Hartford
America East
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#265
Expected Predictive Rating-14.8#335
Pace67.3#230
Improvement-2.0#319

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#220
First Shot-2.8#264
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#105
Layup/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows-2.5#317
Improvement-1.7#323

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#300
First Shot-3.8#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#208
Layups/Dunks-4.3#305
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#237
Freethrows+2.6#35
Improvement-0.3#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.6% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 12.7% 26.4% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 45.2% 56.9% 42.7%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.8% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.4% 5.2%
First Four2.4% 2.6% 2.3%
First Round2.2% 3.3% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Away) - 17.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 92 - 12
Quad 410 - 912 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 156   @ Wagner L 59-77 19%     0 - 1 -14.3 -10.7 -4.2
  Nov 12, 2021 179   Campbell L 67-68 32%     0 - 2 -1.9 -0.8 -1.2
  Nov 13, 2021 249   Army L 79-86 46%     0 - 3 -11.7 +2.2 -13.6
  Nov 18, 2021 144   Boston University L 70-75 33%     0 - 4 -6.3 +1.4 -8.1
  Nov 23, 2021 232   @ Merrimack L 60-75 30%     0 - 5 -15.4 -0.7 -16.7
  Nov 29, 2021 172   @ Appalachian St. L 59-69 21%     0 - 6 -7.3 -8.9 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2021 146   @ Winthrop L 72-82 17%    
  Dec 05, 2021 331   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 11, 2021 147   @ UNLV L 63-73 17%    
  Dec 14, 2021 267   St. Francis (PA) W 75-72 63%    
  Dec 18, 2021 348   @ Central Connecticut St. W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 22, 2021 309   @ Sacred Heart L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 28, 2021 185   @ Cornell L 73-81 24%    
  Jan 02, 2022 219   Stony Brook L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 05, 2022 352   @ Maine W 67-60 72%    
  Jan 08, 2022 104   Vermont L 62-69 25%    
  Jan 12, 2022 323   @ Binghamton W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 15, 2022 209   @ Umass Lowell L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 19, 2022 195   New Hampshire L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 22, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 59-72 12%    
  Jan 26, 2022 323   Binghamton W 73-66 72%    
  Jan 29, 2022 209   Umass Lowell L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 02, 2022 195   @ New Hampshire L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 05, 2022 298   Albany W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 09, 2022 211   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 12, 2022 254   @ NJIT L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 16, 2022 352   Maine W 70-57 87%    
  Feb 19, 2022 219   @ Stony Brook L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 23, 2022 211   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 26, 2022 254   NJIT W 68-66 57%    
  Mar 01, 2022 298   @ Albany L 68-69 43%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.5 0.6 0.1 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 5.0 3.9 0.9 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 5.5 3.6 0.7 12.6 5th
6th 0.4 3.3 7.1 4.8 0.8 16.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.4 4.1 0.8 0.1 15.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.5 5.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.8 3.6 1.5 0.2 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 4.4 8.0 10.9 13.6 14.4 13.2 11.1 8.5 5.9 3.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 81.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 57.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 17.9% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1
16-2 0.3% 23.4% 23.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 12.3% 12.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.5% 10.0% 10.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.3
13-5 3.9% 12.5% 12.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.4
12-6 5.9% 8.9% 8.9% 15.9 0.0 0.5 5.4
11-7 8.5% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.1
10-8 11.1% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.6 10.5
9-9 13.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.9
8-10 14.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 14.0
7-11 13.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.5
6-12 10.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.8
5-13 8.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.0
4-14 4.4% 4.4
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.9 96.7 0.0%