Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.5 #182
Expected Predictive Rating -2.6 #208
Pace 79.0 #10
Improvement -1.0 #237

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #196 C C+ C C C+
Defense #184 C D+ B+ C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #26 1.11 #242 +3.0 #81
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #186 0.78 #134 +0.0 #177
Three Pointers 34% #316 1.05 #133 -3.0 #287
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #172 +0.0 #174
Freethrows 0.32 #131 67% #331 0.22 #193
Second Chance 32.0% #142 1.06 #139 0.34 #122
Turnovers 17.0% #177
Total Offense -1.0 #196

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #268 1.13 #140 +2.2 #102
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #336 0.87 #334 +1.6 #65
Three Pointers 50% #12 1.00 #148 -3.9 #328
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #192 -0.1 #184
Freethrows 0.32 #221 72% #149 0.23 #218
Second Chance 35.0% #327 1.03 #197 0.36 #299
Turnovers 20.4% #31
Total Defense -0.5 #184

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #112 1.0% #268
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.9% #188 -0.3% #180
Possession Length 14.4 #5 17.4 #207
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #30 0.18 #194
Improvement -2.1 #297 +1.1 #125

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 22.8% 39.3% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 25.5% 44.3% 15.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 1.1% 4.9%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round3.3% 4.8% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 12
Quad 49 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 13 @Nebraska L 66 - 96 3% -21  0 - 1 -8 -2 D+ A- F -4 F+ D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 48 @LSU L 81 - 98 8% -10  0 - 2 -3 +5 C- B B+ -6 B+ F B
 Mon, Nov 24 220 James Madison L 72 - 80 68% +1  0 - 3 -14 -3 D D B -11 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 26 242 Nebraska Omaha W 74 - 61 73% +8  1 - 3 +5 -5 D C- A +10 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 224 Florida Gulf Coast W 89 - 83 69% +6  2 - 3 -1 +5 D+ B C -6 B- D C+
 Sat, Dec 6 297 Jacksonville W 88 - 65 81% +18  3 - 3 +12 +13 A+ D+ C -0 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 40 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 98 6% -6  3 - 4 -1 +9 B B B- -9 F+ C C
 Sat, Dec 20 203 LIU Brooklyn W 86 - 79 66% +2  4 - 4 +1 +5 A D+ C- -4 C C+ A
 Sun, Dec 28 92 Liberty L 94 - 97 OT 34% +0  4 - 5 0 - 1 -0 +11 C+ A+ C -11 C F C
 Fri, Jan 2 160 New Mexico St. W 89 - 74 57% +11  5 - 5 1 - 1 +12 +12 B+ A+ D -0 F A- A+
 Sun, Jan 4 255 UTEP W 76 - 64 74% +2  6 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +5 C A+ C+ -0 C+ C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 190 @Jacksonville St. L 64 - 71 40% -1  6 - 6 2 - 2 -6 -1 C D D+ -5 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 185 @Missouri St. L 71 - 79 39% -6  6 - 7 2 - 3 -7 -2 F+ C+ B -4 C F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 146 @Kennesaw St. L 86 - 89 30% +4  6 - 8 2 - 4 +1 +10 D A+ B -9 D- C+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 112 Sam Houston St. L 63 - 76 43% -7  6 - 9 2 - 5 -13 -14 F D- F +2 C+ B A-
 Thu, Jan 22 255 @UTEP L 77 - 83 53% -5  6 - 10 2 - 6 -8 +3 B+ D- C+ -11 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 160 @New Mexico St. W 81 - 78 34% +4  7 - 10 3 - 6 +6 +2 C F A+ +3 A- C A-
 Wed, Jan 28 190 Jacksonville St. L 74 - 78 63% +4  7 - 11 3 - 7 -9 -9 C D F +0 D A B-
 Wed, Feb 4 166 @Middle Tennessee W 88 - 84 OT 35% +1  8 - 11 4 - 7 +7 +5 C C- B +1 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 168 @Western Kentucky L 78 - 82 36%
 Thu, Feb 12 285 Delaware W 78 - 69 79%
 Sat, Feb 14 228 Louisiana Tech W 74 - 69 69%
 Thu, Feb 19 92 @Liberty L 73 - 83 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 185 Missouri St. W 77 - 74 61%
 Thu, Feb 26 112 @Sam Houston St. L 78 - 86 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 228 @Louisiana Tech L 71 - 72 47%
 Thu, Mar 5 166 Middle Tennessee W 76 - 74 57%
 Sat, Mar 7 168 Western Kentucky W 81 - 79 58%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 12 -1 -1 C C+ C +0 C D+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.1 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 1.0 6.0 2.2 0.1 9.2 5th
6th 0.2 6.0 6.5 0.5 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.9 10.8 2.1 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 9.6 5.8 0.1 16.6 8th
9th 0.4 6.0 8.7 0.8 15.9 9th
10th 0.4 3.7 8.2 2.3 0.0 14.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.5 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.3 2.0 7.2 16.9 23.7 24.4 16.5 7.0 1.8 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-8 1.8% 13.3% 13.3% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.6
11-9 7.0% 9.2% 9.2% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.4
10-10 16.5% 5.7% 5.7% 14.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 15.5
9-11 24.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 23.6
8-12 23.7% 2.0% 2.0% 15.7 0.2 0.3 23.3
7-13 16.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.6
6-14 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.2
5-15 2.0% 2.0
4-16 0.3% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.7 96.5 0.0%