Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.7 #147
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 #149
Pace 64.6 #292
Improvement -1.2 #241

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #121 C D+ B+ A C
Defense #215 C C D+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #102 1.15 #181 +1.5 #123
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #161 0.80 #110 +0.8 #131
Three Pointers 37% #264 1.05 #132 -1.3 #227
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #146 +1.0 #146
Freethrows 0.39 #6 76% #47 0.29 #5
Second Chance 28.2% #246 0.97 #271 0.27 #270
Turnovers 13.5% #31
Total Offense +1.9 #121

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #111 1.16 #187 -1.8 #239
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #106 0.78 #230 -1.0 #265
Three Pointers 36% #301 1.02 #181 +2.4 #94
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #192 -0.4 #192
Freethrows 0.27 #83 70% #71 0.19 #74
Second Chance 30.3% #163 1.06 #206 0.32 #185
Turnovers 14.6% #291
Total Defense -1.3 #215

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #180 0.0% #160
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.8% #144 0.8% #201
Possession Length 18.5 #290 17.7 #241
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #192 0.14 #74
Improvement -4.7 #356 +3.5 #26

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 4.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.1
.500 or above 83.2% 94.4% 77.7%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 91.5% 69.3%
Conference Champion 1.9% 4.4% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.4% 4.4% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 13
Quad 411 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 94% +9  1 - 0 +1 +11 B+ C- A+ -9 F A A
 Tue, Nov 11 208 La Salle W 90 - 63 73% +16  2 - 0 +21 +20 A B A +3 A B- D
 Sat, Nov 15 131 Boston College L 71 - 76 58% -5  2 - 1 -6 +3 D C+ A+ -9 C D- D-
 Wed, Nov 19 134 Hofstra W 81 - 76 58% +1  3 - 1 +4 +7 A F C- -3 D+ A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 24 126 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 45% -9  3 - 2 -13 +7 D+ B A+ -20 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 213 Princeton W 79 - 75 64% -1  4 - 2 +1 +9 A+ F D -8 F C+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 109 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 39% -7  4 - 3 -11 +6 C D A+ -17 F B- F
 Mon, Dec 1 36 @Villanova L 56 - 74 7% -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 C- D B -7 B- B C
 Sat, Dec 6 139 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 47% -2  4 - 5 +0 +7 B D- D -6 B- D B-
 Sun, Dec 14 353 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 94% +17  5 - 5 +11 +15 A+ F A -4 C D- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 129 @Davidson W 68 - 63 35% +6  6 - 5 +10 +8 C- F A+ +3 A+ F+ F+
 Mon, Dec 22 213 Princeton W 65 - 61 74% +3  7 - 5 -2 +1 C+ D C+ -3 B- C+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 164 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 43% +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +6 +4 B+ D C +2 B+ B- C
 Sat, Jan 3 342 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 92% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +4 +1 D- B+ C +4 B+ C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 257 East Carolina W 75 - 67 81% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -0 +6 F+ A- B -6 F B- C
 Wed, Jan 14 92 @Memphis L 53 - 55 21% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 +7 -7 F D+ D+ +14 A+ A D+
 Sun, Jan 18 107 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 48% +2  10 - 7 3 - 2 -5 -7 D- C D +3 A+ F D
 Wed, Jan 21 232 @Rice W 69 - 65 56% +0  11 - 7 4 - 2 +3 +4 D B- A+ -1 C D C
 Sat, Jan 24 342 @Texas San Antonio W 70 - 64 81% +0  12 - 7 5 - 2 -3 +2 C- D- B- -4 D+ D- C
 Wed, Jan 28 164 Charlotte L 76 - 80 OT 66% +3  12 - 8 5 - 3 -7 +14 C A- A- -23 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 31 67 South Florida L 76 - 81 33%
 Sat, Feb 7 257 @East Carolina W 73 - 70 62%
 Wed, Feb 11 180 @Tulane L 72 - 73 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 144 North Texas W 67 - 64 61%
 Wed, Feb 18 119 UAB W 76 - 75 55%
 Sat, Feb 21 97 @Wichita St. L 67 - 75 24%
 Wed, Feb 25 107 @Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 28%
 Sun, Mar 1 232 Rice W 76 - 68 76%
 Thu, Mar 5 180 Tulane W 75 - 70 68%
 Sun, Mar 8 70 @Tulsa L 73 - 83 17%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 +2 C D+ B+ -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 2.4 2.0 0.1 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 4.6 0.8 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.7 2.0 0.1 9.9 4th
5th 0.3 5.7 6.5 0.3 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.4 10.0 2.2 15.7 6th
7th 1.3 9.8 5.1 0.1 16.3 7th
8th 0.5 6.5 7.1 0.7 14.7 8th
9th 0.1 3.4 5.5 1.2 10.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.7 0.8 4.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 0.4 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.3 2.1 6.9 14.1 21.8 22.7 17.9 9.5 3.9 0.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-4 84.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.1
13-5 28.3% 1.1    0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.6% 12.1% 12.1% 12.0 0.1 0.5
13-5 3.9% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4 0.2 0.2 3.5
12-6 9.5% 7.5% 7.5% 12.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 8.8
11-7 17.9% 3.2% 3.2% 12.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 17.3
10-8 22.7% 1.6% 1.6% 13.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 22.3
9-9 21.8% 0.9% 0.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.6
8-10 14.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 14.1
7-11 6.9% 6.9
6-12 2.1% 2.1
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 12.9 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%