New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -2.0 194
Results Rating -0.5 167
Consistency 0.18 333
Pace 73.2 62
Improvement +2.1 100

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 155 C- B- D A- C-
Defense C- 244 C+ D+ D+ D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 127 C- 55% 251 -0.1 187
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 49 C 39% 154 +1.9 79
Three Pointers 34% 313 C 34% 177 -3.3 296
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 251 C- -1.0 206
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 216
Second Chance B 35.0% 56 C 1.02 184 B- 0.36 84
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 236
Other Turnovers F+ 9.4% 349
Turnovers D 19.3% 325
Freethrows B+ 0.36 21 B 76% 75 A- 0.27 14
Total Offense C +0.4 155

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 53% 102 C- 12.1% 250
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 93 C 5.2% 194
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 D 1.4% 306
Total C 55% 190 D+ 6.7% 299

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 B- 55% 84 -0.6 151
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 270 D- 43% 336 -0.1 177
Three Pointers 42% 128 B- 32% 101 -0.3 168
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 257 C+ -1.5 118
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 143
Second Chance D- 35.2% 336 C+ 0.99 129 D+ 0.35 280
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 225
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 309
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 279
Freethrows D- 0.36 325 C- 74% 258 D- 0.27 330
Total Defense C- -2.3 244

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 57% 335 C+ 12.3% 112
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 341 C- 4.1% 219
Three Pointers F 96% 365 D- 0.0% 355
Total F+ 66% 348 C 5.7% 168

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 158 16.2 24
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 205 0.19 258
Consistency 0.11 65 0.15 322
Improvement -0.8 225 +2.9 51

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 218 194 169
Results Rating Rank 215 174 150
Conference Record 12 - 10 13 - 9 14 - 8
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.7 14.8
.500 or above 38% 86% 19%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 4% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 33 - 7
Quad 33 - 46 - 11
Quad 410 - 616 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 50 @TCU W 78 - 74 7% +12  89% 1 - 0 A +18 B +6 B A+ F A+ +12 A+ D D+
 Mon, Nov 10 53 @LSU L 58 - 93 8% -17  0% 1 - 1 F -21 F -15 F C B+ D -5 C+ B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 182 @Tulane W 85 - 63 36% +11  99% 2 - 1 A+ +24 A+ +17 A+ A+ F+ A +9 A+ A- F
 Tue, Nov 18 280 @Pepperdine L 79 - 90 57% -6  12% 2 - 2 F+ -15 D+ -3 D+ C+ F F -11 D B F
