Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#182
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#165
Pace77.1#30
Improvement+2.0#66

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#188
First Shot+0.9#153
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#293
Layup/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#219
Freethrows-1.0#244
Improvement+1.3#87

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#188
First Shot+3.5#72
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#359
Layups/Dunks+2.7#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#203
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement+0.7#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 6.6% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.1
.500 or above 44.2% 59.9% 35.0%
.500 or above in Conference 47.8% 63.8% 38.5%
Conference Champion 4.2% 8.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 3.4% 10.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.5% 6.6% 3.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 25 @Nebraska L 66-96 4%     0 - 1 -11.9 -4.4 -4.9
  Thu, Nov 13 39 @LSU L 81-98 7%     0 - 2 -1.6 +5.8 -5.7
  Mon, Nov 24 198 James Madison L 72-80 64%     0 - 3 -13.4 -3.6 -10.1
  Wed, Nov 26 221 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 69%     1 - 3 +6.2 -6.1 +12.0
  Wed, Dec 3 186 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 62%     2 - 3 +1.2 +5.1 -4.3
  Sat, Dec 6 317 Jacksonville W 88-65 84%     3 - 3 +10.9 +11.8 -0.4
  Tue, Dec 16 35 @Miami (FL) L 81-98 6%     3 - 4 -0.8 +10.3 -9.8
  Sat, Dec 20 206 LIU Brooklyn W 86-79 66%     4 - 4 +1.1 +2.8 -2.3
  Sun, Dec 28 102 Liberty L 74-77 37%    
  Fri, Jan 2 127 New Mexico St. L 74-75 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 202 UTEP W 75-71 65%    
  Wed, Jan 7 236 @Jacksonville St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 254 @Missouri St. W 72-71 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 152 @Kennesaw St. L 81-86 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 122 Sam Houston St. L 82-83 45%    
  Thu, Jan 22 202 @UTEP L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 127 @New Mexico St. L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Jan 28 236 Jacksonville St. W 75-69 70%    
  Wed, Feb 4 158 @Middle Tennessee L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 145 @Western Kentucky L 79-85 30%    
  Thu, Feb 12 284 Delaware W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 187 Louisiana Tech W 71-68 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 102 @Liberty L 71-80 20%    
  Sat, Feb 21 254 Missouri St. W 75-68 72%    
  Thu, Feb 26 122 @Sam Houston St. L 79-86 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 187 @Louisiana Tech L 68-71 40%    
  Thu, Mar 5 158 Middle Tennessee W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 145 Western Kentucky W 83-82 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.7 1.6 0.2 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.1 3.3 0.4 11.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.4 3.2 1.0 0.1 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.6 2.2 0.7 0.1 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.1 7.6 9.9 12.2 12.4 12.5 11.0 8.9 6.6 4.2 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 96.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 82.1% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 49.5% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1
14-6 21.5% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
13-7 4.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 45.1% 45.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 26.3% 26.3% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.2% 24.3% 24.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-5 2.5% 16.6% 16.6% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
14-6 4.2% 14.9% 14.9% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.6
13-7 6.6% 11.6% 11.6% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 5.9
12-8 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 8.1
11-9 11.0% 5.1% 5.1% 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.5
10-10 12.5% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.2
9-11 12.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.1
8-12 12.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.1
7-13 9.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.8
6-14 7.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.5
5-15 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.1
4-16 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-17 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-18 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 95.4 0.0%