Washington
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#49
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#72
Pace68.8#202
Improvement+0.2#166

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#58
First Shot+2.6#102
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#28
Layup/Dunks-0.2#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#267
Freethrows+2.2#65
Improvement+0.5#130

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#54
First Shot+3.7#65
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#105
Layups/Dunks+4.2#48
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#162
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-0.3#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 3.1% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.5% 32.2% 16.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.2% 31.9% 16.3%
Average Seed 8.9 8.8 9.3
.500 or above 68.5% 69.8% 41.6%
.500 or above in Conference 40.4% 40.9% 29.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.4% 3.3%
First Four6.8% 6.9% 4.8%
First Round28.0% 28.7% 14.3%
Second Round13.5% 13.8% 6.8%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 3.2% 2.2%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 0.7%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 95.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 48 - 14
Quad 34 - 112 - 15
Quad 45 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-50 98%     1 - 0 +28.3 +10.6 +15.8
  Thu, Nov 6 305 Denver W 84-70 96%     2 - 0 +3.3 -0.5 +3.7
  Sun, Nov 9 30 @Baylor L 69-78 26%     2 - 1 +8.1 -0.3 +8.5
  Fri, Nov 14 149 @Washington St. W 81-69 73%     3 - 1 +15.9 +19.8 -2.4
  Tue, Nov 18 206 Southern W 99-93 2OT 93%     4 - 1 -0.1 +0.6 -2.1
  Thu, Nov 27 90 Nevada W 83-66 67%     5 - 1 +23.0 +9.9 +12.7
  Fri, Nov 28 73 Colorado L 68-81 61%     5 - 2 -5.4 -2.3 -3.3
  Wed, Dec 3 29 UCLA L 80-82 47%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +9.2 +17.0 -7.9
  Sat, Dec 6 39 @USC W 84-76 31%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +23.5 +14.4 +8.8
  Sat, Dec 13 318 Southern Utah W 105-69 97%     7 - 3 +23.7 +25.5 -2.4
  Fri, Dec 19 109 @Seattle L 66-70 64%     7 - 4 +2.7 -7.0 +10.0
  Mon, Dec 22 245 San Diego W 87-69 96%    
  Mon, Dec 29 111 Utah W 82-72 82%    
  Sun, Jan 4 26 @Indiana L 71-78 25%    
  Wed, Jan 7 6 @Purdue L 67-81 9%    
  Sun, Jan 11 31 Ohio St. L 76-77 49%    
  Wed, Jan 14 1 Michigan L 72-85 11%    
  Sat, Jan 17 14 Michigan St. L 68-72 36%    
  Wed, Jan 21 25 @Nebraska L 71-79 25%    
  Sun, Jan 25 64 Oregon W 77-72 67%    
  Thu, Jan 29 12 @Illinois L 73-83 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 61 @Northwestern L 73-75 45%    
  Wed, Feb 4 18 Iowa L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 29 @UCLA L 69-76 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 106 Penn St. W 82-73 80%    
  Sat, Feb 14 98 Minnesota W 73-65 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 92 @Maryland W 76-74 56%    
  Tue, Feb 24 144 @Rutgers W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 48 Wisconsin W 78-76 59%    
  Wed, Mar 4 39 USC W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Mar 7 64 @Oregon L 74-75 45%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.8 0.9 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 5.2 1.8 0.1 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 5.8 3.2 0.3 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 5.1 4.8 0.7 0.0 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.4 1.5 0.1 10.8 12th
13th 0.1 1.8 4.7 2.2 0.2 9.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.1 15th
16th 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.4 16th
17th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.1 8.6 12.0 15.0 15.6 14.0 11.4 7.6 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 31.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 12.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 5.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 6.3% 93.8% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.8% 100.0% 3.8% 96.2% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.1% 99.7% 4.5% 95.1% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 4.2% 96.9% 1.5% 95.4% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.8%
12-8 7.6% 88.1% 0.7% 87.5% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.9 88.0%
11-9 11.4% 74.3% 0.3% 74.0% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.6 2.7 1.1 0.0 2.9 74.3%
10-10 14.0% 45.2% 0.2% 45.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.2 2.7 0.1 7.7 45.1%
9-11 15.6% 15.2% 0.1% 15.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 0.2 13.2 15.1%
8-12 15.0% 2.5% 0.0% 2.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 14.6 2.4%
7-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.1%
6-14 8.6% 8.6
5-15 5.1% 5.1
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 31.5% 0.3% 31.1% 8.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.5 5.7 6.4 6.6 5.9 0.3 68.5 31.2%