Southern Utah
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating -6.5 277
Results Rating -6.8 273
Consistency 0.16 255
Pace 74.3 41
Improvement +6.6 10

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 252 C- C- D- D- C
Defense D+ 275 D+ C F+ B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 112 C 58% 179 +1.4 125
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 103 D- 32% 339 -0.9 228
Three Pointers 37% 260 C+ 34% 155 -1.7 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 189 C- -1.2 214
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 206
Second Chance C- 29.3% 208 D+ 0.97 276 C- 0.28 243
Turnovers from Steals F+ 11.8% 347
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 236
Turnovers D- 19.5% 328
Freethrows D- 0.25 339 C- 72% 214 D- 0.18 330
Total Offense D+ -3.1 252

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 267 C- 11.5% 207
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 224 D- 8.0% 329
Three Pointers C- 82% 225 D 1.5% 312
Total D+ 51% 279 D 7.0% 320

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 58 C 58% 179 +2.7 270
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 121 D 42% 316 +1.5 300
Three Pointers 35% 340 F+ 39% 352 -0.8 149
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.1 193 D +3.2 303
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 291
Second Chance C- 31.4% 226 B- 0.98 102 C 0.31 175
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.5% 350
Other Turnovers C- 6.8% 250
Turnovers F+ 13.3% 346
Freethrows B 0.26 51 B- 70% 71 B 0.18 46
Total Defense D+ -3.4 275

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 133 C 11.1% 166
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 155 C 4.8% 179
Three Pointers B+ 77% 28 B- 1.4% 71
Total B- 50% 76 C+ 6.3% 123

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 174 16.0 13
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 209 0.20 289
Consistency 0.13 240 0.15 332
Improvement +5.5 4 +1.1 125

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 298 276 252
Results Rating Rank 314 274 243
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 54% 28% 75%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Utah Tech (Home) - 44.0% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 113 - 18
Quad 44 - 47 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 69 @Arizona St. L 64 - 81 6% -11  0% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -9 F B- D+ B +4 F+ A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 8 142 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72 - 95 33% -11  4% 0 - 2 F -25 D- -7 D D B- F -17 F C C-
 Sat, Nov 15 252 @Nebraska Omaha L 85 - 90 33% -3  11% 0 - 3 D+ -7 C+ +2 B- D- C+ F+ -8 F A+ D-
 Mon, Nov 17 11 @Gonzaga L 50 - 122 1% -34  0% 0 - 4 F -50 F -21 F D- F F -18 F F D
 Wed, Nov 19 126 @Washington St. L 74 - 98 13% -12  14% 0 - 5 F -18 D+ -3 B+ F F F -15 C- F F
 Fri, Nov 28 162 @Robert Morris L 54 - 61 19% -11  0% 0 - 6 C- -4 F -17 F C F A+ +12 A B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 326 Stetson W 70 - 68 66% -3  30% 1 - 6 D -9 F -11 D F+ F+ B- +2 D+ D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 155 @Oregon St. L 70 - 81 18% -11  0% 1 - 7 D+ -8 D+ -4 D+ A- F+ D+ -4 F B C+
