Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.8 #300
Expected Predictive Rating -9.0 #304
Pace 63.5 #328
Improvement -1.0 #240

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #309 C+ F F D- C-
Defense #254 C- C C+ D+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #300 1.06 #290 -4.4 #316
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #181 0.85 #69 +0.9 #127
Three Pointers 46% #87 1.15 #39 +5.6 #30
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #119 +2.1 #122
Freethrows 12.8 #346 74% #132 9.5 #336
Second Chance 22.7% #352 0.86 #346 0.19 #358
Turnovers 19.4% #325
Total Offense -5.0 #309

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #310 1.13 #137 +3.6 #64
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #158 0.80 #250 -0.7 #237
Three Pointers 46% #59 1.11 #297 -4.6 #331
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #231 -1.7 #231
Freethrows 15.7 #108 79% #361 12.4 #186
Second Chance 29.8% #150 1.00 #135 0.30 #135
Turnovers 15.2% #276
Total Defense -2.7 #254

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #230 -0.9% #95
Shot Type Make % Effect 4.9% #110 4.3% #260
Possession Length 19.1 #342 17.0 #149
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #351 0.21 #287
Improvement -2.6 #327 +1.5 #88

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.9 15.5
.500 or above 0.6% 1.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 3.8% 0.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 67.1% 52.8% 73.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 30.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 103 - 15
Quad 45 - 89 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 312 @Bucknell L 70-78 42%     3.5   0 - 1 -13.7 -4.0 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 11 10 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0.0   0 - 2 +5.9 +16.0 -12.8
  Tue, Nov 18 256 St. Peter's W 81-70 53%     14.2   1 - 2 +2.4 +10.0 -7.1
  Sun, Nov 23 130 Southern Illinois L 59-79 18%     -10.5   1 - 3 -18.1 -10.0 -8.7
  Tue, Nov 25 279 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 46%     0.8   2 - 3 +6.4 +1.8 +5.7
  Mon, Dec 1 176 Iona L 66-89 37%     -7.0   2 - 4 -27.3 -8.2 -19.0
  Sat, Dec 6 353 @Delaware St. L 72-75 OT 59%     -1.1   2 - 5 -13.1 -6.8 -6.0
  Wed, Dec 10 66 @George Washington W 70-58 5%     5.5   3 - 5 +23.5 +0.9 +22.9
  Sat, Dec 13 203 Cal St. Northridge L 66-88 42%     -18.7   3 - 6 -27.7 -7.6 -20.8
  Tue, Dec 16 348 Rider W 65-57 77%     6.4   4 - 6 -7.4 -4.3 -2.1
  Mon, Dec 29 200 Missouri St. L 43-61 41%     -12.0   4 - 7 0 - 1 -23.5 -23.7 -2.6
  Fri, Jan 2 220 Jacksonville St. L 64-67 44%     -3.6   4 - 8 0 - 2 -9.3 +0.0 -9.8
  Sun, Jan 4 146 Kennesaw St. L 72-77 30%    
  Thu, Jan 8 135 @Sam Houston St. L 68-80 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 213 @Louisiana Tech L 59-67 23%    
  Thu, Jan 15 242 UTEP W 67-66 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 136 New Mexico St. L 65-71 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 104 @Liberty L 61-77 7%    
  Wed, Jan 28 136 @New Mexico St. L 62-74 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 242 @UTEP L 63-69 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 104 Liberty L 64-74 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 120 Middle Tennessee L 64-72 23%    
  Thu, Feb 12 161 @Florida International L 69-79 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 200 @Missouri St. L 60-68 22%    
  Wed, Feb 18 144 Western Kentucky L 71-77 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 120 @Middle Tennessee L 61-75 10%    
  Thu, Feb 26 220 @Jacksonville St. L 62-69 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 146 @Kennesaw St. L 69-80 15%    
  Thu, Mar 5 135 Sam Houston St. L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 213 Louisiana Tech L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.8 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.7 0.2 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 5.9 7.6 4.8 1.0 0.0 22.1 11th
12th 2.3 7.0 12.6 14.7 11.2 5.3 1.2 0.1 54.5 12th
Total 2.3 7.1 13.1 17.1 17.5 15.3 11.4 7.6 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 9.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 2.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 14.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.4% 3.8% 3.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-10 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 1.0
9-11 2.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.4
8-12 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
7-13 7.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.5
6-14 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.3
5-15 15.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.3
4-16 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-17 17.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.0
2-18 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
1-19 7.1% 7.1
0-20 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%