 Fri, Nov 21 129 @Fresno St. L 76 - 85 25% -4  11% 2 - 3 C- -4 D+ -3 D+ C+ F C -0 B F B-
 Mon, Nov 24 80 @Mississippi St. L 78 - 81 OT 13% +4  68% 2 - 4 B- +7 C +0 C- B- F A- +7 A F B+
 Wed, Nov 26 12 @Texas Tech L 50 - 82 2% -12  6% 2 - 5 D -10 F -16 F C+ F B+ +7 A+ F B
 Wed, Dec 3 108 @Memphis L 70 - 86 20% -16  0% 2 - 6 D -9 C +1 C D- B F -10 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 295 Houston Christian L 76 - 85 80% -4  16% 2 - 7 0 - 1 F -20 C -0 C- D- A- F -20 D F F
 Mon, Dec 8 271 Incarnate Word W 84 - 83 76% +8  95% 3 - 7 1 - 1 D -8 C+ +3 A+ D F F -12 F F C
 Sat, Dec 13 6 @Houston L 57 - 99 2% -25  0% 3 - 8 F+ -18 D -4 D A+ F F -15 F A D-
 Mon, Dec 29 144 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 85 - 69 28% +8  88% 4 - 8 2 - 1 A +20 A +12 C A+ B A- +8 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 199 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69 - 83 40% -6  17% 4 - 9 2 - 2 D- -13 C- -2 D- C+ D- F -12 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 269 @Northwestern St. L 68 - 74 55% +5  81% 4 - 10 2 - 3 D -9 D+ -3 F+ D+ C+ D -6 A F D+
 Mon, Jan 5 309 East Texas A&M W 83 - 73 82% +8  99% 5 - 10 3 - 3 C- -2 C+ +3 D+ F A D -5 C A- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 253 Nicholls St. L 77 - 90 72% -7  4% 5 - 11 3 - 4 F -21 B +7 B- A F+ F -29 F F F
 Mon, Jan 12 290 @SE Louisiana W 79 - 76 60% +1  51% 6 - 11 4 - 4 C -2 B- +5 F+ A+ F+ D -6 A F F
 Sat, Jan 17 103 Stephen F. Austin L 79 - 84 38% -1  33% 6 - 12 4 - 5 C- -4 B +7 B+ A C- F -11 F+ A F
 Mon, Jan 19 220 Lamar W 89 - 76 67% +4  68% 7 - 12 5 - 5 B- +7 A- +10 A C C- D+ -3 D B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 85 @McNeese St. L 63 - 82 13% -9  2% 7 - 13 5 - 6 D -9 D- -7 C D+ F C- -2 B D+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 253 @Nicholls St. W 80 - 62 50% +9  86% 8 - 13 6 - 6 A- +16 C -0 F+ A F+ A+ +15 A C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 269 Northwestern St. W 75 - 64 76% +4  73% 9 - 13 7 - 6 C+ +2 C- -1 D- A+ D+ B- +3 C- A- C-
 Mon, Feb 2 309 @East Texas A&M W 94 - 85 65% +11  99% 10 - 13 8 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +8 A+ F C D -6 D+ D- F+
 Sat, Feb 7 144 UT Rio Grande Valley L 76 - 95 50% -16  1% 10 - 14 8 - 7 F -21 D -5 D A D F -15 D F B-
 Mon, Feb 9 199 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 84 - 78 OT 63% -1  41% 11 - 14 9 - 7 C +1 D- -7 D D F A- +7 B+ C A-
 Sat, Feb 14 295 @Houston Christian L 60 - 61 61% -1  36% 11 - 15 9 - 8 D+ -6 F -10 F C B- B +4 B- D- B-
 Mon, Feb 16 271 @Incarnate Word W 78 - 64 55% +8  96% 12 - 15 10 - 8 B +11 B- +5 F B+ A B+ +6 C+ A- B-
 Sat, Feb 21 220 @Lamar W 77 - 71 44% +5  66% 13 - 15 11 - 8 B- +6 C+ +3 C- B- F B- +3 C B B
 Mon, Feb 23 103 @Stephen F. Austin W 77 - 73 19% +7  94% 14 - 15 12 - 8 B +11 B+ +8 B+ B- F B- +3 A+ F F
