Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#348
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#330
Pace71.3#117
Improvement+0.9#127

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#354
First Shot-7.1#345
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks-5.0#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+11.3#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-13.4#363
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement+1.3#85

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#323
First Shot-5.6#341
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#130
Layups/Dunks-2.8#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#26
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#346
Freethrows+0.2#179
Improvement-0.4#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.1% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.2% 7.9% 2.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.6% 43.8% 32.7%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.2% 14.4%
First Four2.4% 2.9% 1.9%
First Round1.0% 1.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 108 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 129   @ Virginia Tech L 60-83 7%     0 - 1 -18.3 -10.3 -7.7
  Nov 09, 2024 192   @ Columbia L 62-83 10%     0 - 2 -19.4 -17.0 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2024 79   @ Providence L 48-78 3%     0 - 3 -19.9 -11.6 -13.3
  Nov 23, 2024 254   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-76 17%     0 - 4 -12.1 +0.0 -12.9
  Nov 29, 2024 34   @ Texas L 68-90 1%     0 - 5 -6.4 -0.3 -4.8
  Dec 03, 2024 213   @ Delaware L 80-93 12%     0 - 6 -12.5 -2.5 -8.6
  Dec 07, 2024 335   Loyola Maryland W 69-68 53%    
  Dec 11, 2024 347   NJIT W 70-67 60%    
  Dec 19, 2024 226   Grambling St. L 65-74 21%    
  Dec 20, 2024 285   Alabama St. L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 28, 2024 101   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-82 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 284   @ Howard L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 06, 2025 153   Norfolk St. L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 303   South Carolina St. L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 13, 2025 281   @ NC Central L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 03, 2025 340   Morgan St. W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 284   Howard L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 17, 2025 153   @ Norfolk St. L 63-79 8%    
  Feb 22, 2025 303   South Carolina St. L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 24, 2025 281   NC Central L 71-74 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 73-63 82%    
  Mar 03, 2025 340   @ Morgan St. L 73-77 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-69 67%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.1 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 7.9 4.2 0.4 16.1 4th
5th 0.5 4.8 9.4 4.7 0.4 19.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.2 9.3 4.0 0.3 21.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.9 6.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 16.2 7th
8th 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.1 8th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.5 8.6 13.0 16.4 16.9 15.0 10.9 6.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 86.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
11-3 54.0% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.0
10-4 18.5% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-5 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 27.3% 27.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.5% 23.5% 23.5% 16.0 0.1 0.3
11-3 1.6% 13.7% 13.7% 16.0 0.2 1.4
10-4 3.7% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.4 3.3
9-5 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.4 6.3
8-6 10.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 10.5
7-7 15.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 14.7
6-8 16.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 16.7
5-9 16.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.3
4-10 13.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.9
3-11 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
2-12 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.5
1-13 1.6% 1.6
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%