Sam Houston St.
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#218
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#259
Pace67.4#225
Improvement+1.0#92

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#215
First Shot-4.6#302
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#33
Layup/Dunks+0.5#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#105
Freethrows-4.8#353
Improvement+1.7#40

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#203
First Shot+0.7#147
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#288
Layups/Dunks+3.1#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#308
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement-0.7#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.8% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 24.0% 29.3% 12.3%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 58.5% 45.9%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.5% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round3.3% 3.8% 2.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Neutral) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 84 - 13
Quad 48 - 312 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 107   @ Nebraska L 65-74 18%     0 - 1 -1.8 -6.5 +5.0
  Nov 16, 2021 93   Missouri St. L 55-77 31%     0 - 2 -19.2 -16.7 -3.6
  Nov 21, 2021 289   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-59 67%     1 - 2 +11.1 +2.9 +8.4
  Nov 22, 2021 144   Boston University L 59-72 35%     1 - 3 -11.3 -10.3 -1.9
  Nov 24, 2021 99   @ SMU L 66-75 17%     1 - 4 -1.2 -3.1 +1.7
  Nov 29, 2021 11   @ Texas L 57-73 4%     1 - 5 +2.8 +5.1 -5.6
  Dec 11, 2021 300   Texas San Antonio W 75-70 69%    
  Dec 14, 2021 108   @ North Texas L 56-66 18%    
  Dec 21, 2021 213   Bradley L 66-67 49%    
  Dec 30, 2021 319   Lamar W 76-67 80%    
  Jan 01, 2022 286   UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 06, 2022 155   @ Tarleton St. L 59-65 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 143   @ Abilene Christian L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 13, 2022 319   @ Lamar W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 15, 2022 158   Stephen F. Austin W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 20, 2022 102   New Mexico St. L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 22, 2022 110   Grand Canyon L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 26, 2022 217   @ California Baptist L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 173   @ Seattle L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 03, 2022 306   Dixie St. W 80-71 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 152   Utah Valley L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 12, 2022 355   @ Chicago St. W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 17, 2022 143   Abilene Christian L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 19, 2022 286   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 24, 2022 158   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 26, 2022 110   @ Grand Canyon L 61-70 21%    
  Mar 03, 2022 155   Tarleton St. L 61-62 50%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.3 0.3 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.0 0.8 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 5.5 1.9 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.3 2.7 6.0 3.3 0.2 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.5 3.7 0.7 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.8 6.4 3.8 0.7 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.3 4.0 2.7 0.5 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.6 1.2 0.3 6.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 3.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.5 6.0 8.6 12.3 12.8 14.0 12.8 11.0 7.7 4.9 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 72.6% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.0
14-4 41.0% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2
13-5 9.7% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 24.4% 24.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 6.7% 6.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.3% 22.5% 22.5% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.4% 22.3% 22.3% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.8
13-5 4.9% 14.7% 14.7% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 4.2
12-6 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.1
11-7 11.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 10.5
10-8 12.8% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.3
9-9 14.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.8
8-10 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.8
7-11 12.3% 12.3
6-12 8.6% 8.6
5-13 6.0% 6.0
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 14.9 0.2 0.8 1.5 0.9 96.6 0.0%