 Sat, Feb 28 85 McNeese St. L 74 - 80 29%
 Mon, Mar 2 290 SE Louisiana W 77 - 68 80%
Totals 15 - 16 13 - 9 -2 C +0 B C- C- C- -2 C B A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- C C C- 40% 50% 34% C- C- B C B- D B+ B A- C- B- D- B- C+ 40% 18% 42% D+ C+ D- C+ D+ D+ D- C- D-
1.09 55% 39% 34% -1 0 0.99 35% 1.0 .36 19% .36 76% .27 1.12 55% 43% 32% -2 0 1.00 35% 1.0 .35 15% .36 74% .27
Nov
3		 TCU B B- D+ A+ A- 40% 30% 30% D B A+ C+ A+ F A A+ A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ 44% 12% 44% D- A+ B+ F D D+ D- D+ D-
1.04 58% 36% 43% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.1 .46 25% .34 79% .27 0.98 56% 29% 12% -17 +1 0.72 31% 1.4 .44 13% .40 73% .29
Nov
10		 LSU F F F F F 35% 23% 42% C F D A- C B+ D B C- D C A+ F+ B- 46% 11% 44% F+ C+ F A+ B- F F B- D-
0.80 40% 8% 25% -19 -1 0.63 24% 1.1 .26 12% .27 71% .19 1.28 62% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.09 43% 0.9 .38 10% .43 75% .32
Nov
14		 Tulane A+ F A+ A+ A+ 29% 17% 55% C- A+ B- A+ A+ F+ A+ C+ A+ A F F A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% D+ A+ C+ A+ A- F F A- F
1.29 42% 57% 57% +17 0 1.36 38% 1.3 .50 21% .54 71% .39 0.96 69% 50% 9% -14 +1 0.76 21% 0.8 .15 8% .56 71% .40
Nov
18		 Pepperdine D+ F A+ A D- 51% 4% 45% A D+ B+ D C+ F A+ C A+ F C- F C- D- 40% 24% 36% C D D+ A B F F F F
1.07 40% 50% 41% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 23% .42 71% .30 1.22 59% 46% 35% +3 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .22 8% .41 89% .37
Nov
21		 Fresno St. D+ B+ F F D 43% 16% 41% B D+ B- C C+ F A+ F A+ C C- B A+ A- 44% 6% 50% F B B- F F B- F D F
0.98 68% 25% 19% -7 +1 0.90 31% 1.1 .33 23% .52 65% .34 1.10 62% 33% 25% -5 +2 0.96 27% 2.0 .55 19% .45 79% .35
Nov
24		 Mississippi St. C F C- B- C 25% 39% 36% F+ C- A D- B- F C+ A+ A A- A+ F A A 30% 22% 48% C+ A D+ F F B+ F A+ D-
1.01 43% 36% 35% -4 -3 0.88 36% 0.9 .31 19% .27 94% .26 1.05 38% 67% 27% -5 -1 0.91 34% 1.3 .45 18% .46 52% .24
Nov
26		 Texas Tech F C+ F F F 40% 33% 27% B- F F+ A+ C+ F D+ D- D B+ A A C- A+ 38% 25% 37% C+ A+ F D F B F A+ F+
0.71 58% 25% 8% -15 -2 0.69 17% 1.5 .26 24% .24 62% .15 1.16 50% 31% 37% -3 -1 0.94 43% 1.2 .50 17% .43 60% .26
Dec
3		 Memphis C B F C- C 37% 21% 42% C+ C B F D- B B- C- C+ F C- F F F 38% 19% 43% D+ F F+ A+ A+ C B+ C+ B+
1.00 63% 18% 32% -4 0 0.94 38% 0.5 .20 18% .37 71% .26 1.22 60% 70% 43% +13 0 1.28 43% 0.5 .23 18% .24 71% .17
Dec
6		 Houston Christian C C- F A D+ 44% 12% 44% B- C- D D D- A- A- F B- F C+ F+ D+ D 46% 19% 35% D D F F F F F F F
1.15 59% 17% 41% +2 +2 1.10 29% 1.0 .29 14% .35 65% .23 1.29 55% 44% 35% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.3 .45 8% .49 77% .38
Dec
8		 Incarnate Word C+ B A A+ A+ 50% 24% 26% C- A+ B F D F A+ A A+ F A+ F F+ F 22% 28% 50% A- F D F F C F C- F
1.22 67% 50% 64% +19 0 1.40 38% 0.8 .29 26% .51 81% .41 1.21 36% 64% 40% +7 -2 1.12 35% 1.3 .47 16% .36 71% .26
