Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#179
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#216
Pace62.5#338
Improvement+2.5#41

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#266
First Shot-3.7#280
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#188
Layup/Dunks+4.9#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#335
Freethrows-3.7#346
Improvement+2.3#37

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#97
First Shot+3.3#72
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#256
Layups/Dunks+2.1#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows+0.1#167
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.8% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 58.7% 71.6% 47.9%
.500 or above in Conference 57.6% 64.8% 51.6%
Conference Champion 6.5% 8.6% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 4.0% 7.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round6.1% 7.7% 4.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 45.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 411 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 98 @Nevada L 50-77 19%     0 - 1 -19.0 -13.7 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 15 315 Jackson St. W 68-51 84%     1 - 1 +4.9 -6.4 +11.6
  Wed, Nov 19 182 @Indiana St. L 51-60 39%     1 - 2 -7.4 -20.2 +12.9
  Wed, Nov 26 182 Indiana St. W 75-73 62%     2 - 2 -2.4 +4.7 -7.1
  Sat, Nov 29 330 Alcorn St. W 83-58 87%     3 - 2 +11.6 +13.2 +1.1
  Wed, Dec 3 236 @Georgia Southern L 69-77 49%     3 - 3 -9.1 -2.4 -7.0
  Sat, Dec 13 325 Louisiana W 65-44 86%     4 - 3 +8.3 -0.4 +12.1
  Wed, Dec 17 205 @Tulane L 68-69 45%    
  Mon, Dec 29 217 UTEP W 65-60 69%    
  Fri, Jan 2 157 @Middle Tennessee L 65-69 33%    
  Sun, Jan 4 147 @Western Kentucky L 68-73 32%    
  Thu, Jan 8 108 Liberty L 65-67 43%    
  Sat, Jan 10 283 Delaware W 69-61 78%    
  Wed, Jan 14 157 Middle Tennessee W 68-66 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 256 @Jacksonville St. W 63-62 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 161 Kennesaw St. W 75-73 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 217 @UTEP L 62-63 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 125 @Sam Houston St. L 66-73 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 134 New Mexico St. W 65-64 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 125 Sam Houston St. L 69-70 48%    
  Thu, Feb 12 251 @Missouri St. W 63-62 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 @Florida International L 68-70 41%    
  Wed, Feb 18 256 Jacksonville St. W 66-59 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 161 @Kennesaw St. L 72-76 35%    
  Thu, Feb 26 251 Missouri St. W 66-59 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 Florida International W 71-67 62%    
  Thu, Mar 5 108 @Liberty L 62-70 24%    
  Sat, Mar 7 283 @Delaware W 66-64 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.0 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.4 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 2.7 0.6 0.1 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.0 5.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.1 7.9 9.7 11.7 12.1 12.0 10.7 8.9 6.1 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.3% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 90.4% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
16-4 73.5% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.1
15-5 48.1% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.1% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 40.6% 40.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 29.7% 29.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.0% 24.3% 24.3% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-4 2.3% 24.1% 24.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.8
15-5 4.0% 17.0% 17.0% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 3.3
14-6 6.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3
13-7 8.9% 13.2% 13.2% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.7
12-8 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 9.8
11-9 12.0% 5.3% 5.3% 14.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 11.3
10-10 12.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.7
9-11 11.7% 2.7% 2.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.4
8-12 9.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.5
7-13 7.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-14 6.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-15 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-16 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-17 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.5 0.5 93.8 0.0%