Tulane
American Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#168
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#285
Pace67.7#222
Improvement+1.7#55

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot-1.9#231
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#148
Layup/Dunks-2.4#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#149
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+0.7#108

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#125
First Shot+2.1#110
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#234
Layups/Dunks+2.1#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows+1.1#121
Improvement+1.0#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 15.5
.500 or above 11.1% 12.5% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 15.2% 16.5% 6.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.8% 21.8% 29.2%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 7
Quad 21 - 42 - 11
Quad 34 - 55 - 17
Quad 46 - 312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 327   SE Louisiana W 70-67 88%     1 - 0 -10.1 -7.3 -2.8
  Nov 13, 2021 292   Southern L 70-73 83%     1 - 1 -13.1 -10.7 -2.1
  Nov 17, 2021 31   @ Florida St. L 54-59 8%     1 - 2 +10.2 -4.2 +13.8
  Nov 22, 2021 169   Drexel W 90-87 OT 50%     2 - 2 +2.8 +4.9 -2.4
  Nov 23, 2021 117   Toledo L 67-68 38%     2 - 3 +2.1 -9.1 +11.2
  Nov 24, 2021 204   Valparaiso L 64-68 57%     2 - 4 -5.9 -5.6 -0.4
  Nov 30, 2021 198   @ College of Charleston L 77-81 44%     2 - 5 -2.6 -2.1 -0.1
  Dec 04, 2021 315   Alcorn St. W 72-60 87%    
  Dec 07, 2021 198   College of Charleston W 79-75 66%    
  Dec 14, 2021 80   @ Texas A&M L 59-69 18%    
  Dec 18, 2021 324   Grambling St. W 73-61 87%    
  Dec 21, 2021 285   New Orleans W 79-70 80%    
  Dec 29, 2021 23   Memphis L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 01, 2022 55   @ Cincinnati L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 05, 2022 178   @ East Carolina L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 08, 2022 225   South Florida W 61-55 69%    
  Jan 12, 2022 53   @ Wichita St. L 59-70 14%    
  Jan 15, 2022 99   SMU L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 22, 2022 65   @ Central Florida L 62-73 18%    
  Jan 26, 2022 142   Tulsa W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 29, 2022 53   Wichita St. L 62-67 31%    
  Feb 02, 2022 7   @ Houston L 53-74 3%    
  Feb 05, 2022 178   East Carolina W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 09, 2022 23   @ Memphis L 62-79 7%    
  Feb 12, 2022 150   Temple W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 15, 2022 225   @ South Florida L 58-59 49%    
  Feb 23, 2022 7   Houston L 56-71 10%    
  Feb 27, 2022 150   @ Temple L 66-70 35%    
  Mar 03, 2022 65   Central Florida L 65-70 35%    
  Mar 06, 2022 99   @ SMU L 67-75 25%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.1 2.6 0.5 9.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 5.6 3.7 0.5 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 7.8 4.5 0.7 16.0 8th
9th 0.4 3.3 7.7 4.6 0.9 0.0 16.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.4 7.3 4.0 0.7 0.0 17.3 10th
11th 0.4 2.2 4.5 4.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 14.7 11th
Total 0.4 2.2 5.5 9.2 13.6 15.1 15.8 13.0 10.1 7.2 4.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 24.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 10.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 0.2
13-5 0.4% 0.4
12-6 0.9% 2.5% 2.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 2.1
10-8 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
9-9 7.2% 0.9% 0.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-10 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1
7-11 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.0
6-12 15.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.8
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14 13.6% 13.6
3-15 9.2% 9.2
2-16 5.5% 5.5
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%