Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -13.6 #353
Expected Predictive Rating -17.0 #355
Pace 68.4 #187
Improvement +1.1 #133

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #364 F F D D F+
Defense #239 D D+ B- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #245 0.90 #363 -6.1 #350
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #8 0.66 #323 +3.7 #32
Three Pointers 29% #358 0.91 #317 -7.6 #358
1st FG Attempt 0.82 #363 -9.9 #363
Freethrows 0.28 #265 68% #323 0.19 #304
Second Chance 24.1% #336 0.76 #365 0.18 #363
Turnovers 19.4% #317
Total Offense -11.8 #364

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #85 1.35 #359 -6.3 #354
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #326 0.72 #117 +2.2 #29
Three Pointers 42% #136 1.02 #179 -0.7 #215
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #321 -4.7 #319
Freethrows 0.33 #263 72% #134 0.24 #243
Second Chance 30.4% #175 1.14 #322 0.35 #270
Turnovers 18.7% #82
Total Defense -1.8 #239

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.9% #351 1.8% #332
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -16.3% #363 7.4% #314
Possession Length 19.0 #338 15.7 #8
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #134 0.20 #279
Improvement +0.3 #161 +0.8 #137

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.9% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.8% 12.5% 2.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 23.1% 8.0% 50.9%
First Four5.1% 5.9% 3.6%
First Round1.4% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 40 - 6
Quad 47 - 137 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 143 @Temple L 65 - 83 6% -9  0 - 1 -14 -3 B F F -11 F D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 68 @Syracuse L 43 - 83 2% -23  0 - 2 -29 -26 F D C- -2 D- D B+
 Mon, Nov 10 341 @Niagara L 57 - 68 32% -8  0 - 3 -20 -10 F D B- -12 F A F+
 Sat, Nov 15 334 @New Haven L 52 - 65 29% -7  0 - 4 -21 -19 F F C -2 D- D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 40 @Miami (FL) L 41 - 97 1% -31  0 - 5 -40 -25 F F F -15 F C C
 Sat, Nov 29 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 57 - 71 15% -8  0 - 6 -17 -14 F F+ C -3 F+ C+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 174 Navy L 59 - 66 18% -9  0 - 7 -11 -14 F D A+ +3 B F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 283 Delaware W 75 - 72 OT 36% +1  1 - 7 -7 -9 C- D+ F +1 C C- A
 Sat, Dec 13 261 @Longwood W 81 - 76 15% +5  2 - 7 +2 +12 A+ F A+ -9 F C B+
 Thu, Dec 18 128 @Saint Joseph's L 51 - 67 5% -12  2 - 8 -11 -14 F D+ F +3 C+ F+ B
 Mon, Dec 29 121 @Rutgers L 50 - 65 5% -9  2 - 9 -9 -19 F F F +9 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Coppin St. L 51 - 53 83% +1  2 - 10 0 - 1 -26 -30 F F F +4 C+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 308 Norfolk St. L 64 - 66 43% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -14 -14 D+ C- F -0 F B- A+
 Mon, Jan 12 250 @Howard L 58 - 84 14% -14  2 - 12 0 - 3 -28 -7 F D- D- -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 354 Morgan St. L 79 - 80 62% -5  2 - 13 0 - 4 -18 -6 F+ F C+ -12 F C F
 Mon, Jan 26 357 @South Carolina St. L 64 - 70 41% -6  2 - 14 0 - 5 -17 -12 F F C -6 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 347 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65 - 57 55% +6  3 - 14 1 - 5 -7 -3 B+ F B- -3 C A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 364 @Coppin St. W 72 - 68 65%
 Mon, Feb 9 342 @NC Central L 66 - 71 32%
 Sat, Feb 14 308 @Norfolk St. L 64 - 72 23%
 Mon, Feb 16 250 Howard L 64 - 70 31%
 Sat, Feb 21 354 @Morgan St. L 71 - 74 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 342 NC Central W 69 - 68 54%
 Mon, Mar 2 357 South Carolina St. W 71 - 67 64%
 Thu, Mar 5 347 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 60 - 65 32%
Totals 6 - 19 4 - 10 -14 -12 F F D -2 D D+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.7 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 1.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 0.2 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 3.3 3.0 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.6 5.0 7.6 0.3 13.4 6th
7th 3.1 15.7 24.1 17.3 3.3 63.5 7th
8th 1.9 4.7 3.3 1.2 0.0 11.1 8th
Total 1.9 7.9 19.0 25.8 22.3 14.3 6.6 2.0 0.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 52.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
8-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.3% 44.0% 44.0% 16.0 0.1 0.1
8-6 2.0% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.2 1.9
7-7 6.6% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.5 6.0
6-8 14.3% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.2 13.2
5-9 22.3% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 1.3 21.0
4-10 25.8% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 1.1 24.7
3-11 19.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 18.5
2-12 7.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.7
1-13 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 1.8
0-14
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 94.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%