Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#195
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#229
Pace78.9#19
Improvement-1.1#265

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#253
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#347
Layup/Dunks+6.2#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#253
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement-0.7#248

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#144
First Shot+2.0#105
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#271
Layups/Dunks-2.0#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#79
Freethrows+3.4#15
Improvement-0.4#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% 2.0% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 23.8% 27.2% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 28.3% 30.5% 19.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.4% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 10.9% 16.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.8% 1.9% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 80.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 86 - 14
Quad 47 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 199 @Charlotte L 76-92 39%     0 - 1 -15.4 +2.5 -18.1
  Mon, Nov 10 206 @SIU Edwardsville W 64-55 41%     1 - 1 +9.0 -7.5 +16.3
  Fri, Nov 14 2 @Duke L 62-100 1%     1 - 2 -12.3 -3.8 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 19 193 Louisiana Tech W 60-51 61%     2 - 2 +3.8 -13.1 +16.7
  Sat, Nov 22 288 Ball St. W 70-52 77%     3 - 2 +8.0 -2.4 +11.9
  Wed, Nov 26 193 @Louisiana Tech L 73-75 38%     3 - 3 -1.2 +6.9 -8.2
  Fri, Nov 28 331 Alcorn St. L 74-81 76%     3 - 4 -16.6 -11.5 -4.3
  Sun, Dec 7 312 Southern Indiana W 83-74 80%    
  Sun, Dec 14 207 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 78-80 42%    
  Thu, Dec 18 116 Bradley L 74-76 41%    
  Sun, Dec 21 100 @Illinois St. L 70-80 17%    
  Mon, Dec 29 94 Belmont L 76-81 33%    
  Thu, Jan 1 93 @Northern Iowa L 63-74 15%    
  Sun, Jan 4 143 @Drake L 67-73 29%    
  Sat, Jan 10 291 Evansville W 77-69 77%    
  Wed, Jan 14 100 Illinois St. L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 118 @Murray St. L 79-87 22%    
  Wed, Jan 21 116 @Bradley L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Jan 24 143 Drake L 70-71 50%    
  Tue, Jan 27 174 @Illinois-Chicago L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 31 267 Valparaiso W 76-70 71%    
  Tue, Feb 3 291 @Evansville W 74-72 57%    
  Mon, Feb 9 142 Southern Illinois L 76-77 49%    
  Thu, Feb 12 118 Murray St. L 82-84 42%    
  Sun, Feb 15 267 @Valparaiso W 73-72 52%    
  Wed, Feb 18 93 Northern Iowa L 66-71 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 94 @Belmont L 73-84 17%    
  Wed, Feb 25 142 @Southern Illinois L 73-79 29%    
  Sun, Mar 1 174 Illinois-Chicago W 79-77 57%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.2 1.4 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.8 5.2 1.9 0.2 13.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.6 5.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 16.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.4 6.1 5.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.5 4.3 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.6 6.4 9.0 12.0 13.0 13.3 11.9 9.8 7.2 4.9 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 97.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 80.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 51.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
14-6 16.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 14.6% 14.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 22.7% 22.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 0.8% 12.4% 12.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.9% 11.9% 11.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
13-7 3.2% 7.9% 7.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
12-8 4.9% 4.7% 4.7% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.7
11-9 7.2% 3.6% 3.6% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.0
10-10 9.8% 2.3% 2.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.6
9-11 11.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.7
8-12 13.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 13.2
7-13 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.0
6-14 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-15 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-16 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-17 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-18 1.8% 1.8
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 98.2 0.0%