Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#206
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#189
Pace67.3#207
Improvement-0.4#245

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#193
First Shot-0.4#197
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#191
Layup/Dunks-0.5#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#285
Freethrows+2.0#49
Improvement-0.9#307

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#216
First Shot-1.0#213
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#192
Layups/Dunks-4.5#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#124
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement+0.5#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.3% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 76.5% 83.5% 53.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 59.0% 25.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round2.8% 3.1% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 76.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 410 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 168   @ Air Force L 71-75 33%     0 - 1 -1.2 +2.4 -3.7
  Nov 18, 2022 24   @ Duke L 58-92 6%     0 - 2 -18.0 -8.2 -9.1
  Nov 25, 2022 118   Colgate W 72-68 33%     1 - 2 +6.7 -3.0 +9.7
  Nov 26, 2022 360   Hartford W 78-50 91%     2 - 2 +11.1 -2.6 +13.6
  Nov 27, 2022 148   @ Penn L 73-86 29%     2 - 3 -9.2 +3.4 -13.3
  Dec 01, 2022 105   Cornell L 67-74 38%     2 - 4 -5.8 -6.3 +0.1
  Dec 03, 2022 123   Davidson W 69-67 43%     3 - 4 +1.9 +2.9 -0.8
  Dec 07, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 77-69 92%     4 - 4 -9.3 -0.4 -8.5
  Dec 11, 2022 151   Siena W 75-64 50%     5 - 4 +9.1 +3.6 +5.8
  Dec 16, 2022 115   @ Princeton W 76-69 24%     6 - 4 +12.7 +6.7 +6.1
  Dec 19, 2022 196   @ Rider W 60-59 38%     7 - 4 +2.3 -1.6 +4.2
  Dec 21, 2022 153   Ohio L 76-95 51%     7 - 5 -21.1 -2.1 -18.7
  Dec 29, 2022 107   Hofstra L 73-87 39%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -13.0 -0.9 -12.0
  Dec 31, 2022 334   Elon W 57-52 85%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -8.1 -17.4 +9.7
  Jan 07, 2023 83   @ College of Charleston L 64-75 15%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -1.7 -5.6 +4.0
  Jan 11, 2023 141   Towson W 72-59 47%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +11.9 +5.4 +7.8
  Jan 14, 2023 107   @ Hofstra L 62-86 22%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -17.5 -12.7 -3.4
  Jan 16, 2023 252   @ Northeastern L 58-59 51%     9 - 9 2 - 4 -3.0 -6.0 +2.8
  Jan 19, 2023 305   William & Mary W 80-53 80%     10 - 9 3 - 4 +16.4 +7.0 +11.6
  Jan 21, 2023 202   @ Drexel L 74-77 OT 39%     10 - 10 3 - 5 -1.9 -3.7 +2.0
  Jan 26, 2023 342   @ Hampton L 66-67 75%     10 - 11 3 - 6 -10.0 -5.4 -4.7
  Jan 28, 2023 252   Northeastern W 81-78 71%     11 - 11 4 - 6 -4.5 +3.6 -8.2
  Feb 02, 2023 351   @ Monmouth W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 04, 2023 83   College of Charleston L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 08, 2023 202   Drexel W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 13, 2023 313   Stony Brook W 71-62 81%    
  Feb 16, 2023 141   @ Towson L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 18, 2023 152   UNC Wilmington W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 23, 2023 277   @ N.C. A&T W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 25, 2023 334   @ Elon W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 3.1 0.3 5.0 4th
5th 0.2 4.2 9.8 2.5 0.0 16.7 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 12.4 5.3 0.1 21.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 12.0 8.9 0.5 23.5 7th
8th 0.4 6.4 8.4 1.2 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 6.0 1.6 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.4 0.1 5.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.1 1.4 6.1 15.9 25.4 26.7 17.3 6.2 0.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.9% 6.8% 6.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 6.2% 5.7% 5.7% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.8
10-8 17.3% 4.2% 4.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 16.6
9-9 26.7% 3.4% 3.4% 15.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 25.8
8-10 25.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.1 0.5 24.7
7-11 15.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 15.5
6-12 6.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.0
5-13 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-14 0.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.2 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 6.8% 13.7 2.3 4.0 0.4
Lose Out 0.1% 2.8% 16.0 2.8