Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#220
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#220
Pace64.4#312
Improvement-1.1#265

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#319
First Shot-7.0#350
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#91
Layup/Dunks-7.3#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#274
Freethrows-4.6#354
Improvement-1.1#281

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#109
First Shot+3.0#85
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#261
Layups/Dunks+2.6#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#162
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+0.0#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.4% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 44.4% 54.4% 29.7%
.500 or above in Conference 46.3% 56.5% 31.4%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.0% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 10.1% 5.7% 16.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.3% 4.3% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 59.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 47 @TCU L 65-78 6%     0 - 1 +1.0 +6.8 -7.0
  Mon, Nov 17 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 77%     1 - 1 +1.7 -1.3 +2.6
  Sun, Nov 23 202 @Montana W 68-63 36%     2 - 1 +5.3 -8.6 +13.7
  Mon, Nov 24 144 Oakland L 68-83 33%     2 - 2 -14.0 -9.9 -3.9
  Wed, Dec 3 320 Louisiana W 65-55 79%     3 - 2 -2.0 -1.7 +1.2
  Sat, Dec 6 208 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49-57 60%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -14.2 -15.9 +0.4
  Wed, Dec 10 55 @San Diego St. L 71-89 7%     3 - 4 -4.8 -1.6 -1.8
  Tue, Dec 16 206 UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-65 59%    
  Sat, Dec 20 237 Nebraska Omaha W 70-66 64%    
  Mon, Dec 29 285 @Northwestern St. W 67-66 51%    
  Wed, Dec 31 290 @East Texas A&M W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 81 @McNeese St. L 57-71 10%    
  Mon, Jan 5 273 @SE Louisiana L 63-64 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 188 Incarnate Word W 67-66 54%    
  Mon, Jan 12 263 Houston Christian W 68-63 67%    
  Sat, Jan 17 254 @Nicholls St. L 66-67 46%    
  Mon, Jan 19 241 @New Orleans L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 139 Stephen F. Austin L 65-67 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 290 East Texas A&M W 69-62 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 81 McNeese St. L 60-68 25%    
  Mon, Feb 2 273 SE Louisiana W 66-61 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 139 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-70 24%    
  Mon, Feb 9 285 Northwestern St. W 69-63 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 208 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-66 39%    
  Mon, Feb 16 206 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-68 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 241 New Orleans W 72-68 64%    
  Mon, Feb 23 254 Nicholls St. W 69-64 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 @Incarnate Word L 64-69 33%    
  Mon, Mar 2 263 @Houston Christian L 65-66 46%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.6 3.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.2 2.7 0.3 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.3 5.8 8.0 9.7 11.4 12.1 11.9 10.7 8.5 6.4 4.3 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
19-3 96.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-4 74.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
17-5 40.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-6 20.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 6.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 33.3% 33.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.5% 35.4% 35.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-5 1.4% 20.9% 20.9% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
16-6 2.5% 18.2% 18.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
15-7 4.3% 14.8% 14.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.6
14-8 6.4% 7.7% 7.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.9
13-9 8.5% 5.4% 5.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 8.0
12-10 10.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.4
11-11 11.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.7
10-12 12.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
9-13 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.4
8-14 9.7% 9.7
7-15 8.0% 8.0
6-16 5.8% 5.8
5-17 3.3% 3.3
4-18 2.0% 2.0
3-19 1.0% 1.0
2-20 0.3% 0.3
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.4 96.7 0.0%