New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#285
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#308
Pace78.1#24
Improvement+1.0#93

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot+0.3#172
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#258
Layup/Dunks+6.6#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#342
Freethrows-1.0#243
Improvement+0.5#121

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#326
First Shot-4.3#304
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#259
Layups/Dunks-4.5#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#283
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement+0.5#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.0% 25.8% 19.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 43.9% 64.9% 38.1%
.500 or above in Conference 86.0% 91.9% 84.4%
Conference Champion 24.6% 29.0% 23.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.2% 2.5%
First Four18.4% 20.9% 17.7%
First Round11.5% 15.2% 10.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 21.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 21 - 8
Quad 413 - 713 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 69   @ Mississippi L 61-82 7%     0 - 1 -10.8 -6.6 -3.3
  Nov 16, 2021 47   @ Northwestern L 67-83 5%     0 - 2 -3.4 +1.4 -5.1
  Nov 19, 2021 184   Rice L 78-83 41%     0 - 3 -9.1 -1.7 -7.3
  Nov 24, 2021 340   Central Arkansas W 90-63 82%     1 - 3 +11.0 -0.9 +9.1
  Nov 25, 2021 293   Presbyterian L 66-68 64%     1 - 4 -12.3 -10.6 -1.6
  Nov 26, 2021 261   VMI W 79-71 58%     2 - 4 -0.5 +2.3 -2.5
  Nov 30, 2021 80   @ Texas A&M L 65-85 7%     2 - 5 -10.2 -4.0 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2021 186   @ Louisiana L 77-85 22%    
  Dec 11, 2021 46   @ Utah St. L 68-87 4%    
  Dec 21, 2021 168   @ Tulane L 70-79 20%    
  Dec 28, 2021 25   @ Ohio St. L 66-89 2%    
  Jan 06, 2022 328   McNeese St. W 84-80 64%    
  Jan 15, 2022 233   Nicholls St. W 80-79 50%    
  Jan 20, 2022 327   SE Louisiana W 81-74 73%    
  Jan 22, 2022 344   Northwestern St. W 87-77 82%    
  Jan 27, 2022 353   @ Houston Baptist W 83-77 71%    
  Jan 29, 2022 328   @ McNeese St. W 82-81 52%    
  Feb 03, 2022 318   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 350   @ Incarnate Word W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 10, 2022 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 80-75 69%    
  Feb 12, 2022 350   Incarnate Word W 82-71 84%    
  Feb 19, 2022 328   McNeese St. W 85-78 73%    
  Feb 24, 2022 327   @ SE Louisiana W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 26, 2022 344   @ Northwestern St. W 84-80 64%    
  Mar 02, 2022 353   Houston Baptist W 86-74 85%    
  Mar 05, 2022 233   @ Nicholls St. L 76-82 31%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.6 3.8 7.9 7.5 4.2 0.7 24.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 6.7 10.3 5.3 1.0 0.0 24.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 7.1 7.8 2.9 0.2 19.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.2 5.6 1.7 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.7 0.6 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.6 0.4 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.3 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.8 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.7 7.5 10.8 14.5 16.8 17.1 13.4 8.5 4.2 0.7 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 99.5% 4.2    4.1 0.2
12-2 88.0% 7.5    5.6 1.8 0.0
11-3 58.7% 7.9    4.1 3.2 0.5
10-4 22.1% 3.8    0.9 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
9-5 3.3% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 24.6% 24.6 15.5 7.3 1.4 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 52.9% 52.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3
13-1 4.2% 51.8% 51.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.0
12-2 8.5% 42.1% 42.1% 16.0 0.1 3.4 4.9
11-3 13.4% 36.2% 36.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9 8.6
10-4 17.1% 24.3% 24.3% 16.0 0.0 4.1 12.9
9-5 16.8% 17.8% 17.8% 16.0 3.0 13.8
8-6 14.5% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.8 12.7
7-7 10.8% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.7 10.1
6-8 7.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.3 7.1
5-9 3.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 3.6
4-10 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-11 0.7% 0.7
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 21.0% 21.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 20.6 79.0 0.0%