Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#286
Pace64.9#301
Improvement-1.9#298

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#307
First Shot-6.1#344
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#111
Layup/Dunks-6.3#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#298
Freethrows-3.8#351
Improvement+0.5#134

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#171
First Shot+0.3#156
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#225
Layups/Dunks+2.2#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#219
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement-2.4#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.5% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 16.0% 25.0% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 22.6% 33.8% 14.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 12.5% 30.1%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Away) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 10
Quad 49 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 55 @TCU L 65-78 6%     0 - 1 -0.1 +6.5 -7.7
  Mon, Nov 17 359 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 74%     1 - 1 +1.1 -2.4 +3.1
  Sun, Nov 23 208 @Montana W 68-63 31%     2 - 1 +4.8 -8.3 +12.9
  Mon, Nov 24 135 Oakland L 68-83 25%     2 - 2 -13.4 -8.7 -4.5
  Wed, Dec 3 315 Louisiana W 65-55 74%     3 - 2 -2.0 -0.6 +0.1
  Sat, Dec 6 216 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49-57 55%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -14.6 -16.0 +0.1
  Wed, Dec 10 56 @San Diego St. L 71-89 6%     3 - 4 -5.2 -0.9 -2.8
  Tue, Dec 16 191 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-83 49%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -16.1 -2.3 -13.8
  Sat, Dec 20 224 Nebraska Omaha L 82-85 OT 56%     3 - 6 -9.8 +0.2 -9.9
  Mon, Dec 29 275 @Northwestern St. L 67-69 42%    
  Wed, Dec 31 299 @East Texas A&M L 68-69 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 70 @McNeese St. L 59-75 7%    
  Mon, Jan 5 265 @SE Louisiana L 64-67 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 176 Incarnate Word L 68-69 46%    
  Mon, Jan 12 282 Houston Christian W 69-65 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 228 @Nicholls St. L 66-70 35%    
  Mon, Jan 19 244 @New Orleans L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 134 Stephen F. Austin L 65-69 36%    
  Mon, Jan 26 299 East Texas A&M W 71-66 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 70 McNeese St. L 62-72 18%    
  Mon, Feb 2 265 SE Louisiana W 67-64 62%    
  Sat, Feb 7 134 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-72 18%    
  Mon, Feb 9 275 Northwestern St. W 70-66 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 216 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-68 34%    
  Mon, Feb 16 191 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-73 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 244 New Orleans W 73-71 59%    
  Mon, Feb 23 228 Nicholls St. W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 176 @Incarnate Word L 65-72 27%    
  Mon, Mar 2 282 @Houston Christian L 66-68 43%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.4 0.9 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.2 1.9 0.1 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.6 2.6 0.3 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.6 5.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.2 4.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 13.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 3.9 4.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 14.8 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.0 7.9 10.1 12.6 13.2 12.9 11.6 8.7 6.2 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
18-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-5 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-6 23.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3 0.0% 0.0
18-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-5 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-6 0.4% 15.7% 15.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-7 1.2% 13.0% 13.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
14-8 2.2% 6.2% 6.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
13-9 3.8% 4.8% 4.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6
12-10 6.2% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.1
11-11 8.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.1 0.1 8.5
10-12 11.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.4
9-13 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.8
8-14 13.2% 13.2
7-15 12.6% 12.6
6-16 10.1% 10.1
5-17 7.9% 7.9
4-18 5.0% 5.0
3-19 2.7% 2.7
2-20 1.1% 1.1
1-21 0.3% 0.3
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 99.0 0.0%