Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#44
Expected Predictive Rating+17.9#17
Pace82.7#7
Improvement-2.5#323

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#43
First Shot+5.0#56
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#57
Layup/Dunks+7.6#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#314
Freethrows+2.2#65
Improvement+1.0#102

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#19
Layups/Dunks-0.1#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#197
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#258
Freethrows+2.7#39
Improvement-3.4#356
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.8% 5.6% 1.8%
Top 6 Seed 15.0% 19.9% 9.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 57.8% 66.1% 48.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.5% 65.7% 47.9%
Average Seed 8.0 7.8 8.4
.500 or above 96.8% 99.0% 94.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 48.5% 37.4%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.8% 6.0%
First Four9.0% 9.2% 8.8%
First Round53.0% 61.0% 43.6%
Second Round27.6% 33.2% 21.1%
Sweet Sixteen7.7% 9.7% 5.4%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.0% 1.6%
Final Four0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Neutral) - 53.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 11
Quad 34 - 014 - 11
Quad 47 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 301 Oral Roberts W 95-71 97%     1 - 0 +13.3 -1.8 +10.8
  Sun, Nov 9 39 Texas A&M W 87-63 58%     2 - 0 +33.0 +14.0 +18.1
  Wed, Nov 12 322 Prairie View W 94-67 97%     3 - 0 +14.9 +5.5 +6.2
  Sun, Nov 16 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85-69 94%     4 - 0 +9.7 +3.3 +4.8
  Wed, Nov 19 79 South Florida W 103-95 74%     5 - 0 +12.3 +17.4 -6.2
  Sat, Nov 22 254 Nicholls St. W 95-81 95%     6 - 0 +5.8 +6.2 -2.4
  Thu, Nov 27 61 Northwestern W 86-81 58%     7 - 0 +14.0 +12.0 +1.8
  Tue, Dec 2 126 Sam Houston St. W 93-83 86%     8 - 0 +9.3 +8.2 +0.0
  Sat, Dec 6 99 Grand Canyon W 84-78 72%     9 - 0 +11.2 +15.5 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 13 53 Oklahoma W 86-85 54%    
  Thu, Dec 18 346 UMKC W 94-68 99%    
  Sun, Dec 21 303 Cal St. Fullerton W 102-80 98%    
  Mon, Dec 29 220 Bethune-Cookman W 90-72 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 29 @Texas Tech L 79-85 31%    
  Tue, Jan 6 62 Central Florida W 91-86 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 2 @Iowa St. L 76-91 9%    
  Tue, Jan 13 34 Baylor W 87-86 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 82 Kansas St. W 93-86 75%    
  Tue, Jan 20 47 @TCU L 79-82 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 2 Iowa St. L 79-88 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 114 @Utah W 87-82 66%    
  Wed, Feb 4 9 BYU L 81-86 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 5 @Arizona L 80-93 13%    
  Tue, Feb 10 66 @Arizona St. L 84-85 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 47 TCU W 82-79 61%    
  Wed, Feb 18 18 Kansas L 79-81 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 63 @Colorado L 85-86 48%    
  Tue, Feb 24 71 West Virginia W 79-73 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 68 @Cincinnati L 80-81 49%    
  Tue, Mar 3 62 @Central Florida L 88-89 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 8 Houston L 72-78 31%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.2 4th
5th 0.3 2.1 3.6 1.5 0.1 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.4 4.1 4.6 1.0 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 5.6 1.9 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 5.0 3.2 0.3 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.2 3.1 4.4 0.7 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 4.5 1.6 0.1 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.4 0.2 6.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 5.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 5.0 7.8 11.3 13.8 14.9 13.5 11.3 8.5 5.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 81.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 55.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 8.1% 91.9% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.9% 99.9% 4.5% 95.3% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 5.3% 99.9% 2.6% 97.4% 5.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 8.5% 99.0% 2.0% 97.1% 6.7 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.3 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.0%
10-8 11.3% 96.6% 1.2% 95.4% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.8 3.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.4 96.5%
9-9 13.5% 89.0% 0.7% 88.4% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.8 3.8 2.6 0.8 0.0 1.5 89.0%
8-10 14.9% 66.4% 0.3% 66.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.7 2.8 0.1 5.0 66.2%
7-11 13.8% 35.8% 0.1% 35.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 0.2 8.9 35.7%
6-12 11.3% 12.4% 0.1% 12.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.1 9.9 12.4%
5-13 7.8% 2.3% 0.0% 2.3% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.6 2.3%
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 57.8% 0.9% 57.0% 8.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.5 6.6 8.1 8.6 9.1 8.7 8.0 0.4 42.2 57.5%