Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -17.2 361
Results Rating -19.2 359
Consistency 0.15 138
Pace 67.2 219
Improvement -4.7 335

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 364 F F D- D+ F
Defense D+ 286 D- D B- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 255 F 46% 363 -6.0 350
2 Pt. Jumpers 67% 3 D 34% 309 +4.3 27
Three Pointers 28% 362 F+ 29% 350 -8.7 361
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.1 357 F -8.5 364
1st FG Attempt F 0.81 365
Second Chance D- 23.7% 341 F 0.75 365 F 0.18 363
Turnovers from Steals C- 10.2% 262
Other Turnovers F+ 9.5% 350
Turnovers D- 19.7% 332
Freethrows C- 0.29 237 D 68% 312 D+ 0.20 277
Total Offense F -13.5 364

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 41% 293 D 13.7% 324
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 97 D+ 7.0% 300
Three Pointers D- 76% 329 F 2.2% 355
Total D- 46% 341 F 8.0% 350

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 71 F 69% 364 +7.4 359
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 324 C 38% 199 -1.8 45
Three Pointers 41% 169 C 34% 173 +0.1 187
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 339 D- +4.6 339
1st FG Attempt D- 1.13 339
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 272 D 1.14 317 D 0.37 314
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 82
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 177
Turnovers B- 18.2% 90
Freethrows D+ 0.34 282 B- 71% 98 D+ 0.24 255
Total Defense D+ -3.7 286

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 263 F+ 4.6% 358
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 38% 336 D- 1.7% 342
Three Pointers D- 91% 349 D 0.2% 318
Total D 61% 312 F+ 2.3% 359

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.3 344 15.9 8
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 177 0.22 324
Consistency 0.13 221 0.12 168
Improvement -1.8 277 -2.9 315

