5  80% 5 - 1 A- +16 A +13 C A+ C B +4 A B- B+
 Tue, Nov 25 214 Quinnipiac W 102 - 91 93% +2  53% 6 - 1 C+ +5 A+ +15 B+ B+ A- F -11 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 359 VMI W 82 - 57 99% +9  70% 7 - 1 B- +5 D+ -3 F D A A +9 A C+ B
 Sun, Dec 7 154 Towson W 86 - 61 89% +17  99% 8 - 1 A +22 A+ +20 A- A+ C+ B +5 C D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 187 Mercer W 81 - 63 92% +10  94% 9 - 1 B+ +13 C- -1 D+ B- C+ A+ +14 A+ B A+
 Sat, Dec 20 254 Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 80 95% +5  57% 10 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +20 A+ A B D- -7 F A A-
 Tue, Dec 23 126 Florida Atlantic W 85 - 80 79% -1  48% 11 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 B- A- C+ C+ +2 B+ F D
 Sat, Jan 3 20 Kansas W 81 - 75 36% +2  67% 12 - 1 1 - 0 A +21 A+ +15 A- A+ A+ B+ +5 A+ C+ B+
 Tue, Jan 6 60 @Oklahoma St. L 76 - 87 43% -6  4% 12 - 2 1 - 1 C +2 D- -6 F A- A- A +9 D- A+ A+
 Sun, Jan 11 39 Cincinnati W 73 - 72 53% +1  66% 13 - 2 2 - 1 B +11 A- +10 A+ A- D+ C+ +1 A D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 98 @Kansas St. W 82 - 73 60% +7  93% 14 - 2 3 - 1 A- +17 B +6 A- C A+ A +11 A A C
 Sat, Jan 17 4 Arizona L 77 - 84 14% -6  5% 14 - 3 3 - 2 A- +16 B+ +9 C+ A+ C+ A- +7 C A+ B
 Tue, Jan 20 7 @Iowa St. L 57 - 87 10% -15  3% 14 - 4 3 - 3 D+ -5 C- -1 F+ A+ F D- -7 B F F
 Sat, Jan 24 67 @Colorado W 95 - 86 46% +3  59% 15 - 4 4 - 3 A +21 A+ +23 A+ B C- C- -2 D- A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 65 Arizona St. W 79 - 76 69% -2  28% 16 - 4 5 - 3 B +9 B +7 D+ A+ A+ B- +2 D+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 13 Texas Tech W 88 - 80 32% +4  90% 17 - 4 6 - 3 A+ +24 A+ +19 B- A+ A+ B +4 D- A+ A-
 Wed, Feb 4 5 @Houston L 55 - 79 10% -14  1% 17 - 5 6 - 4 C +1 C- -0 F B A C- -2 D B+ F+
 Sun, Feb 8 39 @Cincinnati L 72 - 92 30% -11  0% 17 - 6 6 - 5 C- -4 B+ +9 B D- A+ F -13 F D C
 Sat, Feb 14 55 West Virginia L 67 - 74 63% +3  62% 17 - 7 6 - 6 C +0 C +2 C+ C C C -1 B B+ C
 Tue, Feb 17 42 TCU W 82 - 71 53% +11  99% 18 - 7 7 - 6 A +21 A +12 A C A A +9 A+ B B
 Sat, Feb 21 108 @Utah W 73 - 71 65% +2  72% 19 - 7 8 - 6 B +9 B+ +8 A+ F C C+ +1 A- F B-
 Tue, Feb 24 22 @BYU W 97 - 84 20% +20  98% 20 - 7 9 - 6 A+ +33 A+ +18 A+ C D A+ +13 A+ A D
 Sat, Feb 28 46 Baylor L 86 - 87 58% -5  12% 20 - 8 9 - 7 B- +8 A+ +16 A- A+ A+ F+ -9 C- D+ D
 Tue, Mar 3 60 Oklahoma St. L 104 - 111 OT 66% +1  42% 20 - 9 9 - 8 C -0 B+ +8 C- A- A+ D- -7 B- F D
 Fri, Mar 6 55 @West Virginia L 62 - 77 40% -9  1% 20 - 10 9 - 9 C -2 C +0 D- B+ A C- -3 C A+ F
 Wed, Mar 11 39 Cincinnati W 66 - 65 OT 41% -4  13% 21 - 10 B+ +14 D+ -4 F B- A+ A+ +18 A- A+ A+
 Thu, Mar 12 4 Arizona L 74 - 89 9%
Totals 21 - 11 9 - 9 +11 B+ +8 C B C B- +3 B+ B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B C B+ B 42% 43% 35% C B B+ B+ A- B C B- C B- B- D+ C+ C+ 35% 23% 42% B- C+ A- C B C+ C+ D C
