Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.5 112
Results Rating +3.8 114
Consistency 0.14 89
Pace 73.9 42
Improvement -0.1 189

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 102 C+ B- C D+ C+
Defense C 145 C+ C C C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 39 C- 57% 199 +2.8 81
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 144 D+ 35% 271 -0.8 227
Three Pointers 36% 282 B 37% 45 -0.7 206
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 109 C +0.6 140
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 136
Second Chance B+ 35.9% 39 C- 1.00 231 B- 0.36 76
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 132
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 253
Turnovers C 16.7% 179
Freethrows D+ 0.28 253 C- 71% 250 D+ 0.20 264
Total Offense C+ +2.8 102

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 139 B 8.6% 56
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 148 B- 3.9% 105
Three Pointers D+ 80% 274 B 0.4% 69
Total C 55% 180 B- 4.8% 84


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 264 D+ 61% 261 -0.3 162
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 164 C+ 37% 145 -0.1 178
Three Pointers 43% 106 B 31% 56 -0.7 150
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 126 C+ -0.9 141
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 139
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 145 C- 1.06 248 C 0.31 192
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 150
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 280
Turnovers C 16.5% 192
Freethrows C- 0.31 217 B- 71% 84 C 0.22 194
Total Defense C +0.7 145

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 200 D+ 8.5% 275
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 137 D+ 3.6% 255
Three Pointers B- 81% 100 C 0.9% 154
Total C 54% 161 D+ 4.2% 296

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 62 16.9 105
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 28 0.17 189
Consistency 0.12 158 0.12 119
Improvement -0.4 207 +0.3 173

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 121 113 106
Results Rating Rank 128 117 96
Conference Record 13 - 7 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44% 68% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round44% 68% 0%
Second Round3% 4% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 310 - 611 - 10
Quad 49 - 120 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 18 @Texas Tech L 77 - 98 6% -8  9% 0 - 1 C +0 A- +10 C A+ F+ F+ -9 B- F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 108 @Utah L 79 - 85 36% -9  5% 0 - 2 C +1 C +1 C- D+ C+ C+ +1 C- B+ A
 Wed, Nov 19 102 Wyoming W 78 - 70 56% +3  86% 1 - 2 B +10 C +1 C- B- F A +9 C- A+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 265 Idaho St. W 84 - 81 81% +1  61% 2 - 2 C- -3 C +1 D+ A+ F+ D+ -3 F A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 159 Idaho W 94 - 68 62% +4  56% 3 - 2 A+ +26 A+ +29 A+ A+ A+ C +0 D+ C D+
 Tue, Dec 2 59 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 93 19% -0  49% 3 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 A F C- B- +2 B- F A
 Sat, Dec 6 316 @Texas Southern W 82 - 70 83% +6  71% 4 - 3 B- +5 D -6 F C- D A +10 A+ C- B-
 Wed, Dec 17 148 @Oregon St. W 85 - 75 50% +8  97% 5 - 3 B+ +14 B +6 B- B D- B+ +7 C A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 184 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 87 57% -13  3% 5 - 4 0 - 1 D+ -7 C- -1 D C- D+ D -5 F B- F
