IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Sam Houston St.
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.4	#218
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.2	#259

Pace	67.4	#225
Improvement	+1.0	#92

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#215

First Shot	-4.6	#302
After Offensive Rebound	+3.1	#33

Layup/Dunks	+0.5	#144
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.5	#305
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.2	#105
Freethrows	-4.8	#353

Improvement	+1.7	#40

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#203

First Shot	+0.7	#147
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.7	#288

Layups/Dunks	+3.1	#74
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.3	#47
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.7	#308
Freethrows	-1.0	#245

Improvement	-0.7	#246

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	3.8%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.8	15.2

.500 or above	24.0%	29.3%	12.3%
.500 or above in Conference	54.6%	58.5%	45.9%
Conference Champion	3.0%	3.5%	2.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.8%	0.5%	1.4%

First Four	0.4%	0.3%	0.5%
First Round	3.3%	3.8%	2.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Neutral) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 8	4 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 3	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 12, 2021	107	@ Nebraska	L	65-74	18%	0 - 1			-1.8	-6.5	+5.0
Nov 16, 2021	93	Missouri St.	L	55-77	31%	0 - 2			-19.2	-16.7	-3.6
Nov 21, 2021	289	Arkansas Little Rock	W	77-59	67%	1 - 2			+11.1	+2.9	+8.4
Nov 22, 2021	144	Boston University	L	59-72	35%	1 - 3			-11.3	-10.3	-1.9
Nov 24, 2021	99	@ SMU	L	66-75	17%	1 - 4			-1.2	-3.1	+1.7
Nov 29, 2021	11	@ Texas	L	57-73	4%	1 - 5			+2.8	+5.1	-5.6
Dec 11, 2021	300	Texas San Antonio	W	75-70	69%
Dec 14, 2021	108	@ North Texas	L	56-66	18%
Dec 21, 2021	213	Bradley	L	66-67	49%
Dec 30, 2021	319	Lamar	W	76-67	80%
Jan 01, 2022	286	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	78-71	74%
Jan 06, 2022	155	@ Tarleton St.	L	59-65	28%
Jan 08, 2022	143	@ Abilene Christian	L	65-72	27%
Jan 13, 2022	319	@ Lamar	W	73-70	60%
Jan 15, 2022	158	Stephen F. Austin	W	71-70	51%
Jan 20, 2022	102	New Mexico St.	L	67-71	37%
Jan 22, 2022	110	Grand Canyon	L	64-67	38%
Jan 26, 2022	217	@ California Baptist	L	71-74	40%
Jan 29, 2022	173	@ Seattle	L	69-74	32%
Feb 03, 2022	306	Dixie St.	W	80-71	78%
Feb 05, 2022	152	Utah Valley	L	67-68	48%
Feb 12, 2022	355	@ Chicago St.	W	76-63	87%
Feb 17, 2022	143	Abilene Christian	L	68-69	46%
Feb 19, 2022	286	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	W	75-74	55%
Feb 24, 2022	158	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	67-73	30%
Feb 26, 2022	110	@ Grand Canyon	L	61-70	21%
Mar 03, 2022	155	Tarleton St.	L	61-62	50%
Projected Record						11 - 16	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0		3.0	1st
2nd												0.1	0.8	2.1	1.2	0.4	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	1.2	2.6	1.9	0.2	0.0					6.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	3.6	3.3	0.3							7.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.8	4.0	0.8	0.0							8.2	5th
6th									0.3	3.0	5.5	1.9	0.1								10.7	6th
7th								0.3	2.7	6.0	3.3	0.2									12.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	2.7	5.5	3.7	0.7										13.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.6	2.8	6.4	3.8	0.7	0.0										14.3	9th
10th				0.1	0.9	2.3	4.0	2.7	0.5												10.4	10th
11th			0.0	0.5	1.5	2.6	1.2	0.3													6.2	11th
12th		0.1	0.5	0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1														3.0	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.3	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	3.5	6.0	8.6	12.3	12.8	14.0	12.8	11.0	7.7	4.9	2.4	1.3	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.1	0.0
16-2	94.3%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	72.6%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.0
14-4	41.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.2
13-5	9.7%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.9%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.0%	3.0		1.3	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																			0.0	0.0
17-1	0.2%		24.4%	24.4%		13.0														0.0				0.1
16-2	0.4%		6.7%	6.7%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
15-3	1.3%		22.5%	22.5%		14.1														0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.0
14-4	2.4%		22.3%	22.3%		14.4														0.1	0.3	0.1	0.1	1.8
13-5	4.9%		14.7%	14.7%		14.9														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1	4.2
12-6	7.7%		7.6%	7.6%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	7.1
11-7	11.0%		4.7%	4.7%		15.4															0.0	0.3	0.2	10.5
10-8	12.8%		3.8%	3.8%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.3	12.3
9-9	14.0%		1.0%	1.0%		15.8																0.0	0.1	13.8
8-10	12.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
7-11	12.3%																							12.3
6-12	8.6%																							8.6
5-13	6.0%																							6.0
4-14	3.5%																							3.5
3-15	1.5%																							1.5
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	14.9														0.2	0.8	1.5	0.9	96.6		0.0%