Washington
Pac-12
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#91
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#54
Pace72.7#85
Improvement+0.1#83

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#128
First Shot+1.2#135
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#166
Layup/Dunks-0.8#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#251
Freethrows+3.7#21
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#62
First Shot+2.6#99
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#68
Layups/Dunks+1.8#115
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#192
Freethrows+1.9#74
Improvement+0.2#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 14.8% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.4% 12.6% 5.0%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 10.6
.500 or above 64.8% 72.5% 45.4%
.500 or above in Conference 34.1% 40.7% 17.4%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.2% 8.8%
First Four3.5% 4.1% 2.2%
First Round10.6% 12.7% 5.4%
Second Round3.7% 4.6% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 71.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 12
Quad 34 - 29 - 13
Quad 48 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 251   Weber St. W 69-52 89%     1 - 0 +9.6 -5.0 +15.4
  Nov 11, 2022 245   North Florida W 75-67 88%     2 - 0 +0.8 -4.9 +5.5
  Nov 14, 2022 246   Utah Tech W 78-67 88%     3 - 0 +3.7 +14.1 -9.3
  Nov 17, 2022 160   California Baptist L 64-73 78%     3 - 1 -11.6 -6.1 -5.7
  Nov 23, 2022 154   Fresno St. W 62-57 68%     4 - 1 +5.9 -6.6 +12.5
  Nov 24, 2022 32   St. Mary's W 68-64 OT 26%     5 - 1 +16.5 +0.8 +15.5
  Nov 28, 2022 114   Seattle W 77-66 68%     6 - 1 +11.9 +1.5 +9.9
  Dec 01, 2022 217   @ Oregon St. W 71-65 71%    
  Dec 04, 2022 44   Colorado L 73-74 45%    
  Dec 09, 2022 11   @ Gonzaga L 72-87 8%    
  Dec 13, 2022 285   Cal Poly W 73-58 92%    
  Dec 17, 2022 300   Idaho St. W 75-59 93%    
  Dec 21, 2022 29   Auburn L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 30, 2022 73   USC W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 01, 2023 9   UCLA L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 05, 2023 6   @ Arizona L 76-92 8%    
  Jan 08, 2023 40   @ Arizona St. L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 12, 2023 79   Stanford W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 14, 2023 231   California W 69-57 87%    
  Jan 19, 2023 44   @ Colorado L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 21, 2023 70   @ Utah L 66-71 32%    
  Jan 26, 2023 40   Arizona St. L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 28, 2023 6   Arizona L 79-89 20%    
  Feb 02, 2023 9   @ UCLA L 65-80 9%    
  Feb 04, 2023 73   @ USC L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 11, 2023 51   @ Washington St. L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 15, 2023 50   Oregon L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 18, 2023 217   Oregon St. W 74-62 85%    
  Feb 23, 2023 231   @ California W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 26, 2023 79   @ Stanford L 65-69 36%    
  Mar 02, 2023 51   Washington St. L 69-70 47%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.1 3.5 0.4 0.0 13.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.3 4.1 0.6 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.7 6.6 4.2 0.9 0.0 16.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.5 5.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 16.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.1 7.2 10.5 13.2 14.2 13.9 12.0 8.8 6.2 3.7 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 77.8% 0.0    0.0
17-3 54.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 47.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 15.9% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 6.5% 93.5% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 99.1% 11.1% 88.0% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
15-5 0.9% 95.2% 11.4% 83.9% 7.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.6%
14-6 1.9% 84.4% 6.2% 78.3% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 83.4%
13-7 3.7% 68.2% 5.7% 62.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.2 66.3%
12-8 6.2% 45.3% 4.5% 40.8% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 42.7%
11-9 8.8% 23.0% 3.2% 19.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.8 20.4%
10-10 12.0% 8.9% 2.6% 6.3% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.0 6.5%
9-11 13.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.5 0.9%
8-12 14.2% 2.1% 2.0% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9 0.1%
7-13 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.0
6-14 10.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.4
5-15 7.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.1
4-16 4.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-17 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-18 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.5% 2.3% 10.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 87.5 10.4%