Lamar
Southland
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#330
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#335
Pace66.3#244
Improvement-0.5#341

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#322
First Shot-6.8#345
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#84
Layup/Dunks+3.7#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.7#363
Freethrows-2.9#336
Improvement-0.2#268

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#318
First Shot-4.6#306
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#268
Layups/Dunks-1.1#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#346
Freethrows+1.0#137
Improvement-0.3#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.1% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 11.6% 23.7% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 34.1% 45.5% 30.7%
Conference Champion 2.5% 4.2% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.9% 11.0% 18.7%
First Four1.7% 2.6% 1.5%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 23.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 49 - 129 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 53   @ TCU L 66-77 2%     0 - 1 +1.4 -0.2 +1.9
  Nov 18, 2022 333   Lindenwood W 73-71 52%     1 - 1 -9.8 -6.5 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2022 284   Western Carolina L 91-98 OT 32%     1 - 2 -13.4 +4.7 -17.4
  Nov 20, 2022 354   @ McNeese St. L 57-66 51%     1 - 3 -20.5 -19.4 -1.7
  Nov 27, 2022 155   @ SMU L 50-75 9%     1 - 4 -21.1 -16.2 -6.1
  Dec 01, 2022 167   Texas St. L 61-69 23%    
  Dec 10, 2022 109   @ Southern Miss L 57-75 4%    
  Dec 13, 2022 109   Southern Miss L 60-72 13%    
  Dec 17, 2022 316   @ Louisiana Monroe L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 20, 2022 228   Pacific L 71-76 34%    
  Dec 31, 2022 354   McNeese St. W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 05, 2023 337   @ New Orleans L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 07, 2023 273   @ SE Louisiana L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 12, 2023 249   Nicholls St. L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 14, 2023 261   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 19, 2023 250   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 21, 2023 327   Incarnate Word W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 26, 2023 261   Texas A&M - Commerce L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 28, 2023 282   @ Northwestern St. L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 02, 2023 354   @ McNeese St. W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 04, 2023 282   Northwestern St. L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 09, 2023 327   @ Incarnate Word L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 11, 2023 250   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 16, 2023 340   Houston Christian W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 18, 2023 340   @ Houston Christian L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 23, 2023 273   SE Louisiana L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 25, 2023 337   New Orleans W 77-73 63%    
  Mar 01, 2023 249   @ Nicholls St. L 70-80 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.6 3.5 0.5 15.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.1 5.8 3.3 0.4 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.1 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.3 9th
10th 0.2 1.0 2.2 3.4 2.5 1.1 0.1 10.3 10th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.4 5.1 7.8 10.4 12.5 13.8 12.8 11.0 8.8 6.3 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 93.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1
14-4 63.7% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 37.0% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 10.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 43.5% 43.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
15-3 0.4% 17.3% 17.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-4 1.0% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.2 0.8
13-5 2.3% 13.1% 13.1% 16.0 0.3 2.0
12-6 4.1% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.3 3.8
11-7 6.3% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.4 5.9
10-8 8.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 8.5
9-9 11.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.8
8-10 12.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.7
7-11 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.8
6-12 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-14 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
3-15 5.1% 5.1
2-16 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%