UTEP
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#211
Expected Predictive Rating-10.0#313
Pace63.2#332
Improvement+1.9#68

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#273
First Shot-4.6#307
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#133
Layup/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
Freethrows-3.9#353
Improvement+1.5#68

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#143
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#260
Layups/Dunks+4.6#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#223
Freethrows-2.0#304
Improvement+0.4#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.5% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 12.5% 16.4% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 39.7% 44.2% 30.8%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.6% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.4% 15.8%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round2.7% 3.3% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 66.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 33 - 93 - 15
Quad 47 - 410 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 11 126 Loyola Marymount L 58-71 40%     0 - 1 -13.8 -5.3 -10.0
  Sat, Nov 15 43 @Utah St. L 51-75 6%     0 - 2 -9.6 -14.0 +3.6
  Mon, Nov 24 120 William & Mary L 63-74 27%     0 - 3 -8.0 -11.5 +4.1
  Tue, Nov 25 115 UAB L 59-75 26%     0 - 4 -12.6 -6.9 -7.4
  Sun, Dec 7 110 @Seattle L 68-75 18%     0 - 5 -0.4 +4.3 -5.1
  Sat, Dec 13 111 @Hawaii L 61-66 18%     0 - 6 +1.6 +1.2 -0.1
  Sun, Dec 21 237 Norfolk St. W 66-62 66%    
  Mon, Dec 29 189 @Louisiana Tech L 59-63 34%    
  Fri, Jan 2 266 @Missouri St. L 63-64 47%    
  Sun, Jan 4 186 @Florida International L 69-73 34%    
  Thu, Jan 8 159 Middle Tennessee L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 144 Western Kentucky L 71-72 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 287 @Delaware W 66-65 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 108 @Liberty L 62-72 18%    
  Thu, Jan 22 186 Florida International W 72-70 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 266 Missouri St. W 66-61 68%    
  Wed, Jan 28 189 Louisiana Tech W 62-60 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 287 Delaware W 68-62 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 118 @Sam Houston St. L 67-77 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 135 New Mexico St. L 64-66 44%    
  Wed, Feb 11 273 @Jacksonville St. L 62-63 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 108 Liberty L 65-69 36%    
  Sat, Feb 21 135 @New Mexico St. L 61-69 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 159 @Middle Tennessee L 64-70 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 144 @Western Kentucky L 68-75 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 156 Kennesaw St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 273 Jacksonville St. W 66-60 69%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.8 1.7 0.2 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 5.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 3.7 0.9 0.0 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.4 6.9 9.0 11.3 12.6 12.3 11.6 9.3 7.4 4.8 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 90.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 74.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 47.1% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.5% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 16.0% 16.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 22.6% 22.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 0.9% 18.0% 18.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
15-5 2.0% 15.2% 15.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.7
14-6 3.1% 11.5% 11.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.8
13-7 4.8% 10.0% 10.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.3
12-8 7.4% 6.8% 6.8% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 6.9
11-9 9.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.6 0.1 0.2 8.9
10-10 11.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.3
9-11 12.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.2
8-12 12.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.5
7-13 11.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
6-14 9.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-15 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-16 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 97.0 0.0%