Dec
13		 Houston D F B+ D- C- 20% 45% 35% F D B A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F F F F 25% 40% 36% A- F B A+ A D- F C+ F
0.84 25% 39% 29% -9 -4 0.75 31% 1.6 .50 31% .49 83% .41 1.46 77% 52% 47% +18 -3 1.30 34% 0.8 .28 9% .50 77% .39
Dec
29		 UT Rio Grande Valley A F+ A+ C+ C- 44% 19% 37% B C B- A+ A+ B C- A+ A- A- D- A+ F D 31% 20% 49% B D+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
1.22 50% 50% 35% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.6 .56 14% .33 90% .30 0.99 67% 20% 42% +5 -1 1.10 33% 0.5 .15 23% .32 59% .19
Dec
31		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C- F+ B- D+ D 36% 34% 30% F D- B D C+ D- A+ F+ A- F A+ B- C A 60% 23% 17% D- B+ F F+ F F F F F
1.00 50% 40% 31% -4 -2 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 23% .55 66% .36 1.21 41% 33% 33% -12 +1 0.81 50% 1.1 .56 13% .42 76% .32
Jan
3		 Northwestern St. D+ A+ B+ F D 23% 33% 44% F F+ B- F D+ C+ F A+ D- D A+ B B- A+ 44% 20% 36% F A F F F D+ F F+ F
1.03 75% 47% 22% -1 -3 0.94 37% 0.9 .34 17% .24 85% .20 1.13 35% 33% 31% -13 +1 0.78 34% 1.5 .51 15% .47 81% .38
Jan
5		 East Texas A&M C+ D A+ F+ D+ 40% 15% 44% C D+ A+ F F A A+ B- A+ D A+ D F C+ 41% 9% 50% F+ C C- A+ A- F+ D- F F
1.17 52% 63% 30% -1 +1 1.02 44% 0.4 .20 13% .48 73% .36 1.03 27% 40% 44% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.5 .14 14% .30 83% .25
Jan
10		 Nicholls St. B C C- A+ B- 40% 20% 40% C- B- A+ F A F+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ D F F 35% 10% 56% D F F D F F A- F B-
1.23 63% 38% 44% +8 0 1.18 64% 0.8 .52 24% .50 88% .44 1.44 61% 40% 45% +10 +1 1.25 40% 1.1 .46 11% .22 75% .16
Jan
12		 SE Louisiana B- B- F D- F+ 38% 27% 35% D+ F+ A- A+ A+ F+ A+ B A+ D B+ B A+ A- 27% 36% 38% A A F D+ F F F C+ F
1.14 64% 20% 31% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.5 .60 23% .73 79% .58 1.09 50% 31% 24% -10 -3 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 13% .64 67% .43
Jan
17		 Stephen F. Austin B C A+ C A+ 30% 37% 33% F B+ B A A C- F F F F C- F F F 38% 28% 34% C F+ F+ A+ A F F D+ F
1.16 56% 60% 33% +7 -3 1.11 34% 1.3 .44 18% .20 55% .11 1.23 58% 50% 41% +7 -1 1.14 39% 0.6 .22 7% .47 70% .33
Jan
19		 Lamar A- A A+ F A+ 61% 27% 12% B- A A+ F C C- A+ B A+ D+ A- F D D 30% 30% 41% D+ D F A+ B C- D+ D- D
1.24 72% 55% 20% +10 +1 1.24 45% 0.7 .31 18% .69 73% .51 1.06 44% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 41% 0.6 .26 15% .26 75% .20
Jan
24		 McNeese St. D- D B- C C- 49% 13% 38% B+ C F+ A- D+ F A+ C- A+ C- C+ A+ A+ A 63% 8% 29% F B F A D+ C+ F F F
0.91 53% 40% 33% -3 +2 1.00 27% 1.3 .33 33% .54 72% .39 1.18 56% 25% 20% -8 +3 0.92 48% 0.8 .38 14% .50 83% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Nicholls St. C D- F B+ F+ 50% 23% 27% C F+ A- B A F+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C+ C A 32% 11% 57% D+ A B D+ C+ B+ B- A+ B+
