Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#54
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#27
Pace81.6#8
Improvement-4.0#353

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#52
First Shot+5.8#44
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#124
Layup/Dunks+8.2#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#302
Freethrows+1.8#85
Improvement-0.6#235

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#75
First Shot-0.6#192
After Offensive Rebounds+4.1#5
Layups/Dunks+1.3#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#322
Freethrows+1.9#78
Improvement-3.4#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 6.5% 6.7% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.4% 44.1% 25.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43.2% 43.9% 25.9%
Average Seed 8.6 8.6 9.3
.500 or above 93.2% 93.7% 80.5%
.500 or above in Conference 31.8% 32.3% 19.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 6.7% 11.3%
First Four9.4% 9.5% 7.4%
First Round38.2% 38.8% 21.6%
Second Round17.7% 18.1% 8.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.2% 4.3% 1.8%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 26 - 39 - 12
Quad 34 - 013 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 299 Oral Roberts W 95-71 96%     1 - 0 +13.7 -0.9 +10.3
  Sun, Nov 9 44 Texas A&M W 87-63 57%     2 - 0 +32.2 +13.9 +17.4
  Wed, Nov 12 326 Prairie View W 94-67 97%     3 - 0 +14.1 +4.8 +6.2
  Sun, Nov 16 218 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85-69 93%     4 - 0 +9.5 +3.1 +4.7
  Wed, Nov 19 85 South Florida W 103-95 73%     5 - 0 +11.6 +16.3 -5.8
  Sat, Nov 22 231 Nicholls St. W 95-81 94%     6 - 0 +6.8 +7.0 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 27 59 Northwestern W 86-81 53%     7 - 0 +14.2 +11.9 +2.1
  Tue, Dec 2 118 Sam Houston St. W 93-83 82%     8 - 0 +10.2 +8.8 +0.3
  Sat, Dec 6 91 Grand Canyon W 84-78 66%     9 - 0 +11.7 +15.7 -3.9
  Sat, Dec 13 47 Oklahoma L 76-85 46%     9 - 1 +2.0 +3.6 -1.3
  Thu, Dec 18 342 UMKC W 91-79 98%     10 - 1 -2.5 +5.5 -9.1
  Sun, Dec 21 270 Cal St. Fullerton W 99-80 96%    
  Mon, Dec 29 260 Bethune-Cookman W 90-71 96%    
  Sat, Jan 3 27 @Texas Tech L 79-87 24%    
  Tue, Jan 6 56 Central Florida W 88-85 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 4 @Iowa St. L 75-90 8%    
  Tue, Jan 13 31 Baylor L 87-88 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 67 Kansas St. W 91-86 67%    
  Tue, Jan 20 55 @TCU L 77-80 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 4 Iowa St. L 78-87 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 121 @Utah W 86-82 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 9 BYU L 79-86 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 3 @Arizona L 78-94 8%    
  Tue, Feb 10 63 @Arizona St. L 83-85 44%    
  Sat, Feb 14 55 TCU W 80-77 61%    
  Wed, Feb 18 18 Kansas L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 66 @Colorado L 85-87 44%    
  Tue, Feb 24 68 West Virginia W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 69 @Cincinnati L 78-79 47%    
  Tue, Mar 3 56 @Central Florida L 85-88 40%    
  Sat, Mar 7 8 Houston L 71-78 26%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 2.3 0.8 0.1 5.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.4 3.8 4.3 0.7 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 5.6 1.5 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.5 3.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.3 3.9 5.1 0.7 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 5.3 1.8 0.1 9.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 4.5 3.0 0.2 0.0 8.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.5 0.6 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.0 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.2 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.9 7.1 11.1 14.0 15.3 14.6 11.9 8.9 5.7 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 45.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 16.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 7.5% 92.5% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 4.9% 95.1% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.6% 100.0% 3.3% 96.7% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 3.0% 99.6% 3.2% 96.3% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
11-7 5.7% 98.7% 1.0% 97.7% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
10-8 8.9% 94.7% 0.6% 94.1% 8.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.6 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.5 94.7%
9-9 11.9% 84.4% 0.4% 84.0% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.0 3.1 1.0 1.9 84.3%
8-10 14.6% 58.3% 0.2% 58.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.2 3.2 0.1 6.1 58.2%
7-11 15.3% 28.2% 0.2% 28.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.0 0.2 11.0 28.1%
6-12 14.0% 7.5% 0.0% 7.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 12.9 7.4%
5-13 11.1% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.0 1.0%
4-14 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 7.1 0.0%
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 43.4% 0.4% 43.0% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.5 5.0 7.2 7.7 8.4 8.2 0.3 56.6 43.2%