Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#204
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Pace66.3#267
Improvement+2.5#52

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#272
First Shot-5.2#323
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#79
Layup/Dunks-1.8#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#317
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement+2.3#38

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#135
First Shot-2.2#248
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#15
Layups/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#77
Freethrows-6.0#363
Improvement+0.2#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.2% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 38.7% 46.4% 21.2%
.500 or above in Conference 44.6% 53.0% 25.7%
Conference Champion 3.4% 4.3% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 6.1% 18.5%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round5.2% 6.0% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Home) - 69.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 13
Quad 49 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 221 Nebraska Omaha W 73-71 65%     1 - 0 -4.8 -3.9 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 14 132 @Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 23%     1 - 1 -5.2 -0.5 -5.2
  Tue, Nov 18 255 @Texas St. L 49-63 48%     1 - 2 -16.2 -18.1 +0.3
  Mon, Nov 24 287 Texas San Antonio W 61-50 64%     2 - 2 +4.3 -4.8 +10.6
  Tue, Nov 25 118 William & Mary L 58-92 28%     2 - 3 -30.9 -16.7 -12.1
  Tue, Dec 2 262 @Pepperdine W 71-63 49%     3 - 3 +5.4 +8.2 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 127 New Mexico St. W 77-69 42%     4 - 3 +7.2 +12.2 -4.1
  Tue, Dec 16 2 @Arizona L 62-96 1%     4 - 4 -7.7 -0.5 -5.3
  Fri, Dec 19 11 @BYU L 67-85 2%     4 - 5 +4.6 +2.4 +2.6
  Mon, Dec 22 327 @Texas Southern W 75-68 65%     5 - 5 +0.1 +0.3 -0.1
  Thu, Jan 1 251 Utah Tech W 72-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 3 85 Utah Valley L 66-72 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 180 @Tarleton St. L 69-73 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 167 @Texas Arlington L 62-67 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 134 California Baptist L 67-69 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 319 @Southern Utah W 72-68 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 180 @Tarleton St. L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Jan 29 251 Utah Tech W 72-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 319 Southern Utah W 75-65 81%    
  Thu, Feb 5 85 @Utah Valley L 63-75 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 134 @California Baptist L 64-72 25%    
  Thu, Feb 12 167 Texas Arlington W 65-64 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 180 Tarleton St. W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 21 319 Southern Utah W 75-65 80%    
  Thu, Feb 26 251 @Utah Tech L 69-70 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 85 @Utah Valley L 63-75 13%    
  Thu, Mar 5 134 @California Baptist L 64-72 25%    
  Sat, Mar 7 167 Texas Arlington W 65-64 53%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 4.5 6.6 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 7.5 7.7 3.2 0.5 0.0 22.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.3 8.4 5.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 22.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.6 5.3 5.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 16.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.7 7th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.5 8.0 11.4 13.6 14.7 14.2 11.5 8.2 5.7 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 88.7% 0.4    0.4 0.1
14-4 65.5% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 36.3% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1
12-6 10.8% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.5% 20.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 29.8% 29.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.4% 23.4% 23.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.9% 20.3% 20.3% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.3
12-6 5.7% 17.0% 17.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 4.7
11-7 8.2% 10.8% 10.8% 14.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 7.4
10-8 11.5% 7.6% 7.6% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 10.6
9-9 14.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.6
8-10 14.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.6 0.2 0.3 14.3
7-11 13.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.3
6-12 11.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.3
5-13 8.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.9
4-14 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.7 0.8 94.7 0.0%