IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
East Texas A&M
Southland
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.3	#333
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.1	#209
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.7	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#293

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	2.0%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	14.0	14.8

.500 or above	8.3%	28.1%	7.8%
.500 or above in Conference	15.7%	34.1%	15.2%
Conference Champion	0.4%	1.4%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	33.6%	18.1%	34.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
First Round	0.6%	2.0%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 10	9 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	79	@ New Mexico	L	63-83	3%
Nov 10, 2025	134	@ Hawaii	L	59-74	8%
Nov 14, 2025	165	@ Rice	L	61-74	13%
Nov 24, 2025	354	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	70-71	49%
Nov 25, 2025	353	Army	W	70-68	58%
Dec 05, 2025	4	@ Connecticut	L	49-84	0.1%
Dec 07, 2025	358	Central Arkansas	W	72-65	74%
Dec 12, 2025	96	@ McNeese St.	L	57-76	5%
Dec 15, 2025	243	@ SE Louisiana	L	64-73	22%
Dec 21, 2025	35	@ Texas A&M	L	55-82	1%
Dec 29, 2025	212	Stephen F. Austin	L	64-68	35%
Dec 31, 2025	218	Lamar	L	63-67	37%
Jan 03, 2026	233	@ Nicholls St.	L	64-73	22%
Jan 05, 2026	312	@ New Orleans	L	70-75	34%
Jan 10, 2026	270	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	72-73	45%
Jan 12, 2026	221	TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	66-70	37%
Jan 17, 2026	289	@ Houston Christian	L	63-69	30%
Jan 19, 2026	209	@ Incarnate Word	L	62-72	19%
Jan 24, 2026	255	@ Northwestern St.	L	61-69	25%
Jan 26, 2026	218	@ Lamar	L	60-70	21%
Jan 31, 2026	233	Nicholls St.	L	67-70	40%
Feb 02, 2026	312	New Orleans	W	73-72	54%
Feb 07, 2026	255	Northwestern St.	L	64-66	43%
Feb 09, 2026	212	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	61-71	20%
Feb 14, 2026	96	McNeese St.	L	60-73	15%
Feb 16, 2026	243	SE Louisiana	L	67-70	41%
Feb 21, 2026	209	Incarnate Word	L	65-69	36%
Feb 23, 2026	289	Houston Christian	L	65-66	50%
Feb 28, 2026	270	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	69-76	27%
Mar 02, 2026	221	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	63-73	22%
Projected Record						9 - 21	7 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-22	1-21	2-20	3-19	4-18	5-17	6-16	7-15	8-14	9-13	10-12	11-11	12-10	13-9	14-8	15-7	16-6	17-5	18-4	19-3	20-2	21-1	22-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					1.4	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0							2.4	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0								3.1	4th
5th										0.0	0.4	1.3	1.4	0.7	0.1	0.0									4.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.4	1.7	2.2	0.8	0.1	0.0										5.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.6	2.3	2.6	1.2	0.1												6.8	7th
8th							0.1	0.9	2.7	3.4	1.4	0.2	0.0												8.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.2	3.5	3.9	1.6	0.2	0.0													10.5	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	2.4	4.6	4.4	1.7	0.3	0.0														13.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.4	1.8	4.1	5.5	4.2	1.6	0.3	0.0															17.9	11th
12th	1.2	3.2	5.6	6.4	5.3	2.8	0.9	0.1	0.0																25.6	12th

Total	1.2	3.2	6.0	8.3	9.8	10.9	10.9	10.5	9.2	7.9	6.3	5.2	3.5	2.8	1.8	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
22-0
21-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
20-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-3	73.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-4	60.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-5	31.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-6	14.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-7	2.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-8	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0
13-9	0.0%
12-10	0.0%
11-11	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1	0.0%		97.7%	97.7%		13.0												0.0		0.0				0.0
20-2	0.0%		50.0%	50.0%		12.0													0.0	0.0				0.0
19-3	0.1%		40.3%	40.3%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
18-4	0.2%		25.0%	25.0%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-5	0.3%		23.5%	23.5%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
16-6	0.7%		16.3%	16.3%		14.3														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5
15-7	1.2%		8.7%	8.7%		16.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.1
14-8	1.8%		3.9%	3.9%		18.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.7
13-9	2.8%		2.6%	2.6%		17.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	2.7
12-10	3.5%		1.3%	1.3%		17.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.4
11-11	5.2%		0.9%	0.9%		17.1																0.0	0.0	5.1
10-12	6.3%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	6.3
9-13	7.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.9
8-14	9.2%																							9.2
7-15	10.5%																							10.5
6-16	10.9%																							10.9
5-17	10.9%																							10.9
4-18	9.8%																							9.8
3-19	8.3%																							8.3
2-20	6.0%																							6.0
1-21	3.2%																							3.2
0-22	1.2%																							1.2

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%