New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.2 #235
Expected Predictive Rating -2.9 #217
Pace 72.2 #91
Improvement -1.8 #264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #123 C B+ D B+ D+
Defense #335 C D+ F D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #181 1.11 #246 -1.2 #224
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #89 0.78 #137 +2.1 #80
Three Pointers 37% #273 1.06 #116 -1.4 #226
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #187 -0.4 #187
Freethrows 19.8 #79 76% #55 15.1 #50
Second Chance 36.5% #36 1.06 #154 0.39 #60
Turnovers 18.2% #292
Total Offense +1.6 #123

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #190 1.06 #70 +1.8 #120
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #221 0.90 #348 -0.8 #246
Three Pointers 43% #135 1.02 #195 -0.9 #219
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #178 +0.1 #180
Freethrows 20.6 #320 73% #218 15.0 #318
Second Chance 36.0% #340 1.01 #125 0.36 #286
Turnovers 13.5% #335
Total Defense -5.7 #335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #266 0.4% #199
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.3% #172 -0.7% #174
Possession Length 17.3 #170 16.3 #34
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #216 0.19 #233
Improvement +2.0 #76 -3.8 #345

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 2.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.1 15.4
.500 or above 4.6% 14.8% 3.4%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 69.9% 38.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.4% 2.5%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 20 - 41 - 8
Quad 33 - 54 - 13
Quad 49 - 713 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 45 @TCU W 78 - 74 5% +12  1 - 0 +18 +9 A- A+ F +9 A+ D D-
 Mon, Nov 10 43 @LSU L 58 - 93 5% -17  1 - 1 -20 -11 F C A- -8 C+ B F
 Fri, Nov 14 173 @Tulane W 85 - 63 28% +11  2 - 1 +24 +19 A+ A+ F +7 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 278 @Pepperdine L 79 - 90 48% -6  2 - 2 -15 +3 C B- F -17 F B- F
 Fri, Nov 21 143 @Fresno St. L 76 - 85 22% -4  2 - 3 -5 +1 D+ B F -5 B- F C
 Mon, Nov 24 77 @Mississippi St. L 78 - 81 OT 9% +4  2 - 4 +8 +4 C C+ F +4 A F A
 Wed, Nov 26 15 @Texas Tech L 50 - 82 2% -12  2 - 5 -11 -14 F C+ F +3 A+ F B+
 Wed, Dec 3 92 @Memphis L 70 - 86 12% -16  2 - 6 -7 +5 C+ F B -12 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 296 Houston Christian L 76 - 85 74% -4  2 - 7 0 - 1 -20 +0 D+ F A- -21 D+ F F
 Mon, Dec 8 223 Incarnate Word W 84 - 83 59% +8  3 - 7 1 - 1 -6 +10 A+ D- F -15 F F B
 Sat, Dec 13 4 @Houston L 57 - 99 1% -25  3 - 8 -17 -1 D- A+ F -18 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 218 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 85 - 69 36% +8  4 - 8 2 - 1 +16 +14 C A+ B+ +2 D+ A A+
 Wed, Dec 31 187 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69 - 83 30% -6  4 - 9 2 - 2 -13 +2 D+ C F -15 B F F
 Sat, Jan 3 276 @Northwestern St. L 68 - 74 48% +5  4 - 10 2 - 3 -10 -4 F D C -5 A+ F D-
 Mon, Jan 5 305 East Texas A&M W 83 - 73 75% +8  5 - 10 3 - 3 -1 +6 D+ F A+ -8 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 231 Nicholls St. L 77 - 90 61% -7  5 - 11 3 - 4 -20 +9 C A+ D- -31 F F F
 Mon, Jan 12 270 @SE Louisiana W 79 - 76 46% +1  6 - 11 4 - 4 -0 +8 D- A+ F -8 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 106 Stephen F. Austin L 79 - 84 29% -1  6 - 12 4 - 5 -4 +11 A+ A+ D -15 F A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 212 Lamar W 89 - 76 58% +4  7 - 12 5 - 5 +7 +13 A+ C C -7 D- A- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 87 @McNeese St. L 72 - 86 10%
 Mon, Jan 26 231 @Nicholls St. L 80 - 83 38%
 Sat, Jan 31 276 Northwestern St. W 81 - 76 69%
 Mon, Feb 2 305 @East Texas A&M W 79 - 78 55%
 Sat, Feb 7 218 UT Rio Grande Valley W 79 - 77 59%
 Mon, Feb 9 187 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 75 - 74 52%
 Sat, Feb 14 296 @Houston Christian W 78 - 77 53%
 Mon, Feb 16 223 @Incarnate Word L 75 - 79 37%
 Sat, Feb 21 212 @Lamar L 72 - 76 36%
 Mon, Feb 23 106 @Stephen F. Austin L 70 - 82 14%
 Sat, Feb 28 87 McNeese St. L 75 - 83 23%
 Mon, Mar 2 270 SE Louisiana W 77 - 72 68%
Totals 12 - 19 10 - 12 -4 +2 C B+ D -6 C D+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 5.6 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.0 8.2 4.4 0.6 16.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 9.0 5.9 0.8 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.5 6.3 7.5 1.2 15.4 7th
8th 0.2 3.6 7.7 1.9 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 5.2 2.2 0.1 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 1.8 0.2 4.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 12th
Total 0.2 1.6 5.4 11.4 18.1 21.7 18.6 12.5 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-6 7.7% 0.0    0.0
15-7 3.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5 0.0% 0.0
16-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-7 0.6% 5.3% 5.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.5
14-8 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
13-9 7.2% 3.5% 3.5% 14.8 0.1 0.2 7.0
12-10 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.1 0.2 0.0 12.3
11-11 18.6% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.1 0.1 18.4
10-12 21.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 21.5
9-13 18.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 18.0
8-14 11.4% 11.4
7-15 5.4% 5.4
6-16 1.6% 1.6
5-17 0.2% 0.2
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.2 98.9 0.0%