1.20 63% 38% 38% +4 0 1.11 36% 1.2 .43 15% .30 75% .22 1.04 55% 41% 33% -1 0 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 17% .29 75% .22
Nov
3		 Hofstra B- D+ F B- C 53% 9% 38% A+ B- A+ B A+ F A+ F A+ C+ F C A C 41% 22% 37% D C- C- A+ A C F F F
1.13 50% 25% 35% -5 +3 0.98 47% 1.1 .53 22% .63 61% .39 1.07 70% 36% 28% +1 0 1.04 35% 0.7 .24 16% .40 88% .35
Nov
8		 Vanderbilt A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ 41% 27% 31% C+ A+ C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B A+ F F F D+ D- 32% 12% 56% C- D- B- F F F A F B+
1.25 62% 29% 56% +9 -1 1.20 29% 1.5 .43 16% .45 79% .35 1.42 74% 71% 36% +11 +1 1.25 30% 1.9 .57 8% .25 88% .22
Nov
11		 Florida A&M A C- F A+ A 56% 16% 28% B+ A A+ A A+ D- F+ C- F+ A B- C- B+ B- 42% 16% 42% F+ C A+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ C-
1.30 56% 22% 69% +11 +2 1.28 47% 1.1 .53 21% .27 75% .21 0.81 52% 38% 29% -6 +1 0.92 18% 0.3 .05 21% .38 55% .21
Nov
14		 Texas A&M A B+ F A+ A+ 33% 18% 49% C+ A+ D- A+ C- D C A+ A A+ A+ F A A+ 42% 8% 50% C A+ A- F D A F D+ F
1.15 65% 22% 52% +13 0 1.27 21% 1.2 .25 21% .29 94% .27 0.99 38% 50% 28% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 19% .49 77% .38
Nov
17		 Oakland C+ D A+ C C 38% 21% 40% C C A- B- A- C A+ C A+ C- A+ C F C 44% 15% 40% D C B- A A- C- F F F
1.20 55% 64% 33% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.1 .45 15% .41 72% .29 1.14 43% 38% 43% -1 +1 1.02 28% 0.9 .25 14% .42 85% .35
Nov
20		 Pittsburgh A B C+ F C 47% 21% 32% C+ C A+ A+ A+ C D+ F F B B- A+ A A+ 36% 9% 56% D A C- B B- B+ F F F
1.23 64% 40% 27% -1 +1 1.02 50% 1.5 .75 18% .23 58% .14 1.07 56% 25% 28% -7 +1 0.91 36% 0.9 .33 19% .41 86% .35
Nov
25		 Quinnipiac A+ A+ F B+ B+ 50% 19% 31% B- B+ B B B+ A- A+ C+ A+ F C A F F 31% 24% 45% B- F A+ A+ A+ D F F F
1.30 72% 18% 39% +6 +1 1.16 38% 1.1 .43 13% .40 74% .29 1.16 56% 25% 52% +9 -1 1.18 17% 0.7 .11 14% .52 83% .43
Nov
29		 VMI D+ A+ F F F 36% 24% 41% D+ F A+ F D A C- A B- A A+ A+ A- A 27% 12% 61% C A F A+ C+ B F C F
1.21 95% 14% 17% -3 -1 0.95 56% 0.6 .34 12% .28 82% .23 0.84 38% 17% 27% -15 0 0.73 36% 0.6 .22 19% .38 71% .27
Dec
7		 Towson A+ A A+ F A 45% 27% 29% C- A- A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ B A- F A+ C+ 33% 24% 43% D C C F+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A
1.34 68% 62% 21% +5 0 1.12 42% 1.5 .62 14% .38 90% .34 0.95 47% 64% 25% -3 -1 0.93 35% 1.0 .35 23% .26 46% .12
Dec
17		 Mercer C- D+ B- C D+ 39% 30% 31% D D+ B+ C- B- C+ B- C C+ A+ B A+ A- A+ 33% 29% 38% B+ A+ A D- B A+ F D+ F
1.13 52% 44% 35% 0 -1 1.00 40% 0.9 .38 17% .28 76% .22 0.88 53% 23% 29% -9 -1 0.82 25% 1.1 .28 24% .44 75% .33
Dec
20		 Florida Gulf Coast A+ D F A+ A+ 36% 12% 52% C+ A+ A+ D A B F F F D- A C- F F 30% 21% 48% C- F A+ C+ A A- A+ A+ A+
