Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#234
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#237
Pace74.2#43
Improvement-1.5#262

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#167
First Shot+2.7#98
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#86
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement-1.4#250

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#303
First Shot-5.6#333
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks-5.0#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
Freethrows-1.0#263
Improvement-0.2#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.6% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 5.2% 13.2% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 13.1% 31.0% 7.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round1.3% 2.3% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 93 - 11
Quad 410 - 713 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 239   Bucknell L 73-85 61%     0 - 1 -19.0 -9.7 -8.1
  Nov 07, 2024 175   Robert Morris W 81-77 46%     1 - 1 +0.9 +0.6 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2024 252   @ Iona W 64-58 44%     2 - 1 +3.4 -6.5 +9.9
  Nov 18, 2024 159   Bryant L 84-85 42%     2 - 2 -3.0 +1.0 -3.9
  Nov 23, 2024 237   Vermont L 71-75 51%     2 - 3 -8.4 +0.7 -9.1
  Nov 24, 2024 64   Yale W 100-94 12%     3 - 3 +14.6 +22.8 -8.6
  Nov 30, 2024 307   @ Rider W 72-66 57%     4 - 3 +0.0 +4.3 -3.6
  Dec 03, 2024 313   Delaware St. W 93-80 75%     5 - 3 +1.8 +5.5 -5.0
  Dec 06, 2024 138   @ Duquesne L 66-80 23%     5 - 4 -10.3 +1.4 -12.6
  Dec 20, 2024 283   @ St. Peter's L 64-72 51%     5 - 5 -12.4 +2.4 -16.0
  Dec 28, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 76-97 2%     5 - 6 -1.1 +13.2 -13.2
  Jan 02, 2025 208   @ Northeastern L 77-80 35%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -3.0 +4.1 -7.1
  Jan 04, 2025 255   Monmouth W 84-64 64%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +12.1 +10.0 +2.8
  Jan 09, 2025 323   @ N.C. A&T W 98-88 63%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +2.5 +5.2 -4.3
  Jan 11, 2025 270   @ Hampton L 77-83 48%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -9.7 +4.8 -14.6
  Jan 16, 2025 311   Stony Brook W 84-74 75%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -1.2 +3.6 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 186   Elon W 79-77 49%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -1.9 +1.7 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2025 204   @ Hofstra L 68-93 33%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -24.6 +2.7 -28.9
  Jan 25, 2025 183   @ Drexel L 54-67 30%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -11.7 -10.3 -2.8
  Jan 30, 2025 158   Towson L 66-76 42%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.0 -3.9 -8.5
  Feb 01, 2025 255   @ Monmouth L 83-92 46%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -12.0 +9.1 -21.1
  Feb 06, 2025 113   UNC Wilmington L 67-77 32%     9 - 13 4 - 7 -9.3 -2.9 -7.0
  Feb 08, 2025 223   William & Mary W 74-64 57%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +4.2 -10.3 +13.5
  Feb 13, 2025 158   @ Towson L 67-74 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 176   Campbell L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 20, 2025 183   Drexel L 71-72 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 204   Hofstra W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 143   @ College of Charleston L 78-86 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 113   @ UNC Wilmington L 72-82 17%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.4 1.0 0.1 1.4 5th
6th 0.5 3.5 1.0 4.9 6th
7th 0.1 3.7 4.8 0.2 8.8 7th
8th 1.1 9.5 1.7 12.4 8th
9th 0.1 7.3 8.4 0.1 15.9 9th
10th 0.0 2.9 14.8 2.3 0.0 20.1 10th
11th 1.8 12.6 8.7 0.1 23.2 11th
12th 4.9 6.8 0.6 12.4 12th
13th 0.5 0.1 0.6 13th
14th 14th
Total 7.3 22.5 32.5 24.5 10.6 2.4 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 2.4% 5.9% 5.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
9-9 10.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 10.2
8-10 24.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.1 0.4 24.0
7-11 32.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 32.1
6-12 22.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 22.4
5-13 7.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.6%