TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#218
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#225
Pace68.4#213
Improvement-0.2#192

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#297
First Shot-7.2#352
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#45
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#268
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#312
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement-0.9#254

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#123
First Shot-0.2#172
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#79
Layups/Dunks+1.8#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#190
Freethrows-4.8#359
Improvement+0.7#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.2% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 23.6% 30.4% 11.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 66.2% 39.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.0% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 3.4% 11.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round3.2% 4.0% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 63.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 53 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 41 @SMU L 58-69 5%     0 - 1 +4.1 -7.9 +11.8
  Sat, Nov 8 181 @Tarleton St. L 77-85 31%     0 - 2 -6.4 +7.1 -13.6
  Tue, Nov 11 18 @Kansas L 46-77 2%     0 - 3 -10.8 -15.4 +5.2
  Sun, Nov 16 54 @Oklahoma St. L 69-85 7%     0 - 4 -2.9 -5.9 +4.6
  Fri, Nov 28 101 @Xavier L 67-88 14%     0 - 5 -13.1 -5.8 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 6 242 @Lamar W 57-49 43%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +6.3 -4.3 +11.9
  Wed, Dec 17 131 @Stephen F. Austin L 60-69 22%     1 - 6 1 - 1 -4.3 -3.7 -1.5
  Mon, Dec 29 231 Nicholls St. W 71-67 63%    
  Wed, Dec 31 246 New Orleans W 75-71 66%    
  Sat, Jan 3 190 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-74 33%    
  Mon, Jan 5 279 @Houston Christian L 68-69 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 274 @Northwestern St. L 69-70 48%    
  Mon, Jan 12 298 @East Texas A&M W 70-69 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 267 SE Louisiana W 69-64 68%    
  Mon, Jan 19 71 McNeese St. L 65-73 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 176 @Incarnate Word L 67-72 31%    
  Mon, Jan 26 190 UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 279 Houston Christian W 72-66 70%    
  Mon, Feb 2 176 Incarnate Word W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 231 @Nicholls St. L 68-70 42%    
  Mon, Feb 9 246 @New Orleans L 72-74 44%    
  Sat, Feb 14 242 Lamar W 67-63 64%    
  Mon, Feb 16 131 Stephen F. Austin L 67-69 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 71 @McNeese St. L 62-76 10%    
  Mon, Feb 23 267 @SE Louisiana L 66-67 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 274 Northwestern St. W 72-66 68%    
  Mon, Mar 2 298 East Texas A&M W 73-66 72%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.4 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.3 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 12.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.5 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.7 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.4 1.7 0.2 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.7 5.7 8.1 10.4 11.9 12.5 12.0 10.7 8.3 5.8 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 88.7% 0.3    0.2 0.0 0.0
18-4 64.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
17-5 29.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
16-6 12.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.3% 26.8% 26.8% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-4 0.9% 22.0% 22.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-5 2.0% 19.5% 19.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6
16-6 3.7% 13.0% 13.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.2
15-7 5.8% 10.4% 10.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.2
14-8 8.3% 8.1% 8.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 7.7
13-9 10.7% 3.7% 3.7% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.3
12-10 12.0% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.1 0.2 11.7
11-11 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.4
10-12 11.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.9
9-13 10.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.4
8-14 8.1% 8.1
7-15 5.7% 5.7
6-16 3.7% 3.7
5-17 2.2% 2.2
4-18 1.0% 1.0
3-19 0.4% 0.4
2-20 0.1% 0.1
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.6 96.7 0.0%