 Fri, Jan 2 163 @Western Kentucky L 91 - 102 52% +1  64% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D+ -8 B+ +9 C+ B B F -16 C F B
 Sun, Jan 4 167 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 53% -5  20% 5 - 6 0 - 3 C+ +2 D -5 C+ B- F A- +7 C A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 287 Delaware W 72 - 60 90% +7  99% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C +2 C- -1 D- C- A B +4 B+ B- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 126 Liberty L 74 - 82 66% -5  8% 6 - 7 1 - 4 D -9 D- -7 C D- F C -1 D+ C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 202 @Jacksonville St. W 77 - 62 60% +7  98% 7 - 7 2 - 4 A- +16 A +13 A+ A- D- B +5 B C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 189 @Florida International W 76 - 63 58% +7  93% 8 - 7 3 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -3 C- D D A+ +17 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 165 Kennesaw St. W 93 - 87 74% +5  93% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 A+ B A D- -8 C+ D F
 Sat, Jan 24 163 Western Kentucky W 73 - 58 73% +14  93% 10 - 7 5 - 4 B+ +12 C -0 D+ A+ A A+ +13 A- F+ A+
 Wed, Jan 28 194 @Missouri St. W 80 - 71 59% +4  87% 11 - 7 6 - 4 B +10 B +6 B D+ F+ B +4 C F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 183 Louisiana Tech W 83 - 67 77% +6  92% 12 - 7 7 - 4 B+ +12 A+ +15 B- A+ A+ C- -2 A+ F C
 Wed, Feb 4 261 UTEP W 70 - 66 87% +4  86% 13 - 7 8 - 4 C- -5 D- -7 F B- C+ B- +2 B A F
 Sat, Feb 7 183 @Louisiana Tech L 78 - 87 57% +0  51% 13 - 8 8 - 5 D+ -7 C +0 B+ D D- D- -7 D+ C- D-
 Sat, Feb 14 165 @Kennesaw St. W 83 - 79 52% +2  74% 14 - 8 9 - 5 B- +7 A +13 A+ A- C D -5 D- D+ D-
 Wed, Feb 18 167 Middle Tennessee W 78 - 70 74% +7  98% 15 - 8 10 - 5 C+ +5 C +1 D+ A- B B +4 A- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 202 Jacksonville St. W 82 - 78 80% +3  63% 16 - 8 11 - 5 C -1 B+ +9 B B C F+ -10 D- A+ F
 Thu, Feb 26 189 Florida International W 100 - 67 78% +20  99% 17 - 8 12 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ B B- A +9 A+ D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 194 Missouri St. W 86 - 81 78% +8  95% 18 - 8 13 - 5 C +0 A- +11 C A- A F -10 C- D+ F
 Thu, Mar 5 287 @Delaware L 80 - 83 77% -3  13% 18 - 9 13 - 6 D+ -7 C +0 D+ B C D- -8 F D- F+
 Sat, Mar 7 126 @Liberty L 72 - 79 43% -6  3% 18 - 10 13 - 7 C -2 B- +4 F+ A+ A D- -7 D+ F C-
 Wed, Mar 11 184 New Mexico St. W 69 - 61 68% +8  99% 19 - 10 B- +7 F+ -9 F F B A+ +15 A B+ A
 Fri, Mar 13 165 Kennesaw St. W 86 - 82 64%
Totals 20 - 10 13 - 7 +3 C+ +3 A C C+ C +1 B C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D+ B C 44% 41% 36% C+ C+ B+ C- B- C D+ C- D+ C D+ C+ B C+ 36% 21% 43% C+ C+ C+ C- C C C- B- C
1.13 57% 35% 37% +1 +1 1.04 36% 1.0 .36 17% .28 71% .20 1.08 61% 37% 31% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.1 .31 16% .31 71% .20
Nov
7		 Texas Tech A- D+ F+ A+ B- 28% 43% 28% D- C A+ C+ A+ F+ A B- A F+ C D+ D B 29% 20% 51% C+ B- F C- F C+ F A F
1.09 53% 30% 40% -2 -4 0.91 45% 0.9 .43 20% .35 70% .25 1.39 62% 44% 39% +6 -1 1.13 50% 1.1 .55 16% .72 65% .47
Nov
15		 Utah C F B+ B D+ 46% 18% 36% B- C- C F+ D+ C+ D- A+ C- C+ C+ F C- C+ 48% 6% 46% F C- F A+ B+ A F D- F
1.07 46% 45% 36% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.8 .24 14% .20 85% .17 1.15 57% 67% 36% +3 +3 1.13 43% 0.6 .24 20% .51 80% .41
Nov
19		 Wyoming C B A+ F C 32% 23% 45% D- C- B+ D B- F A+ A+ A+ A F D+ A+ D+ 46% 22% 32% B C- D+ A+ A+ A F A+ A+
1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52 0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16
Nov
