Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#226
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#106
Pace65.8#261
Improvement+0.8#108

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#265
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#290
Layup/Dunks-3.2#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#34
Freethrows+1.0#110
Improvement+2.8#10

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#162
First Shot-0.2#177
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#145
Layups/Dunks-3.0#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows+0.5#156
Improvement-2.0#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 66.3% 78.2% 51.1%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 43.9% 30.2%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.7% 7.0% 13.2%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 10
Quad 412 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 159   @ Georgia L 51-58 27%     0 - 1 -3.5 -16.9 +12.9
  Nov 18, 2021 214   Ball St. W 73-60 48%     1 - 1 +10.8 -3.8 +14.4
  Nov 19, 2021 301   Green Bay W 63-60 68%     2 - 1 -4.7 -12.1 +7.5
  Nov 21, 2021 167   UNC Greensboro W 74-71 OT 40%     3 - 1 +2.9 +2.9 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2021 330   North Dakota W 65-56 85%     4 - 1 -4.9 -9.2 +5.3
  Nov 28, 2021 288   North Florida W 84-69 75%     5 - 1 +5.2 +8.2 -2.4
  Dec 01, 2021 192   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 04, 2021 268   Stetson W 69-63 72%    
  Dec 11, 2021 260   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 15, 2021 149   @ Jacksonville St. L 62-69 26%    
  Dec 19, 2021 345   Bethune-Cookman W 75-61 89%    
  Dec 21, 2021 353   Houston Baptist W 78-62 93%    
  Dec 30, 2021 228   Old Dominion W 63-60 62%    
  Jan 01, 2022 223   Charlotte W 65-62 60%    
  Jan 08, 2022 126   @ Western Kentucky L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 13, 2022 51   @ UAB L 59-74 9%    
  Jan 15, 2022 183   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 20, 2022 114   Marshall L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 126   Western Kentucky L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 27, 2022 300   @ Texas San Antonio W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 162   @ UTEP L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 03, 2022 247   Southern Miss W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 05, 2022 109   Louisiana Tech L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 10, 2022 114   @ Marshall L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 17, 2022 183   Middle Tennessee W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 184   Rice W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 24, 2022 223   @ Charlotte L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 26, 2022 228   @ Old Dominion L 60-63 40%    
  Mar 03, 2022 221   Florida Atlantic W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 05, 2022 221   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-70 39%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.7 0.3 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 3.5 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.8 4.4 1.2 0.1 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 5.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.1 0.5 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.7 1.0 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.3 2.8 4.8 1.9 0.1 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.5 2.2 0.2 9.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.9 13th
14th 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.2 5.1 14th
Total 0.2 0.5 1.6 4.0 6.7 10.2 12.2 13.2 13.5 12.3 9.1 6.8 4.8 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 67.3% 0.4    0.2 0.3 0.0
14-4 35.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-5 10.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 8.3% 8.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.6% 9.3% 9.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.2% 13.7% 13.7% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
13-5 3.0% 10.0% 10.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
12-6 4.8% 8.8% 8.8% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.4
11-7 6.8% 3.0% 3.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.5
10-8 9.1% 1.2% 1.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 9.0
9-9 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
8-10 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 13.4
7-11 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 13.2
6-12 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-13 10.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-14 6.7% 6.7
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 98.5 0.0%