Stony Brook
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#246
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Pace63.9#320
Improvement-3.1#340

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#257
First Shot-2.8#249
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#212
Layup/Dunks-5.4#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#40
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement-4.3#363

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#223
First Shot-3.2#288
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#68
Layups/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
Freethrows-2.8#336
Improvement+1.2#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 29.6% 44.3% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 28.2% 42.7% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 6.3% 19.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 49 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 342 Maine W 71-60 82%     1 - 0 -3.5 -4.8 +1.3
  Sat, Nov 15 76 @Yale L 79-86 9%     1 - 1 +3.3 +14.1 -11.5
  Thu, Nov 20 226 Brown W 80-70 58%     2 - 1 +3.0 +11.5 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 24 138 Pacific L 58-86 26%     2 - 2 -26.3 -11.3 -16.4
  Tue, Nov 25 269 Bethune-Cookman W 61-54 54%     3 - 2 +1.1 -8.0 +9.9
  Fri, Nov 28 123 @Loyola Marymount W 71-68 17%     4 - 2 +8.4 +6.6 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 121 @Duquesne L 75-84 16%     4 - 3 -3.5 +5.4 -9.0
  Tue, Dec 9 142 Columbia W 77-73 OT 38%     5 - 3 +2.2 -5.1 +6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 323 Central Michigan W 78-55 77%     6 - 3 +10.2 +5.2 +7.1
  Wed, Dec 17 310 Albany L 55-71 74%     6 - 4 -27.6 -20.7 -8.1
  Sun, Dec 21 157 @Marist L 51-70 22%     6 - 5 -15.8 -12.7 -4.2
  Mon, Dec 29 238 @Hampton L 66-69 38%    
  Wed, Dec 31 118 @William & Mary L 70-81 15%    
  Sat, Jan 3 301 N.C. A&T W 73-67 71%    
  Thu, Jan 8 274 @Drexel L 66-68 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 120 UNC Wilmington L 65-70 33%    
  Thu, Jan 15 110 Hofstra L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 169 College of Charleston L 70-71 45%    
  Thu, Jan 22 205 @Northeastern L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Jan 29 225 @Campbell L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 166 @Elon L 69-76 25%    
  Thu, Feb 5 224 Monmouth W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 205 Northeastern W 71-70 53%    
  Thu, Feb 12 128 @Towson L 60-70 18%    
  Mon, Feb 16 274 Drexel W 69-65 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 238 Hampton W 69-66 59%    
  Thu, Feb 26 224 @Monmouth L 67-71 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 110 @Hofstra L 62-74 15%    
  Tue, Mar 3 128 Towson L 63-67 35%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.3 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.1 0.1 6.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 4.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.1 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.5 5.1 0.9 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.7 1.7 0.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.9 3.1 0.3 11.8 10th
11th 0.1 2.1 5.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.8 4.3 3.6 0.8 0.0 10.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.0 8.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.7 8.5 12.0 14.5 15.1 14.0 10.9 7.8 4.8 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 56.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 17.7% 17.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 15.4% 15.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.3% 11.3% 11.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.6% 6.4% 6.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5
11-7 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.5
10-8 7.8% 2.0% 2.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.7
9-9 10.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.7
8-10 14.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.1 0.1 13.9
7-11 15.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 15.0
6-12 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
4-14 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 4.7% 4.7
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 98.7 0.0%