Temple
American Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#98
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#87
Pace66.4#232
Improvement+1.4#32

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot+0.9#151
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks-0.6#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#167
Freethrows+2.4#37
Improvement-0.8#304

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#76
First Shot+4.8#49
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#281
Layups/Dunks-0.4#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#25
Freethrows+0.4#148
Improvement+2.2#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 5.8% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.9 11.0 12.3
.500 or above 93.7% 99.5% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 100.0% 99.3%
Conference Champion 1.0% 6.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 1.6% 0.2%
First Round2.5% 4.8% 2.2%
Second Round0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Home) - 13.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 12 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 13 - 2
Quad 22 - 45 - 6
Quad 36 - 511 - 11
Quad 46 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 284   Wagner L 73-76 OT 90%     0 - 1 -12.3 -3.6 -8.7
  Nov 11, 2022 62   Villanova W 68-64 47%     1 - 1 +9.7 +1.7 +8.3
  Nov 15, 2022 97   Vanderbilt L 87-89 OT 60%     1 - 2 +0.1 +9.7 -9.5
  Nov 18, 2022 20   Rutgers W 72-66 20%     2 - 2 +19.8 +7.3 +12.2
  Nov 21, 2022 72   St. John's L 72-78 39%     2 - 3 +1.6 -3.1 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2022 125   Richmond L 49-61 59%     2 - 4 -9.6 -12.6 +0.9
  Nov 27, 2022 202   Drexel W 73-61 81%     3 - 4 +7.6 +9.7 -0.4
  Nov 30, 2022 230   @ La Salle W 67-51 71%     4 - 4 +15.2 -2.5 +18.4
  Dec 03, 2022 74   Virginia Commonwealth W 83-73 52%     5 - 4 +14.4 +15.6 -1.3
  Dec 06, 2022 162   Saint Joseph's W 70-60 76%     6 - 4 +7.6 -1.8 +9.6
  Dec 10, 2022 148   @ Penn L 57-77 54%     6 - 5 -16.2 -7.3 -12.2
  Dec 17, 2022 95   @ Mississippi L 55-63 39%     6 - 6 -0.3 -8.7 +7.8
  Dec 20, 2022 292   Maryland Eastern Shore L 78-86 91%     6 - 7 -17.7 +2.0 -19.5
  Dec 28, 2022 205   @ East Carolina W 59-57 65%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +3.0 -12.9 +15.8
  Jan 01, 2023 56   Cincinnati W 70-61 43%     8 - 7 2 - 0 +15.5 +5.8 +10.4
  Jan 04, 2023 129   @ South Florida W 68-64 49%     9 - 7 3 - 0 +9.0 -3.9 +12.8
  Jan 07, 2023 77   Tulane L 76-87 53%     9 - 8 3 - 1 -6.8 +3.7 -10.5
  Jan 10, 2023 235   @ Tulsa W 76-72 71%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +3.0 +2.6 +0.4
  Jan 15, 2023 38   Memphis L 59-61 35%     10 - 9 4 - 2 +6.7 -8.2 +14.9
  Jan 18, 2023 205   East Carolina W 73-58 81%     11 - 9 5 - 2 +10.5 +1.1 +10.0
  Jan 22, 2023 1   @ Houston W 56-55 6%     12 - 9 6 - 2 +23.2 +1.8 +21.5
  Jan 25, 2023 129   South Florida W 79-76 OT 70%     13 - 9 7 - 2 +2.5 -1.9 +4.1
  Jan 28, 2023 65   @ Central Florida W 77-70 OT 27%     14 - 9 8 - 2 +18.1 +4.4 +13.2
  Feb 05, 2023 1   Houston L 58-70 14%    
  Feb 08, 2023 167   @ SMU W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 12, 2023 38   @ Memphis L 68-77 18%    
  Feb 16, 2023 109   Wichita St. W 66-62 65%    
  Feb 19, 2023 235   Tulsa W 75-64 86%    
  Feb 22, 2023 56   @ Cincinnati L 65-72 24%    
  Mar 02, 2023 65   Central Florida L 64-65 48%    
  Mar 05, 2023 77   @ Tulane L 72-77 32%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 7.3 10.5 4.4 0.5 23.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 8.3 15.4 4.4 0.1 28.5 3rd
4th 0.1 4.4 14.9 3.8 0.0 23.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 10.2 4.6 0.1 16.6 5th
6th 0.3 3.4 2.9 0.1 6.7 6th
7th 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.6 5.6 17.9 28.5 26.6 15.0 4.9 0.9 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 46.0% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 8.3% 0.4    0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 86.5% 10.8% 75.7% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.8%
15-3 0.9% 21.9% 3.3% 18.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 19.2%
14-4 4.9% 8.5% 3.6% 4.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 4.5 5.1%
13-5 15.0% 3.6% 3.0% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 14.5 0.7%
12-6 26.6% 2.4% 2.3% 0.1% 11.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 25.9 0.1%
11-7 28.5% 1.9% 1.9% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 27.9
10-8 17.9% 1.7% 1.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 17.6
9-9 5.6% 1.5% 1.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.5
8-10 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.8% 2.2% 0.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 97.2 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 86.5% 9.0 5.4 13.5 45.9 16.2 5.4
Lose Out 0.6% 1.3% 16.0 1.3