Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#213
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#209
Pace75.0#45
Improvement-0.3#206

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#165
First Shot+2.2#113
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#279
Layup/Dunks+0.8#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#96
Freethrows+1.7#89
Improvement+1.5#68

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#268
First Shot-3.5#293
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#135
Layups/Dunks-3.8#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#235
Freethrows+0.0#197
Improvement-1.9#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.9% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 49.3% 64.4% 39.8%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 61.3% 50.5%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.2% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 2.9% 5.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round4.5% 5.9% 3.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 38.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 10
Quad 410 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 260   Bucknell L 73-85 72%     0 - 1 -20.6 -9.2 -10.2
  Nov 07, 2024 275   Robert Morris W 81-77 74%     1 - 1 -5.2 -0.8 -4.8
  Nov 12, 2024 274   @ Iona W 64-58 53%     2 - 1 +2.8 -7.5 +10.3
  Nov 18, 2024 176   Bryant L 84-85 55%     2 - 2 -4.8 +0.3 -5.0
  Nov 23, 2024 183   Vermont L 71-75 45%     2 - 3 -5.1 +1.3 -6.4
  Nov 24, 2024 107   Yale W 100-94 27%     3 - 3 +10.0 +19.3 -9.7
  Nov 30, 2024 257   @ Rider W 72-66 49%     4 - 3 +3.7 +6.4 -1.9
  Dec 03, 2024 348   Delaware St. W 93-80 88%     5 - 3 -2.3 +4.1 -7.8
  Dec 06, 2024 208   @ Duquesne L 66-80 38%     5 - 4 -13.3 +0.4 -14.7
  Dec 20, 2024 209   @ St. Peter's L 68-71 39%    
  Dec 28, 2024 20   @ St. John's L 69-89 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 152   @ Northeastern L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 04, 2025 287   Monmouth W 81-74 73%    
  Jan 09, 2025 311   @ N.C. A&T W 85-82 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 264   @ Hampton W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 327   Stony Brook W 82-72 81%    
  Jan 18, 2025 173   Elon W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 23, 2025 156   @ Hofstra L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 167   @ Drexel L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 30, 2025 147   Towson L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 287   @ Monmouth W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 06, 2025 140   UNC Wilmington L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 219   William & Mary W 86-82 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 147   @ Towson L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 278   Campbell W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 20, 2025 167   Drexel W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 156   Hofstra W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 77-84 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 72-79 28%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.3 3.6 4.7 0.9 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.4 2.0 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.2 3.4 0.3 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.3 0.7 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.5 1.3 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 1.8 0.1 7.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.2 6.0 8.6 11.8 13.7 13.9 12.8 10.9 7.7 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
15-3 84.3% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 58.0% 1.6    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 39.4% 39.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 24.7% 24.7% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 22.0% 22.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.7% 18.6% 18.6% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.2
13-5 4.8% 14.7% 14.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 4.1
12-6 7.7% 10.3% 10.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.9
11-7 10.9% 6.8% 6.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 10.2
10-8 12.8% 4.7% 4.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 12.2
9-9 13.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.5
8-10 13.7% 1.9% 1.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.4
7-11 11.8% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 11.7
6-12 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
5-13 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.7 0.6 95.4 0.0%