Minnesota
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#109
Expected Predictive Rating-2.0#202
Pace59.5#365
Improvement-1.1#261

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#109
First Shot+1.4#136
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#111
Layup/Dunks+4.0#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#271
Freethrows+1.2#118
Improvement+1.1#78

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#116
First Shot+0.9#138
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#140
Layups/Dunks+2.3#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#288
Freethrows+1.4#99
Improvement-2.2#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 2.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Average Seed 9.8 9.5 10.1
.500 or above 8.4% 18.0% 5.7%
.500 or above in Conference 4.4% 10.4% 2.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.4% 14.0% 31.3%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Home) - 22.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 22 - 64 - 18
Quad 31 - 15 - 19
Quad 47 - 012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 356 Gardner-Webb W 87-60 96%     1 - 0 +10.9 +4.7 +5.4
  Sat, Nov 8 331 Alcorn St. W 95-50 93%     2 - 0 +32.4 +17.2 +15.3
  Wed, Nov 12 31 @Missouri L 60-83 13%     2 - 1 -6.8 +1.1 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 15 265 Green Bay W 72-65 OT 88%     3 - 1 -1.7 -7.7 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 345 Chicago St. W 66-54 95%     4 - 1 -2.6 -7.2 +6.0
  Sat, Nov 22 89 San Francisco L 65-77 43%     4 - 2 -6.0 +1.8 -9.0
  Thu, Nov 27 88 Stanford L 68-72 42%     4 - 3 +2.0 +5.1 -3.4
  Fri, Nov 28 53 Santa Clara L 75-86 28%     4 - 4 -0.9 +10.5 -12.1
  Wed, Dec 3 21 Indiana L 64-72 22%    
  Wed, Dec 10 3 @Purdue L 58-79 3%    
  Sun, Dec 14 300 Texas Southern W 77-62 92%    
  Sun, Dec 21 224 Campbell W 75-64 84%    
  Mon, Dec 29 362 Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-59 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 55 @Northwestern L 64-73 22%    
  Tue, Jan 6 20 Iowa L 62-70 23%    
  Fri, Jan 9 29 USC L 69-75 28%    
  Tue, Jan 13 34 Wisconsin L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 18 @Illinois L 64-80 7%    
  Tue, Jan 20 24 @Ohio St. L 63-76 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 42 Nebraska L 68-73 33%    
  Wed, Jan 28 34 @Wisconsin L 65-77 15%    
  Sun, Feb 1 104 @Penn St. L 67-71 38%    
  Wed, Feb 4 12 Michigan St. L 60-71 16%    
  Sun, Feb 8 95 Maryland W 69-68 55%    
  Sat, Feb 14 58 @Washington L 64-72 23%    
  Tue, Feb 17 78 @Oregon L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 120 Rutgers W 68-64 65%    
  Tue, Feb 24 1 @Michigan L 58-83 1%    
  Sat, Feb 28 30 UCLA L 62-68 29%    
  Wed, Mar 4 21 @Indiana L 61-75 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 55 Northwestern L 67-70 41%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.9 1.1 0.0 8.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.6 14th
15th 0.1 2.3 6.2 4.1 0.5 0.0 13.3 15th
16th 0.2 2.4 6.5 5.3 1.2 0.0 15.7 16th
17th 0.4 3.0 7.0 5.6 1.7 0.1 17.8 17th
18th 1.1 4.0 5.9 4.3 1.2 0.1 16.6 18th
Total 1.1 4.4 9.1 13.9 15.9 16.1 13.9 10.2 7.0 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 96.2% 96.2% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.2%
13-7 0.2% 68.1% 1.4% 66.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 67.6%
12-8 0.5% 49.7% 49.7% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 49.7%
11-9 1.1% 15.7% 15.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 15.7%
10-10 2.5% 5.5% 0.1% 5.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.3 5.4%
9-11 4.1% 0.3% 0.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.3%
8-12 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 7.0 0.0%
7-13 10.2% 10.2
6-14 13.9% 13.9
5-15 16.1% 16.1
4-16 15.9% 15.9
3-17 13.9% 13.9
2-18 9.1% 9.1
1-19 4.4% 4.4
0-20 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 99.1 0.9%