Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#118
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#148
Pace71.8#99
Improvement-2.1#310

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#130
First Shot+1.3#141
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#152
Layup/Dunks-0.9#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#331
Freethrows+3.6#33
Improvement-1.3#279

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
First Shot+5.3#42
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#359
Layups/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#86
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement-0.8#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.7% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 11.9 12.4
.500 or above 66.1% 82.4% 60.5%
.500 or above in Conference 64.6% 73.8% 61.4%
Conference Champion 4.1% 6.2% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.8% 3.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round4.5% 6.6% 3.8%
Second Round0.8% 1.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Neutral) - 25.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 37 - 69 - 14
Quad 48 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 269   Sacred Heart W 81-70 86%     1 - 0 +2.0 -1.9 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 287   Monmouth W 103-74 81%     2 - 0 +22.5 +21.3 -0.3
  Nov 12, 2024 167   Drexel W 69-61 73%     3 - 0 +4.4 -0.2 +5.3
  Nov 15, 2024 145   @ Boston College L 69-72 46%     3 - 1 +0.9 +4.3 -3.6
  Nov 22, 2024 61   Florida St. L 69-78 27%     3 - 2 +0.3 -1.4 +2.1
  Nov 23, 2024 171   Massachusetts W 87-80 63%     4 - 2 +6.3 +9.8 -3.8
  Nov 30, 2024 143   @ La Salle L 75-83 45%     4 - 3 -4.0 -3.7 +0.6
  Dec 07, 2024 56   Villanova L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 15, 2024 156   @ Hofstra L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 18, 2024 134   Davidson W 77-73 66%    
  Dec 21, 2024 91   Rhode Island L 77-80 38%    
  Dec 29, 2024 331   Buffalo W 84-68 93%    
  Jan 03, 2025 94   Wichita St. W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 08, 2025 159   @ East Carolina L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 168   @ Rice W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 32   Memphis L 75-82 26%    
  Jan 19, 2025 220   Tulane W 79-70 79%    
  Jan 22, 2025 77   @ North Texas L 61-68 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 249   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-77 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 205   Charlotte W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 159   East Carolina W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 06, 2025 148   @ South Florida L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 09, 2025 32   @ Memphis L 72-85 12%    
  Feb 12, 2025 225   Tulsa W 79-70 80%    
  Feb 16, 2025 92   Florida Atlantic L 80-81 50%    
  Feb 19, 2025 205   @ Charlotte W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 23, 2025 124   @ UAB L 78-80 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 148   South Florida W 77-72 68%    
  Mar 04, 2025 225   @ Tulsa W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 09, 2025 77   North Texas L 64-65 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.8 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 6.1 3.0 0.5 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.6 0.4 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.3 2.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 2.8 1.6 0.1 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.5 0.2 4.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.3 2.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.0 6.5 9.3 12.1 13.7 14.0 12.6 10.2 6.9 4.2 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.8% 0.7    0.5 0.2
15-3 63.7% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
14-4 28.7% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.3% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 35.2% 21.6% 13.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17.4%
16-2 0.7% 24.3% 23.2% 1.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.4%
15-3 2.2% 20.1% 18.6% 1.5% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.7 1.8%
14-4 4.2% 15.8% 15.8% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.5
13-5 6.9% 11.2% 11.2% 11.9 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1
12-6 10.2% 6.8% 6.8% 12.2 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.5
11-7 12.6% 5.9% 5.9% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 11.8
10-8 14.0% 3.6% 3.6% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.5
9-9 13.7% 1.7% 1.7% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.5
8-10 12.1% 1.1% 1.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.9
7-11 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5
5-13 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.9
4-14 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 95.5 0.1%