Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#186
Expected Predictive Rating-1.1#189
Pace75.1#47
Improvement+2.2#48

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#203
First Shot-0.7#192
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks-0.4#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#147
Freethrows-1.5#275
Improvement+1.1#79

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#179
First Shot+5.5#38
After Offensive Rebounds-6.0#364
Layups/Dunks+5.5#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement+1.1#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 8.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.0 14.0
.500 or above 41.1% 70.8% 39.8%
.500 or above in Conference 47.1% 66.9% 46.2%
Conference Champion 4.7% 10.3% 4.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 3.4% 9.3%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round4.8% 8.1% 4.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 4.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 30 @Nebraska L 66-96 5%     0 - 1 -13.0 -4.3 -6.1
  Thu, Nov 13 38 @LSU L 81-98 7%     0 - 2 -2.0 +7.4 -7.6
  Mon, Nov 24 180 James Madison L 72-80 60%     0 - 3 -12.5 -3.2 -9.6
  Wed, Nov 26 237 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 70%     1 - 3 +5.7 -6.1 +11.5
  Wed, Dec 3 179 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 60%     2 - 3 +1.5 +5.2 -4.1
  Sat, Dec 6 294 Jacksonville W 88-65 79%     3 - 3 +12.8 +13.4 -0.1
  Tue, Dec 16 33 @Miami (FL) L 69-87 4%    
  Sat, Dec 20 227 LIU Brooklyn W 81-76 68%    
  Sun, Dec 28 110 Liberty L 73-76 40%    
  Fri, Jan 2 129 New Mexico St. L 72-73 46%    
  Sun, Jan 4 230 UTEP W 74-69 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 239 @Jacksonville St. L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 249 @Missouri St. W 73-72 51%    
  Wed, Jan 14 155 @Kennesaw St. L 82-87 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 127 Sam Houston St. L 79-80 45%    
  Thu, Jan 22 230 @UTEP L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Jan 24 129 @New Mexico St. L 69-76 26%    
  Wed, Jan 28 239 Jacksonville St. W 72-66 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 153 @Middle Tennessee L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 145 @Western Kentucky L 77-83 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 245 Delaware W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 14 192 Louisiana Tech W 71-68 61%    
  Thu, Feb 19 110 @Liberty L 70-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 249 Missouri St. W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Feb 26 127 @Sam Houston St. L 76-83 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 192 @Louisiana Tech L 68-71 40%    
  Thu, Mar 5 153 Middle Tennessee W 78-77 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 145 Western Kentucky W 81-80 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.4 1.7 0.2 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.8 0.8 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 3.2 0.9 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.4 7.7 10.2 11.7 12.1 11.7 10.5 8.9 6.6 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 88.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 76.0% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 53.6% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 22.1% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 40.3% 40.3% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 28.2% 28.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.4% 20.5% 20.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2
15-5 2.6% 21.9% 21.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1
14-6 4.4% 16.5% 16.5% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 3.7
13-7 6.6% 11.6% 11.6% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 5.8
12-8 8.9% 8.4% 8.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.1
11-9 10.5% 5.3% 5.3% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 9.9
10-10 11.7% 2.9% 2.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.3
9-11 12.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.8
8-12 11.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.5
7-13 10.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-14 7.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-15 5.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-16 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-17 1.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.7
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 95.1 0.0%