New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.1 #236
Expected Predictive Rating -2.2 #205
Pace 72.2 #94
Improvement -3.7 #343

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #171 C- B B- D C-
Defense #299 C+ F D+ D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #191 1.05 #296 -2.3 #264
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #105 0.76 #169 +1.5 #96
Three Pointers 38% #247 1.05 #128 -0.9 #215
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #221 -1.7 #220
Freethrows 18.7 #112 76% #66 14.3 #86
Second Chance 35.3% #55 1.06 #175 0.37 #78
Turnovers 18.6% #294
Total Offense -0.1 #171

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #160 1.03 #47 +1.8 #109
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #248 0.91 #346 -0.5 #222
Three Pointers 42% #143 0.98 #149 +0.0 #181
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #136 +1.3 #136
Freethrows 21.3 #335 74% #256 15.8 #30
Second Chance 34.6% #311 1.06 #207 0.37 #286
Turnovers 14.0% #323
Total Defense -4.0 #299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #254 0.8% #246
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.4% #215 -3.4% #113
Possession Length 17.5 #195 16.1 #32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #214 0.19 #236
Improvement -0.6 #228 -3.1 #341

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 8.4% 12.4% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 41.8% 52.2% 27.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.3% 4.4%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 20 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 65 - 13
Quad 48 - 713 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 44 @TCU W 78-74 5%     11.5   1 - 0 +18.8 +8.6 +9.9
  Mon, Nov 10 42 @LSU L 58-93 5%     -16.7   1 - 1 -20.1 -10.8 -8.0
  Fri, Nov 14 176 @Tulane W 85-63 28%     10.6   2 - 1 +23.8 +18.0 +7.2
  Tue, Nov 18 274 @Pepperdine L 79-90 48%     -6.0   2 - 2 -14.6 +2.7 -16.7
  Fri, Nov 21 158 @Fresno St. L 76-85 25%     -4.4   2 - 3 -6.2 -0.7 -4.6
  Mon, Nov 24 55 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 7%     3.9   2 - 4 +9.6 +4.1 +5.8
  Wed, Nov 26 17 @Texas Tech L 50-82 2%     -12.3   2 - 5 -12.4 -15.3 +3.2
  Wed, Dec 3 78 @Memphis L 70-86 9%     -15.5   2 - 6 -5.4 +4.9 -10.2
  Sat, Dec 6 300 Houston Christian L 76-85 74%     -4.0   2 - 7 0 - 1 -19.8 +1.5 -21.9
  Mon, Dec 8 165 Incarnate Word W 84-83 48%     8.1   3 - 7 1 - 1 -2.6 +9.2 -11.8
  Sat, Dec 13 11 @Houston L 57-99 2%     -25.2   3 - 8 -19.6 -2.0 -18.9
  Mon, Dec 29 221 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-69 35%     7.5   4 - 8 2 - 1 +15.8 +13.7 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 31 183 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-83 30%     -6.4   4 - 9 2 - 2 -12.6 +0.7 -13.5
  Sat, Jan 3 288 @Northwestern St. L 68-74 50%     4.9   4 - 10 2 - 3 -10.1 -3.6 -6.9
  Mon, Jan 5 324 East Texas A&M W 83-73 80%     8.2   5 - 10 3 - 3 -3.1 +5.1 -8.3
  Sat, Jan 10 215 Nicholls St. W 78-76 57%    
  Mon, Jan 12 260 @SE Louisiana L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 112 Stephen F. Austin L 72-77 31%    
  Mon, Jan 19 234 Lamar W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 24 87 @McNeese St. L 70-84 10%    
  Mon, Jan 26 215 @Nicholls St. L 75-79 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 288 Northwestern St. W 79-73 71%    
  Mon, Feb 2 324 @East Texas A&M W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Feb 7 221 UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-76 58%    
  Mon, Feb 9 183 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 300 @Houston Christian W 75-74 52%    
  Mon, Feb 16 165 @Incarnate Word L 73-80 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 234 @Lamar L 71-74 39%    
  Mon, Feb 23 112 @Stephen F. Austin L 69-80 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 87 McNeese St. L 73-81 24%    
  Mon, Mar 2 260 SE Louisiana W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.1 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.5 5.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 6.0 7.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.1 7.7 2.8 0.2 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.1 2.5 0.3 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 1.8 0.2 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 0.9 0.1 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.1 8.2 12.0 14.7 17.5 15.4 12.0 7.6 4.3 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-4 83.3% 0.0    0.0
17-5 36.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-6 13.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 0.0% 0.0
18-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-5 0.2% 27.3% 27.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-6 0.6% 20.0% 20.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-7 1.7% 10.0% 10.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
14-8 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.1
13-9 7.6% 2.4% 2.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.4
12-10 12.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.1 0.1 11.8
11-11 15.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 15.2
10-12 17.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 17.4
9-13 14.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.7
8-14 12.0% 12.0
7-15 8.2% 8.2
6-16 4.1% 4.1
5-17 1.4% 1.4
4-18 0.4% 0.4
3-19 0.0% 0.0
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 98.8 0.0%