Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#319
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#341
Pace72.6#96
Improvement+0.1#169

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#333
First Shot-4.6#308
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#283
Layup/Dunks+6.1#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#348
Freethrows-4.0#354
Improvement-1.5#290

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#285
First Shot-4.9#333
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#59
Layups/Dunks-4.3#321
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#210
Freethrows+2.5#39
Improvement+1.6#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.4% 8.0% 1.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 70.4% 47.3% 78.0%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 122 - 18
Quad 43 - 65 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 71 @Arizona St. L 64-81 4%     0 - 1 -6.2 -7.6 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 8 191 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-95 33%     0 - 2 -28.0 -5.3 -21.7
  Sat, Nov 15 221 @Nebraska Omaha L 85-90 21%     0 - 3 -5.8 +4.8 -10.3
  Mon, Nov 17 6 @Gonzaga L 50-122 1%     0 - 4 -47.5 -19.5 -17.5
  Wed, Nov 19 149 @Washington St. L 74-98 11%     0 - 5 -20.2 +0.5 -20.0
  Fri, Nov 28 185 @Robert Morris L 54-61 16%     0 - 6 -5.7 -14.0 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 29 349 Stetson W 70-68 62%     1 - 6 -10.4 -8.1 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 154 @Oregon St. L 70-81 12%     1 - 7 -7.6 -1.6 -6.0
  Sat, Dec 13 48 @Washington L 69-105 3%     1 - 8 -22.2 +1.7 -23.2
  Thu, Dec 18 289 @Northern Arizona L 57-65 29%     1 - 9 -11.7 -12.0 -0.4
  Mon, Dec 29 251 @Utah Tech L 70-77 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 167 Texas Arlington L 66-72 30%    
  Thu, Jan 8 85 @Utah Valley L 63-82 4%    
  Sat, Jan 10 134 @California Baptist L 64-78 9%    
  Thu, Jan 15 180 Tarleton St. L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 204 Abilene Christian L 68-72 38%    
  Wed, Jan 21 85 Utah Valley L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 251 @Utah Tech L 70-77 25%    
  Thu, Jan 29 167 @Texas Arlington L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 204 @Abilene Christian L 65-75 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 180 Tarleton St. L 73-78 33%    
  Thu, Feb 12 134 California Baptist L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 167 @Texas Arlington L 63-75 15%    
  Thu, Feb 19 180 @Tarleton St. L 70-81 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 204 @Abilene Christian L 65-75 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 251 Utah Tech L 73-74 45%    
  Thu, Mar 5 85 Utah Valley L 66-79 12%    
  Sat, Mar 7 134 California Baptist L 67-75 24%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.6 1.3 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.3 6.0 8.0 5.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 23.2 6th
7th 3.5 9.4 14.4 16.0 10.8 4.5 0.8 0.1 59.5 7th
Total 3.5 9.4 14.7 18.3 17.0 13.9 9.7 6.4 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 29.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 3.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 20.6% 20.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.4% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 0.9% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.1 0.9
9-9 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.9
8-10 3.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.7
7-11 6.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.3
6-12 9.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.7
5-13 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-14 17.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.0
3-15 18.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.3
2-16 14.7% 14.7
1-17 9.4% 9.4
0-18 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.8%