 Sat, Dec 13 48 @Washington L 69 - 105 4% -18  0% 1 - 8 F -22 C- -1 A- F C+ F -20 F C F
 Thu, Dec 18 304 @Northern Arizona L 57 - 65 46% -0  47% 1 - 9 D- -13 F -19 F F F B+ +5 B D+ F+
 Mon, Dec 29 187 @Utah Tech L 66 - 80 23% -2  42% 1 - 10 0 - 1 D- -13 F -11 D- D F C -1 D+ C C
 Sat, Jan 3 181 Texas Arlington L 77 - 86 41% -1  46% 1 - 11 0 - 2 D- -13 C +0 B D+ D F -13 F A- D
 Thu, Jan 8 94 @Utah Valley L 72 - 89 8% -10  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 D+ -8 C -0 C C B- D- -7 F+ D+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 139 @California Baptist L 55 - 58 16% -6  0% 1 - 13 0 - 4 C +1 D- -7 F A+ F A- +8 A+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 229 Tarleton St. W 106 - 105 OT 51% +5  93% 2 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -6 B +6 B- B+ B+ F -12 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 242 Abilene Christian W 74 - 52 54% +11  96% 3 - 13 2 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -3 C- C+ C- A+ +17 A+ A C
 Wed, Jan 21 94 Utah Valley W 84 - 70 19% +4  81% 4 - 13 3 - 4 A- +17 A- +11 A+ A D- B+ +6 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 24 187 @Utah Tech L 91 - 102 23% -8  8% 4 - 14 3 - 5 D -10 A +12 B B- B+ F -22 F+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 181 @Texas Arlington L 61 - 80 22% -14  0% 4 - 15 3 - 6 F+ -17 F -10 F F C D- -7 D D+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 242 @Abilene Christian W 79 - 76 32% -4  7% 5 - 15 4 - 6 C +1 B+ +8 A+ B+ F D- -7 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 7 229 Tarleton St. L 59 - 62 51% -1  30% 5 - 16 4 - 7 D -10 F -16 F D F B+ +6 C+ B A-
 Thu, Feb 12 139 California Baptist L 66 - 83 32% -8  4% 5 - 17 4 - 8 F -19 D -5 C+ F+ B+ F -14 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 14 181 @Texas Arlington W 78 - 73 22% +3  87% 6 - 17 5 - 8 B- +7 B +7 A+ C F C -1 C- A- F
 Thu, Feb 19 229 @Tarleton St. L 74 - 78 29% -1  34% 6 - 18 5 - 9 C- -5 B- +4 D C- C F+ -9 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 242 @Abilene Christian L 83 - 87 32% +4  73% 6 - 19 5 - 10 D+ -6 B- +5 A+ C F F -10 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 187 Utah Tech L 76 - 78 44%
 Thu, Mar 5 94 Utah Valley L 73 - 82 19%
 Sat, Mar 7 139 California Baptist L 70 - 75 33%
Totals 7 - 21 6 - 12 -6 D+ -3 A+ C- C D+ -3 C+ C- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C D- C+ C- 41% 45% 37% C C- C- D+ C- D- D- C- D- D+ C D F+ D 43% 22% 35% C- D+ C- B- C F+ B B- B
1.04 58% 32% 34% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.0 .28 20% .25 72% .18 1.13 58% 42% 39% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.0 .31 13% .26 70% .18
Nov
4		 Arizona St. F+ C F F F 46% 17% 37% B+ F B C- B- D+ F A+ F B D- B F F+ 44% 17% 39% D F+ C+ A+ A+ A- C+ A- B
0.88 56% 20% 14% -16 +1 0.73 36% 1.0 .36 22% .14 100% .14 1.11 67% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 31% 0.8 .26 19% .34 70% .24
Nov
8		 UT Rio Grande Valley D- B F D D 31% 27% 42% D D D+ D D B- D F F+ F C+ A+ F F 47% 12% 42% F+ F F A+ C C- A+ A+ A+
0.98 65% 27% 30% -3 -1 0.93 28% 0.8 .21 15% .31 63% .19 1.30 57% 14% 64% +16 +2 1.37 44% 0.6 .28 16% .08 60% .05