1.09 54% 27% 38% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .52 25% .47 81% .38 0.85 29% 33% 33% -10 +1 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 19% .25 53% .14
Jan
31		 Northwestern St. C- F B C+ D- 43% 25% 32% D+ D- B+ A A+ D+ A+ B- A+ B- B+ F A- C- 40% 26% 34% D+ C- C+ A+ A- C- A+ D A+
1.11 47% 45% 36% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.4 .55 19% .49 74% .37 0.95 48% 57% 28% -2 -1 0.96 23% 0.8 .17 16% .16 78% .12
Feb
2		 East Texas A&M B+ B- C- A+ A+ 51% 27% 22% D A+ D+ F F C A+ A A+ D B+ F B- D+ 39% 16% 45% D+ D+ A- F D- F+ F F F
1.20 62% 36% 73% +14 0 1.29 29% 0.1 .03 17% .55 78% .43 1.09 50% 63% 30% -2 +1 1.00 18% 1.7 .29 14% .55 76% .42
Feb
7		 UT Rio Grande Valley D A- D F D+ 40% 31% 29% D D F+ A+ A D A+ B+ A+ F C B- F+ D+ 35% 13% 52% D+ D F F F B- F F F
1.02 68% 33% 21% -3 -1 0.94 24% 1.6 .39 19% .48 76% .36 1.27 59% 33% 40% +4 +1 1.13 47% 1.3 .61 19% .46 86% .40
Feb
9		 TX A&M Corpus Christi D- D+ C- F D- 56% 24% 20% C+ D D C D F A+ B- A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A 47% 19% 34% D+ B+ C- C+ C A- F D F
0.96 56% 36% 22% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .23 25% .86 75% .65 0.90 64% 10% 17% -11 +1 0.81 30% 0.9 .28 22% .54 70% .38
Feb
14		 Houston Christian F D- C- F F 54% 29% 17% D+ F B- D C B- C+ F D B D+ F A+ C+ 33% 26% 41% B+ B- C+ F D- B- C D+ C-
0.97 54% 36% 13% -8 0 0.85 36% 1.0 .36 16% .31 56% .17 0.98 60% 50% 21% -4 -1 0.91 27% 1.2 .33 19% .28 71% .20
Feb
16		 Incarnate Word B- F A F F 35% 26% 39% F+ F B- A- B+ A A+ D+ A+ B+ B- C B- B- 38% 17% 46% D- C+ D A+ A- B- F B- F
1.21 44% 50% 28% -6 -1 0.89 36% 1.3 .46 11% .59 71% .42 0.99 50% 38% 32% -5 0 0.94 35% 0.6 .22 17% .47 68% .32
Feb
21		 Lamar C+ A F C+ C- 37% 26% 37% D+ C- A F+ B- F A+ A A+ B- D- B- B+ C+ 25% 27% 47% D+ C F A+ B B F A+ F
1.10 71% 17% 35% 0 -1 1.00 42% 0.9 .36 23% .50 78% .39 1.01 62% 36% 29% -3 -2 0.92 41% 0.7 .27 19% .42 58% .25
Feb
23		 Stephen F. Austin B+ B A+ F B+ 52% 20% 27% B- B+ A+ F B- F A+ A+ A+ B- A A A+ A+ 55% 26% 19% F+ A+ F D+ F F F F F
1.13 61% 67% 25% +4 +1 1.11 43% 0.8 .36 22% .45 88% .40 1.08 45% 29% 20% -14 0 0.75 42% 1.1 .44 7% .38 83% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 16.0 23.6 39.7 3rd
4th 5.2 45.5 50.7 4th
5th 8.5 8.5 5th
6th 1.2 1.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 14.9 61.5 23.6 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8 23.6% 4.8% 4.8% 13.6 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 22.5
13-9 61.5% 2.7% 2.7% 14.7 0.1 0.5 1.2 59.8
12-10 14.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.7
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 14.3 96.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 13.6 0.9 40.2 53.6 5.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.6%
Lose Out 5.7%