1.42 52% 29% 60% +17 +1 1.38 47% 1.0 .47 14% .19 58% .11 1.11 47% 42% 56% +13 -1 1.27 19% 1.0 .19 21% .09 60% .05
Dec
23		 Florida Atlantic B- A A F B 45% 24% 31% D+ B- B A- A- C+ B+ D- B- C+ A- D B- B+ 33% 18% 48% C B+ A- F F D A+ D A
1.12 68% 46% 24% +2 0 1.05 32% 1.2 .37 16% .34 68% .23 1.05 50% 45% 31% -3 0 0.95 27% 1.6 .44 16% .19 75% .14
Jan
3		 Kansas A+ B C- D+ A- 40% 23% 38% B- A- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B- B+ A A+ 33% 25% 41% B- A+ B- C C+ B+ F B F+
1.16 57% 33% 30% -4 0 0.94 32% 1.2 .39 9% .41 69% .28 1.08 59% 31% 29% -5 -1 0.90 31% 1.2 .36 17% .40 74% .29
Jan
6		 Oklahoma St. D- D- A+ F F 42% 10% 48% B+ F C A+ A- A- A- D- B A A- B- F F+ 50% 13% 38% C- D- A+ A+ A+ A+ F C- F
0.94 48% 50% 17% -15 +2 0.75 28% 1.5 .43 14% .33 65% .21 1.08 50% 33% 56% +7 +2 1.21 18% 0.4 .07 20% .54 77% .42
Jan
11		 Cincinnati A- A+ B A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D+ A+ D A+ A- D+ F A D- C+ F+ F+ A+ A- 35% 35% 30% A A B+ F D- F A+ A A+
1.09 72% 44% 43% +11 -2 1.21 19% 2.0 .38 21% .17 78% .13 1.07 70% 45% 12% -3 -2 0.91 28% 1.5 .42 10% .13 63% .08
Jan
14		 Kansas St. B D A A+ A+ 36% 38% 25% F A- F A+ C A+ C F D A F C- A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% D+ A A+ C- A C B- A+ A-
1.10 50% 48% 50% +7 -2 1.11 21% 1.7 .36 13% .28 61% .17 0.98 75% 38% 18% -5 +1 0.95 22% 1.1 .25 16% .24 60% .14
Jan
17		 Arizona B+ F B+ D- C 33% 32% 35% B- C+ A A+ A+ C+ C- A+ B A- F F A+ D+ 33% 42% 25% A+ C A+ A+ A+ B F B+ F
1.03 40% 42% 29% -8 -2 0.83 33% 1.4 .45 17% .23 93% .21 1.13 82% 55% 23% +11 -3 1.17 29% 0.6 .16 16% .53 70% .37
Jan
20		 Iowa St. C- D+ B- F F 22% 20% 57% C F+ A A A+ F F A+ F D- D+ A+ B+ A- 51% 8% 42% F B F+ F F F C- A+ B-
0.87 55% 40% 21% -11 -1 0.78 36% 1.2 .44 29% .13 83% .11 1.33 67% 25% 32% +2 +3 1.11 44% 1.3 .56 8% .35 57% .20
Jan
24		 Colorado A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 28% 26% 46% D+ A+ C A+ B C- B+ F+ B- C- C+ D+ F F 33% 31% 37% A+ D- A+ F A+ C- D+ C- D+
1.35 71% 46% 61% +24 -1 1.48 27% 1.3 .35 17% .36 67% .24 1.22 59% 44% 53% +12 -2 1.23 14% 1.3 .17 13% .36 77% .28
Jan
27		 Arizona St. B F A+ F D 43% 23% 34% B- D+ B A+ A+ A+ B- C+ B- B- C A- F D- 30% 26% 44% A D+ A+ C- A+ D+ B- A- B+
1.13 43% 67% 22% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.3 .47 13% .31 74% .23 1.09 60% 31% 45% +6 -1 1.12 16% 1.2 .19 14% .33 70% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Texas Tech A+ A- F B+ B 38% 42% 20% D+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ B F F D+ D 34% 11% 55% F+ D- A+ F A+ A- B+ A+ A
1.27 67% 26% 36% -1 -3 0.95 41% 1.6 .66 9% .35 82% .29 1.16 78% 67% 38% +13 +1 1.30 15% 1.3 .19 19% .21 58% .12
Feb
4		 Houston C- F+ F+ F F+ 24% 36% 40% F F C A+ B A A A+ A+ C- F F A+ F+ 35% 39% 26% B D C- A+ B+ F+ A+ B- A+
0.89 45% 25% 22% -15 -3 0.67 26% 1.2 .32 18% .39 85% .34 1.28 79% 67% 14% +11 -3 1.19 39% 0.8 .32 8% .14 75% .11
