Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#286
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#273
Pace64.9#302
Improvement-0.4#207

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#269
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebound-5.2#364
Layup/Dunks-3.8#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#73
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#25
Freethrows-3.4#338
Improvement-1.4#293

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#264
First Shot-2.9#278
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#180
Layups/Dunks+3.4#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#345
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement+1.0#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 5.9% 8.7% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 12.5% 17.7% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.2% 22.4% 47.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 57.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 94 - 13
Quad 47 - 811 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 305 @Bucknell L 70-78 43%     0 - 1 -12.8 -4.7 -8.1
  Tue, Nov 11 9 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0 - 2 +5.9 +15.7 -12.4
  Tue, Nov 18 291 St. Peter's W 81-70 63%     1 - 2 +1.0 +8.4 -7.0
  Sun, Nov 23 135 Southern Illinois L 59-79 22%     1 - 3 -18.5 -10.8 -8.3
  Tue, Nov 25 293 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 52%     2 - 3 +5.9 +2.4 +4.7
  Mon, Dec 1 171 Iona L 66-89 40%     2 - 4 -26.9 -8.7 -18.3
  Sat, Dec 6 348 @Delaware St. L 72-75 OT 59%     2 - 5 -12.0 -8.1 -3.6
  Wed, Dec 10 79 @George Washington W 70-58 7%     3 - 5 +22.3 +1.1 +21.5
  Sat, Dec 13 218 Cal St. Northridge L 66-88 50%     3 - 6 -28.5 -8.5 -20.8
  Tue, Dec 16 347 Rider W 65-57 78%     4 - 6 -6.9 -3.3 -2.6
  Mon, Dec 29 264 Missouri St. W 66-64 57%    
  Fri, Jan 2 271 Jacksonville St. W 66-64 58%    
  Sun, Jan 4 156 Kennesaw St. L 75-79 36%    
  Thu, Jan 8 116 @Sam Houston St. L 68-81 12%    
  Sat, Jan 10 188 @Louisiana Tech L 59-67 24%    
  Thu, Jan 15 217 UTEP L 65-66 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 133 New Mexico St. L 65-70 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 108 @Liberty L 63-76 11%    
  Wed, Jan 28 133 @New Mexico St. L 62-73 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 217 @UTEP L 63-69 29%    
  Wed, Feb 4 108 Liberty L 66-73 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 160 Middle Tennessee L 68-72 37%    
  Thu, Feb 12 186 @Florida International L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 264 @Missouri St. L 63-67 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 147 Western Kentucky L 72-77 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 160 @Middle Tennessee L 65-75 19%    
  Thu, Feb 26 271 @Jacksonville St. L 63-67 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 156 @Kennesaw St. L 72-82 19%    
  Thu, Mar 5 116 Sam Houston St. L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Mar 7 188 Louisiana Tech L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.4 0.7 0.1 4.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 3.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.4 4.4 1.0 0.0 16.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.2 7.0 4.6 1.1 0.1 20.1 11th
12th 0.4 1.8 4.6 6.5 5.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 22.8 12th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.9 8.3 12.0 13.8 14.3 13.2 10.9 8.0 5.7 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 72.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 54.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 24.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 18.2% 18.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 11.5% 11.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.5% 7.6% 7.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 0.9% 7.4% 7.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-8 1.9% 6.1% 6.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
11-9 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.1
10-10 5.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.1 0.0 5.7
9-11 8.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.9
8-12 10.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.9
7-13 13.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.2
6-14 14.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.3
5-15 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.8
4-16 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
3-17 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.3
2-18 4.9% 4.9
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%