26		 Idaho St. C F+ A+ C+ D+ 38% 19% 43% C- D+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ C+ A+ D+ F F C+ F 34% 11% 55% C- F C A+ A+ A+ F D- F
1.16 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.1 .55 18% .47 79% .37 1.12 77% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.18 32% 0.6 .18 23% .74 78% .58
Nov
28		 Idaho A+ C+ C A+ A+ 30% 26% 44% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F C F F B+ D+ 22% 10% 67% C+ D+ B D- C D+ C+ A+ A+
1.48 59% 40% 56% +15 -1 1.30 43% 1.3 .57 9% .16 67% .10 1.07 73% 60% 30% +2 0 1.06 25% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13
Dec
2		 Oklahoma St. C B- A+ A A+ 25% 17% 58% D+ A B- F F C- F A+ D- B- D B- A+ B- 54% 11% 35% D B- F F F A F A D
1.05 60% 50% 40% +8 0 1.17 31% 0.3 .10 18% .17 82% .14 1.18 66% 33% 26% -1 +2 1.06 40% 1.4 .54 19% .44 68% .30
Dec
6		 Texas Southern D D+ F F F 55% 11% 34% A- F C+ F+ C- D A+ C+ A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 19% 41% F+ A+ D+ C+ C- B- F D- F
1.03 55% 17% 22% -10 +2 0.87 35% 0.9 .33 18% .49 72% .35 0.88 50% 18% 21% -15 0 0.73 29% 1.0 .29 19% .44 75% .33
Dec
17		 Oregon St. B C- D B B- 46% 12% 42% B B- A D+ B D- B+ C B+ B+ F A+ A+ C 24% 15% 62% B- C A+ F A+ D- A- B A
1.14 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.9 .38 17% .37 74% .28 1.01 92% 25% 26% -1 0 1.00 11% 1.8 .20 15% .30 74% .22
Dec
21		 New Mexico St. C- F A+ C D- 38% 14% 48% B+ D B+ F C- D+ B+ D- C+ D C- F D F 41% 23% 36% F+ F A+ F B- F A+ C- A+
1.05 33% 50% 33% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.8 .31 16% .42 69% .29 1.17 60% 64% 36% +8 0 1.18 21% 1.3 .27 9% .16 73% .12
Jan
2		 Western Kentucky B+ B+ C C+ B- 33% 25% 43% C- C+ A D B B F D+ F F B A- C- C 35% 13% 53% C- C F F F B F C F
1.18 65% 40% 35% +3 -1 1.07 39% 0.9 .34 15% .29 68% .20 1.32 47% 29% 34% -5 +1 0.95 49% 1.5 .73 17% .42 74% .31
Jan
4		 Middle Tennessee D F+ A A+ C+ 51% 27% 22% C C+ B D+ B- F F F F A- A+ C+ F C- 26% 30% 44% A- C A A+ A+ D+ A+ F B
0.98 48% 46% 45% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 25% .23 67% .16 1.00 43% 38% 46% +4 -2 1.06 23% 0.2 .05 15% .17 90% .15
Jan
8		 Delaware C- B+ F C- D- 35% 25% 40% C- D- B+ F C- A B A A- B F A+ A A- 27% 10% 63% D B+ B- C+ B- F+ B- A+ B+
1.15 67% 15% 33% -3 -1 0.94 37% 0.8 .29 10% .32 89% .28 0.96 69% 20% 29% -4 0 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 14% .22 67% .15
Jan
10		 Liberty D- F A+ A C- 46% 16% 38% B C A- F D- F B- B+ B C D- F B- C- 58% 6% 36% D D+ A+ F C+ B+ F F F
1.04 35% 75% 42% 0 +1 1.04 40% 0.8 .31 22% .25 79% .20 1.15 69% 67% 33% +8 +3 1.24 8% 2.0 .16 17% .39 78% .30
Jan
14		 Jacksonville St. A A+ F A+ A+ 49% 11% 40% A- A+ B- A+ A- D- F F+ F B B+ F A B+ 47% 13% 40% C B C B C+ D- C- B+ C+
1.24 74% 20% 47% +14 +2 1.34 30% 1.3 .39 19% .14 71% .10 1.00 48% 50% 28% -7 +2 0.91 29% 0.9 .26 14% .36 63% .23
Jan
17		 Florida International D+ A+ F D C 29% 20% 51% D- C- C- D D D A+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 37% 21% 42% B- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A F
1.01 73% 30% 31% 0 -1 1.02 33% 0.9 .30 23% .45 54% .24 0.84 25% 11% 39% -15 0 0.72 32% 0.7 .22 24% .68 62% .42
Jan
21		 Kennesaw St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 23% 36% D+ A+ F+ A+ B A F F F D- D A+ D C- 33% 21% 47% A C+ C- D D F A- D- B
1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19 1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21
Jan
24		 Western Kentucky C C- C- F D- 49% 16% 35% A D+ C A+ A+ A D- F F A+ A- A+ A- A 37% 14% 49% D+ A- C+ F F+ A+ C C- C-
