St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#331
Expected Predictive Rating-21.0#357
Pace71.1#129
Improvement-0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#289
First Shot-4.6#305
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#157
Layup/Dunks+3.0#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#312
Freethrows-1.4#270
Improvement+0.2#146

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#338
First Shot-8.1#354
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#98
Layups/Dunks-10.5#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#97
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-0.3#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.5% 5.8% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 22.3% 33.0% 20.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 15.2% 24.3%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
First Round0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 17.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 48 - 148 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 29   @ Wisconsin L 58-81 2%     0 - 1 -7.7 -5.7 -1.6
  Nov 13, 2021 329   St. Thomas L 73-91 61%     0 - 2 -31.9 -13.9 -17.6
  Nov 18, 2021 67   @ Penn St. L 59-74 3%     0 - 3 -4.7 -4.4 -1.4
  Nov 23, 2021 61   @ St. John's L 70-76 3%     0 - 4 +4.6 +0.3 +4.4
  Nov 26, 2021 328   McNeese St. L 59-71 47%     0 - 5 -22.2 -17.3 -5.0
  Nov 27, 2021 281   N.C. A&T L 67-73 32%     0 - 6 -12.4 -6.5 -5.9
  Dec 01, 2021 246   @ Fordham L 64-74 18%    
  Dec 05, 2021 265   Hartford L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 08, 2021 202   @ St. Peter's L 63-75 14%    
  Dec 11, 2021 356   @ Delaware St. W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 19, 2021 210   Longwood L 66-72 28%    
  Dec 23, 2021 209   @ Umass Lowell L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 29, 2021 232   @ Merrimack L 58-69 16%    
  Dec 31, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 76-70 72%    
  Jan 06, 2022 267   St. Francis (PA) L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 08, 2022 299   Mount St. Mary's L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 15, 2022 156   @ Wagner L 63-78 10%    
  Jan 17, 2022 276   LIU Brooklyn L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 21, 2022 325   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-81 36%    
  Jan 23, 2022 236   @ Bryant L 72-82 18%    
  Jan 27, 2022 309   @ Sacred Heart L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 29, 2022 156   Wagner L 66-75 22%    
  Feb 03, 2022 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-78 57%    
  Feb 05, 2022 309   Sacred Heart W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 10, 2022 276   @ LIU Brooklyn L 73-81 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 348   @ Central Connecticut St. W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 299   @ Mount St. Mary's L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 19, 2022 267   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 24, 2022 236   Bryant L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 26, 2022 232   Merrimack L 61-66 35%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.2 3.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.7 1.8 0.2 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.3 2.6 0.2 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.8 6.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.9 6.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 17.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.7 6.3 6.0 3.1 0.3 19.1 9th
10th 0.2 1.5 3.1 4.7 3.8 1.3 0.1 14.8 10th
Total 0.2 1.5 3.7 7.6 11.9 13.9 13.8 13.5 11.5 9.0 6.3 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 90.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 83.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 31.4% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 13.3% 0.3    0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 28.2% 28.2% 16.0 0.1 0.2
14-4 0.2% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.2% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 0.2 1.0
12-6 2.1% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.2 1.9
11-7 3.2% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.3 2.9
10-8 6.3% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.5 5.8
9-9 9.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 8.8
8-10 11.5% 11.5
7-11 13.5% 13.5
6-12 13.8% 13.8
5-13 13.9% 13.9
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 7.6% 7.6
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.0 1.6 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%