Nov
15		 Nebraska Omaha C+ A A D- B- 45% 14% 41% B B- C F D- C+ D D+ D F+ C D+ F F 44% 22% 35% C- F C A+ A+ D- F F F
1.14 73% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.16 28% 0.7 .21 13% .26 71% .19 1.21 58% 42% 53% +11 0 1.24 25% 0.3 .06 13% .39 80% .31
Nov
17		 Gonzaga F C F F F 29% 29% 43% C F D+ F D- F D+ D+ D F F+ F F F 36% 42% 22% A+ F C+ F F D C+ F C-
0.61 56% 25% 17% -15 -2 0.68 20% 0.6 .11 28% .26 67% .17 1.49 74% 63% 57% +24 -3 1.44 35% 1.6 .54 11% .27 80% .22
Nov
19		 Washington St. D+ B B- A A- 31% 31% 38% D- B+ F F F F C- C+ C F F+ F C+ D 36% 24% 40% B+ C- D- F F F B B+ B
1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21 1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17
Nov
28		 Robert Morris F C- F F F 47% 22% 31% C F D A- C F D- F F A+ A+ F A+ A 27% 31% 41% A A B- C+ B- D B- A+ A-
0.84 57% 10% 21% -13 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20 0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11
Nov
29		 Stetson F A F F D- 52% 20% 28% B- D F A- F+ F+ B- A+ A B- D+ F A D+ 36% 28% 36% B- D+ D- C D+ B+ A+ F B+
1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27 0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15
Dec
6		 Oregon St. D+ D A+ F F+ 57% 8% 35% A D+ D A+ A- F+ F F F D+ F B F F 40% 24% 36% B- F B- B B C+ B- D+ B-
1.00 52% 50% 22% -9 +3 0.90 26% 1.7 .43 18% .24 64% .16 1.15 70% 33% 44% +9 0 1.20 24% 1.1 .28 18% .33 79% .26
Dec
13		 Washington C- A+ A D- A 28% 35% 37% D A- D+ F F C+ F F F F D F F F 35% 27% 38% C F C- B- C F D D+ D
0.97 75% 45% 29% +4 -3 1.05 23% 0.4 .10 15% .17 50% .08 1.47 67% 50% 48% +14 -1 1.28 37% 1.1 .40 3% .33 78% .26
Dec
18		 Northern Arizona F F F A F 54% 21% 25% C F F F F F F+ F+ F B+ A- B- F B+ 51% 31% 18% C B C D- D+ F+ D+ B- C-
0.88 46% 30% 42% -5 +1 0.94 24% 0.8 .18 23% .24 67% .16 1.00 48% 33% 44% -4 0 0.94 24% 1.1 .27 12% .30 65% .19
Dec
29		 Utah Tech F F B+ D F+ 51% 14% 35% B D- D+ D D F A F B- C B- A+ F C 53% 11% 36% F D+ F A C C C+ A+ B
0.92 48% 43% 29% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 21% .37 62% .23 1.11 55% 17% 45% +2 +2 1.11 38% 0.7 .28 17% .22 62% .13
Jan
3		 Texas Arlington C A F F B- 47% 22% 31% B+ B D C+ D+ D C- B C+ F B- D- F F 41% 22% 37% B- F A+ D+ A- D F+ D- F
1.06 71% 27% 25% -1 +1 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 19% .36 76% .27 1.18 50% 45% 56% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.0 .24 18% .42 76% .32
Jan
8		 Utah Valley C F F A+ C 40% 19% 42% C+ C D A C B- C- F F+ D- D- B+ F F 52% 19% 30% B- F+ F B+ D+ C C+ A- B-
0.99 43% 20% 45% -2 0 0.98 26% 1.2 .31 19% .32 58% .19 1.22 68% 30% 44% +8 +1 1.20 46% 0.9 .43 21% .28 63% .17
Jan
10		 California Baptist D- F F F F 42% 18% 40% B- F A A+ A+ F F+ B- D- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 27% 35% A- A+ F+ D+ F+ F D A+ C+
0.90 42% 13% 22% -18 +1 0.67 36% 1.3 .46 20% .25 75% .18 0.95 37% 23% 18% -21 -1 0.59 44% 1.0 .42 10% .35 58% .20
Jan
15		 Tarleton St. B B D- B+ B- 40% 11% 49% B B- D+ A+ B+ B+ A+ C+ A+ F B B F D 61% 18% 21% F F+ C+ F F D+ D- C D
1.17 67% 33% 38% +6 +1 1.17 30% 1.5 .45 20% .58 74% .43 1.16 50% 33% 57% +2 +2 1.09 28% 1.5 .44 18% .38 75% .28