1.09 56% 38% 28% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.6 .46 13% .34 40% .14 0.87 44% 17% 29% -12 +1 0.79 29% 1.4 .41 28% .33 75% .25
Jan
28		 Missouri St. B A+ D+ C- B 43% 33% 24% B B B- F D+ F+ C- C C- B F B+ F D 27% 43% 31% A+ C B+ F F+ C+ B- B+ B
1.16 77% 35% 33% +7 -1 1.14 34% 0.9 .31 20% .35 74% .26 1.03 77% 29% 40% +4 -4 1.02 26% 1.7 .44 17% .32 61% .19
Jan
31		 Louisiana Tech A+ B C F C+ 59% 17% 24% A- B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ A+ 36% 30% 34% B+ A+ F+ F F C F C+ F+
1.28 59% 38% 27% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 9% .61 67% .41 1.03 41% 36% 25% -11 -1 0.77 41% 1.3 .54 18% .36 63% .23
Feb
4		 UTEP D- F+ F F F 47% 16% 37% A- F B- B- B- C+ A+ B+ A+ B- B F A+ B- 29% 41% 31% A B A- A+ A F B+ D+ B
1.00 48% 13% 22% -15 +1 0.73 36% 1.1 .40 17% .47 78% .36 0.95 53% 46% 22% -4 -3 0.88 19% 0.8 .14 9% .22 71% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Louisiana Tech C F B A+ A- 30% 22% 48% D B+ F A+ D D- B- C- C+ D- D+ F A+ C 60% 17% 23% F D+ F B C- D- F F F
1.02 38% 42% 46% +3 -1 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 21% .35 71% .25 1.14 59% 67% 8% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.7 .31 16% .54 74% .40
Feb
14		 Kennesaw St. A A A+ A- A+ 47% 20% 33% C+ A+ B- A+ A- C A D+ B+ D C A+ F F+ 43% 17% 41% C+ D- D+ C- D+ D- A C A-
1.25 67% 56% 40% +10 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36 1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19
Feb
18		 Middle Tennessee C C- F C D- 56% 17% 28% A- D+ A+ D+ A- B F+ A+ C B C- D A+ A- 31% 28% 41% B- A- A+ A A+ F B- A+ A-
1.12 57% 11% 33% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.0 .39 13% .25 93% .23 1.01 61% 44% 25% -3 -1 0.93 21% 0.8 .16 9% .24 53% .13
Feb
21		 Jacksonville St. B+ B+ D B B 38% 20% 42% C- B B B- B C A+ B+ A+ F+ F A+ D F 39% 22% 39% A D- A+ A+ A+ F B F C
1.22 65% 33% 37% +3 0 1.09 32% 1.1 .35 16% .50 82% .41 1.16 76% 17% 38% +5 0 1.11 20% 0.7 .13 10% .30 78% .23
Feb
26		 Florida International A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 49% 22% 29% C A+ A- C- B B- A+ A A+ A D+ C- A+ A+ 27% 38% 35% A+ A+ A+ F D+ B F F F
1.36 71% 45% 64% +21 +1 1.45 43% 1.0 .43 19% .42 80% .34 0.91 62% 39% 12% -11 -3 0.75 22% 1.8 .39 20% .50 76% .38
Feb
28		 Missouri St. A- D- D+ A+ C- 40% 34% 26% B- C B+ B+ A- A A+ B+ A+ F B F B- C+ 48% 15% 37% F C- D+ D+ D+ F C- D- D+
1.27 55% 35% 46% +3 -2 1.04 38% 1.3 .47 12% .47 79% .37 1.20 56% 50% 32% 0 +1 1.04 33% 1.2 .39 12% .35 71% .25
Mar
5		 Delaware C F+ F B- F+ 55% 5% 40% A+ D+ B- B- B C C- F D- D- F A+ F F 28% 25% 47% B+ F A- F D- F+ B+ B- B+
1.12 50% 0% 36% -5 +3 0.98 34% 1.1 .39 14% .26 69% .18 1.17 73% 23% 52% +13 -1 1.26 14% 1.8 .24 14% .20 75% .15
Mar
7		 Liberty B- F F A+ F 52% 20% 28% B F+ B+ A A+ A B F D+ D- F A+ D+ D+ 34% 2% 64% C+ D+ D F F C- B+ F C+
1.16 38% 20% 50% -7 +1 0.90 38% 1.5 .56 13% .28 53% .15 1.27 76% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 21% 1.5 .32 13% .20 82% .17
Mar
11		 New Mexico St. F+ F A+ F F 58% 8% 35% A+ F A F F B A+ F B+ A+ B C A+ A+ 34% 32% 34% C+ A B B+ B+ A F A+ D-
0.96 40% 50% 22% -16 +3 0.77 40% 0.6 .22 13% .53 61% .32 0.85 53% 38% 18% -10 -2 0.78 29% 0.8 .24 20% .42 58% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 43.7% 43.7% 13.0 0.0 9.6 26.2 7.8 0.0 56.3
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 43.7% 43.7% 0.0% 13.0 56.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 43.7% 100.0% 13.0 0.1 22.0 60.0 17.8 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 20.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 35.9%