Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.0#327
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#344
Pace73.1#79
Improvement-0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#337
First Shot-5.1#322
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#287
Layup/Dunks+5.3#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#344
Freethrows-3.6#348
Improvement-1.9#322

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#288
First Shot-4.7#331
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#66
Layups/Dunks-4.5#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#311
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#215
Freethrows+2.5#35
Improvement+1.9#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.6% 3.6% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 80.9% 67.5% 86.6%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Home) - 29.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 122 - 19
Quad 43 - 65 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 71 @Arizona St. L 64-81 4%     0 - 1 -6.2 -7.5 +2.0
  Sat, Nov 8 217 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-95 37%     0 - 2 -29.5 -6.3 -22.2
  Sat, Nov 15 228 @Nebraska Omaha L 85-90 20%     0 - 3 -6.0 +4.9 -10.5
  Mon, Nov 17 5 @Gonzaga L 50-122 0.4%    0 - 4 -47.0 -19.3 -17.2
  Wed, Nov 19 147 @Washington St. L 74-98 10%     0 - 5 -20.1 +1.1 -20.5
  Fri, Nov 28 194 @Robert Morris L 54-61 16%     0 - 6 -6.2 -14.5 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 29 349 Stetson W 70-68 60%     1 - 6 -10.4 -8.2 -2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 180 @Oregon St. L 70-81 14%     1 - 7 -9.4 -3.0 -6.4
  Sat, Dec 13 49 @Washington L 69-105 2%     1 - 8 -22.4 +2.1 -23.8
  Thu, Dec 18 288 @Northern Arizona L 57-65 27%     1 - 9 -11.7 -12.1 -0.3
  Mon, Dec 29 244 @Utah Tech L 66-80 21%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -15.6 -9.3 -6.0
  Sat, Jan 3 176 Texas Arlington L 65-71 30%    
  Thu, Jan 8 85 @Utah Valley L 63-82 3%    
  Sat, Jan 10 135 @California Baptist L 64-79 9%    
  Thu, Jan 15 164 Tarleton St. L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 201 Abilene Christian L 68-72 35%    
  Wed, Jan 21 85 Utah Valley L 66-79 11%    
  Sat, Jan 24 244 @Utah Tech L 69-77 22%    
  Thu, Jan 29 176 @Texas Arlington L 62-74 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 201 @Abilene Christian L 65-75 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 164 Tarleton St. L 71-78 28%    
  Thu, Feb 12 135 California Baptist L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 176 @Texas Arlington L 62-74 14%    
  Thu, Feb 19 164 @Tarleton St. L 68-81 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 201 @Abilene Christian L 65-75 18%    
  Sat, Feb 28 244 Utah Tech L 72-74 42%    
  Thu, Mar 5 85 Utah Valley L 66-79 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 135 California Baptist L 67-76 21%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 6.6 5th
6th 0.4 1.9 5.0 6.3 3.8 0.9 0.1 18.4 6th
7th 5.1 12.9 18.8 17.7 11.6 4.4 0.8 0.0 71.3 7th
Total 5.1 12.9 19.2 19.6 16.7 11.6 7.4 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 11.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 5.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-9 1.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0
7-11 4.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-12 7.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.3
5-13 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-14 16.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.7
3-15 19.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.6
2-16 19.2% 19.2
1-17 12.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.9
0-18 5.1% 5.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%