Jan
17		 Abilene Christian D+ B F C+ D+ 45% 12% 43% B- C- B+ F+ C+ C- F C- F A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 55% 14% 31% F A+ D+ A+ A C F D- F
1.04 65% 17% 36% +2 +2 1.10 34% 0.9 .31 24% .26 71% .18 0.73 30% 29% 20% -23 +2 0.59 35% 0.4 .16 21% .44 76% .34
Jan
21		 Utah Valley A- B- F A+ A+ 36% 23% 40% D+ A+ A B A D- B- A+ A- B+ A A+ A+ A+ 48% 13% 39% C A+ C+ B+ B F D A C
1.19 59% 27% 53% +9 -1 1.19 39% 1.1 .43 24% .35 84% .30 0.99 48% 14% 23% -14 +2 0.77 37% 0.9 .35 14% .33 60% .20
Jan
24		 Utah Tech A A+ F D+ B+ 50% 24% 26% C- B C- A B- B+ A+ A A+ F C- F+ F F+ 52% 18% 31% D- F+ D- F F F D- D D-
1.26 76% 25% 31% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.2 .37 12% .47 80% .38 1.41 63% 45% 42% +7 +1 1.19 34% 1.3 .46 4% .29 75% .22
Jan
29		 Texas Arlington F F B F+ D- 27% 43% 31% F F F+ F F C A F+ B- D- C A+ F D 53% 18% 29% D D F A+ D+ D- D+ C- D+
0.87 31% 43% 27% -9 -4 0.78 20% 0.8 .15 17% .45 65% .29 1.14 56% 22% 40% -1 +1 1.02 51% 0.7 .37 17% .38 73% .27
Jan
31		 Abilene Christian B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 32% 16% D- A+ A D+ B+ F C A+ A D- F C+ F F 30% 32% 38% A F A+ F B- F A+ A+ A+
1.16 85% 50% 50% +22 0 1.45 38% 1.0 .38 32% .45 86% .39 1.11 81% 35% 40% +10 -2 1.17 22% 1.1 .25 13% .20 50% .10
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Tarleton St. F F F B F 33% 23% 44% D F B- F D F F A+ F B+ A F C C+ 50% 32% 18% C C+ B- B+ B A- A+ A A+
0.86 38% 27% 38% -7 -1 0.88 38% 0.8 .30 28% .16 88% .14 0.90 44% 50% 33% -3 -1 0.94 27% 0.9 .24 23% .23 67% .15
Feb
12		 California Baptist D C+ F A B- 46% 24% 30% C C+ D F F+ B+ C+ F D- F A- F F+ F 40% 29% 31% A D- C F F F A+ D+ A+
0.98 57% 25% 40% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 12% .34 55% .18 1.23 43% 59% 39% +3 -1 1.05 37% 1.4 .51 12% .13 75% .10
Feb
14		 Texas Arlington B B- A+ A- A+ 36% 29% 36% C- A+ A- F C F B+ D+ B C A+ F D D+ 45% 26% 30% B C- A- B+ A- F F B- F
1.12 63% 69% 38% +12 -1 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 23% .43 70% .30 1.05 38% 58% 36% -3 0 0.96 29% 0.8 .24 13% .48 69% .33
Feb
19		 Tarleton St. B- F F A+ D 35% 21% 44% D+ D A- F C- C A+ B+ A+ F+ F C- A+ F 62% 27% 11% F F D- A+ B- F B- A+ A-
1.11 33% 22% 53% 0 0 1.02 42% 0.8 .33 22% .52 78% .40 1.17 71% 40% 17% +5 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 15% .30 65% .19
Feb
21		 Abilene Christian B- C+ D A+ A+ 52% 20% 28% C+ A+ A F C F C- C C- F F F A+ F 62% 12% 26% F F A A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.11 63% 33% 69% +16 +1 1.37 38% 0.8 .29 32% .43 73% .31 1.16 71% 50% 23% +5 +3 1.18 24% 0.6 .14 16% .52 73% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 3.3 1.9 5.3 4th
5th 3.1 26.3 16.2 1.3 46.9 5th
6th 13.5 16.0 1.0 0.0 30.5 6th
7th 14.9 2.4 0.0 17.3 7th
Total 31.4 44.7 20.6 3.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 3.2
7-11 20.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 20.3
6-12 44.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.3 44.4
5-13 31.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 31.4
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 99.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 19.8%