UTEP
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#162
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#178
Pace67.8#219
Improvement-0.8#248

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#256
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#190
Layup/Dunks-2.8#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#270
Freethrows+2.5#40
Improvement-1.7#322

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#85
First Shot-1.1#216
After Offensive Rebounds+4.1#9
Layups/Dunks-0.4#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#114
Freethrows-4.2#346
Improvement+0.8#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 6.4% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 57.3% 71.4% 45.3%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 66.4% 52.0%
Conference Champion 5.1% 6.9% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.8% 4.8%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round4.8% 6.2% 3.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Home) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 49 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 102   @ New Mexico St. L 71-77 25%     0 - 1 +1.3 -0.4 +1.8
  Nov 19, 2021 187   @ Pacific W 73-64 44%     1 - 1 +10.8 +2.1 +8.6
  Nov 22, 2021 139   UC Riverside L 40-52 55%     1 - 2 -13.0 -27.0 +13.1
  Nov 24, 2021 305   Florida A&M W 67-53 86%     2 - 2 +2.9 -6.9 +10.2
  Dec 03, 2021 102   New Mexico St. L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 07, 2021 9   @ Kansas L 62-82 3%    
  Dec 12, 2021 201   @ New Mexico L 74-75 47%    
  Dec 16, 2021 328   McNeese St. W 78-64 90%    
  Dec 21, 2021 337   NC Central W 74-58 93%    
  Dec 30, 2021 51   @ UAB L 61-72 15%    
  Jan 01, 2022 183   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 06, 2022 109   Louisiana Tech L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 08, 2022 247   Southern Miss W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 13, 2022 223   @ Charlotte L 63-64 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 228   @ Old Dominion W 62-61 52%    
  Jan 20, 2022 300   Texas San Antonio W 76-65 83%    
  Jan 23, 2022 300   @ Texas San Antonio W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 27, 2022 221   Florida Atlantic W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 29, 2022 226   Florida International W 67-61 70%    
  Feb 03, 2022 108   @ North Texas L 56-63 27%    
  Feb 05, 2022 184   @ Rice L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 13, 2022 114   Marshall L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 109   @ Louisiana Tech L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 247   @ Southern Miss W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 26, 2022 51   UAB L 64-69 31%    
  Mar 03, 2022 184   Rice W 74-70 65%    
  Mar 05, 2022 108   North Texas L 59-60 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 4.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.3 4.0 0.9 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 4.1 4.6 0.9 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 3.2 4.6 1.7 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 4.9 2.6 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.0 0.4 8.1 9th
10th 0.3 2.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 1.0 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.3 0.2 4.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.4 7.9 9.4 13.4 12.8 12.5 10.9 8.9 5.9 4.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.5% 0.8    0.7 0.2
15-3 69.6% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.1
14-4 41.1% 1.8    0.6 0.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 10.1% 0.6    0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 52.2% 47.8% 4.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3%
17-1 0.2% 36.0% 36.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.9% 39.5% 37.2% 2.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3.7%
15-3 2.0% 20.7% 20.5% 0.2% 12.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.2%
14-4 4.4% 15.2% 15.2% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.8
13-5 5.9% 15.9% 15.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 5.0 0.0%
12-6 8.9% 10.5% 10.5% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 8.0
11-7 10.9% 5.8% 5.8% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 10.3
10-8 12.5% 3.1% 3.1% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.1
9-9 12.8% 1.6% 1.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.6
8-10 13.4% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.4
7-11 9.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.3
6-12 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.2 95.1 0.0%