Minnesota
Big Ten
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#166
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#169
Pace61.8#340
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#232
First Shot-3.1#278
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#111
Layup/Dunks+0.0#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#214
Freethrows-0.3#194
Improvement-0.2#274

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#109
First Shot+5.5#45
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#332
Layups/Dunks-3.7#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#24
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows+4.5#12
Improvement+0.1#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 1.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.8 13.0 13.9
.500 or above 1.6% 9.6% 1.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 3.4% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 68.4% 39.8% 68.9%
First Four0.2% 0.9% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 14
Quad 22 - 53 - 19
Quad 32 - 24 - 21
Quad 46 - 010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 312   Western Michigan W 61-60 87%     1 - 0 -10.9 -14.4 +3.6
  Nov 11, 2022 338   St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-54 92%     2 - 0 +2.9 +4.5 +1.7
  Nov 14, 2022 117   DePaul L 53-69 48%     2 - 1 -15.2 -14.7 -2.4
  Nov 17, 2022 244   Central Michigan W 68-60 76%     3 - 1 +0.9 -4.9 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2022 160   California Baptist W 62-61 OT 49%     4 - 1 +1.4 -7.1 +8.6
  Nov 23, 2022 78   UNLV L 62-71 26%     4 - 2 -2.0 -2.2 +0.0
  Nov 28, 2022 59   @ Virginia Tech L 57-67 14%     4 - 3 +1.7 -7.5 +8.6
  Dec 04, 2022 3   @ Purdue L 54-76 2%    
  Dec 08, 2022 58   Michigan L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 11, 2022 28   Mississippi St. L 52-62 18%    
  Dec 14, 2022 339   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-57 92%    
  Dec 22, 2022 357   Chicago St. W 75-56 95%    
  Dec 29, 2022 288   Alcorn St. W 69-59 81%    
  Jan 03, 2023 35   @ Wisconsin L 52-66 10%    
  Jan 07, 2023 92   Nebraska L 62-64 41%    
  Jan 12, 2023 23   @ Ohio St. L 59-76 6%    
  Jan 16, 2023 10   Illinois L 60-74 10%    
  Jan 19, 2023 3   Purdue L 57-73 7%    
  Jan 22, 2023 58   @ Michigan L 60-72 15%    
  Jan 25, 2023 7   Indiana L 58-73 9%    
  Jan 28, 2023 90   @ Northwestern L 54-63 22%    
  Feb 01, 2023 39   @ Rutgers L 55-68 12%    
  Feb 04, 2023 12   Maryland L 58-72 11%    
  Feb 07, 2023 10   @ Illinois L 57-77 3%    
  Feb 12, 2023 24   Iowa L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 15, 2023 37   @ Michigan St. L 56-70 12%    
  Feb 18, 2023 43   Penn St. L 59-66 28%    
  Feb 22, 2023 12   @ Maryland L 55-75 4%    
  Feb 25, 2023 92   @ Nebraska L 59-67 23%    
  Mar 02, 2023 39   Rutgers L 58-65 25%    
  Mar 05, 2023 35   Wisconsin L 55-63 25%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 3 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.5 1.0 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 3.3 4.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.3 12th
13th 0.5 3.1 7.3 7.4 3.3 0.6 0.0 22.1 13th
14th 6.9 15.8 16.9 10.8 4.1 0.7 0.0 55.3 14th
Total 6.9 16.3 20.1 19.1 15.0 10.3 6.1 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 36.4% 36.4% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.4%
11-9 0.1% 42.1% 42.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.1%
10-10 0.3% 5.9% 5.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.9%
9-11 0.7% 1.4% 0.3% 1.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1%
8-12 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
7-13 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.3
6-14 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-15 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-16 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
3-17 19.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.1
2-18 20.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 20.1
1-19 16.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.3
0-20 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.7 0.1%