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 364 361 357
Results Rating Rank 364 359 356
Conference Record 1 - 13 2 - 12 4 - 10
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 48.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 45 - 145 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 157 @Temple L 65 - 83 4% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -6 B- F F F+ -10 F D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 73 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 1% -23  0% 0 - 2 F -29 F -29 F D- D C+ +0 D- D A-
 Mon, Nov 10 340 @Niagara L 57 - 68 22% -8  2% 0 - 3 F -20 F -12 F D B- F -10 F A- F+
 Sat, Nov 15 328 @New Haven L 52 - 65 19% -7  3% 0 - 4 F -21 F -22 F F C- C -0 D- D A+
 Sun, Nov 23 39 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0% 0 - 5 F -39 F -27 F F F F -12 F C+ C
 Sat, Nov 29 234 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 7% -8  1% 0 - 6 F+ -15 F -15 F D- C- C -0 F+ B- B+
 Wed, Dec 3 144 Navy L 59 - 66 9% -9  0% 0 - 7 D -9 F -16 F D- A+ A- +7 A- F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 267 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 22% +1  56% 1 - 7 D+ -6 F -12 C D- F B+ +6 C C- A
 Sat, Dec 13 264 @Longwood W 81 - 76 9% +5  85% 2 - 7 C+ +2 A- +9 A+ F A D- -7 F C A-
 Thu, Dec 18 125 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 3% -12  0% 2 - 8 D -10 F -16 F D+ F B+ +5 C+ D- B+
 Mon, Dec 29 112 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 3% -9  2% 2 - 9 D -9 F -21 F F+ F A+ +11 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 363 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 66% +1  64% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -23 F -29 F F F B+ +5 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 305 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 29% +1  57% 2 - 11 0 - 2 D- -13 F -16 D C- F B- +3 F B A+
 Mon, Jan 12 201 @Howard L 58 - 84 6% -14  12% 2 - 12 0 - 3 F -25 F+ -8 F F+ F F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 348 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 46% -5  18% 2 - 13 0 - 4 F+ -17 F+ -9 F+ F C F+ -8 F+ C F+
 Mon, Jan 26 357 @South Carolina St. L 64 - 70 34% -6  0% 2 - 14 0 - 5 F -19 F -16 F F C+ D+ -3 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 351 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65 - 57 47% +6  73% 3 - 14 1 - 5 D -9 D- -7 B+ F C+ C -1 C A- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 363 @Coppin St. L 47 - 65 43% -4  45% 3 - 15 1 - 6 F -33 F -31 F F F D+ -4 D- F B+
 Mon, Feb 9 352 @NC Central L 63 - 72 27% -0  48% 3 - 16 1 - 7 F -20 D- -6 F+ B- F F -16 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 305 @Norfolk St. L 58 - 75 14% -10  3% 3 - 17 1 - 8 F -22 F -12 F F C F -12 F+ F C
 Mon, Feb 16 201 Howard L 59 - 91 14% -22  0% 3 - 18 1 - 9 F -37 F -17 D- F D- F -19 F C+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 348 @Morgan St. L 68 - 82 25% -3  23% 3 - 19 1 - 10 F -24 F -17 F F C D- -7 F D C
 Sat, Feb 28 352 NC Central L 68 - 69 49%
 Mon, Mar 2 357 South Carolina St. W 70 - 68 56%
 Thu, Mar 5 351 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 58 - 65 27%
Totals 4 - 21 2 - 12 -17 F -14 F F F D+ -4 F+ D D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F F D F+ F 36% 67% 28% F F D- F F D- C- D D+ D+ F C C D- 43% 16% 41% D D- D+ D D B- D+ B- D+
0.89 46% 34% 29% -8 -2 0.81 24% 0.7 .18 20% .29 68% .20 1.14 69% 38% 34% +5 +1 1.13 32% 1.1 .37 18% .34 71% .20
Nov
5		 Temple D- A+ D+ A+ A 23% 46% 31% F B- C- F F F D B D+ F+ F C+ C- F 43% 16% 41% D- F C D- D+ F C A+ A-
0.98 73% 36% 47% +9 -4 1.10 28% 0.3 .07 24% .26 77% .20 1.25 81% 38% 35% +10 +1 1.24 29% 1.1 .32 9% .36 59% .22
Nov
8		 Syracuse F F F F F 35% 41% 24% F F B- F D- D C A+ B C+ F A+ C D- 49% 10% 41% F D- A F D A- D+ A+ B
0.60 28% 10% 8% -31 -3 0.33 33% 0.8 .25 21% .30 82% .25 1.16 83% 0% 35% +9 +2 1.24 25% 1.6 .39 20% .37 52% .19
Nov
10		 Niagara F F C+ F F 36% 26% 38% D+ F F A D B- F+ F F F C- B- F F 55% 7% 39% F F A+ A- A- F+ D A C-
0.96 41% 42% 28% -9 -1 0.83 23% 1.3 .29 13% .23 67% .15 1.14 58% 33% 53% +11 +3 1.30 12% 0.7 .08 15% .28 64% .18
Nov
15		 New Haven F B- F F F 30% 36% 34% F F F C+ F C- F F+ F C F C- A- F+ 35% 20% 45% C- D- F B D A+ F D- F
0.79 63% 16% 22% -13 -3 0.72 15% 1.2 .18 17% .18 70% .13 0.98 79% 38% 28% +3 0 1.08 29% 0.9 .25 26% .41 75% .31
Nov
23		 Miami (FL) F F F F F 33% 36% 31% D- F C+ F F F A F C F F A+ F F 45% 15% 40% C- F C+ C+ C+ C C+ A+ B+
0.58 40% 25% 29% -13 -2 0.71 25% 0.1 .02 27% .33 53% .17 1.37 84% 25% 45% +17 +1 1.38 38% 1.1 .41 16% .32 58% .18
Nov
29		 Maryland Baltimore Co. F D F F F 35% 52% 13% F F D+ F D- C- F+ A D C F+ A+ D- D- 47% 13% 40% F F+ F+ A+ B- B+ A+ A A+
