SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#273
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#299
Pace67.5#235
Improvement+0.2#173

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#323
First Shot-2.4#246
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#346
Layup/Dunks-2.1#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#340
Freethrows+3.8#21
Improvement+0.6#130

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#171
First Shot+0.1#166
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#210
Layups/Dunks+2.3#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#70
Freethrows-3.9#348
Improvement-0.4#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.3
.500 or above 8.1% 13.9% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 24.1% 36.8% 16.3%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 12.0% 29.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 1.6% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 48 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 57 @Mississippi L 58-88 5%     0 - 1 -17.0 -5.2 -13.4
  Fri, Nov 7 320 @Louisiana L 52-58 51%     0 - 2 -12.0 -10.6 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 10 134 @Georgia Tech L 60-70 16%     0 - 3 -5.3 -12.0 +7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 82 @Mississippi St. L 68-75 8%     0 - 4 +3.0 -3.5 +6.8
  Wed, Nov 26 107 @UNC Wilmington L 57-70 12%     0 - 5 -6.1 -6.9 -0.8
  Fri, Nov 28 356 Gardner-Webb W 76-68 79%     1 - 5 -6.3 -5.6 -0.8
  Sat, Nov 29 204 Navy W 69-65 39%     2 - 5 +1.1 +1.9 -0.5
  Sun, Dec 7 285 Northwestern St. L 68-76 65%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -17.7 -7.5 -10.7
  Sat, Dec 13 263 @Houston Christian L 67-70 38%    
  Mon, Dec 15 290 East Texas A&M W 70-66 65%    
  Fri, Dec 19 38 @LSU L 61-82 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 188 @Incarnate Word L 66-73 26%    
  Sat, Jan 3 139 Stephen F. Austin L 66-70 35%    
  Mon, Jan 5 220 Lamar W 64-63 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 81 @McNeese St. L 59-75 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 241 New Orleans W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 208 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-70 30%    
  Mon, Jan 19 206 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 254 Nicholls St. W 70-68 59%    
  Mon, Jan 26 81 McNeese St. L 62-72 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-73 18%    
  Mon, Feb 2 220 @Lamar L 61-66 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 263 Houston Christian W 70-67 59%    
  Mon, Feb 9 188 Incarnate Word L 69-70 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 285 @Northwestern St. L 68-70 43%    
  Mon, Feb 16 290 @East Texas A&M L 67-69 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 206 UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-69 51%    
  Mon, Feb 23 208 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-66 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 254 @Nicholls St. L 67-71 38%    
  Mon, Mar 2 241 @New Orleans L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 8 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 3.3 0.9 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.3 1.3 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.1 2.2 0.2 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.5 5.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.5 5.2 3.5 0.8 0.0 14.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.0 3.7 2.3 0.5 0.0 15.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.3 7.8 10.4 11.8 12.7 12.2 10.8 8.6 6.4 4.1 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-4 67.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-5 47.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-6 23.5% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-7 7.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.1% 21.6% 21.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.3% 19.3% 19.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-6 0.6% 11.2% 11.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-7 1.4% 10.8% 10.8% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
14-8 2.5% 7.4% 7.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.3
13-9 4.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.9
12-10 6.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.3
11-11 8.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.4
10-12 10.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.7
9-13 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
8-14 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
7-15 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-16 10.4% 10.4
5-17 7.8% 7.8
4-18 5.3% 5.3
3-19 3.0% 3.0
2-20 1.3% 1.3
1-21 0.5% 0.5
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%