Feb
8		 Cincinnati B+ B- A- D- B+ 32% 30% 38% D+ B B- F D- A+ C- A+ C+ F F C+ F F 29% 37% 33% A+ F A F D C F D+ F
1.03 56% 47% 29% -1 -2 0.96 27% 0.6 .17 11% .24 80% .19 1.31 73% 37% 59% +16 -3 1.29 26% 1.6 .41 16% .36 71% .25
Feb
14		 West Virginia C A- F B- B- 37% 29% 33% D+ C+ C+ C- C C B A+ A- C C+ F A C+ 29% 27% 45% A+ B D- A+ B+ C C- F F+
0.99 63% 20% 35% -3 -1 0.94 27% 0.9 .24 19% .29 81% .24 1.09 57% 54% 27% -1 -1 0.98 37% 0.8 .29 16% .33 84% .28
Feb
17		 TCU A C A- A+ A 43% 21% 36% C+ A C C- C A A A+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 37% 24% 39% B+ A+ B- B B B F A D-
1.15 57% 45% 42% +5 0 1.13 26% 1.0 .26 17% .34 90% .30 1.00 42% 67% 20% -7 0 0.86 33% 1.0 .33 17% .46 63% .29
Feb
21		 Utah B+ A+ D A+ A+ 36% 40% 24% F A+ C F F C F D+ F C+ C D A A- 35% 22% 43% B A- C F F B- A+ F A+
1.17 78% 35% 58% +15 -3 1.26 29% 0.5 .14 14% .17 67% .11 1.14 59% 45% 29% -2 0 0.98 31% 1.8 .55 18% .14 100% .14
Feb
24		 BYU A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 23% 38% 39% D A+ C+ C C D C- A C+ A+ B A C+ A+ 31% 31% 39% B+ A+ A+ D A D B- F C-
1.25 85% 38% 59% +21 -3 1.38 27% 1.1 .30 19% .22 79% .18 1.08 58% 32% 33% -2 -2 0.94 27% 1.3 .34 12% .29 85% .25
Feb
28		 Baylor A+ B- D+ A+ B+ 47% 27% 25% A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ F+ A+ F F B- 47% 15% 38% F C- F B D+ D F+ F F
1.30 63% 36% 46% +6 0 1.14 34% 1.4 .48 11% .32 84% .27 1.31 48% 63% 45% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 12% .38 82% .31
Mar
3		 Oklahoma St. B+ D- A+ D D+ 51% 16% 33% B C- C A+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ D- F+ D A- C- 36% 31% 33% A+ B- C- F F D F D- F
1.19 48% 50% 30% -5 +1 0.95 28% 1.5 .41 10% .58 73% .42 1.27 68% 42% 30% +3 -2 1.05 35% 1.3 .45 11% .52 80% .41
Mar
6		 West Virginia C C- F+ F F+ 48% 23% 29% B- D- A- C B+ A A- F C+ C- F D+ B+ C 29% 15% 56% B C A+ D A+ F F F F
0.93 52% 25% 20% -12 0 0.79 35% 0.9 .33 15% .32 61% .19 1.15 71% 43% 30% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 10% .42 84% .35
Mar
11		 Cincinnati D+ B+ D- F D- 25% 40% 35% F F A D- B- A+ A F C+ A+ A A+ F B- 8% 47% 45% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F F+
0.86 60% 33% 14% -12 -3 0.72 33% 0.9 .31 13% .35 57% .20 0.85 50% 24% 46% +1 -6 0.92 24% 0.3 .07 25% .30 82% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 83.0% 0.2% 82.8% 9.4 0.0 0.1 1.5 10.8 29.8 33.2 7.6 0.0 17.0 83.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 83.0% 0.2% 82.8% 9.4 17.0 83.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 6.9 4.8 21.4 54.8 14.3 4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9% 98.9% 8.0 2.2 25.4 44.9 23.8 2.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.8% 95.0% 8.7 0.1 0.4 8.0 30.6 38.7 16.2 1.0
Lose Out 93.1% 82.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 9.2 29.3 34.7 8.1 0.0