0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12 1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11
Dec
3		 Navy F D- F F F 28% 40% 32% F F F A- D- A+ B F C A- B- F A+ A 45% 16% 39% F A- C F F A+ F B+ F
0.83 53% 24% 24% -12 -3 0.72 19% 1.1 .21 11% .30 63% .19 0.93 53% 50% 20% -9 +1 0.87 30% 1.6 .47 25% .60 69% .41
Dec
6		 Delaware F D C B C- 45% 25% 30% B- C D F+ D- F A+ F B- B+ C A+ D- C+ 41% 17% 43% D C B F C- A B- F D
0.98 54% 38% 38% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.9 .22 22% .40 63% .25 0.94 59% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.2 .20 23% .22 100% .22
Dec
13		 Longwood A- C A- A+ A+ 46% 28% 26% D- A+ F F F A A D+ B+ D- F F A+ F 38% 16% 47% D- F D- B+ C A- F+ F F
1.21 62% 46% 67% +17 0 1.35 19% 0.4 .07 13% .43 68% .29 1.14 82% 57% 24% +5 +1 1.13 38% 0.8 .31 24% .39 90% .36
Dec
18		 Saint Joseph's F F F F F 37% 35% 29% D F C D- D+ F C- F D+ B+ C- A+ B- B- 38% 15% 48% C C+ F B D- B+ F+ A+ C
0.76 32% 28% 27% -16 -2 0.65 30% 0.8 .26 21% .21 64% .13 0.99 61% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.94 44% 0.9 .41 21% .34 61% .21
Dec
29		 Rutgers F F F C+ F 30% 39% 30% F F F C+ F+ F A F B- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 21% 33% 45% B+ A+ F F+ F A+ F F F
0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21 0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48
Jan
3		 Coppin St. F F F F+ F 50% 29% 21% D F C- F F F F F F B+ C A B C+ 28% 30% 43% B+ C+ C F F A+ C A+ A+
0.78 42% 29% 30% -12 0 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 23% .26 38% .10 0.81 55% 25% 29% -8 -2 0.83 28% 1.6 .44 29% .32 40% .13
Jan
10		 Norfolk St. F F A+ F D 42% 15% 44% C D C- C- C- F F A+ F B- D F C+ F 49% 22% 29% F+ F A- C- B A+ F C F+
0.91 50% 100% 24% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.0 .32 27% .21 82% .17 0.93 60% 56% 33% +4 +1 1.12 24% 1.0 .24 28% .42 67% .28
Jan
12		 Howard F+ F D B- D- 27% 32% 41% F F D F F+ F A B+ A+ F F A+ A+ F 60% 18% 22% D- F F C- F F F D F
0.91 36% 31% 35% -7 -2 0.83 29% 0.9 .26 23% .43 76% .33 1.31 81% 13% 20% +5 +2 1.16 48% 1.1 .52 14% .49 78% .38
Jan
17		 Morgan St. F+ F A+ F D- 43% 26% 30% F+ F+ D+ F F C A+ D+ A+ F+ A D- F F 30% 26% 44% C F+ B+ F+ C F+ F C F
1.08 45% 75% 21% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 15% .63 69% .43 1.09 44% 43% 42% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 15% .43 74% .32
Jan
26		 South Carolina St. F F A- F F 52% 13% 35% C+ F F+ F F C+ B+ A A D+ B F F F 45% 14% 40% F F A+ A- A+ D- F C+ F
0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36 1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32
Jan
31		 Maryland Eastern Shore D- C- C- A+ A+ 33% 40% 26% F B+ F B+ F C+ A+ F B- C D C A+ C 58% 29% 13% D C A+ F A- D- D- F F
1.06 57% 35% 64% +10 -3 1.17 14% 1.3 .18 15% .44 61% .27 0.93 62% 38% 0% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.3 .17 20% .28 93% .26
Feb
7		 Coppin St. F F F+ F F 31% 45% 24% F F F F F F A- B+ A D+ C+ F B- D- 44% 26% 30% D D- F D- F B+ F A+ D-
0.71 38% 32% 10% -18 -4 0.60 26% 0.8 .21 27% .43 81% .35 0.98 53% 45% 31% -2 0 0.98 40% 1.1 .43 26% .47 57% .26
Feb
9		 NC Central D- C+ A- D- D+ 27% 41% 32% F F+ B- C+ B- F B- C B- F F+ F C F 56% 24% 20% D- F F C- F F D+ D D
1.08 64% 47% 31% +4 -4 1.02 41% 1.0 .41 24% .34 73% .25 1.23 64% 45% 33% +5 +1 1.13 40% 1.0 .40 12% .33 76% .25
Feb
14		 Norfolk St. F C F F F 42% 29% 29% F F F F F C A+ C+ A+ F F A+ C- F+ 44% 23% 33% D F+ F F F C F A F
0.92 63% 27% 18% -8 -1 0.84 19% 0.7 .13 17% .69 72% .50 1.19 74% 20% 36% +4 0 1.09 39% 1.4 .55 19% .53 59% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
16		 Howard F F B D+ D+ 32% 30% 38% F D- F F F D- C- F D F F F A- F 54% 15% 30% D- F D- A- C+ C- F F+ F
0.82 44% 40% 32% -5 -2 0.88 18% 0.7 .12 22% .32 61% .20 1.27 76% 71% 29% +12 +2 1.30 40% 0.9 .36 19% .52 80% .41
Feb
21		 Morgan St. F D F F F 55% 20% 25% C- F F+ F F C F+ F+ F D- F D+ C F 39% 20% 41% F F F C D C F C F
0.93 57% 18% 21% -10 +1 0.85 28% 0.8 .21 15% .37 65% .24 1.12 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.8 .31 19% .45 74% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.9 0.9 7th
8th 17.2 41.8 33.0 7.2 99.1 8th
Total 17.2 41.8 33.0 8.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 8.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.0
3-11 33.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.4 32.6
2-12 41.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.3 41.5
1-13 17.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 17.1
0-14
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 16.0 99.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5%
Lose Out 13.8%