Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#119
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#170
Pace65.9#274
Improvement+1.1#89

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#140
First Shot-3.8#286
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#10
Layup/Dunks-4.3#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#224
Freethrows+1.0#130
Improvement-0.4#218

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+3.2#75
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#261
Layups/Dunks+1.0#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#274
Freethrows+3.7#15
Improvement+1.6#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 4.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 4.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 9.9
.500 or above 7.4% 26.3% 7.2%
.500 or above in Conference 2.5% 14.4% 2.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.2% 14.4% 34.4%
First Four0.2% 1.3% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 4.2% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 33 - 16 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 342 Rider W 81-53 94%     1 - 0 +13.7 +6.9 +8.2
  Mon, Nov 10 318 Maine W 72-60 91%     2 - 0 +0.1 +4.2 -3.0
  Fri, Nov 14 297 Lehigh W 84-72 89%     3 - 0 +1.4 +6.5 -5.2
  Tue, Nov 18 248 American W 80-71 84%     4 - 0 +1.3 +4.4 -3.2
  Fri, Nov 21 251 Central Connecticut St. L 54-67 85%     4 - 1 -20.8 -13.8 -8.7
  Mon, Nov 24 16 Tennessee L 60-85 10%     4 - 2 -7.8 -1.0 -8.0
  Tue, Nov 25 62 Notre Dame L 63-68 29%     4 - 3 +3.9 +2.9 +0.4
  Thu, Nov 27 130 UNLV W 80-65 54%     5 - 3 +17.0 +7.2 +10.0
  Tue, Dec 2 2 Purdue L 65-81 7%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +3.2 +3.2 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 61-87 1%    
  Sat, Dec 13 76 @Seton Hall L 62-69 24%    
  Sat, Dec 20 237 Penn W 79-68 84%    
  Mon, Dec 29 356 Delaware St. W 78-58 97%    
  Fri, Jan 2 24 Ohio St. L 68-76 22%    
  Mon, Jan 5 80 Oregon L 71-72 46%    
  Thu, Jan 8 18 @Illinois L 67-84 6%    
  Sun, Jan 11 57 Northwestern L 69-72 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 36 @Wisconsin L 67-80 13%    
  Tue, Jan 20 26 @Iowa L 61-75 10%    
  Fri, Jan 23 20 Indiana L 66-76 19%    
  Tue, Jan 27 9 Michigan St. L 61-74 12%    
  Sat, Jan 31 30 @USC L 69-82 11%    
  Tue, Feb 3 32 @UCLA L 61-74 11%    
  Sat, Feb 7 51 Nebraska L 71-76 34%    
  Sun, Feb 15 89 Maryland W 72-71 50%    
  Wed, Feb 18 97 @Penn St. L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 108 @Minnesota L 64-68 36%    
  Tue, Feb 24 56 Washington L 70-73 38%    
  Sun, Mar 1 89 @Maryland L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Mar 5 9 @Michigan St. L 58-77 5%    
  Sun, Mar 8 97 Penn St. W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.8 0.3 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.5 0.9 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.2 2.5 5.2 1.9 0.1 0.0 10.0 14th
15th 0.2 2.3 6.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 12.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 2.3 6.8 5.4 0.9 0.0 15.5 16th
17th 0.3 2.8 7.4 6.3 1.6 0.1 18.6 17th
18th 1.3 5.0 8.1 5.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 21.8 18th
Total 1.3 5.3 11.1 15.6 17.2 16.2 13.0 9.0 5.8 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 57.1% 57.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 57.1%
12-8 0.2% 40.5% 40.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 40.5%
11-9 0.7% 19.9% 19.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 19.9%
10-10 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 2.5%
9-11 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 3.0 0.2%
8-12 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 5.8 0.1%
7-13 9.0% 9.0
6-14 13.0% 13.0
5-15 16.2% 16.2
4-16 17.2% 17.2
3-17 15.6% 15.6
2-18 11.1% 11.1
1-19 5.3% 5.3
0-20 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.4%