Temple
American Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#150
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#158
Pace68.9#194
Improvement-1.8#306

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#153
First Shot-4.1#293
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#4
Layup/Dunks-3.1#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#323
Freethrows-0.3#206
Improvement-1.6#319

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#148
First Shot+1.0#133
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#216
Layups/Dunks+0.5#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#315
Freethrows+3.0#23
Improvement-0.1#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.8 13.5
.500 or above 31.0% 35.0% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 27.1% 28.9% 20.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 13.2% 19.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 79.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 7
Quad 21 - 52 - 12
Quad 35 - 56 - 17
Quad 48 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-49 94%     1 - 0 +7.0 -3.7 +11.4
  Nov 13, 2021 16   USC L 71-76 16%     1 - 1 +7.0 +4.2 +2.9
  Nov 18, 2021 50   Clemson L 48-75 23%     1 - 2 -18.1 -12.8 -9.2
  Nov 19, 2021 79   Boise St. L 62-82 29%     1 - 3 -13.2 +1.3 -16.7
  Nov 21, 2021 273   Elon W 75-58 76%     2 - 3 +10.8 +0.8 +10.6
  Nov 27, 2021 161   Delaware W 75-74 64%     3 - 3 -1.6 -2.5 +0.9
  Dec 01, 2021 244   La Salle W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 04, 2021 189   Penn W 74-69 70%    
  Dec 07, 2021 77   @ Vanderbilt L 65-74 21%    
  Dec 11, 2021 220   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 15, 2021 65   Central Florida L 68-71 38%    
  Dec 18, 2021 169   Drexel W 71-67 65%    
  Dec 22, 2021 356   Delaware St. W 86-63 99%    
  Dec 29, 2021 6   @ Villanova L 59-78 4%    
  Jan 02, 2022 7   Houston L 59-72 11%    
  Jan 05, 2022 65   @ Central Florida L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 08, 2022 178   East Carolina W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 12, 2022 142   @ Tulsa L 67-71 38%    
  Jan 19, 2022 53   Wichita St. L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 225   @ South Florida W 61-60 53%    
  Jan 25, 2022 55   Cincinnati L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 29, 2022 99   @ SMU L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 02, 2022 178   @ East Carolina L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 142   Tulsa W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 12, 2022 168   @ Tulane L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 16, 2022 99   SMU L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 20, 2022 55   @ Cincinnati L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 24, 2022 23   @ Memphis L 65-81 8%    
  Feb 27, 2022 168   Tulane W 70-66 65%    
  Mar 03, 2022 7   @ Houston L 56-75 5%    
  Mar 06, 2022 225   South Florida W 64-57 72%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.1 0.8 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.6 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 5.6 4.6 1.0 0.1 13.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 7.1 4.7 0.9 0.1 15.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.4 6.5 5.1 0.7 14.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 6.0 4.2 0.6 0.0 13.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.2 4.5 3.4 0.6 11.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.1 2.0 0.3 8.9 11th
Total 0.1 1.2 2.8 5.4 9.1 12.1 14.1 15.1 12.9 11.2 7.2 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 29.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 9.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 39.8% 39.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 39.8%
14-4 0.5% 4.7% 3.9% 0.8% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8%
13-5 1.1% 14.6% 9.8% 4.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.2%
12-6 2.6% 4.3% 3.4% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.9%
11-7 4.3% 1.6% 1.6% 12.0 0.1 4.2
10-8 7.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.0 0.0 7.2
9-9 11.2% 0.9% 0.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
8-10 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
7-11 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 15.1
6-12 14.1% 14.1
5-13 12.1% 12.1
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 5.4% 5.4
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3 0.2%