Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.0 #351
Expected Predictive Rating -14.9 #345
Pace 68.3 #213
Improvement +1.8 #91

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #363 F D+ F D- F
Defense #210 D C+ D A- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #244 0.97 #346 -5.0 #324
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% #5 0.55 #355 +2.4 #71
Three Pointers 28% #362 0.86 #325 -9.0 #362
1st FG Attempt 0.79 #365 -11.6 #365
Freethrows 16.2 #244 69% #291 11.2 #267
Second Chance 24.8% #323 0.71 #365 0.17 #365
Turnovers 19.0% #315
Total Offense -12.0 #363

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #168 1.39 #363 -4.8 #326
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #309 0.64 #51 +2.5 #28
Three Pointers 45% #74 1.00 #176 -1.8 #258
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #302 -4.0 #300
Freethrows 17.0 #177 69% #46 11.7 #135
Second Chance 31.1% #191 1.19 #322 0.37 #295
Turnovers 19.8% #42
Total Defense -1.0 #210

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.4% #359 1.3% #281
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -19.2% #364 6.7% #293
Possession Length 19.3 #348 14.8 #2
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #99 0.17 #178
Improvement -1.8 #298 +3.6 #14

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.5% 5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.4% 6.8% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 39.4% 57.8% 28.7%
Conference Champion 4.1% 8.7% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 18.2% 8.7% 23.8%
First Four6.3% 8.4% 5.1%
First Round2.3% 3.4% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 48 - 129 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 143 @Temple L 65-83 7%     -8.5   0 - 1 -14.0 -5.0 -9.9
  Sat, Nov 8 74 @Syracuse L 43-83 2%     -22.7   0 - 2 -29.5 -24.5 -4.1
  Mon, Nov 10 353 @Niagara L 57-68 39%     -7.7   0 - 3 -21.2 -10.9 -12.2
  Sat, Nov 15 331 @New Haven L 52-65 30%     -7.0   0 - 4 -20.5 -19.0 -2.3
  Sun, Nov 23 37 @Miami (FL) L 41-97 1%     -31.3   0 - 5 -39.8 -23.8 -15.6
  Sat, Nov 29 265 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57-71 17%     -8.0   0 - 6 -17.0 -14.9 -2.8
  Wed, Dec 3 206 Navy L 59-66 24%     -8.7   0 - 7 -12.7 -16.4 +3.8
  Sat, Dec 6 278 Delaware W 75-72 OT 37%     1.1   1 - 7 -6.6 -7.5 +0.6
  Sat, Dec 13 274 @Longwood W 81-76 18%     4.8   2 - 7 +1.6 +10.3 -8.4
  Thu, Dec 18 198 @Saint Joseph's L 51-67 11%     -12.3   2 - 8 -15.4 -17.4 +1.4
  Mon, Dec 29 129 @Rutgers L 50-65 6%     -8.9   2 - 9 -10.0 -18.0 +7.4
  Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51-53 83%     1.2   2 - 10 0 - 1 -25.1 -27.6 +2.3
  Sat, Jan 10 275 Norfolk St. L 62-66 37%    
  Mon, Jan 12 277 @Howard L 60-70 18%    
  Sat, Jan 17 361 Morgan St. W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Jan 24 347 @NC Central L 63-67 36%    
  Mon, Jan 26 359 @South Carolina St. L 67-68 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 62-61 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 69-65 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 275 @Norfolk St. L 59-69 18%    
  Mon, Feb 16 277 Howard L 63-67 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 361 @Morgan St. W 70-69 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 347 NC Central W 66-64 58%    
  Mon, Mar 2 359 South Carolina St. W 70-65 67%    
  Thu, Mar 5 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 59-64 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 3.9 1.3 0.1 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.9 6.2 1.9 0.1 11.2 3rd
4th 0.1 3.1 8.7 3.0 0.1 15.0 4th
5th 0.1 3.4 9.8 4.3 0.2 17.8 5th
6th 0.4 3.6 9.5 4.9 0.3 18.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.6 7.2 4.1 0.3 15.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.8 3.8 1.9 0.2 9.9 8th
Total 0.1 1.1 3.4 7.8 12.8 17.2 18.2 16.2 11.7 7.0 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
11-3 93.3% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
10-4 53.7% 1.6    0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0
9-5 14.8% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.3% 32.9% 32.9% 16.0 0.1 0.2
11-3 1.1% 26.7% 26.7% 16.0 0.3 0.8
10-4 3.0% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.6 2.4
9-5 7.0% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 1.1 5.9
8-6 11.7% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 1.1 10.6
7-7 16.2% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 1.1 15.1
6-8 18.2% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.9 17.2
5-9 17.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.6 16.6
4-10 12.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 12.5
3-11 7.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.7
2-12 3.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.4
1-13 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.4 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%