Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#264
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#330
Pace69.9#175
Improvement+0.6#127

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#285
First Shot-1.9#228
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#308
Layup/Dunks-1.3#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#136
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement+2.3#28

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#211
First Shot-3.5#297
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#69
Layups/Dunks+0.2#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#77
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#320
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement-1.7#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.3% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 5.1% 8.6% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 32.6% 45.2% 23.2%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 8.1% 19.5%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round1.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 17 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -5.9 -11.9 +6.0
  Fri, Nov 7 326 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 53%     0 - 2 -14.4 -16.3 +1.9
  Wed, Nov 12 209 @Valparaiso L 63-68 29%     0 - 3 -5.0 -0.8 -4.8
  Sat, Nov 15 110 @Murray St. L 79-99 12%     0 - 4 -13.2 +1.9 -13.6
  Sat, Nov 22 50 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 4%     0 - 5 +0.0 +2.9 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 169 @Tulane L 72-82 23%     0 - 6 -7.9 -2.0 -6.1
  Tue, Dec 2 49 @Creighton L 76-96 4%     0 - 7 -5.9 +10.6 -17.0
  Sat, Dec 6 168 Incarnate Word L 70-72 43%    
  Wed, Dec 17 283 Houston Christian W 72-68 64%    
  Sun, Dec 21 142 @Pacific L 65-75 18%    
  Mon, Dec 29 238 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-72 35%    
  Wed, Dec 31 202 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 308 East Texas A&M W 72-67 68%    
  Mon, Jan 5 286 Northwestern St. W 72-68 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 212 @New Orleans L 71-77 31%    
  Mon, Jan 12 85 @McNeese St. L 62-77 8%    
  Sat, Jan 17 196 Lamar L 66-67 49%    
  Mon, Jan 19 146 Stephen F. Austin L 69-72 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 243 @SE Louisiana L 66-70 35%    
  Mon, Jan 26 212 New Orleans W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 308 @East Texas A&M L 69-70 47%    
  Mon, Feb 2 286 @Northwestern St. L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 238 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-69 56%    
  Mon, Feb 9 202 UT Rio Grande Valley L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 168 @Incarnate Word L 67-75 25%    
  Mon, Feb 16 283 @Houston Christian L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 146 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-75 21%    
  Mon, Feb 23 196 @Lamar L 64-70 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 243 SE Louisiana W 69-67 57%    
  Mon, Mar 2 85 McNeese St. L 65-74 21%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 9 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.9 2.7 0.3 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.1 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 11.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.6 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 9.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.0 6.2 8.5 10.5 11.6 11.8 11.4 9.9 7.8 5.9 4.0 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 93.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 72.6% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 49.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
16-6 20.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 6.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 35.5% 35.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.3% 16.8% 16.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-5 0.7% 16.2% 16.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-6 1.4% 12.4% 12.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-7 2.4% 9.8% 9.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
14-8 4.0% 5.7% 5.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 3.8
13-9 5.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.7
12-10 7.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.7
11-11 9.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.8
10-12 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
9-13 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.8
8-14 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.6
7-15 10.5% 10.5
6-16 8.5% 8.5
5-17 6.2% 6.2
4-18 4.0% 4.0
3-19 2.2% 2.2
2-20 1.0% 1.0
1-21 0.3% 0.3
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 98.6 0.0%