Stony Brook
America East
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#219
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#166
Pace66.4#249
Improvement+2.3#37

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#189
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#94
Layup/Dunks-3.1#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows-2.6#321
Improvement+3.3#5

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#240
First Shot-1.9#242
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#186
Layups/Dunks-4.4#310
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#145
Freethrows+2.7#32
Improvement-1.1#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.0% 10.5% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 64.7% 69.2% 46.1%
.500 or above in Conference 74.5% 76.4% 66.7%
Conference Champion 10.6% 11.4% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.1% 2.5%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.7%
First Round9.3% 9.9% 6.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 80.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 414 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 115   @ George Mason L 52-74 21%     0 - 1 -15.8 -18.3 +2.5
  Nov 18, 2021 9   @ Kansas L 59-88 3%     0 - 2 -9.0 -5.8 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2021 309   Sacred Heart W 75-72 80%     1 - 2 -8.2 -7.1 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2021 237   @ Fairfield L 78-83 OT 44%     1 - 3 -5.8 +4.3 -10.1
  Nov 28, 2021 121   @ Yale W 85-81 22%     2 - 3 +9.9 +12.6 -2.8
  Dec 01, 2021 320   American W 76-66 81%    
  Dec 04, 2021 156   Wagner L 67-68 49%    
  Dec 08, 2021 133   Hofstra L 72-74 44%    
  Dec 11, 2021 236   Bryant W 76-72 66%    
  Dec 14, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 78-63 91%    
  Dec 18, 2021 202   St. Peter's W 67-65 59%    
  Dec 22, 2021 14   @ Florida L 59-80 3%    
  Jan 02, 2022 265   @ Hartford W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 06, 2022 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 08, 2022 352   Maine W 71-55 93%    
  Jan 12, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 60-70 19%    
  Jan 15, 2022 195   New Hampshire W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 19, 2022 323   @ Binghamton W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 22, 2022 298   @ Albany W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 26, 2022 104   Vermont L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 195   @ New Hampshire L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 02, 2022 323   Binghamton W 74-64 81%    
  Feb 05, 2022 254   @ NJIT L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 09, 2022 209   Umass Lowell W 72-69 58%    
  Feb 13, 2022 352   @ Maine W 68-58 81%    
  Feb 16, 2022 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 19, 2022 265   Hartford W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 23, 2022 209   @ Umass Lowell L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 26, 2022 298   Albany W 72-64 76%    
  Mar 01, 2022 254   NJIT W 69-63 69%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.3 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.5 6.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.2 5.6 6.0 2.0 0.3 16.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.0 5.9 5.4 1.4 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.0 5.7 4.7 1.2 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.3 3.7 0.5 10.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 3.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.3 1.1 2.4 1.6 0.4 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.4 7.2 9.3 12.0 13.4 13.5 12.4 9.7 7.2 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
16-2 91.5% 1.6    1.3 0.3
15-3 75.0% 3.0    2.1 0.7 0.1
14-4 45.9% 3.3    1.6 1.5 0.2
13-5 16.2% 1.6    0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1
12-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.1 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 63.0% 63.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 39.9% 39.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 1.7% 30.3% 30.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-3 3.9% 27.5% 27.5% 14.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.9
14-4 7.2% 22.6% 22.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 5.5
13-5 9.7% 16.5% 16.5% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.1 8.1
12-6 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 10.9
11-7 13.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 12.2
10-8 13.4% 6.0% 6.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 12.6
9-9 12.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.1 0.5 11.4
8-10 9.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.0
7-11 7.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.2 7.0
6-12 4.4% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 4.3
5-13 2.6% 2.6
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.7 3.3 90.0 0.0%